Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 72.

buwaytress

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Thailand almost made it and I was sure with the 1-0 lead, they would go on to get the unlikely win. But I was wrong. Experience won the day, the Chinese held strong, kept pushing and eventually pressured the Thais to concede the penalty. Had it gone to extra time, energy might have sided the Thais.

Not stopping us from predicting another upset for Saudi to beat Japan, with another certain win to pad the win.

Game 1: Japan vs Saudi Arabia. Saudi WIN @5.0. BCR: 5.21
Game 2: UAE vs Kyrgystan. UAE WIN @1.45. BCR: 1.37
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @7.25. BCR odds: 7.133

Odds advantage: 1.64%
Units advantage: 11.7

Running advantage after 162 bets: +2,765.55 (+11.7 units)

Running units after 161 bets (42W|119L): +1,124.07 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Been a long time, but we finally got there at 10% of bankroll, courtesy of the fighting Wolves and Liverpool teams, who both won 4-3. Awesome entertainment for the English Premier League! Newcastle also got their biggest win of the season (if I recall they've only ever won 2-0 this season). Would have had a far bigger parlay had I chosen to back United as well, but hey, they had a narrow win too.

Today AFC is back, and I'm backing the Elephants to show China who's boss in Southeast Asian football, I still think bookies are affected by the anomaly of the 4-1 loss to India. Back that up with a certain Iran win and we've got a sweet parlay.

Game 1: Thailand vs China. Thai WIN @4.70 BCR odds: 4.58
Game 2: Iran vs Oman. Iran WIN @1.40 BCR odds: 1.37
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.58. BCR parlay: 6.2746

Odds advantage: 4.87%
Units advantage: 30.54

Running advantage after 161 bets: +2,753.85 (+30.54 units)

Running units after 160 bets (42W|118L): +1,224.07 (+487.73 units)

buwaytress

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Ghastly performance by Hoffenheim, who really, really, should have taken the fight to Munchen. They have never been more vulnerable now, and guys like them, like Man Utd, they eventually get back on track and the chance to pip them for points are gone.

SO many games tonight, I'm totally spoilt for choice. We'll take a few EPL games for our parlay. Wolves just got hammered but it was a really unfair defeat in my mind, while Newcastle must be buzzing from their fantastic victory in the FA Cup. Of course, Liverpool to sweeten the parlay.

Game 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Leicester City. Wolves WIN @2.35. BCR odds: 2.35
Game 2: Newcastle vs Cardiff City. Newcastle WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.03
Game 3: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace. Liverpool WIN @1.22. BCR odds: 1.21
100 units parlay at Betcoin for @5.8773. BCR parlay: 5.7723

Odds advantage: 1.82%
Units advantage: 10.5

Running advantage after 160 bets: +2,723.31 (+10.5 units)

Running units after 159 bets (41W|118L): +736.34 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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A bit of an early scare when DPRK actually scored the first goal against the flow of the match, but Lebanon eventually asserted their superiority and came through with a narrow win in the second half. Qatar survived the Saudi onslaught and stadium atmosphere for a solid win to top the group, while Japan dispatched the Uzbeks pretty comfortably. Great parlay win.

Today, a single underdog bet on Hoffenheim to somehow come away with a home win against Bayern Munich!
100 units at Fairlay for Hoffenheim to WIN @6.2533. Betcoin odds: 5.75

Odds advantage: 8.75%
Units advantage: 50.33

Running advantage after 159 bets: +2,712.81 (+50.33 units)

Running units after 158 bets (41W|117L): +836.34 (+577.87 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Incredible... 3 4-legged parlays in a row, all miss by 1 leg. Another giant killing in the FA Cup to ruin me, and again after a 2-0 lead at half time. Football!

Asian Cup great match ups today, parlaying my favourites Qatar and Japan to get through tricky opponents, while Lebanon should at least score one against helpless DPRK.

