Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 66.

buwaytress

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Napoli pulled through, but Messi as usual saved Barca from defeat. We were close, but should have backed Real to be the one to fall. Even Juventus couldn't win last night but since we seldom bet on handicaps, last night simply wasn't going to win our typical parlays.

We've got eyes on Lazio with Liverpool old boy Lucas Leiva to carry them on for a home win, and parlay against Fenerbahce in the Turkish Super League... they've really done so badly this season but Erzurum could be slacking off tonight.

Game 1: Lazio vs Bologna. Lazio WIN @2.35. Bitcoinrush odds: 2.33
Game 2: Erzurum vs Fenerbahce. Fenerbahce WIN @3.16. Bitcoinrush odds: 3.14
100 units parlay at Betcoin @7.426. Bitcoinrush parlay: 7.3162

Odds advantage: 1.5%
Units advantage: 10.98

Running advantage after 313 bets: +10,067.39 (+10.98 units)

Running units after 312 bets (71W|241L): +7,709.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Heh. Did we really think Troy Deeney, ex convict, was really going to lead his team to victory and stop the Citeh machine from rolling on towards capturing their domestic treble? I guess I was alone in that, heh, heh, heh.

We look at Serie A today for a simple parlay, games that don't really mean anything so maybe strong teams field slightly weaker sides? You never know. But I'll pick a Napoli home win to parlay an upset by Eibar against Barca in La Liga.

Game 1: Napoli vs Inter. Napoli WIN @2.5. Betcoin: 2.5
Game 2: Eibar vs Barcelona. Eibar WIN @4.1. Betcoin: 3.98
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.25. Betcoin parlay:9.95

Odds advantage: 3.02%
Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 312 bets: +10,056.41 (+30 units)

Running units after 311 bets (71W|240L): +7,809.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Wow what a way to self-destruct, but what was I thinking, I guess? We'll keep an eye on the return leg of THAT QF though. An away win for Ahly is probably what the bookies will least expect, or even Wehdat. We love complacency when it comes to betting (remember Barca?).

Anyway, we stick with the underdogs today. Lots of matches to bet on too, so I'll add if I like them but for now let's give Captn Troy Deeney a send off at Wembley for today's FA Cup Final against Citeh eh?

100 units at Fairlay on Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @14.6162. Betcoin odds: 13.09

Odds advantage: 11.66%
Units advantage: 152.62

Running advantage after 311 bets: +10,026.41 (+152.62 units)

Running units after 310 bets (71W|239L): +7,909.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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What was I thinking eh? Haha. Just because the Kiwi girls gave me an upset don't mean the US ladies were gonna lay it all down, friendly notwithstanding. Never the matter.

Making quite late picks today so I missed out on an event I wanted, the favourites won anyway so I probably would have lost it (another women's game).

Smelling an upset in the Jordan Cup. Home team Al-Ahli has been having a bad patch in the league, while Wehdat's already in 3rd place and will want to keep that spot, so maybe a wobble in the cup? Parlay with another home win for Ismaily in Egypt.

Game 1: Ismaily vs Daklyeh. Ismaily WIN @2.0. Betcoin: 1.97
Game 2: Ahli vs Wehdat. Ahli WIN @5.07. Betcoin: 4.81
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.14. Betcoin parlay: 9.48

Odds advantage: 6.4%
Units advantage: 66

Running advantage after 310 bets: +9,873.79 (+66 units)

Running units after 309 bets (71W|238L): +8,009.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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And we got what we wanted, Derby to meet Aston Villa for the final spot in next season's English Premier League! Our boy Harry Wilson scored too (penalty, but we'll take it) so that's 15 goals for him the season. I'll never forget his freekick to knock out United too!

Anyway, the games are thinning out as the season closes, so it might be that we'll return to tennis a little or just a lot of friendlies.

For today though, I'm again going to bet on the Kiwi girls, who won me a massive underdog victory some time back. US will probably end up thumping them but who knows? Maybe the Kiwis get tough and the Americans field their deputies.

100 units at Betcoin for NZ to WIN vs USA @17.36. Interwetten: 16.75

Odds advantage: 3.64%
Units advantage: 61

Running advantage after 309 bets: +9,807.79 (+61 units)

Running units after 308 bets (71W|237L): +8,109.57 (+399 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Reminds me why I avoid my local leagues sometimes. News reports don't say a shade but online people were really unhappy with some of the players who looked like they were high. Heh. Only in Southeast Asia.

