Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 73. (Read 38849 times)

A bit of a strange night last night. Chelsea couldn't get unstuck and then we had some really high-scoring draws, but Crystal Palace showed us why beating City wasn't that much of a fluke at all. Sure, they drew blanks in their next game against Cardiff, but they did register 31 shots so were unlucky. They weren't as unfortunate at Wolves last night, so good for them.

Tonight, only 1 match matters, and I'll just take the 1 bet. Liverpool are not fancied by the bookies at all and actually odds have been climbing slightly every day since last week. Suits me just fine!

Liverpool will want to win to put 10 points betwixt them and City, who, let's be honest are the only real challengers for top spot. Spurs look like it on table but they are just too flimsy near the finish line and will lose their lucky charm Son to Asian football. Chelsea as they showed last night can't score if Hazard isn't 100% (and needed Kante to win 1-0 last game). Arsenal themselves don't believe they can get 1.

100 units on Liverpool to WIN at Manchester City @3.626. Bitcoinrush odds: 3.57.
Odds advantage: 1.57%
Units advantage: 5.6

Beautiful parlay, exactly as tight as I thought it'd be, and exactly the man I felt would deliver it. Thanks to Vardy scoring 2019's first EPL goal, and the boys of Poch and Emery delivering easy wins, we get a nice win to kick off the new year!

A straightforward parlay backing the home teams:

Game 1: West Ham vs Brighton and Hove Albion. Hammers WIN @1.96. Nitro: 1.946
Game 2: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Crystal Palace. Wolves WIN @2.08. Nitro: 1.982
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.08. Nitro parlay: 3.856

Odds advantage: 5.8%
Units advantage: 22.4

Didn't catch the goal South Korea needed to complete my parlay, but let's see if New Year's luck is with us for today's pick of English Premier League spread. Both Arsenal and Spurs are the lightweights of the Big 6 to me... but their opponents today are Fulham and Cardiff, so I'll back the favourites. Fulham's cost me money on all but 1 backing this term, and I don't know how they can pull themselves out of this rut. And it's New Year's day... Vardy to perform and get a precious away win at Everton!

Game 1: Arsenal vs Fulham. Arsenal WIN @1.35. Nitro: 1.312
Game 2: Cardiff City vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Spurs WIN @1.43. Nitro:1.404
Game 3: Everton vs Leicester City. Leicester WIN @4.08. Nitro: 3.982
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @7.8598. Nitro parlay: 7.335
Odds advantage: 7.15%
Units advantage: 52.48

Was never going to happen as soon as Pogba slotted in the 5th minute, so I guess it'll be a while before the new manager's glow stops having its effect. They still have tough games coming up though, so hopefully their odds improve and underdogs keep getting better odds.

No real game to choose tonight but I think we can go for a straightforward friendly.

Game 1: Saudi vs South Korea. South Korea WIN @1.69. Nitro odds: 1.663
Game 2: Iran vs Qatar. Iran WIN @2.49. Nitro odds: 2.457
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.2192. Nitro parlay: 4.085

Odds advantage: 3.29%
Units advantage: 13.42

Lovely night of football all around. Liverpool cementing their position and Wolves giving us the 2-goal comeback we needed to win the underdog bet, and THEN some. Wish I'd backed underdogs more often recently, though the way I bet, I probably should be thankful I don't make it too much of a habit

So we get a healthy recovery to our bankroll, and can look forward to the Red's next match with City (where we are a tantalising > 3/1 to win!). Back to tonight, though, and while I shouldn't tempt fate, what's wrong with backing another upset tonight? We'll leave City alone, but I wonder if Bournemouth will take Solkjaer's party down?

100 units at Fairlay on AFC Bournemouth to WIN at Man Utd @9.1713. BCR odds: 8.84

Odds advantage: 3.75%
Units advantage: 33.13

Please remind myself I suck at Turkish and Portuguese league predictions. More than I suck at EPL, anyway.