Game 1: Japan vs Uzbekistan. Japan WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.66
Game 2: Qatar vs Saudi Arabia. Qatar WIN @2.75. BCR odds: 2.76
Game 3: Lebanon vs DPRK. Lebanon WIN BCR @1.45. odds: 1.43
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @6.7787. BCR parlay: 6.54

Odds advantage: 3.65%
Units advantage: 23.87

Running advantage after 158 bets: +2,662.48 (+23.87 units)

Running units after 157 bets (40W|117L): +258.47 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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A second parlay in the row where our underdog won, and yet was let down by a clear favourite. This time, Peter Crouch, Charlie Adam (yeah, they're actually still playing) and Stoke contrived to end HT at 2-0, only to lose 3-2 to Shrewsbury, a League 1 mid-table team with only 7 wins out of 27 games.

FA Cup magic I guess.

Not liking today's games, but I'll go for favourites today for a change in FA Cup, Italy Super Cup, and Asian Cup.

Game 1: South Korea vs China. S Korea WIN @1.63. Nitro odds: 1.615
Game 2: Vietnam vs Yemen. Vietnam WIN @1.52. Nitro odds: 1.510
Game 3: Southampton vs Derby County. Saints WIN @1.7. Nitro odds: 1.693
Game 4: Juventus vs Milan. Juve WIN @1.52. Nitro odds: 1.508
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.394. Nitro parlay: 6.226
Odds advantage: 2.7%
Units advantage: 16.8

Edit, adding another parlay now that Betcoin is back up. Edit. OK can't place a bet...

Running advantage after 157 bets: +2,638.61 (+16.8 units)

Running units after 156 bets (40W|116L): +358.47 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Isn't this football? The pick with the easiest win on paper is the one that failed. Plucky Thais, got to hand it to them. Fell behind to an early goal but somehow managed to level with their team of youngsters, for a mild upset and an incredible finish of 2nd on group, so they go to the next stage. But we lost out on our 12/1 parlay, boo.

I'll take another big parlay today, FA Cup games and Portugal Cup, backing the unfancied Newscastle to win away at Blackburn Rovers, and the odd favourites for the rest of the legs.

Game 1: Blackburn Rovers vs Newscastle Utd. Newcastle WIN @3.25. BCR odds: 3.08
Game 2: Stoke City vs Shrewsbury Town. Stoke WIN @1.55. BCR odds:1.5
Game 3: Leixoes SC vs FC Porto. Porto WIN @1.30. BCR odds: 1.28
Game 4: Guimaraes vs Benfica. Benfica WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.68
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.1328. BCR parlay: 9.965
Odds advantage: 11.72%
Units advantage: 116.78

Running advantage after 156 bets: +2,621.81 (+116.78 units)

Running units after 155 bets (40W|115L): +458.47 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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After damning Arsenal, now my spite reserved for Spurs, whose lost cost us our parlay. Credit to the Red Devils though, can't keep a good team down (unless you're Mourinho). 6 wins in a row, that's got to be a string United haven't seen in a long, long time!

Today we see Thailand meet UAE in AFC... they won me a nice underdog pick in the last meet with Bahrain, but they struggled in defence with so many yellows, though the bright sparks at the end looked to me like a sign they could surely beat the Emiratis. I'll still take the safe parlay though, backing the favourites with a riskier Sociedad win in La Liga and AEK Athens away win in the Greek Super League.

Game 1: India vs Bahrain. Bahrain WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.95
Game 2: UAE vs Thailand. UAE WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.65
Game 3: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol. Sociedad WIN @2.05. Betcoin odds: 2.05
Game 4: PAS Giannina vs AEK Athens. Athens WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.85
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @12.6302. Betcoin parlay: 12.20
Odds advantage: 3.53%
Units advantage: 43.02

Running advantage after 155 bets: +2,505.03 (+43.02 units)

Running units after 154 bets (40W|114L): +558.47 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Oh damn you, Arsenal. I know West Ham aren't the easiest opponents, but with all your attack upfront and you couldn't score against a team playing openly (Hammers had more shots on goal!)? Old boy Samir also got the assist against you.

