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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 67. (Read 38849 times)

legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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WOW. All three legs folded. Ajax youth are a prickly team, full of talent and yet they lose big at home when their swagger fails to impress. Hoping their senior team don't do that against Spurs (but do that in the finals). So that's how we bet today, with a shock Ajax win. We also back PSG to continue their rot. Tired Neymar (demoralising 120 mins cup final), no Mbappe (red card), a doubtful Angel Maria (injury) means it's all up to Cavani. Montpellier still have a chance at Europe and at home, they will dominate in the air

Champions League

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Ajax. Ajax WIN @3.22. Betcoin odds: 3.21
Game 2: Montpellier vs PSG. Montpellier WIN @3.93. Betcoin odds: 3.89
100 units at Bitcoinrush @12.6546. Betcoin parlay: 12.49

Odds advantage: 1.4%
Units advantage: 16.46

Running advantage after 292 bets: +8,045.34 (+16.46 units)

Running units after 291 bets (66W|225L): +4,842.73 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Three losses. Chelsea weren't so far away from a winning goal, nor were the Chelsea Ladies against Lyon. So near and yet so far.

The last day of premier league gets ever closer. I still hold out hope for my beloved Reds.

But till then, we'll take the home teams in the sole match of LaLiga, 1 pick of Serie A and from Dutch 1st Div:

Game 1: Betis vs Espanyol. Betis WIN @2.01. BCR odds: 1.98
Game 2: Fiorentina vs Sassulo. Fiorentina WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.73
Game 3: Jong Ajax vs FC Twente. Jong Ajax WIN @1.99. BCR odds: 1.97
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.9998. BCR parlay: 6.748

Odds advantage: 3.73%
Units advantage: 25.18

Running advantage after 291 bets: +8,028.88 (+25.18 units)

Running units after 290 bets (66W|224L): +4,942.73 (-300 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Sorry Newcastle, I should have had faith in you, but you know I need you to not be at your best when we come visit St James Park right?

Quite a few great games today but we'll be only watching 1 with interest. Burnley at home, can they pull off a surprise? I say yes.

100 units on Burnley to WIN vs Manchester City at Fairlay @19.77. Betcoin odds: 18.24
Odds advantage: 8.39%
Units advantage: 153

Now we also like the odds of a Chelsea upset against Lyon in the Women's Champs League semis so:
100 units at Betcoin on Chelsea (w) to WIN vs Lyon (w) @6.22. No other bookie has it. so no odds comparison.

Finally, we take a slight underdog parlay on Leicester to grab a win against sorry Arsenal, while Chelsea should nick it against a United.
Game 1: Manchester Utd vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.81. Betcoin odds: 2.73
Game 2: Leicester City vs Arsenal. Leicester WIN @2.7. Betcoin odds: 2.65
100 units at Bitcoinrush @7.587. Betcoin parlay: 7.2345
Odds advantage: 4.87%
Units advantage: 35.25

Total units advantage: 188.25

Running advantage after 290 bets: +8,191.95 (+188.25 units)

Running units after 287 bets (66W|221L): +5,242.73 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Bordeaux had Lyon on the ropes, didn't they? The red card changed the game and Lyon got the win bookies backed them to. Liverpool put 5 past Huddersfield, can you believe that was only 2/1 (-4 handicap)? Just goes to show how poorly Huddersfield have made their EPL outing.

Tricky night. Wolves against Watford lost me a bet during the FA cup but I think that was some fluke which shouldn't happen again... I like Newcastle but with 3 key player injured, I'd rather back Fulham to lose to Cardiff, despite their really good run of form after confirming relegation.

Game 1: Watford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @2.76. Betcoin odds: 2.72
Game 2: Fulham vs Cardiff City. Cardiff WIN @3.07. Betcoin odds: 3.03
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.4732. Betcoin parlay: 8.24

Odds advantage: 2.83%
Units advantage: 23.32

Running advantage after 287 bets: +8,003.7 (+23.32 units)

Running units after 286 bets (66W|220L): +5,342.73 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Real Madrid really have problems if a team with the likes of Gareth Bale and Benzema can't score past Getafe. Next season doesn't look too good for them at this evidence. Leverkusen's lost me a bit this season but maybe they can do some good away this season. And Bordeaux who were my early Europa favourites have fallen short but I want them to snatch a win against a rather jittery Lyon tonight.