Anyway, it's not like Aston Villa did us any favours either. They still scraped through but if they're going to play like this in EPL...

Risky games but I'm going to back Derby again, come on Wilson you Reds!
100 units at Bitcoinrush on Derby to WIN vs Leeds Utd @4.99. Betcoin odds: 4.96

Odds advantage: 6%
Units advantage: 3

Running advantage after 308 bets: +9,746.79 (+2 units)

Running units after 307 bets (70W|237L): +7,710.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Couldn't really watch the playoff match but it did seem Forest gave it their all, Tranmere were happy to sit back for the draw and go through on aggregate. Malaga had a smashing game so that was a good call, too bad we had to pick the wrong team to pad the parlay.

We're back to the playoffs, and I think Aston Villa will seal progress with another win. West Brom are good, but even home advantage won't be enough. I'll parlay with a local game in the Malaysian Super League for a state team to win against a city club.

Game 1: West Brom vs Aston Villa. Villa WIN @2.59. Betcoin odds: 2.55
Game 2: Terengganu vs PJ City. Terengganu WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.73
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.5671 . Betcoin parlay: 4.4115

Odds advantage: 3.53%
Units advantage: 15.56

Running advantage after 307 bets: +9,743.79 (+15.56 units)

Running units after 306 bets (70W|237L): +7,810.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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For all of 88 seconds, I was a genius for picking Brighton. And then the dream died, snuffed out by who else but Sergio Aguero. Idiot's bets I made, but can you blame a Reds fan for hoping?

Moving on from that, we have a game 3 weeks away to seek some salvation. What a season.

A simple home parlay on very tight games in La Liga Segunda and League 2 playoff:
Game 1: Forest Green vs Tranmere. Forest WIN @2.08. BCR odds: 2.06
Game 2: Malaga vs Real Oviedo. Malaga WIN @2.09. BCR odds: 2.06
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.3472. BCR parlay: 4.2436

Odds advantage: 2.8%
Units advantage: 10.36

Running advantage after 306 bets: +9,728.23 (+10.36 units)

Running units after 305 bets (70W|235L): +7,910.57 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Oh Derby, it just wasn't meant to be was it? Going to be very tempting to bet on them on the return leg at Leeds, but it's going to be difficult to see them break a 3-game consecutive losing streak against them.

Oh well.

Today's the day of reckoning for my good old Liverpool. Nothing but a win will give them a chance of the title, but they still need City to slip up at Brighton. The bookies aren't giving much chances for this to happen, but I don't mind my chances as you can see from the entire season.

Two bets matter here:

100 units on Brighton to WIN vs Manchester City @19.4792. Bitcoinrush odds: 17.43

Odds advantage: 11.76%
Units advantage: 204.92

But if Brighton only draw, we'll take a parlay with a Liverpool win:
Game 1: Brighton vs Manchester City. A DRAW @8.59. Bitcoinrush odds: 7.98
Game 2: Liverpool vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Liverpool WIN @1.33. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.36
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.4247. Bitcoinrush parlay: 10.8528

Odds advantage: 5.27%
Units advantage: 57.19

Total units advantage: 262.11

Running advantage after 305 bets: +9,717.87 (+262.11 units)

Running units after 303 bets (70W|233L): +8,110.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Lovely match, exactly the fighting spirit I was expecting, 10 men for a red card, lots of fouls, scrappy as hell and they also managed to get the other team to get a sending off. Two matches to go, and you never know what these kinds of defeats will mean for a team whose hopes for CL gets dashed. We'll keep an eye on these two.

Today we get a lovely pick for Championship playoffs! I've been having my heart in Leeds most of the season but they lost their grip on top spot and have been flailing in recent form. They're still the favourites in the playoff but I think Lampard's Derby want to avenge 2 losses to Leeds and return to the Prem, and I'm baking Liverpool loanee Harry Wilson to get on the scoresheet so they will win this home game. West Brom play at Villa but without key players, I think the Villains win.

Game 1: Aston Villa vs West Brom: Villa WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 2: Derby vs Leeds. Derby WIN @3.37. Betcoin odds: 3.30
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.4617. BEtcoin parlay: 6.27

Odds advantage: 3.06%
Units advantage: 19.17

Running advantage after 303 bets: +9,455.76 (+19.17 units)

Running units after 302 bets (70W|232L): +8,210.57 (+383 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Chelsea lost us this parlay on both legs, can you believe it? After Arsenal twice trumping the odds to win as underdog, it's really a shame I think. But we got the all English European finals. This has to be the first time in history ANY country's league's monopolised the competitions. Probably also going to have a historic English Supercup next season.

