Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 69.

buwaytress

legendary

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Oh Derby, it just wasn't meant to be was it? Going to be very tempting to bet on them on the return leg at Leeds, but it's going to be difficult to see them break a 3-game consecutive losing streak against them.

Oh well.

Today's the day of reckoning for my good old Liverpool. Nothing but a win will give them a chance of the title, but they still need City to slip up at Brighton. The bookies aren't giving much chances for this to happen, but I don't mind my chances as you can see from the entire season.

Two bets matter here:

100 units on Brighton to WIN vs Manchester City @19.4792. Bitcoinrush odds: 17.43

Odds advantage: 11.76%
Units advantage: 204.92

But if Brighton only draw, we'll take a parlay with a Liverpool win:
Game 1: Brighton vs Manchester City. A DRAW @8.59. Bitcoinrush odds: 7.98
Game 2: Liverpool vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Liverpool WIN @1.33. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.36
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.4247. Bitcoinrush parlay: 10.8528

Odds advantage: 5.27%
Units advantage: 57.19

Total units advantage: 262.11

Running advantage after 305 bets: +9,717.87 (+262.11 units)

Running units after 303 bets (70W|233L): +8,110.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Lovely match, exactly the fighting spirit I was expecting, 10 men for a red card, lots of fouls, scrappy as hell and they also managed to get the other team to get a sending off. Two matches to go, and you never know what these kinds of defeats will mean for a team whose hopes for CL gets dashed. We'll keep an eye on these two.

Today we get a lovely pick for Championship playoffs! I've been having my heart in Leeds most of the season but they lost their grip on top spot and have been flailing in recent form. They're still the favourites in the playoff but I think Lampard's Derby want to avenge 2 losses to Leeds and return to the Prem, and I'm baking Liverpool loanee Harry Wilson to get on the scoresheet so they will win this home game. West Brom play at Villa but without key players, I think the Villains win.

Game 1: Aston Villa vs West Brom: Villa WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 2: Derby vs Leeds. Derby WIN @3.37. Betcoin odds: 3.30
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.4617. BEtcoin parlay: 6.27

Odds advantage: 3.06%
Units advantage: 19.17

Running advantage after 303 bets: +9,455.76 (+19.17 units)

Running units after 302 bets (70W|232L): +8,210.57 (+383 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3724

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Chelsea lost us this parlay on both legs, can you believe it? After Arsenal twice trumping the odds to win as underdog, it's really a shame I think. But we got the all English European finals. This has to be the first time in history ANY country's league's monopolised the competitions. Probably also going to have a historic English Supercup next season.

I've just got one match today in Ligue 1. The final Europe spot is still mathematically possible for Montpellier, and if they beat St Etienne, it's a 4-point gap with 2 games left to play. You never know. They also won us an upset over PSG recently, I'm betting on them to do it again.

So, 100 units on Montpellier to WIN at St Etienne @4.83. Betcoin odds: 4.54

Odds advantage: 6.39%
Units advantage: 29

Running advantage after 302 bets: +9,436.59 (+29 units)

Running units after 301 bets (69W|232L): +7,827.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Blow me down, but two incredible semifinals, two incredible comebacks. I totally don't mind losing this bet at all, I should have bet on the underdog again shouldn't I? I mean, they've served me so well this season.

Liverpool Spurs final. Not my dream final but I'll take it any day. Got a hefty 9/1 bet placed much earlier in the season on Liverpool to win CL but I already made quite a bit so am really happy!

Euphoria...

Anyway, back to business.

Arsenal have nothing left to fight for except a spot in the Europa final, so an away win is on the cards. Chelsea failed to break the Germans away but should have no trouble at home.

Game 1: Valencia vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @3.98. BCR: 3.89
Game 2: Chelsea vs Eintracht Frankfurt. Chelsea WIN @1.40. BCR: 1.37
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.572. BCR parlay: 5.331

Odds advantage: 4.52%
Units advantage: 24.1

Running advantage after 301 bets: +9,407.59 (+24.1 units)

Running units after 300 bets (69W|231L): +7,927.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3724

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We were promised by Jurgen that we would at least register a beautiful failure. We supporters wanted nothing more than memories for the final European night at Anfield this season. No one was prepared for what we were about to be served.

I don't normally take swipes at players past but Coutinho, you left Liverpool to win Champs League. This is twice now we're in the finals since you left. Compare that to Origi who was on loan at Wolfsburg but chose to return to fight for a place.

Hunger! Desire! And our biggest win of the season so far tucked in under our belts to take us to 80% of our bankroll!

I want to meet Ajax, even though Spurs are probably the easier team to beat, since we just play so well against attacking teams, and there can't be a more exciting final than young Ajax vs relentless Liverpool. So our pick for tonight is Ajax parlayed against an AFC champs league home win for Shandong Luneng.