Game 1: Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen. Leverkusen WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Game 2: Bordeaux vs Lyon. Lyon WIN @4.95. Betcoin odds: 4.83
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.5112. Betcoin parlay: 8.11

Odds advantage: 4.95%
Units advantage: 40.12

Running advantage after 286 bets: +7,980.38 (+40.12 units)

Running units after 285 bets (66W|218L): +5,442.73 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Who was I kidding right? United beating City? Stranger things have happened though and I thought they were chances that, had the forwards put away, would have had City on the ropes. That team were not so great, playing against Liverpool I'm sure they would have lost.

Edited the parlay with the right ticket number, and there's some joy in Arsenal's doom. Wolves lost me a lot of money so they made up for a few bets on last night's thumping win (as did Griezmann and co!).

Tonight we see a tricky parlay at La Liga. Villareal are just a sorry team now but Sociedad aren't that great either so I'll take the home team and parlay against a Real Madrid team bookies have at 2/1 (how far they've fallen!).

Game 1: Getafe vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.04. Betcoin odds: 2.04
Game 2: Real Sociedad vs Villareal. Sociedad WIN @2.63. Betcoin odds: 2.58
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.3652. Betcoin parlay: 5.2632

Odds advantage: 1.94%
Units advantage: 10.2

Running advantage after 285 bets: +7,940.26 (+10.2 units)

Running units after 284 bets (66W|218L): +5,542.73 (+332.53 units)

legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Of all the people I expected to fail it was Spurs, but after all Watford was the one who let us down. It was all they could do to equalise that quicksilver goal from Shane Long. A veteran striker and the fastest goal from premier league in all of 7.89 seconds. What stuff dreams are made of eh?

BIG games tonight but I'm only going to be watching one. The Manchester Derby doesn't get my juices flowing normally but tonight's Old Trafford game is of genuine interest and we'll make a bet of passion on United to spring a surprise. 4 losses in the past 6 games must surely hurt, and CL qualification is there to fight for.
Fairlay had really good odds but some guy swept up all the available offers @7.5, but I'll still take what Bitcoinrush has:

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Utd to WIN against City @7.07. Betcoin odds: 6.64

Odds advantage: 6.48%
Units advantage: 43

Arsenal do crap away and Wolves will want an outside chance of Europe action, odds are good so we'll parlay with an Athletico win:
Game 1: Wolves vs Arsenal. Wolves WIN @2.95. BCR odds: 2.91
Game 2: Atletico vs Valencia. Atleti WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.83
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.546. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.3253
Odds advantage: 4.14%
Units advantage: 22.07

Total units advantage

Running advantage after 284 bets: +7,930.06 (+65.07 units)

Running units after 282 bets (65W|217L): +5,210.2 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Shame on Leeds! Haha... losing like that maybe they won't get even a playoff if they keep going like this. Sure, they had an early unfortunate injury but you pay for not converting chances.

Spurs to react to their weekend loss? Yes. Watford to want to end the season well before they meet City? Yes.

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Brighton. Spurs WIN @1.30. BCR odds: 1.28
Game 2: Watford vs Southampton. Watford WIN @2.18. BCR odds: 2.15
100 units parlay at Betcoin @2.83. BCR parlay @2.752

Odds advantage: 2.83%
Units advantage: 7.8

Running advantage after 282 bets: +7,864.99 (+7.8 units)

Running units after 281 bets (65W|216L): +5,310.2 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Wow. Even if I had bet on Everton I would never have seen 4-0 coming. No team should lose like that. Least of all United. Crystal Palace dispatched Arsenal too, so I guess the CL and Europa spots are still as wide open as ever.

Championship games aplenty, and I'm going to go for Birmingham to continue their fine run of form away, parlayed with tough wins for Derby and Leeds whom I'm expecting to see in EPL next season:

Game 1: Brentford vs Leeds. Leeds WIN @1.95. Betcoin odds: 1.95
Game 2: Rotherham vs Birmingham. Birmingham WIN @2.6. Betcoin odds: 2.54
Game 3: Derby vs QPR. Derby WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.66
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.394. Betcoin parlay: 8.2219

Odds advantage: 2.09%
Units advantage: 17.21

legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well, at least it wasn't like Spurs just decided to lie down and take it all from City. A bit annoying they let in the early goal though, and City's defence wasn't as crappy as it usually can be.

Liverpool face a potentially tricky opponent in Welsh side Cardiff City, the odds are pretty crap but we'll take a long parlay on the Big 6 today, and bet on a big win for Liverpool.