I've just got one match today in Ligue 1. The final Europe spot is still mathematically possible for Montpellier, and if they beat St Etienne, it's a 4-point gap with 2 games left to play. You never know. They also won us an upset over PSG recently, I'm betting on them to do it again.

So, 100 units on Montpellier to WIN at St Etienne @4.83. Betcoin odds: 4.54

Odds advantage: 6.39%
Units advantage: 29

Running advantage after 302 bets: +9,436.59 (+29 units)

Running units after 301 bets (69W|232L): +7,827.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Blow me down, but two incredible semifinals, two incredible comebacks. I totally don't mind losing this bet at all, I should have bet on the underdog again shouldn't I? I mean, they've served me so well this season.

Liverpool Spurs final. Not my dream final but I'll take it any day. Got a hefty 9/1 bet placed much earlier in the season on Liverpool to win CL but I already made quite a bit so am really happy!

Euphoria...

Anyway, back to business.

Arsenal have nothing left to fight for except a spot in the Europa final, so an away win is on the cards. Chelsea failed to break the Germans away but should have no trouble at home.

Game 1: Valencia vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @3.98. BCR: 3.89
Game 2: Chelsea vs Eintracht Frankfurt. Chelsea WIN @1.40. BCR: 1.37
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.572. BCR parlay: 5.331

Odds advantage: 4.52%
Units advantage: 24.1

Running advantage after 301 bets: +9,407.59 (+24.1 units)

Running units after 300 bets (69W|231L): +7,927.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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We were promised by Jurgen that we would at least register a beautiful failure. We supporters wanted nothing more than memories for the final European night at Anfield this season. No one was prepared for what we were about to be served.

I don't normally take swipes at players past but Coutinho, you left Liverpool to win Champs League. This is twice now we're in the finals since you left. Compare that to Origi who was on loan at Wolfsburg but chose to return to fight for a place.

Hunger! Desire! And our biggest win of the season so far tucked in under our belts to take us to 80% of our bankroll!

I want to meet Ajax, even though Spurs are probably the easier team to beat, since we just play so well against attacking teams, and there can't be a more exciting final than young Ajax vs relentless Liverpool. So our pick for tonight is Ajax parlayed against an AFC champs league home win for Shandong Luneng.

Game 1: Shandong Luneng vs Gyeongnam. Luneng WIN @1.76. BEtcoin odds: 1.78
Game 2: Ajax vs Spurs. Ajax WIN @2.34. Betcoin odds: 2.29
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.1263. Betcoin parlay: 4.08

Odds advantage: 1.16%
Units advantage: 4.63

Running advantage after 300 bets: +9,383.49 (+4.63 units)

Running units after 299 bets (69W|230L): +8,027.57 (+1,816 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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It was not to be. There was one brilliant moment in the final 5, as Choudry (sp?) intercepted a pass and Iheanacho had one glimpse at goal. But he was no killer, and his toe poke flew far and wide.

All looks lost for my beautiful Liverpool, but we can only take one game at a time. Tonight is Barca, we must score 3 and not let any in. The odds are against us, but we won't have it any other way.

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Liverpool to advance vs Barcelona @19.16. Betcoin odds: 12.79

Odds advantage: 49.8%
Units advantage: 637

Running advantage after 299 bets: +9,378.86 (+637 units)

Running units after 298 bets (68W|230L): +6,211.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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It's not the final game of the season yet, but I think everything hinges on tonight's sole game of the EPL. City have nothing left to distract them, the Foxes have nothing left to fight for but maybe some old dogs like Jamie Vardy and old boys like Brendan Rodgers still have something to prove, so let's bank on that today.

20.8 odds were snapped up, shame but I still like Fairlay's odds so we'll take a longshot bet today.

100 units at Fairlay on Leicester City to WIN vs Manchester City @17.3018. Betcoin odds: 13.29

Odds advantage: 30.19%
Units advantage: 401.18

Running advantage after 298 bets: +8,741.86 (+401.18 units)

Running units after 297 bets (68W|229L): +6,311.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3443

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Note: Forgot to add in the link for yesterday's parlay, so it's here: https://www.bitcoinrush.io/sportsbook/ShareBet?id=ibv2BV72G1nSe57NWteAeTTFHBSSyqycfqTgALdIrPk%3D

Was a fantastic late win by Liverpool, booked us a great parlay to hit yet another high for our bankroll. One game left, Salah injured, Bobby injured. The odds stack ever higher against us but this is a fantastic season already. I love you guys, Liverpool, walk on.

