Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 70.

buwaytress

legendary

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Women's football got me wrong on both counts, so I'm wondering if I should bet on one or two underdogs tonight, so I probably will but only if I see odds jump, or 10/1 odds drop to 8 or something. Let's see later.

For now, Leeds to march on to Championship (can't wait to have them back in the Premier League), Inter and Dortmund to shake off some lethargy and win.

Game 1: Leeds vs West Brom. Leeds WIN @2.23. Betcoin: 2.21
Game 2: Augsburg vs Dortmund. Dortmund WIN @1.61. Betcoin: 1.60
Game 3: Cagliari vs Inter Milan. Inter WIN @1.72. Betcoin: 1.72
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.2054. Betcoin parlay: 6.08

Odds advantage: 2.07%
Units advantage: 12.54

Edit, odds did indeed drop for Portugal so we'll take 100 units on Fairlay for Portugal to beat Sweden @6.231. Bitcoinrush odds: 5.58.

Odds advantage: 11.67%
Units advantage: 65.1

And odds jumped for Poland vs Spain, despite lack of updates, so it's just bookie movement. Poland to beat Spain @13.945. Bitcoinrush odds: 10.17

Odds advantage: 37.12%
Units advantage: 377.5

The odds are slightly wrong, I forgot to use the minus commission totals, so will edit after game ends.

Total units advantage:

Running advantage after 213 bets: +5,015.69 (+455.14 units)

Running units after 210 bets (49W|161L): +918.02 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Oh Palace. They actually had a lot more attempts on goal than United, and when it was 2-1, I wondered if something special might happen. Lukaku took his chances well though, the giant of a man.

Dull match-ups. I'll have a look at Valencia later on, but let's do a France/Bosnia parlay in the women's international friendly.

Game 1: Montenegro (w) v Bosnia-Herzegovina (w). Bosnia WIN @1.38. BCR: 1.35
Game 2: Germany (w) v France (w). France WIN @2.26. BCR: 2.29
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.1188. BCR parlay: 3.08

Odds advantage: 1.27%
Units advantage: 3.88

Running advantage after 210 bets: +4,560.55 (+3.88 units)

Running units after 209 bets (49W|160L): +1,118.02 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Didn't see the Huddersfield win coming at all, not that a 0-0 result would have helped. Happy to see Leicester grab their win, Vardy definitely deserved the goal.

Crystal Palace hammered four past Foxes only 3 days ago, and with United's threadbare squad, I smell an upset so let's back Palace, and parlay that against Arsenal. Liverpool must win, so we might as well add them into the mix.

Game 1: Crystal Palace vs Manchester United: Palace WIN @3.35. Betcoin: 3.24
Game 2: Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth. Arsenal WIN @1.44. Betcoin: 1.45
Game 3: Liverpool vs Watford. Liverpool WIN @1.28. Betcoin: 1.31
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.1802. Betcoin parlay: 6.15

Odds advantage: 0.49%
Units advantage: 3.02

Running advantage after 209 bets: +4,556.67 (+21.58 units)

Running units after 208 bets (49W|159L): +1,118.02 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Incredibly disappointing results, both draws. Getting really bad on the parlays now but we have the Premier League back to whet our appetites.

I really like Wolves chances despite them slipping up last game, and the same for Leicester... they shouldn't have lost that badly to Palace and face a team who you just never know, but they should be playing for pride now. Parlay that with a difficult friendly win for Lokomotiv Moscow.

Might do a Hail Mary underdog bet if odds really jump on other European cup games.

Game 1: Huddersfield Town-Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @1.84 BCR odds: 1.82
Game 2: Leicester City-Brighton & Hove Albion. Foxes WIN @1.96. BCR odds: 1.93
Game 3: FC Lokomotiv Moscow-Molde FK. Lokomotiv WIN @2.30. BCR odds: N/A so we take even
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.2947. BCR parlay: 8.0789

Odds advantage: 2.67%
Units advantage: 21.58

Running advantage after 208 bets: +4,556.67 (+21.58 units)

Running units after 207 bets (49W|156L): +1,218.02 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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So United couldn't score at home, but they did nullify most of Liverpool's threats, in the end none really deserved to win, one of the more frustrating games I've seen in recent times. Chelsea almost got a goal towards the end too, but it was not to be.