Game 1 Everton vs Manchester United. Utd WIN @2.38. Betcoin odds: 2.32
Game 2 Arsenal vs Crystal Palace. Arsenal WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 3: Cardiff City vs Liverpool. Liverpool -2 @2.07. Betcoin odds: 1.99
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @7.5333. Betcoin parlay: 7.11

Odds advantage: 5.95%
Units advantage: 42.33

Running advantage after 280 bets: +7,839.98 (+42.33 units)

Running units after 279 bets (65W|214L): +5,510.2 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Derby actually played a good game, equalised without being too worried twice, but then the second half just dragged on and then both teams looked happy with the point.

Guess who's back today in action and guess which team I'm again backing? Spurs, of course! They are a lot weaker today I think than any of the other 2 matches but if Son can maintain his form, we could see a surprise slip from Citeh, who must surely be under intense pressure. We love taking risks, so why not another huge underdog game, right?

100 units at Fairlay on Spurs to WIN at Manchester City @12.8572. Betcoin odds: 10.52.

Odds advantage: 22.22%
Units advantage: 233.72

Running advantage after 279 bets: +7,797.65 (+233.72 units)

Running units after 278 bets (65W|213L): +5,610.2 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Fantastic win for Arsenal last night, as we hoped they showed some steel in the away leg to book their semifinals, kept the clean sheet and even reminded a few people that Petr Cech isn't a shitty keeper after all. Valencia got involved in a rather scrappy match but eventually also won.

Tonight, I'll just take it easy and go for a slight underdog to win away for Derby to win at on form Birmigham, and West Brom to check continue theirs against Hull.

Game 1: West Bromwich Albion vs Hull City. West Brom [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.81
Game 2: Birmingham City vs Derby. Derby WIN @2.98. Betcoin odds: 2.92
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.4028. Betcoin parlay: 5.2852

Odds advantage: 2.23%
Units advantage: 11.76

Running advantage after 278 bets: +7,563.93 (+11.76 units)

Running units after 277 bets (65W|212L): +5,710.2 (+733.4 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Liverpool got us a solid win, and Spurs actually led for all of 2 minutes. Lost the game but qualified to the semis. I'm strangely happy City can't get their quadruple.

Europa League is coming up and Arsenal are away so the bookies are on them, but you know, Napoli seem to have really lost their way and I suspect Arsenal might still find a way to win. So let's back them with what should be a routine Valencia win over Villareal, who too, have sadly lost sight of how to play good football.

Game 1: Napoli vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @4.63. Betcoin odds: 4.56
Game 2: Valencia vs Villareal. Valencia WIN @1.8. Betcoin odds: 1.81
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.334. Betcoin parlay: 8.25

Odds advantage: 1.05%
Units advantage: 8.4

Running advantage after 277 bets: +7,552.17 (+8.4 units)

Running units after 276 bets (64W|212L): +4,976.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Barcelona gave us what we wanted, Messi was his usual brilliant self, Ronaldo got his typical headed goal, but Ajax overturned the tables. Lost our parlay, I actually did put a hedge on Ajax and Man Utd so ended up in profit yesterday, but that was a rather last-minute irrational hedge so I didn't post it here.

All doesn't matter now. Tonight Liverpool don't need to win, and Porto have not lost at home, so I will hope to squeeze out some value from their odds, which stand at 2/1. Can Spurs give me another win? At 10/1, can I refuse? The odds advantage at Bitcoinrush are staggering today too!

Game 1: Porto vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.08
Game 2: Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Spurs [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 8.54
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @21.8823. Betcoin parlay: 17.76

Odds advantage: 23.21%
Units advantage: 412.23

Running advantage after 276 bets: +7,543.67 (+412.23 units)

Running units after 275 bets (64W|211L): +5,076.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Arsenal played like shit as usual being away from home but they were so so lucky Troy Deeney got his red card so early, how does a team hang on to a win at Watford like that playing against only 10 men? Hopefully Watford bring their A game to Wembley for the FA cup though.

Champions League has been good to me so far, and Barcelona are the clear favourites today, as are Juventus which was a shame as a parlay on both last week was about 4/1. Thanks to home advantage, it's significantly lower, so we'll take Barca on a handicap.