My guns out for a Liverpool win. Arsenal were one of our draws last season, but this time it's at Anfield, let's hope both teams' forms are maintained. Spurs will want to make full use of Son before he leaves for AFC, so a win for them as well should be guaranteed. If not, Liverpool profit, so win-win.

But that parlay isn't even 2/1, so I'll back a Wolves upset at Wembley instead. And why not? They've been at the Big 6's throats all season long and Spurs look lightweight sometimes.

100 units at Fairlay on Wolves to WIN vs Tottenham Hotspurs @8.1977. BCR odds: 7.65

Odds advantage: 7.16%
Units advantage: 54.77

Hammers got a precious away win, despite being the distinct disadvantage, at least according to me and bookmakers. Not a good EPL week for me betting-wise, but I'll take the 6-point lead for Liverpool at the top.

Portuguese League Cup parlay, against another Middle East friendly, to round up Friday! Can't access Betcoin so using BCR comparing with Nitro.

Game 1: Aves vs Benfica. Benfica WIN @1.45. Nitro odds: 1.418
Game 2: Rio Ave vs Pacos de Ferreira. Ave WIN @1.73. Nitro odds: 1.692
Game 3: UAE vs Kuwait. UAE WIN @1.76. Nitro odds: 1.722

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.4246. Nitro parlay: 4.1315
Odds advantage: 7.09%
Units advantage: 29.31

Did I lose last night's parlay? Yes. Was I mad? City lost and Arsenal couldn't break the draw means no I wasn't.

Just the 1 game tonight, and I'm backing another Bundesliga-isque revolution at Southamption to continue.

100 single bet with Fairlay on the Saints to WIN vs West ham @2.330. Betcoin odds: 2.23

Odds advantage: 4.48%
Units advantage: 10

Parlay busted by the narrowest of margins, so much for international friendlies on Christmas day. Boxing Day EPL is really one of my favourite times of the year, and I'll just make a simple parlay for the favourites - again if the big 4 drop points, except for Liverpool of course, I won't mind losing the bets.

Game 1: Leicester vs Man City. City WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.36
Game 2: Tottenham vs Bournemouth. Spurs WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.35
Game 3: Brighton and Hove vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.68
Game 4: Watford vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.68
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.2670. BCR parlay: 5.182

Odds advantage: 1.64%
Units advantage: 8.5

Scoreless draws in both games last night, guess the Turks weren't ready to light up the night sky on Christmas Eve.

Some interesting friendlies today but odds aren't available everywhere, but I'll back the Vietnam tough guys fresh from AFC Cup elimination, and the Qatar heavyweights to continue their domination in friendlies.

Game 1: Vietnam vs DPRK. Vietnam WIN @2.65. BCR odds: 2.63
Game 2: Qatar vs Kyrgystan. Qatar -1.5 @2.00. BCR odds: 1.95
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.30. BCR parlay: 5.1285

Odds advantage: 3.34%
Units advantage: 17.15

Good solid wins. No idea about Qatar stats as the friendly was played behind closed doors but hard to ignore the Qataris are vastly superior to Jordan's national team. And Spurs winning in style, nice to see our bankroll finally come up so we're back in the black!

Really slim pickings on Christmas eve, but I'll back a couple of games in today's Turkish league:

Game 1: Akhisar Belediyespor vs Konyaspor. Over 2.5 @2.13. Betcoin odds: 2.10
Game 2: Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce. Feerbahce WIN @1.79. Betcoin odds: 1.80
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.8205. Betcoin parlay: 3.78
Odds advantage: 1.07%
Units advantage: 4.05

Spectacular night for the underdogs last night, shame I didn't listen to my gut for once haha, but as I said, happy to lose the parlay if it means Big Six teams drop points in the EPL. Never mind dropping points, losing games at difficult home grounds (Etihad, Stamford Bridge). Is it too much to have yet another, albeit minor, upset happen today with Spurs? If so, it'll be another loss for me I won't mind.