Anyway, today's parlay backs my Asian Cup favourites to win en route to eventually take the trophy. Then we take a risk on Spurs to win at Wembley, and Real to win away (they have problems but their recent cup win should be a confidence boost!) in the La Liga.

Game 1: Qatar vs DPRK. Qatar WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.34
Game 2: Oman vs Japan. Japan WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.34
Game 3: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Manchester United. Spurs WIN @2.15. BCR odds: 2.14
Game 4: Real Betis vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.15. BCR odds: 2.16

100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.4245. BCR parlay: 8.273
Odds advantage: 1.83%
Units advantage: 15.15

Running advantage after 154 bets: +2,462.01 (+15.15 units)

Running units after 153 bets (40W|113L): +658.47 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Almost, almost. Seems Schalke just let the foot off the gas after levelling 2-2 and played out the rest of the game just for exhibition. They were better in most aspects, but a draw killed our parlay.

Premier League is back. Liverpool to bounce back from defeat, Arsenal for a win away, and Saudi Arabia to meet expectations in AFC.

Game 1: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.33
Game 2: Lebanon vs Saudi Arabia. Saudi WIN @1.60. BCR odds: 1.52
Game 3: West Ham vs Arsenal. Arsenal [email protected]. BCR odds: 2.07
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.428. BCR parlay: 4.183
Odds advantage: 5.05%
Units advantage: 24.5

Running advantage after 153 bets: +2,446.86 (+24.5 units)

Running units after 152 bets (40W|112L): +758.47 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Very disappointing for the Syrians, unable to score in the first 2 games, and arguably the toughest team left in the group (Australia) as their opponent. Perhaps I've been dismissing Jordan too unfairly too, would have made over 15/1 had I backed them from the beginning. Now Syria must beat Australia, and somehow hope Palestine draw or win... and still need to rely on other results.

Nevertheless, the Thais won a hard-fought match under a new coach, so we were in profit and they're in this with a big shout.

I'll do a parlay from English Championship, backing Leeds to make their case for promotion stronger with a win against Derby (we miss you at the Premiership, Leeds). I'll parlay against friendlies for German teams Dortmund and Schalke 04 - without pressure, they should win comfortably.

Game 1: Leeds vs Derby County. Leeds WIN @1.88. Betcoin odds: 1.85
Game 2: Borussia Dortmund vs Feyenoord. Dortmund WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 3: Schalke 04 vs Genk. Schalke WIN @1.87. Betcoin odds: 1.85
100 unit parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.4086 Betcoin parlay: 5.30
Odds advantage: 2.05%
Units advantage: 10.86

Running advantage after 152 bets: +2,422.36 (+10.86 units)

Running units after 151 bets (40W|111L): +858.47 (+254.77 units)

buwaytress

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Made a correction to yesterday's parlay, I'd typed out the wrong team (but bets were right). Qatar gave us the wins on both parlays, but credit to Uzbekistan for overcoming an incredible attacking performance from Oman, they defended like hell and got themselves a red card but well worth the 3 points. And oh, thanks to Real for finally getting an easy win.

Today is a really exciting tie up between Jordan, who's just smashed and grabbed Australia, and Syria, who missed a chance to win their opener against Palestine. I'm backing the plucky Syrians, who play much better football consistently, padding the parlay with UAE, who should make short work of the Indians.

Game 1: Jordan vs Syria. Syria WIN @2.40. BCR odds: 2.4
Game 2: India vs UAE. UAE WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.33
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @3.24. BCR parlay: 3.182
Odds advantage: 1.82%
Units advantage: 5.8

And a 100 unit Fairlay Thailand backer to bounce back from defeat and WIN vs Bahrain @4.5477. BCR odds: 4.1
Odds advantage: 10.92%
Units advantage: 44.77

Running advantage after 150 bets: +2,411.5 (+50.57 units)

Running units after 149 bets (39W|110L): +603.70 (+443.5 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Goal fest didn't come, Spurs got away with their early smash, but credit to them, they kept attacking. Chelsea's got really deep problems with attack, so they'll be really happy to get Pulisic come new season.