United have a must win game, so we'll do that one, and I think Chelsea are too good to not win, but Watford might have a trick up their sleeve called Troy Deeney. An unsettled Hazard also bodes well for a shock away win for Watford.

Game 1: Chelsea vs Watford. Watford WIN @10.38. Betcoin 10.31
Game 2: Huddersfield vs Manchester Utd. Utd [email protected]. Betcoin: 1.31
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @13.6339. Betcoin parlay: 13.11

Odds advantage: 4.03%
Units advantage: 52.39

Running advantage after 297 bets: +8,340.68 (+52.39 units)

Running units after 296 bets (68W|228L): +6,411.57 (+753.38 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Who else should fail us but Juventus? Strange that the bookies gave them the worst odds, and I thought come on, surely they're good for a home win. Leganes though, look at them. Always popping up with the victory when you least expect it. End of season blues for the favourites, for sure.

We've got a slew of EPL games, some matter, some don't. As usual we kick off the parlay with a must-win Liverpool game but let's see if we can't reach that game with a few wins first.
Game 1: West Ham vs Southampton. Hammers WIN 2.33. Betcoin odds: 2.30
Game 2: Cardiff vs Crystal Palace. Palace [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 2.64
Game 3: Newcastle vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.37. Betcoin odds: 1.38
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.5338. Betcoin parlay: 8.37

Odds advantage: 1.96%
Units advantage: 16.38

Note: I somehow had a typo from 290 bets, where 8200 became 8000, so am fixing this in this post.

Running advantage after 296 bets: +8,288.29 (+16.38 units)

Running units after 295 bets (67W|228L): +5,658.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Damn Chelsea. They had to concede. Should have won it, 4 great chances and maybe more than 10 more just going to waste. They're still the favourites to go through though with the away goal, so I guess we should at least see them win the next one (though maybe get lower/worse odds).

We'll look for a triple home win today for the favourites at this late stage in the season in the lone games of Serie A, EPL and La Liga.

Game 1: Everton vs Burnley. Everton WIN @1.61. BCR odds: 161
Game 2: Sevilla vs Leganes. Sevilla WIN @1.42. BCR odds: 1.41
Game 3: Juventus vs Torino. Juve WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.69
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.8865. BCR parlay: 3.826

Odds advantage: 1.58%
Units advantage: 6.05

Running advantage after 295 bets: +8,071.91 (+6.05 units)

Running units after 294 bets (67W|227L): +5,758.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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The worse feeling all season really. Haven't had this kind of hammering in a long while, but I think we can credit the Reds for not hanging their heads. No further comment except that we'll be back next week and the odds will be piled against us, but there's no better way to climb out from a hole.

We'll put in a short parlay today just to chill before the weekend when we'll take a few more risks. All ahead for an all-English final

Game 1: Arsenal vs Valencia. Arsenal WIN@ 2.08. BCR odds: 2.08
Game 2: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.42. BCR odds: 2.4
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.0336. BCR parlay: 4.992

Odds advantage: 0.83%
Units advantage: 4.16

Running advantage after 294 bets: +8,065.86 (+4.16 units)

Running units after 293 bets (67W|226L): +5,858.19 (-150 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Very happy with last night's parlay, although I feel we didn't get max value for 2 upsets. In the end, Ajax could have scored more, but a 1-0 win is all we needed, it was easily the best value odds... but PSG's horrendous form of late is what whittled the odds for a Montpellier upset. As predicted, home team had so much more chances, and we have to say PSG's error was what gave the winning goal in 85th minute, so we got lucky on that one. Another new high for our bankroll, we are in 60% profit on only betting 1% of bankroll on every bet!

I have no mood to look at any other game today except the massive meet at Nou Camp! Liverpool are once more the underdogs, but that always suits me fine. It's a really special night and I'm feeling confident so we'll up the ante for a rare occasion.

150 units (instead of 100) on Liverpool to WIN vs Barcelona @4.3591. Betcoin odds: 4.23

Odds advantage: 3.05%
Units advantage: 19.36

Running advantage after 293 bets: +8,061.7 (+16.36 units)

Running units after 292 bets (67W|225L): +6,008.19 (+1,165.46 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 66. (Read 38849 times)