Simple parlay with Qatar winning their friendly against Jordan.

Game 1: Everton vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Spurs WIN @2.3. BCR odds: 2.31
Game 2: Qatar vs Jordan. Qatar WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.72
100 units Parlay at Betcoin @4.025. BCR parlay: 3.984
Odds advantage: 1.03%
Units advantage: 4.1

The comfortable 2-0 win for Liverpool was far from comfortable, Wolves are such a solid team, just that Salah was irresistible on the night. Dortmund bounced back from their loss to give our parlay a solid win... but the icing was the 1-0 win our underdog Alaves managed. Fewer shots on target, low possession but they smashed as early goal and held on for the win. Great night to take us back above positive bankroll!

We'll go for a big 4-game parlay tonight in the EPL. I actually won't mind losing if one of the favourites Arsenal/Chelsea drops points. Can Crystal Palace do that in City's fortress though? Very unlikely, so I'll pass the delicious 10/1 odds to draw on that game

Game 1: Arsenal vs Burnley. Arsenal WIN @1.25. BCR odds: 1.21
Game 2: Chelsea vs Leicester. Chelsea WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.34
Game 3: Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove. Bournemouth WIN @1.9. BCR odds: 1.92
Game 4: Newcastle vs Fulham. Newcastle WIN. Newcastle WIN @2.0. BCR odds: 2.05
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.4125. BCR parlay: 6.364

Odds advantage: 0.76%
Units advantage: 4.85

Straightforward wins to make up for the double losing bets of Wednesday, Rodez got the desired advantage to push for promotion and Feyenoord duly progressed in the cup competition.

We see Liverpool take on Wolves tonight, which I must of course back as am bound to by my weakness for them. If they win, they can ensure City don't spend another day in 1st spot for longer than a week. I'd really like to see how Liverpool deals with pressure being on top, and how City deals with being the one doing the chasing for once.

Wolves are a tough nut, mind you... the only team outside top four and Lyon to have caused City to drop points this season. We'll parlay them up, backing home teams Dortmund to bounce back from defeat.

Game 1: Wolves vs Liverpool. Liver WIN Betcoin @1.6. BCR odds: 158
Game 2: Borussia Dortmund vs BoMönchengladbach. Dortmund WIN Betcoin @1.6. BCR odds: 1.58
Parlay for 100 units at Betcoin @2.56. BCR parlay:2.495
Odds advantage: 2.61%
Units advantage: 6.5

And underdog pick of the day: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves. 100 units at Fairlay Alaves WIN @5.4449. BCR odds: 5.3
Odds advantage: 2.73%
Units advantage: 14.49

Total units advantage: 20.99

RIP Japanese football to Bale's hattrick. If I knew he'd be playing (he was supposed to be unfit) I might have stepped aside. And RIP Gunners to the revenge of Spurs who fielded a strong team.

Warming up for tomorrow's English cup games, we pick a simple parlay in French 3rd division where Rodez can make a strong case with their game in hand to claw up to pole. Then we pick a Dutch cup game backing the home favourites, who've not much to play for in the league anyway.

Game 1: Rodez Avayron vs Laval: Rodez WIN @2.00. BCR: 2.09
Game 2: Feyenoord vs FC Utrecht: Feyenoord WIN @1.50. BCR: 1.45
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.0272. Betcoin parlay: 3.00
Odds advantage: 0.91%
Units advantage: 2.72

You know, it was a really close game. City fielded kids as expected and Leicester scored to make it 1-1 and could have snatched it at extra time. As it happened, game went to penalties and Pep got the win and momentum he wanted.

I know I should not try for another upset, but Real Madrid are a case with the FIFA Club World Cup. They're coming up against Kashima Antlers... both are third in their league but also current champions of Europe and Asia... and I've followed Antlers every now and then due to them having played against my home team in the past on occassion. Antlers want this win, and they're certainly capable, they're not afraid of Ramos and they might be facing weaker attacking options if Solari has his eye on domestic competition.