Asian Football Cup is all the rave and I'm taking 2 modest aims today.

100 units on a single bet on Fairlay for Japan to win HT by -1.5 spread @2.535. Couldn't find this spread at other places, so no advantage assumed.

Parlay pick for Qatar and Oman to aim for group leaders:
Game 1: Qatar vs Lebanon. Qatar WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.73
Game 2: Uzbekistan vs Oman. Uzbekistan WIN @2.10. BCR odds: 2.05
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.675. BCR Parlay: 3.5465

Odds advantage: 3.62%
Units advantage: 13.1

Parlay for Qatar and Real in Spanish cup:
Game 1: Qatar vs Lebanon. Qatar WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.68
Game 2: Real Madrid vs Leganes. Real WIN @1.40. BCR odds: 1.35
200 units parlay at Betcoin @2.38 (for 476 units). BCR parlay: 2.268

Odds advantage: 4.94%
Units advantage: 11.2 x 2 = 22.4

Running advantage after 149 bets: +2,360.93 (+35.5 units)

Running units after 146 bets (37W|109L): +160.20 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Wow. If I'd picked the opposite sides last night, would have been a 10/1 parlay. Both 2-1 victories for the less fancied team. Liverpool were expected to field a weaker side, but I wasn't prepared to see even Mignolet in goal, nor for Lovren to get injured so quickly... hate him but he's better than Fabinho plus 16 yr olds in central defence.

Out of 2 domestic cups, only Champs League left!

Anyway, let's hope for a goal fest in tonight's FA Cup, a Saudi win in AFC, and a Valencia victory in the King's Cup.

Game 1: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Chelsea. Over 2.5 goals @ BCR odds: 1.81
Game 2: Saudi Arabia vs DPRK. Saudi WIN@ BRC odds: 1.76
Game 3: Sporting Gijon vs Valencia. Valencia WIN@ BCR odds: 2.0
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.48. BCR parlay: 6.3712

Odds advantage: 1.71%
Units advantage: 10.88

Running advantage after 146 bets: +2,325.43 (+10.88 units)

Running units after 145 bets (37W|108L): +260.20 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Syria did all they could, but Palestine's dogged defending (4 yellow cards and 1 sending off) saw them through a scoreless draw. Palestine look like they'll end up bottom the way they played, but this was anyway their rating before the group started.

We look to Liverpool to revive our fortunes with an FA Cup win over Wolverhampton, coupled with a Celta Vigo home win in the La Liga.

Game 1: Wolves vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.95. BCR odds: 1.93
Game 2: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao. Celta Vigo WIN @2.40. BCR odds: 2.38
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @4.68. BCR parlay: 4.5934

Odds advantage: 1.89%
Units advantage: 8.66

Running advantage after 145 bets: +2,314.55 (+8.66 units)

Running units after 144 bets (37W|107L): +360.20 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Quote from: Tavarez on January 06, 2019, 08:35:05 AM

Why heart broken when Man. City fully deserved win. Liverpool is good squad but with such defending line they cannot hope for much. Lovren is such a hole and not the 1st time he crashes the result. I wonder at times who he reached fifa world cup finals.

Heart broken because Liverpool is my team. I never said City didn't deserve to win, kudos for them playing the way they did, switching styles for the 3 points and Pep outfoxing Klopp, but that's got nothing to do with how my heart breaks;) It's been breaking ever since I started following them really, but sometimes the memories are worth all the shattered pieces;)

And yes, I've put the blame squarely on Lovren and his big mouth for this loss. But the way heartbreak works, doesn't matter how you place the blame.