Today, we take the underdog Real Sociedad to win away at Girona, and couple that with a Leipzig home win.

Game 1: Girona vs Real Sociedad. Sociedad WIN @3.14. BCR odds: 3.1
Game 2: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim. Leipzig WIN @1.83. BCR odds: 1.81
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.7462. BCR parlay: 5.611

Odds advantage: 2.41%
Units advantage: 13.52

Running advantage after 207 bets: +4,535.09 (+13.52 units)

Running units after 206 bets (49W|155L): +1,318.02 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

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Incredible loss for Leicester at home, incredible win for Palace - why doesn't Wilfried Zaha get more plaudits? Wolves could only afford to draw, so both legs of my parlay broke down. Funny though that the unlikelier happened as Burnley overturned a goal deficit to smash and grab 3 points from Spurs. We only did a DNB, which is a shame, cause it was almost 7/1 for an outright win.

Today, I pick Liverpool despite many people, including ESPN roundly predicting a United victory, since it's Old Trafford and their form is irresistible. But hey, what's the point of winning the league if we can't beat our old rivals eh? I'll pair it with Arsenal to condemn the Saints to an extended stay in the relegation zone.

Game 1: Man Utd vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @2.36. Betcoin: 2.3
Game 2: Arsenal vs Southamption. Arsenal WIN @1.5. Betcoin: 1.48
100 unit parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.5341. Betcoin parlay: 3.404
Odds advantage: 3.82%
Units advantage: 13.01

And here's to a Chelsea backlash to beat City in the league cup final, for 100 units at Fairlay @6.1381. Bitcoinrush odds: 5.61
Odds advantage: 9.41%
Units advantage: 52.81

Total units advantage: 65.82

Running advantage after 206 bets: +4,521.57 (+65.82 units)

Running units after 204 bets (49W|153L): +1,518.02 (+209.52 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Such bad luck! The live parlay I took last night turned out to be going so well, within 30 minutes, West Ham scored 2 goals and Espanyol got 1 too, but Huesca equalised and broke our hearts. Doesn't matter, 7/1 was still good value the way the games were going.

As usual, we'll keep an eye out for value underdog bets, but for now, we do a simple EPL parlay for resurgent Wolves and plucky Leicester:

Game 1: Leicester City vs Crystal Palace. Foxes WIN @2.26. Betcoin: 2.23
Game 2: Bournemouth vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @2.66. Betcoin: 2.65
100 units at Bitcoinrush @6.0116. Betcoin parlay: 5.91

Odds advantage: 5.32%
Units advantage: 10.16

Edit: 100 units DNB on Burnley vs Spurs at Fairlay @4.0952 is impossible to ignore, when it's Betcoin at best with 3.11.
Odds advantage: 31.69%
Units advantage: 98.52

Total units advantage: 108.68

Running advantage after 204 bets: +4,564.43 (+108.68 units)

Running units after 202 bets (48W|152L): +1,308.5 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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One must scratch one's head after some games, the conundrum of teams playing it safe when they must win, it's an age that belongs to yesterday. Never mind, Betis.

Premier League returns, and I wonder if Cardiff City could finally bring some joy back to their home fans. They did get some points in recent games, and Watford will be confident after securing passage in the FA Cup, but let's back a mild upset with a routine Hammers home win.

Game 1: Cardiff City vs Watford. Cardiff WIN @3.15. Betcoin:3.12
Game 2: West Ham vs Fulham. West Ham WIN @1.91. Betcoin: 1.83
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.0136. Betcoin parlay: 5.71

Edit: adding a live bet here because West Ham are too good to go down. Trailing 0-1 to Fulham, 4.14 bet, parlay against Espanyol @1.72, total parlay @7.1208. 100 units, I'll give the full odds and betslip.