So 100 units at Fairlay, on Kashima Antlers to WIN @10.3837. Bitcoinrush odds: 8.12
Odds advantage: 27.88%
Units advantage: 226.37

Also, EFL trophy parlay. Arsenal are the Liverpool of 2 seasons past, doing well against good teams, faltering against lesser opponents. Their kids at home are also better than Spurs' kids, and if Poch plays his veterans, they'll be tired. We'll match it against a simple Sarri win over Bournemouth.

Game 1: Arsenal vs Spurs. Arsenal WIN @2.45. BCR odds: 2.45
Game 2: Chelsea vs Bournemouth. Chelsea WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.32
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.3075. Bitcoinrush parlay: 3.246
Odds advantage: 1.89%
Units advantage: 6.15

Total units advantage: 232.52

Thank you for the kind words! Bitcoinrush is really one of the oldest names around Bitcoin sportsbooks - their casino is now part of a larger suite of offerings called Monster Byte, which also acquired MoneyPot (another really old name) as a wallet integrated across apps plus an exchange called Nessie. They've had the best sportsbook odds for a while now, consistently lowest margins (off Pinnacle). Ever since a few others made comparisons, their name pops up very often.

Just a word of caution. I don't provide tips primarily, this thread's purpose is really to show the edge you can gain simply by choosing the bookie with the best odds or lowest margins. As you can see, after 116 bets I've placed, the average gain is over 10 units just by taking a few extra minutes to compare odds. And that's only using closest competitor. You stand to lose a LOT more if you just bet on 1 bookie. If I were to compare best odds to worst odds, I'd probably record twice that much advantage.

Regarding my betting style, I'm big on parlays too so those tiny margin advantages can really add up - as well as on high odds bets, my last single bet above has a 14.98% better odds over the closest competitor. I'm not a great tipster, and don't claim to be... but with parlays and underdog bets I tend to cash in big... bankroll's gone as high as 35% in profit but as you can see now... I'm currently at my all-time low of -5% My win/loss record is also around 1/3 now, reflecting the risks I take.

But all my tips are backed by actual bets, and every unit lost/earned recorded to 2 decimals, so I like to think I'm one of the more transparent and accountable recorders here. Most tipsters show you a win/loss record but no real way to track profits.

wow i really like this thread, We will add Bitcoinrush asap to our listings, and I will follow this thread and try some of your bets.

Poor Lazio, lost again to a first minute goal, despite having 3 times as many attempts as Atalanta. Bankroll's dipping to new negatives, so I'm going to go for less ambitious hits for a while to build back a healthy positive.

But not before betting on an upset in tonight's Carabao Cup in England! I know Pep keeps saying it doesn't matter which game he's playing, and he'll talk up Leicester to no end before the game, but who knows, home advantage and Vardy desperate to find the net.

100 units at Fairly on Leicester to WIN against Manchester City @9.773. Betcoin odds: 8.50
Odds advantage: 14.98%
Units advantage: 127.3

Horrendous result for the Gunners, but that another of the challengers for the English league title has dropped points makes me feel OK I lost the parlay. Took several other single bets on Liverpool, (Over 1 at HT, -1.5 Handicap, Corners, Cards) all of them won, so a nice bonus either way. Shouldn't really have been betting so much but the Liverpool-Utd match always gets me a bit foolhardy.

Lazio disappointed me in their last outing and they're playing away today with a bad patch of form, so even though they aren't tipped to win, I'll back them to get 3 points and leapfrog Milan for 4th place. We'll parlay that with an Alaves home win... slight favourites Bilbao are having some recent political troubles within management, so I'm hoping they'll be distracted.

Game 1: Atalanta vs Lazio. Lazio WIN @3.4. Betcoin odds:3.35
Game 2: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao. Alaves WIN @2.98. Betcoin odds: 2.95
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.132. Betcoin parlay: 9.88
Odds advantage: 2.55%
Units advantage: 25.2