Tavarez

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Quote from: buwaytress on January 04, 2019, 06:05:02 AM

My heart is broken. Liverpool lost to City, I couldn't even watch the game properly, and we let in 2 goals. But never the matter, hope is high still and City can still drop points, just as we did. I know our lead beyond 5 points will be restored.

We look to Spain for a bit of a salve, a simple 2-game parlay for the home teams.

Game 1: Levante vs Girona. Levante WIN @2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.15
Game 2: Espanyol vs Leganes. Espanyol WIN @2.11. Betcoin odds: 2.10

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.5787. Betcoin parlay:4.51
Odds advantage: 1.52%
Units advantage: 6.87

Running advantage after 141 bets: +2,249.14 (+6.87 units)

Running units after 140 bets (37W|103L): +760.20 (-100 units)

Why heart broken when Man. City fully deserved win. Liverpool is good squad but with such defending line they cannot hope for much. Lovren is such a hole and not the 1st time he crashes the result. I wonder at times who he reached fifa world cup finals.

buwaytress

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Would have won a much bigger parlay had I backed the opposite teams in all of last night's parlays, with a small Asian handicap. Terrible nose for FA Cup pickings, missed out all the underdog victories too haha.

AFC games are thick and fast, and we've got a really tasty encounter with Syria/Palestine, which I'll back Syria, against a Thailand victory over India by 2 goals.

Game 1: Thailand vs India. Thailand -1.5 @2.55. Fairlay odds: 2.50
Game 2: Syria vs Palestine. Syria WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.71
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @4.335. Assuming Fairlay/BCR parlay: 4.275
Odds advantage: 1.4%
Units advantage: 6

Running advantage after 143 bets: +2,305.89 (+6 units)

Running units after 142 bets (37W|105L): +560.20 (-100 units)

Edit. The Thais need to score 4 goals in 11 minutes for me to win the parlay, so I've lost it before Syria even plays... but as Jordan upset the group by beating Australia, odds for Syria to win have moved almost 20% to 2.05/1.997 after commissions on Fairlay.

So adding 100 unit bet at Fairlay on Syria to WIN @1.997.

Running advantage after 144 bets: +2,305.89 (+0 units)

Running units after 143 bets (37W|106L): +460.20 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Boo! Levante actually accounted really well for themselves, and still hauled back to 2-2 despite the red card (and niggling yellows all included). Still, a draw breaks our parlay.

Today we've got a host of FA Cup games. Missed the early games but plenty more to look at, so we'll go for backing UAE on the AFC Group A opener and pad it up with FA Cup samplers backing Premiership teams against lesser opponents:

Game 1: UAE vs Bahrain. UAE WIN @1.65. BCR odds: 1.58
Game 2: Gillingham vs Cardiff. Cardiff WIN @1.80. BCR odds: 1.74
Game 3: Newcastle vs Blackburn Rovers. Newcastle WIN @1.80. BCR odds: 1.76
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.346. BCR parlay: 4.8385

Odds advantage: 10.58%
Units advantage: 50.75

Running advantage after 142 bets: +2,299.89 (+50.75 units)

Running units after 141 bets (37W|104L): +660.20 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Merit: 3408

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My heart is broken. Liverpool lost to City, I couldn't even watch the game properly, and we let in 2 goals. But never the matter, hope is high still and City can still drop points, just as we did. I know our lead beyond 5 points will be restored.

We look to Spain for a bit of a salve, a simple 2-game parlay for the home teams.

Game 1: Levante vs Girona. Levante WIN @2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.15
Game 2: Espanyol vs Leganes. Espanyol WIN @2.11. Betcoin odds: 2.10

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.5787. Betcoin parlay:4.51
Odds advantage: 1.52%
Units advantage: 6.87

Running advantage after 141 bets: +2,249.14 (+6.87 units)

Running units after 140 bets (37W|103L): +760.20 (-100 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 72. (Read 38849 times)