Game 1: Shandong Luneng vs Gyeongnam. Luneng WIN @1.76. BEtcoin odds: 1.78
Game 2: Ajax vs Spurs. Ajax WIN @2.34. Betcoin odds: 2.29
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.1263. Betcoin parlay: 4.08

Odds advantage: 1.16%
Units advantage: 4.63

Running advantage after 300 bets: +9,383.49 (+4.63 units)

Running units after 299 bets (69W|230L): +8,027.57 (+1,816 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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It was not to be. There was one brilliant moment in the final 5, as Choudry (sp?) intercepted a pass and Iheanacho had one glimpse at goal. But he was no killer, and his toe poke flew far and wide.

All looks lost for my beautiful Liverpool, but we can only take one game at a time. Tonight is Barca, we must score 3 and not let any in. The odds are against us, but we won't have it any other way.

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Liverpool to advance vs Barcelona @19.16. Betcoin odds: 12.79

Odds advantage: 49.8%
Units advantage: 637

Running advantage after 299 bets: +9,378.86 (+637 units)

Running units after 298 bets (68W|230L): +6,211.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

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It's not the final game of the season yet, but I think everything hinges on tonight's sole game of the EPL. City have nothing left to distract them, the Foxes have nothing left to fight for but maybe some old dogs like Jamie Vardy and old boys like Brendan Rodgers still have something to prove, so let's bank on that today.

20.8 odds were snapped up, shame but I still like Fairlay's odds so we'll take a longshot bet today.

100 units at Fairlay on Leicester City to WIN vs Manchester City @17.3018. Betcoin odds: 13.29

Odds advantage: 30.19%
Units advantage: 401.18

Running advantage after 298 bets: +8,741.86 (+401.18 units)

Running units after 297 bets (68W|229L): +6,311.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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Note: Forgot to add in the link for yesterday's parlay, so it's here: https://www.bitcoinrush.io/sportsbook/ShareBet?id=ibv2BV72G1nSe57NWteAeTTFHBSSyqycfqTgALdIrPk%3D

Was a fantastic late win by Liverpool, booked us a great parlay to hit yet another high for our bankroll. One game left, Salah injured, Bobby injured. The odds stack ever higher against us but this is a fantastic season already. I love you guys, Liverpool, walk on.

United have a must win game, so we'll do that one, and I think Chelsea are too good to not win, but Watford might have a trick up their sleeve called Troy Deeney. An unsettled Hazard also bodes well for a shock away win for Watford.

Game 1: Chelsea vs Watford. Watford WIN @10.38. Betcoin 10.31
Game 2: Huddersfield vs Manchester Utd. Utd [email protected]. Betcoin: 1.31
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @13.6339. Betcoin parlay: 13.11

Odds advantage: 4.03%
Units advantage: 52.39

Running advantage after 297 bets: +8,340.68 (+52.39 units)

Running units after 296 bets (68W|228L): +6,411.57 (+753.38 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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Who else should fail us but Juventus? Strange that the bookies gave them the worst odds, and I thought come on, surely they're good for a home win. Leganes though, look at them. Always popping up with the victory when you least expect it. End of season blues for the favourites, for sure.

We've got a slew of EPL games, some matter, some don't. As usual we kick off the parlay with a must-win Liverpool game but let's see if we can't reach that game with a few wins first.
Game 1: West Ham vs Southampton. Hammers WIN 2.33. Betcoin odds: 2.30
Game 2: Cardiff vs Crystal Palace. Palace [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 2.64
Game 3: Newcastle vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.37. Betcoin odds: 1.38
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.5338. Betcoin parlay: 8.37

Odds advantage: 1.96%
Units advantage: 16.38

Note: I somehow had a typo from 290 bets, where 8200 became 8000, so am fixing this in this post.

Running advantage after 296 bets: +8,288.29 (+16.38 units)

Running units after 295 bets (67W|228L): +5,658.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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Damn Chelsea. They had to concede. Should have won it, 4 great chances and maybe more than 10 more just going to waste. They're still the favourites to go through though with the away goal, so I guess we should at least see them win the next one (though maybe get lower/worse odds).

We'll look for a triple home win today for the favourites at this late stage in the season in the lone games of Serie A, EPL and La Liga.

Game 1: Everton vs Burnley. Everton WIN @1.61. BCR odds: 161
Game 2: Sevilla vs Leganes. Sevilla WIN @1.42. BCR odds: 1.41
Game 3: Juventus vs Torino. Juve WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.69
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.8865. BCR parlay: 3.826

Odds advantage: 1.58%
Units advantage: 6.05

Running advantage after 295 bets: +8,071.91 (+6.05 units)

Running units after 294 bets (67W|227L): +5,758.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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The worse feeling all season really. Haven't had this kind of hammering in a long while, but I think we can credit the Reds for not hanging their heads. No further comment except that we'll be back next week and the odds will be piled against us, but there's no better way to climb out from a hole.