Edit: Betslip for above.

Odds advantage: 5.32%
Units advantage: 30.36

Running advantage after 201 bets: +4,455.75 (+30.36 units)

Running units after 200 bets (48W|150L): +1,508.5 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Took an extra bet last night (12/1 for Schalke and we almost but for 5 minutes!) but was too lazy to update then, so couldn't get the odds advantage so we'll let it slide and let's just assume all bookies were on even odds - and I know they weren't!.

Europa's not been a fertile field for me so far, but I'll take a risk on Dynamo Kiev and Villareal, and back the parlay up with expected Leverkusen and Betis wins.

Game 1: Bayer Leverkusen-FC Krasnodar. Leverkusen [email protected]. BCR odds: 1.43
Game 2: Real Betis Balompie-FC Stade Rennes. Betis WIN @1.64. BCR odds: 1.62
Game 3: Dynamo Kiev-Olympiacos Piraeus. Kiev WIN @2.26. BCR odds: 2.28
Game 4: Villarreal-Sporting CP. Villa WIN @1.96. BCR odds: 1.97
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.61. BCR parlay: 10.452

Odds advantage: 1.44%
Units advantage: 15.8

Running advantage after 200 bets: +4,425.39 (+15.8 units)

Running units after 199 bets (48W|149L): +1,608.5 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Bayern played like absolute underdogs wanting a draw so they could play at home. Slightly worrying as Liverpool haven't done well on travels at all this campaign, but on the basis of last night's performance, I think the Germans should be the ones concerned. Same goes for Barca. We'll see them next week.

I really like Athletico, but I think the odds on Juventus are too hard to ignore. I'll parlay that with Sevilla to triumph at home against Lazio in Europa, seeing as they just lost 0-3 to Villareal, perhaps they're conserving for this.

We'll keep checking back to see Schalke... if the odds climb, it'll be interesting. Fairlay 100 units @12.38. Edit odds and units later.

Game 1: Athletico Madrid vs Juventus. Juve WIN @2.86. Betcoin: 2.8
Game 2: Sevilla vs Lazio. Sevilla WIN @1.76. Betcoin: 1.76
100 units at Bitcoinrush @5.0432. Betcoin parlay: 4.928

Odds advantage: 2.34%
Units advantage: 11.52

Running advantage after 198 bets: +4,409.59 (+11.52 units)

Running units after 197 bets (48W|147L): +1,808.5 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Good thing our hedged bet on the underdog (Manchester United, with all that talent on display were the underdogs?!) worked out, cause Dortmund couldn't get the win our parlay would have needed anyway!

Still, won't sniff at good wins that take us back to touching distance of 2k units in profit.

I like both Barcelona and Liverpool, they both face no small opponents but I think have the greater attacking threats. Parlay that with what should be a certain victory for CSKA Moscow against Segunda B minnows Cartagena.

Game 1: Liverpool vs Bayern Munich. Liverpool WIN @2.13. Betcoin: 2.11
Game 2: Lyon vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.78. Betcoin: 1.79
Game 3: Cartagena vs CSKA Moscow. CSKA WIN @1.36. Betcoin: 1.35
100 unit parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.1539. Betcoin parlay:5.0988

Odds advantage: 1.08%
Units advantage: 5.51

Running advantage after 197 bets: +4,398.07 (+5.51 units)

Running units after 196 bets (48W|146L): +1,908.5 (+203.38 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Mighty strange day in the La Liga. Real played Jekyll and Hyde to lose their 7th league game of the season, as Ramos collected his 25th red of his career. And then high-flying Sevilla get super-thumped by 17th-placed Villareal. Guess the bookies knew the odds better than I did.

No point getting stuck. We turn to the favourites again tonight in the form of Dortmund and Roma, and use them to pad up tonight's FA Cup clash of giants, with both managers fighting for their jobs, Sarri is the one more motivated to win, so we back Chelsea.