Game 1: Barcelona vs Manchester United. Barca (-1.5) WIN @2.01. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Game 2: Juventus vs Ajax. Juve WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay @Bitcoinrush @3.3773. Betcoin parlay: 3.20

Odds advantage: 5.54%
Units advantage: 17.73

Running advantage after 275 bets: +7,131.44 (+17.73 units)

Running units after 274 bets (64W|210L): +5,176.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well, what do you know, City can win at Palace haha. Chelsea had a fair string of chances but couldn't produce a goal despite several good penetrations of Liverpool's defence, not that it matters to our parlay. 4 games left to the season.

Arsenal have such a shitty away record that I'm going to back Watford, and parlay against a Real away win as they look to secure CL for next season.

Game 1: Watford vs Arsenal. Watford WIN @3.35. Betcoin odds: 3.23
Game 2: Leganes vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.69
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.5983. Betcoin parlay: 5.46

Odds advantage: 2.53%
Units advantage: 13.83

Running advantage after 274 bets: +7,113.71 (+13.83 units)

Running units after 273 bets (64W|209L): +5,276.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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If anything, the way the two teams played yesterday, Manchester Utd got the upset win, scoring two rather stupid penalties (from West Ham's point of view). Had West Ham just found a way to convert another of their many chances, we would have gotten our win. As it is, Solksjaer's team is in it for Champions League.

Today, Liverpool have to win, and so do City but I'm going to take a huge risk and parlay an upset. Crystal Palace did it away, why not at home? Maybe Pep is Pep and has an eye on the return leg midweek for CL, so maybe we see another disjointed performance?

Game 1: Crystal Palace vs Manchester City. Palace WIN @11.26. Betcoin odds: 9.38
Game 2: Liverpool vs Chelsea. Liverpool WIN @1.75. Betcoin odds: 1.76
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @19.7262. Betcoin parlay: 16.51

Odds advantage: 19.48%
Units advantage: 321.62

Running advantage after 273 bets: +7,099.88 (+321.62 units)

Running units after 272 bets (64W|208L): +5,376.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Oh, the punishment for not being greedy. Backing two upsets would have put us at our highest win for the season around 27/1 if I recall correctly. As it is, Lyon let me down, losing to relegation-strugglers Nantes.

No matter, I feel good about calling Newcastle's upset.

Bad things come in threes, and I think United will fall to West Ham because of their desperation to win. So a single bet today is all I'm backing.
100 units at Fairlay for West Ham to WIN at Manchest Utd @8.311. Betcoin odds: 7.01

Odds advantage: 18.35%
Units advantage: 130.1

Running advantage after 272 bets: +6,778.26 (+130.1 units)

Running units after 271 bets (64W|206L): +5,476.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Arsenal just don't know how to lie down and give up, but they should be thanking ex-Serie A players anyway. Napoli also looked so out of depth last night I couldn't even bear watching the 2nd half.

I'm feeling good about a Newcastle shock win at high-flying Leicester. Vardy will probably get a goal but the Magpies have a habit of breaking a losing streak and Rafa's bag of tricks could still be effective. Let's pair it with a tough but doable away win for Lyon at Nantes in Ligue 1.

Game 1: Leicester City vs Newcastle. Newcastle WIN @5.99. Betcoin: 5.54
Game 2: Nantes vs Lyon. Lyon WIN @1.8. Betcoin: 1.78
100 units at Bitcoinrush @10.782. Betcoin parlay: 9.86

Odds advantage: 9.35%
Units advantage: 92.2

Running advantage after 271 bets: +6,648.16 (+92.2 units)

Running units after 270 bets (64W|205L): +5,576.8 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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The margins of victory. Ajax held on for the draw, equalising just coming out of the blocks in the second half, so we got nothing from last night. What a run though, 3 winning days in a row.

Tonight is a straightforward Europa League parlay, backing away wins. Napoli are not the favourites and Arsenal are good at home but I'm backing Italian  experience over English exuberance. And Valencia are too good for Villareal's shocking form this season. So let's have a look:

Game 1: Arsenal vs Napoli. Napoli WIN @3.14. BEtcoin odds: 3.12
Game 2: Villareal vs Valencia. Valencia WIN @2.43. Betcoin odds: 2.42
100 units at Bitcoinrush @7.6302. Betcoin parlay: 7.55

Odds advantage: 1.06%
Units advantage: 8.02

Running advantage after 270 bets: +6,555.96 (+8.02 units)

Running units after 269 bets (64W|205L): +5,676.8 (-100 units)
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