Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 69.

buwaytress

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That was close, Serbia leading all the way til the 69th minute after surviving an onslaught, but the game just dried up after that equaliser and no one went for the win, with the only flash of excitement at the last minute with the red card for Serbia.

So many great games today, but I'm going to go for a US friendly win, coupled with a Robbo-captained Scottish win and a Slovakian victory for their Euro qualifiers.

Game 1: USA-Ecuador. USA WIN @2.28. BCR odds: 2.25
Game 2: Kazakhstan-Scotland. Scotland WIN @2.01. BCR odds: 1.98
Game 3: Slovakia-Hungary. Slovakia WIN @1.77. BCR odds: 1.74
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.1115. BCR parlay: 7.7517

Odds advantage: 4.64%
Units advantage: 35.98

And I'll take an underdog bet on Thailand to prove to China they weren't a one-hit wonder at Asian Cup games. As you can see, while Fairlay usually has better odds on singles, it's not always the case. So, 100 units at Betcoin on Thailand to beat China @5.84. Bitcoinrush odds: 5.76. Fairlay odds: 5.42

Odds advantage: 1.39%
Units advantage: 8

Total units advantage: 43.98

Running advantage after 241 bets: +5,916.58 (+43.98 units)

Running units after 239 bets (56W|183L): +3,129.71 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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1-0 wins for both legs of our parlays, great way to recover from a string of losses. Both matches were rather dull, not even a single card and both goals scored in the first third of the game. Boring is how we like it when it comes to betting!

Today, there's a slew of internationals and I'm going to back Serbia to upstage Germany, who've been on a steady decline for a while now. I hope the underdogs sense a weakness and continue to take advantage of Neuer's weakening ability between the posts (see Bayern's loss to Liverpool).

100 units at Fairlay on Serbia to WIN vs Germany @7.227. Bitcoinrush odds: 6.97

Odds advantage: 3.69%
Units advantage: 25.7

Running advantage after 239 bets: +5,872.6 (+25.7 units)

Running units after 238 bets (56W|182L): +3,229.71 (+493.92 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Both ended in 1-1 draws, but then as both picks were underdogs and away, I suppose the bookies knew what they were doing. Idiot me for picking the teams with better form and overall league standings!

I'll stick with the same today, we should see this even out, with Barnet in English National League and Dundee Utd in the Scottish Championship.

Game 1: Barnet vs Harrogate Town. Barnet @2.32. Betcoin: 2.33
Game 2: Dundee Utd vs Ross County. Dundee @2.56. Betcoin: 2.46
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.9392. Betcoin parlay: 5.73

Odds advantage: 3.65%
Units advantage: 20.92

Running advantage after 238 bets: +5,846.9 (+20.92 units)

Running units after 237 bets (55W|182L): +2,735.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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And I thought I was good at picking out unexpected results. Juventus losing should have been on the cards though as Ronaldo wasn't playing (yes, it really is all about him, as it was all about Messi yesterday as he picked up another career hattrick to an unprecedented ovation by Betis fans)... but Chelsea dropping like flies to Everton was probably what we should have predicted.

We'll dip into the 3rd tier of English and Spanish football today, where the slight underdogs are in fact in higher league positions, but probably get tougher odds because they're away. League 2 leaders Lincoln have won 4 and drawn 1 their past 5 games, while Mansfield have lost 2 and won 2.

In Segunda, Malaga have struggled but have a 4-game unbeaten streak, so I think they can continue this form against Numancia who's still got a negative goal difference.

Game 1: Lincoln City at Mansfield. Lincoln [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 2.71
Game 2: Malaga at Numancia. Malaga WIN @3.05. Betcoin odds: 2.99
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.2655. Betcoin parlay: 8.1

Odds advantage: 2.04%
Units advantage: 16.55

Running advantage after 237 bets: +5,825.98 (+16.55 units)

Running units after 236 bets (55W|181L): +2,835.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3443

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What do you know? Backed the right underdog, but ruined it my totally midjudging the performance of Atletico. I know they lose cruelly in the Champions League, but I'd have thought that would galvanise a reaction, especially with the La Liga at stake. Oh well.

Liverpool have a must-win game, so that naturally forms the first leg of today's parlay. Then we'll pick all the big favourites in a multi-league selection.

Game 1: Fulham FC-Liverpool FC. Liverpool WIN @1.27. BCR: 1.25
Game 2: Everton FC-Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.86. BCR 1.87
Game 3: Real Betis -FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.49. BCR: 1.47
Game 4: Genoa -Juventus. Juventus WIN @1.66. BCR: 1.65
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.8427. Bitcoinrush parlay: 5.673

Odds advantage: 2.99%
Units advantage: 16.97

Running advantage after 236 bets: +5,809.43 (+16.97 units)

Running units after 235 bets (55W|180L): +2,935.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Draws for both legs of the game, really annoying that I keep picking these draws when I might as well have gone under 2.5 for almost the same odds for some of them.