Game 1: Chelsea vs Manchester United. Chelsea WIN @1.96. BCR: 1.97
Game 2: Nuremberg vs Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund WIN @1.43. Bitcoinrush: 1.41.
Game 3: Roma vs Bologna. Roma WIN @1.43. BCR: 1.41
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @4.008. BCR parlay: 3.941

Odds advantage: 1.7%
Units advantage: 6.7

We take a rare hedge tonight, on a United upset @4.0338 on Fairlay. Betcoin odds: 3.96

Odds advantage: 1.86%
Units advantage: 7.38

Total Units advantage: 14.08

Running advantage after 196 bets: +4,392.56 (+14.08 units)

Running units after 194 bets (47W|145L): +1,705.12 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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This is getting so annoying, but just shows why parlays are so hard to win. Two legs won 3-0 comfortably, but the easiest of the bunch didn't as Schalke got themselves an early red card and just couldn't play any more attacks to their strikers. Bad luck?

We'll back the two Premiership teams in the FA Cup today, even though they're playing away... surely not another upset on the cards? But I'll keep watching the odds and if any of the home teams jump more than 1x, I'll probably put a hedge bet.

Sevilla look like good value playing away to Villareal, who probably will be boosted by their Europa win but are still rooted in relegation zone. So they kick off the parlay.

Game 1: Villareal vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.84. Betcoin: 2.82
Game 2: Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @1.98. Betcoin: 1.98
Game 3: Doncaster vs Crystal Palace. Palace WIN @1.7. Betcoin: 1.69
100 unit parlay at Bitcoinrush @9.5574. BEtcoin parlay: 9.44

Odds advantage: 1.24%
Units advantage: 11.74

Running advantage after 194 bets: +4,378.48 (+11.74 units)

Running units after 193 bets (47W|144L): +1,805.12 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Won two legs comfortably but if I had to be honest, the La Liga leg was lost with half an hour to go. Yes, Eibar scrambled back 2 goals to draw, but when 1 goal is a penalty you know you've used up your luck.

Bundesliga and La Liga are where our parlays are, but check back later tonight if you want to see a possible underdog pick, just waiting for values to go up;)

Game 1: Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05. Wolfsburg WIN @1.81. Betcoin: 1.78
Game 2: Schalke 04 vs Freiburg. Schalke wiN @1.79. Betcoin: 1.78
Game 3: Real Sociedad vs Leganes. Sociedad WIN @2.12. Betcoin: 2.10
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.8691. Betcoin parlay: 6.65

Odds advantage: 3.29%
Units advantage: 21.91

Running advantage after 193 bets: +4,366.74 (+21.91 units)

Running units after 192 bets (47W|145L): +1,905.12 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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If only we backed all the Spanish teams last night, the way my heart was telling me to! As it is, our easiest and hardest legs of 4 failed.

We'll parlay La Liga, Ligue 1 and Turkish Super Lig. Should be very tight games for all of them, but who wants to draw on Friday night, right?

Game 1: Eibar vs Getafe. Eibar WIN @2.06. Betcoin: 2.03
Game 2: Nimes Olympique vs Dijon. Olympique WIN @1.89. Betcoin: 1.86
Game 3: Yeni Malatyaspor vs Besiktas. Besiktas WIN @2.02. Betcoin: 2.01
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @7.8766. Betcoin parlay: 7.59

Odds advantage: 3.78%
Units advantage: 28.66

Running advantage after 192 bets: +4,344.83 (+28.66 units)

Running units after 191 bets (47W|144L): +2,005.12 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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The favourites won. But at half time, things actually did look rosy for the underdogs: Ajax had more shots on target, higher possession and even a disallowed goal. Spurs couldn't register any shots on goal while Dortmund had 4.

As it turns out, both lesser teams lost their momentum in the second half.