We'll put in a short parlay today just to chill before the weekend when we'll take a few more risks. All ahead for an all-English final

Game 1: Arsenal vs Valencia. Arsenal WIN@ 2.08. BCR odds: 2.08
Game 2: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.42. BCR odds: 2.4
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.0336. BCR parlay: 4.992

Odds advantage: 0.83%
Units advantage: 4.16

Running advantage after 294 bets: +8,065.86 (+4.16 units)

Running units after 293 bets (67W|226L): +5,858.19 (-150 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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Very happy with last night's parlay, although I feel we didn't get max value for 2 upsets. In the end, Ajax could have scored more, but a 1-0 win is all we needed, it was easily the best value odds... but PSG's horrendous form of late is what whittled the odds for a Montpellier upset. As predicted, home team had so much more chances, and we have to say PSG's error was what gave the winning goal in 85th minute, so we got lucky on that one. Another new high for our bankroll, we are in 60% profit on only betting 1% of bankroll on every bet!

I have no mood to look at any other game today except the massive meet at Nou Camp! Liverpool are once more the underdogs, but that always suits me fine. It's a really special night and I'm feeling confident so we'll up the ante for a rare occasion.

150 units (instead of 100) on Liverpool to WIN vs Barcelona @4.3591. Betcoin odds: 4.23

Odds advantage: 3.05%
Units advantage: 19.36

Running advantage after 293 bets: +8,061.7 (+16.36 units)

Running units after 292 bets (67W|225L): +6,008.19 (+1,165.46 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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WOW. All three legs folded. Ajax youth are a prickly team, full of talent and yet they lose big at home when their swagger fails to impress. Hoping their senior team don't do that against Spurs (but do that in the finals). So that's how we bet today, with a shock Ajax win. We also back PSG to continue their rot. Tired Neymar (demoralising 120 mins cup final), no Mbappe (red card), a doubtful Angel Maria (injury) means it's all up to Cavani. Montpellier still have a chance at Europe and at home, they will dominate in the air

Champions League

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Ajax. Ajax WIN @3.22. Betcoin odds: 3.21
Game 2: Montpellier vs PSG. Montpellier WIN @3.93. Betcoin odds: 3.89
100 units at Bitcoinrush @12.6546. Betcoin parlay: 12.49

Odds advantage: 1.4%
Units advantage: 16.46

Running advantage after 292 bets: +8,045.34 (+16.46 units)

Running units after 291 bets (66W|225L): +4,842.73 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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Three losses. Chelsea weren't so far away from a winning goal, nor were the Chelsea Ladies against Lyon. So near and yet so far.

The last day of premier league gets ever closer. I still hold out hope for my beloved Reds.

But till then, we'll take the home teams in the sole match of LaLiga, 1 pick of Serie A and from Dutch 1st Div:

Game 1: Betis vs Espanyol. Betis WIN @2.01. BCR odds: 1.98
Game 2: Fiorentina vs Sassulo. Fiorentina WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.73
Game 3: Jong Ajax vs FC Twente. Jong Ajax WIN @1.99. BCR odds: 1.97
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.9998. BCR parlay: 6.748

Odds advantage: 3.73%
Units advantage: 25.18

Running advantage after 291 bets: +8,028.88 (+25.18 units)

Running units after 290 bets (66W|224L): +4,942.73 (-300 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Sorry Newcastle, I should have had faith in you, but you know I need you to not be at your best when we come visit St James Park right?

Quite a few great games today but we'll be only watching 1 with interest. Burnley at home, can they pull off a surprise? I say yes.

100 units on Burnley to WIN vs Manchester City at Fairlay @19.77. Betcoin odds: 18.24
Odds advantage: 8.39%
Units advantage: 153

Now we also like the odds of a Chelsea upset against Lyon in the Women's Champs League semis so:
100 units at Betcoin on Chelsea (w) to WIN vs Lyon (w) @6.22. No other bookie has it. so no odds comparison.

Finally, we take a slight underdog parlay on Leicester to grab a win against sorry Arsenal, while Chelsea should nick it against a United.
Game 1: Manchester Utd vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.81. Betcoin odds: 2.73
Game 2: Leicester City vs Arsenal. Leicester WIN @2.7. Betcoin odds: 2.65
100 units at Bitcoinrush @7.587. Betcoin parlay: 7.2345
Odds advantage: 4.87%
Units advantage: 35.25

Total units advantage: 188.25

Running advantage after 290 bets: +8,191.95 (+188.25 units)

Running units after 287 bets (66W|221L): +5,242.73 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Bordeaux had Lyon on the ropes, didn't they? The red card changed the game and Lyon got the win bookies backed them to. Liverpool put 5 past Huddersfield, can you believe that was only 2/1 (-4 handicap)? Just goes to show how poorly Huddersfield have made their EPL outing.