Missed the kickoff for most of EPL games today, but probably a good thing as I was going to include West Ham in a parlay but they're down a goal to Huddersfield hah!

We'll do just the 1 FA Cup game tonight then, backing an underdog victory against the Red Devils parlayed against a must-win Atletico Madrid game in La Liga as they chase Barca.

Game 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Man Utd. Wolves WIN @3.41. Betcoin odds: 3.37
Game 2: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid. Atletico WIN @2.41. Betcoin odds: 2.37
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.2181. Betcoin parlay: 7.99

Odds advantage: 2.85%
Units advantage: 22.81

Running advantage after 235 bets: +5,792.46 (+22.81 units)

Running units after 234 bets (55W|179L): +3,035.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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The gods weren't kind. Sevilla are out of the competition they've owned for the past 5 years, and Napoli knew Salzburg couldn't possibly score 5 goals after they got their early away goal, so they just sat back and soaked up the pressure.

Doncaster haven't won in the past 5 games while high-flying Barnsley will want to secure Championship promotion so that's where tonight's parlay starts with. And then what should be a simple home win for Borussia

Game 1: Doncaster vs Barnsley. Barnsley [email protected]. Bitcoinrush odds: 2.35
Game 2: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Freiburg. Monchengladbach WIN @1.62. Bitcoinrush odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.8718 BCR parlay: 3.76

Odds advantage: 2.97%
Units advantage: 11.18

Running advantage after 234 bets: +5,769.65 (+11.18 units)

Running units after 233 bets (55W|178L): +3,135.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Feels good to get two parlays in a row right, takes our total past 30% of bankroll, looking good to end the season with a small profit, with only about 2 months and a half left to bet on. Hope that's not spoken too soon.

Gives me good vibes for a tricky Europa parlay, for away wins for the favourites from England (Chelsea), Spain (Sevilla) and Italy (Napoli), where they are all want to salvage their seasons.

Game 1: Dynamo Kiev vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.05
Game 2: RB Salzburg vs Napoli. Napoli WIN @2.86. Betcoin odds: 2.86
Game 3: Slavia Prague vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.04. Betcoin odds: 2.02
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @12.0772. Betcoin parlay: 11.84

Odds advantage: 2%
Units advantage: 23.72

Running advantage after 233 bets: +5,758.47 (+23.72 units)

Running units after 232 bets (55W|177L): +3,235.79 (+343.92 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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I thought Chelsea was going to be my most spectacular loss of the season (losing 6-0 to City) but Schalke had other ideas. Blew me out of the water by half time, ended the match 7-0. But Juventus and Leeds made sure my parlay was booked early... Sheffield United gave a scare, getting a penalty and then red carded in first half but still managed to end the game 2-0.

Only 1 game I'm ever going to bet on tonight, a Liverpool away win parlayed with Barca, to both advance after a 0-0 first leg.

Game 1: Bayern Munich vs Liverpool. Liverpool [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 3.41
Game 2: Barcelona vs Lyon. Barca [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.25
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.4392. Betcoin parlay: 4.26

Odds advantage: 4.21%
Units advantage: 17.92

Running advantage after 232 bets: +5,734.75 (+17.92 units)

Running units after 231 bets (54W|177L): +2,891.87 (+378.3 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Just can't get a break. Dusseldorf got such a hammering you wonder about the inconsistency of some of these teams now.

Champions League arrives and Juventus will want to do all they can to overturn the 2 goal deficit, so we'll parlay that against Sheffield Utd and Leeds to continue their push for promotion in the Championship.

Game 1: Juventus vs Atletico Madrid. Juventus WIN @1.68. Betcoin: 1.70
Game 2: Sheffield United vs Brentford. Sheffield WIN @1.99. Betcoin: 1.95
Game 3: Reading vs Leeds Utd. Leeds WIN @1.72. Betcoin: 1.68
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.783. Betcoin parlay: 5.5692

Odds advantage: 3.84%
Units advantage: 21.38

I can't resist a Schalke victory at City @24.3482. Bitcoinrush odds: 21.3. Betcoin odds: 20.21.
Odds advantage: 14.31%
Units advantage: 304.82

Running advantage after 231 bets: +5,716.83 (+326.2 units)

Running units after 229 bets (53W|176L): +2,513.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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That'll teach me to bet against Real Madrid when the odds aren't THAT great haha. We almost made it with the CAF game though, but the late equaliser at least returns us 100 units. Chelsea also ruined a good parlay by only drawing with Wolves, and in injury time too. That makes it the nth time Wolves have lost me money, this time by betting against them!

I'll be boring today, do a Bundesliga/Serie A home parlay. Some youth games playing today with interesting odds, so I might fancy a look later.