Europa is where our heart is tonight, and we'll back 4 away favourites to continue their splendid runs in Europa League.

Game 1: FC Krasnodar-Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Leverkusen WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.04
Game 2: FC Zurich-SSC Napoli. Napoli WIN @1.46. BCR odds: 1.45
Game 3: Malmo FF-Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.44. BCR odds: 1.42
Game 4: BATE Borisov-Arsenal FC. Arsenal WIN @1.39. BCR odds: 1.38
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.9907. BCR parlay: 5.796

Odds advantage: 3.36%
Units advantage: 19.47

Running advantage after 191 bets: +4,316.17 (+19.47 units)

Running units after 190 bets (47W|143L): +2,105.12 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3443

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Finally, Champs League and Europa to light up my life. I was waiting for PSG to go to 4/1 but it never happened, or we would have had a nice underdog win. Adding PSG to the parlay would have taken it to 16/1, but I generally stick to about 10/1 max. Silly me, huh.

Anyway, good wins, let's look to repeat the feat tonight, and this time we'll back both underdogs to win. Dortmund have been in a somewhat niggly patch of form while Spurs have been grinding out the wins courtesy of Son, but I like the odds of the current German leaders beating the current 3rd placed English team.

Similarly, I like the Dutch leaders who have been really giving good CL performances so far especially at home, to beat Real, even with the latter's mproving form.

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund WIN @3.53. Betcoin odds: 3.46
Game 2: Ajax Amsterdam vs Real Madrid. Ajax WIN @3.71. Betcoin odds: 3.61
100 unit parlay at Bitcoinrush @13.0963. Betcoin parlay: 12.49

Odds advantage: 4.85%
Units advantage: 60.63

Running advantage after 190 bets: +4,296.7 (+60.63 units)

Running units after 189 bets (47W|142L): +2,205.12 (+432.95 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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What happens when your opponents lose a CB to a red card playing away? They close down and you break them down for the goal. Except Setubal did that too late, and we end up with another goalless draw to ruin our parlay.

Champions League is back, that's where our money will be, plus a leg in the Europa League. Also, I'll return later if I see any of the odds jump above 4/1 on any one of the team for an upset.

Game 1: Roma vs Porto. Roma WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.07
Game 2: Fenerbahce vs Zenit St Petersburg. Fenerbahce WIN @2.55. Betcoin odds: 2.53
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.3295. Betcoin parlay: 5.24

Odds advantage: 1.71%
Units advantage: 8.95

Running advantage after 189 bets: +4,236.07 (+8.95 units)

Running units after 188 bets (46W|142L): +1,772.17 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3443

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That was the worst underdog pick I've made not just in this thread history, but in my entire betting history... never picked anyone that lost by such a huge margin. Chelsea losing 6-0 tells me more about how bad the team is, more than about how good City are, even if the stats seem to show it wasn't as one-sided as the scoreline suggested.

La Liga and Portugal's Primeira gives us the sole games to parlay. We'll back the home teams to spring victories.

Game 1: Alaves vs Levante. Alaves WIN @2.13. Betcoin odds:2.12
Game 2: Vittoria Setubal vs Belenenses. Setubal WIN @2.28. Betcoin: 2.25
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.8564. Betcoin parlay 4.77

Odds advantage: 1.81%
Units advantage: 8.64

Running advantage after 188 bets: +4,227.12 (+8.64 units)

Running units after 187 bets (46W|141L): +1,872.17 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3443

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What a way to lose, nice to see Cardiff get their last minute goal to win. Saints were horrendously exciting, I saw some highlights, but there hasn't been an easier Anfield win for weeks, so I'll take this on the chin.

One underdog game today: Chelsea to win by a slim goal @ Bitcoinrush @7.12. Betcoin odds: 6.62

Odds advantage: 7.55%
Units advantage: 50

Running advantage after 187 bets: +4,218.48 (+50 units)

Running units after 186 bets (46W|140L): +1,972.17 (-100 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 70. (Read 38849 times)