Tricky night. Wolves against Watford lost me a bet during the FA cup but I think that was some fluke which shouldn't happen again... I like Newcastle but with 3 key player injured, I'd rather back Fulham to lose to Cardiff, despite their really good run of form after confirming relegation.

Game 1: Watford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @2.76. Betcoin odds: 2.72
Game 2: Fulham vs Cardiff City. Cardiff WIN @3.07. Betcoin odds: 3.03
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.4732. Betcoin parlay: 8.24

Odds advantage: 2.83%
Units advantage: 23.32

Running advantage after 287 bets: +8,003.7 (+23.32 units)

Running units after 286 bets (66W|220L): +5,342.73 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Real Madrid really have problems if a team with the likes of Gareth Bale and Benzema can't score past Getafe. Next season doesn't look too good for them at this evidence. Leverkusen's lost me a bit this season but maybe they can do some good away this season. And Bordeaux who were my early Europa favourites have fallen short but I want them to snatch a win against a rather jittery Lyon tonight.

Game 1: Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen. Leverkusen WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Game 2: Bordeaux vs Lyon. Lyon WIN @4.95. Betcoin odds: 4.83
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.5112. Betcoin parlay: 8.11

Odds advantage: 4.95%
Units advantage: 40.12

Running advantage after 286 bets: +7,980.38 (+40.12 units)

Running units after 285 bets (66W|218L): +5,442.73 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Who was I kidding right? United beating City? Stranger things have happened though and I thought they were chances that, had the forwards put away, would have had City on the ropes. That team were not so great, playing against Liverpool I'm sure they would have lost.

Edited the parlay with the right ticket number, and there's some joy in Arsenal's doom. Wolves lost me a lot of money so they made up for a few bets on last night's thumping win (as did Griezmann and co!).

Tonight we see a tricky parlay at La Liga. Villareal are just a sorry team now but Sociedad aren't that great either so I'll take the home team and parlay against a Real Madrid team bookies have at 2/1 (how far they've fallen!).

Game 1: Getafe vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.04. Betcoin odds: 2.04
Game 2: Real Sociedad vs Villareal. Sociedad WIN @2.63. Betcoin odds: 2.58
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.3652. Betcoin parlay: 5.2632

Odds advantage: 1.94%
Units advantage: 10.2

Running advantage after 285 bets: +7,940.26 (+10.2 units)

Running units after 284 bets (66W|218L): +5,542.73 (+332.53 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Of all the people I expected to fail it was Spurs, but after all Watford was the one who let us down. It was all they could do to equalise that quicksilver goal from Shane Long. A veteran striker and the fastest goal from premier league in all of 7.89 seconds. What stuff dreams are made of eh?

BIG games tonight but I'm only going to be watching one. The Manchester Derby doesn't get my juices flowing normally but tonight's Old Trafford game is of genuine interest and we'll make a bet of passion on United to spring a surprise. 4 losses in the past 6 games must surely hurt, and CL qualification is there to fight for.
Fairlay had really good odds but some guy swept up all the available offers @7.5, but I'll still take what Bitcoinrush has:

100 units at Bitcoinrush for Utd to WIN against City @7.07. Betcoin odds: 6.64

Odds advantage: 6.48%
Units advantage: 43

Arsenal do crap away and Wolves will want an outside chance of Europe action, odds are good so we'll parlay with an Athletico win:
Game 1: Wolves vs Arsenal. Wolves WIN @2.95. BCR odds: 2.91
Game 2: Atletico vs Valencia. Atleti WIN @1.88. BCR odds: 1.83
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.546. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.3253
Odds advantage: 4.14%
Units advantage: 22.07

Total units advantage

Running advantage after 284 bets: +7,930.06 (+65.07 units)

Running units after 282 bets (65W|217L): +5,210.2 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 3010

Merit: 3724

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Shame on Leeds! Haha... losing like that maybe they won't get even a playoff if they keep going like this. Sure, they had an early unfortunate injury but you pay for not converting chances.

Spurs to react to their weekend loss? Yes. Watford to want to end the season well before they meet City? Yes.

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Brighton. Spurs WIN @1.30. BCR odds: 1.28
Game 2: Watford vs Southampton. Watford WIN @2.18. BCR odds: 2.15
100 units parlay at Betcoin @2.83. BCR parlay @2.752

Odds advantage: 2.83%
Units advantage: 7.8

Running advantage after 282 bets: +7,864.99 (+7.8 units)

Running units after 281 bets (65W|216L): +5,310.2 (-100 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 69. (Read 40119 times)