Game 1: Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Frankfurt. Dusseldorf WIN @2.82. Betcoin odds: 2.75
Game 2: Roma - Empoli. Roma WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.378. Betcoin parlay: 4.26

Odds advantage: 2.77%
Units advantage: 11.8

Running advantage after 229 bets: +5,390.63 (+11.8 units)

Running units after 228 bets (53W|175L): +2,613.57 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Another loss for backing Crystal Palace. They, along with Wolves, have caused me the most parlay heartaches this season. Parlays for me usually involve picking a team or two or three teams and predicting their form over the season. I backed the wrong guys too often this season!

All the same, we look for Liverpool to inject some momentum before their Bayern meeting, and Chelsea and Arsenal to remind United that 4th spot needs to be fought for.

Game 1: Liverpool vs Burnley @1.19. Betcoin: 1.18
Game 2: Chelsea vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Chelsea WIN @1.6. Betcoin: 1.58
Game 3: Arsenal vs Man Utd. Arsenal WIN @2.48. Betcoin: 2.47
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.7203. Betcoin parlay: 4.61

Odds advantage: 2.39%
Units advantage: 11.03

Edit: CAF games are full of good deals, we have Al Hilal playing away at Asante Kotoko at 10/1 to win. They've already beaten them 1-0 and are only second placed in the group, so why not 100 units at Betcoin for Al Hilal to WIN, DNB at 5.82? Also, Real are playing some of their worst football of the season and we shouldn't ignore a good old fashioned home win against struggling Madrisistas, so 100 units at Fairlay for Valladolid to WIN @6.346. Betcoin odds: 5.58

Odds advantage: 14.1%
Units advantage: 76.6

Running advantage after 228 bets: +5,378.83 (+87.63 units)

Running units after 225 bets (53W|172L): +2,813.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Last night was what I call almost there. 2 out of 3 underdogs last night led all the way till the 81st minute, Bilbao scored, while in the African Champs League, Orlando Pirates levelled in 87th min. Still, getting 1 7/1 victory isn't bad at all.

We do Cambodia friendly win parlayed with English PremLeague victories over relegation strugglers.

Let's look back later today for underdog picks. I like Watford's chances but want to see the odds bump up a bit first.

Game 1: Crystal Palace-Brighton & Hove Albion. Palace WIN @1.89. BCR: 1.87
Game 2: Leicester City-Fulham FC. Leicester WIN @1.58. BCR: 1.56
Game 3: Cambodia-Bangladesh. Cambodia WIN @1.71. BCR: 1.68
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.1064. BCR parlay: 4.9008

Odds advantage: 4.19%
Units advantage: 20.56

Running advantage after 225 bets: +5,231.2 (+20.56 units)

Running units after 224 bets (53W|171L): +2,913.57 (+416 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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There weren't many upsets in Europa, but I knew how to pick the wrong ones, didn't I? Spartak Moscow shouldn't have lost that game either, but it could have been a calculated move.

Anyway, I'll do a Italy/Spain parlay today, slim pickings.

Game 1: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol. Espanyol WIN @5.73. BCR: 5.83
Game 2: Juventus vs Udinese. Juve WIN @1.43. BCR:1.39
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.1939. BCR parlay: 8.1037

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 9.02

Africa Champions League also provides two really good underdog selections, which Betcoin is carrying. Neither BCR nor Fairlay has any lines for them (boo) but it's impossible to resist these picks:
100 units on Club Africain to WIN at CS Constantine @7.16
100 units on FC Platinum to WIN at Orlando Pirates @8.02.

Running advantage after 224 bets: +5,210.64 (+9.02 units)

Running units after 221 bets (52W|169L): +2,497.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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United shouldn't have gone through, but fair play to them, not giving up and taking maximum advantage of Parisian jitters. I've never seen Mbappe play as badly, so few of his tricks pulled off.

Europa is fancy, very tasty picks, but I'm going to start off safe and see later this evening if odds have improved for some of the away teams. Meanwhile, We'll pick Arsenal and Sevilla, pad it up with a risky Russian Cup game.

Game 1: Sevilla vs Slavia Prague. Sevilla WIN @1.42. BCR: 1.38
Game 2: Rennes vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @2.08. BCR: 2.07
Game 3: Ural Ekaterinburg vs Spartak Moscow. Moscow WIN @2.12. BCR: 2.12
100 units at Betcoin @6.26. Bitcoinrush parlay: 6.076

Odds advantage: 3.03%
Units advantage: 18.4

Running advantage after 221 bets: +5,201.62 (+18.4 units)

Running units after 220 bets (52W|168L): +2,597.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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What a dastardly disappointing performance from the Germans last night. Played well, created enough chances, very positive, very strong, and yet still fell to Harry Kane. So we've got 1 English team and 1 Dutch through to the QFs. I wish Spurs luck, for as long as they don't meet Liverpool, just don't bottle it.

Porto are strong, but I really like Roma and they'll want to win this as well to make certain of progress. I believe they will get as far as they did last season. Tempting to back a United away win but without Pogba, Sanchez and a string of others, I really can't see how Mbappe can't find joy in Paris.

Game 1: PSG vs Man Utd. PSG WIN @1.46. Betcoin: 1.46
Game 2: Porto vs Roma. Roma WIN @4.33. Betcoin: 4.23
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.3346. Betcoin parlay: 6.18

Odds advantage: 2.5%
Units advantage: 15.46

Running advantage after 220 bets: +5,183.22 (+15.46 units)

Running units after 219 bets (52W|167L): +2,697.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Shame on me for ignoring the underdogs in last night's women's internationals, they are really doing well. My picks both imploded last night, it's been a long stretch of bad parlays saved by incredible underdog picks.

Still, we roll with Dortmund tonight in the Champions League... they've been really struggling in the Bundesliga, have a 3-0 deficit to overturn but must win this to salvage some pride and gain back momentum over Bayern. We'll pair this parlay with a Sunderland win in the EFL cup and a Derby County win in the Championship.

Game 1: Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Dortmund WIN @1.99. Betcoin: 1.98
Game 2: Bristol Rovers vs Sunderland. Sunderland WIN @2.26. Betcoin 2.25
Game 3: Derby County vs Wigan Athletic. Derby WIN @1.99. Betcoin: 1.99
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @8.9507. Betcoin parlay:8.87

Odds advantage: 0.91%
Units advantage: 8.07

Running advantage after 219 bets: +5,167.76 (+8.07 units)

Running units after 218 bets (52W|166L): +2,797.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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1 game too far, and truly sad to see that it was Liverpool who failed to score, breaking our parlay. Atleti and Valencia probably faced tougher games and came out quite solidly on top. Such is the nature of parlays.

Backing Sheffield United tonight to strengthen their bid for play-offs for promotion, it will be a tough away game, but not toughter than Levante who I'll back to pip Leganes in the mid-table clash.

Game 1: Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd: United WIN @2.18. Betcoin: 2.16
Game 2: Leganes vs Levante. Levante WIN @4.42. Betcoin: 4.30
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @9.6365. Betcoin parlay: 9.29

Odds advantage: 3.73%
Units advantage: 34.65

Running advantage after 218 bets: +5,159.69 (+34.65 units)

Running units after 217 bets (52W|165L): +2,897.57 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Too lazy to edit, didn't realise the women's game was on so late last night (I saw wrong time) so we'll be generous and assume other bookies were at even odds for the women's games (they weren't!). But we have a third underdog win in 2 days, fantastic results even if England almost made it 4 wins!

Arsenal dropped 2 points. We would have banked a special parlay had Auba just converted, as Barca won our other leg.

We have a lovely Sunday to look forward to, lots of games. Let's pick the must wins of Blue and Red in EPL, and bank on Atletico to push Barca all the way, while Valencia must win to get a shot at Europe.

Game 1: Everton vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.61. Betcoin: 1.61
Game 2: Fulham vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.52. Betcoin: 1.52
Game 3: Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid. Athleti WIN @2.19. Betcoin: 2.15
Game 4: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao. Valencia WIN @2.13. Betcoin: 2.08
100 units at Bitcoinrush @11.3535. Betcoin parlay: 10.94

Odds advantage: 3.78%
Units advantage: 41.35

Running advantage after 217 bets: +5,125.04 (+41.35 units)

Running units after 216 bets (52W|164L): +2,997.57 (+362 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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And what about women's football second time around, right? Poland beating Spain was sweet enough, and the odds advantage just a huge reason to choose the bookie with better odds (300 units more, that's like 3 free bets)... but Portugal getting the last minute goal to give us another underdog win? Priceless.

Tempting to go for another underdog victory today, but let's wait again for odds to swing, perhaps against City, meanwhile, our pick of Premier League games plus El Clasico, for Barca to put down a statement of intent against Real Madrid:

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @3.76. Betcoin: 3.53
Game 2: Real Madrid vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @2.5. Betcoin: 2.47
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @9.4. Betcoin parlay: 8.72

Odds advantage: 7.80%
Units advantage: 68

=> We'll go for 2 more women underdog matchups today. They're both I feel hugely undervalued so makes sense for us. 100 units each, I'll add in the exact odds advantage later:
Slovenia vs Ukraine. Slovenia WIN @6.62 at Betcoin.
USA vs England. England WIN @5.091 at Fairlay.

Running advantage after 214 bets: +5,083.69 (+68 units)

Running units after 213 bets (51W|162L): +2,635.57 (+1,717.55 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 69. (Read 38849 times)