Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 74.

buwaytress

legendary

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Weird Saturday indeed. Every single game contrived to end 1-0, and even went against my hedge bet, hence 2 losses with nothing to shout about.

Today, only 1 game matters. A bit shocking to see Liverpool are such distant favourites, I cannot ever recall Man Utd ever given more than 6/1 when playing even at Anfield. Great value for Red Devils but I'm going for a bet with the heart, and choosing all the favourites to win today.

Game 1: Southampton vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.84. Betcoin odds: @1.85
Game 2: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.45. Betcoin odds: @1.5
Game 3: Liverpool vs Manchester United. Liverpool WIN @1.56. Betcoin odds: @1.45
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.1716. Betcoin parlay: 4.0237
Odds advantage: 3.68%
Units advantage: 14.79

Running advantage after 120 bets: +1,574.18 (+14.79 units)

Running units after 119 bets (31W|88L): -251.82 (-190 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Really tight game, I did see that most of the volume at Fairlay on the match was for a draw, so perhaps everyone else knew something a little more than I did, eh? Anyway, Leganes drawing away to a favourite, should probably keep an eye on them.

We return to more EPL action for today, and use the AFF Cup final between Vietnam and Malaysia to try and double that odds. We use a slightly risky Over goals for all legs:

Game 1: Crystal Palace vs Leicester City. Over [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.7
Game 2: Huddersfield vs Newcaselte. Over [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.9
Game 3: Vietnam vs Malaysia. Over 2.5 @1.94. Betcoin odds: 2.0

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.6674. Betcoin parlay: 6.1

Odds advantage: 9.3%
Units advantage: 56.74

I'll also take a side single on Malaysia winning the AFF Cup on fairlay, interesting odds as I think they've got a fair chance with one of the strongest teams in years. So 90 units (couldn't match it all) at Fairlay on Malaysia to WIN at full time @5.5609. Betcoin odds: 5.5
Odds advantage: 1.1%
Units advantage: 5.48

Total units advantage: 62.22

Running advantage after 119 bets: +1,559.39 (+62.22 units)

Running units after 117 bets (31W|86L): -61.82 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Another miserable Europa night for me, all three legs of the parlay failed, would even have failed over/unders I was considering. That's what you get for backing reserves I guess. Bordeaux even got their win, and they lost the last 2 times I backed them!

Simple bet on Leganes away at Celta Vigo tonight on La Liga. They've got more to gain, fighting off relegation and they have been showing good form with a draw and 2 wins in the last 2 weeks. I'll back them to continue their fine run.

100 units on Leganes to WIN at Celta Vigo at Fairlay @4.8522. Betcoin/BCR odds: 4.75.

Odds advantage: 2.15%
Units advantage: 10.22

Running advantage after 117 bets: +1,497.17 (+10.22 units)

Running units after 116 bets (31W|85L): +38.18 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well, how about that, overestimating Manchester United yet again and Bayern too! I deserved the loss haha. Pity I didn't spot the underdog victories in Group G, a parlay on those two would have bagged over 20/1 if I recall the odds correctly!

We've got Europe league tonight and here is the parlay:

Game 1: Lazio vs Eintracht Frankfurt. Lazio WIN @2.15. BCR odds: 2.16
Game 2: Dinaomo Kiev vs Jablonec. Kiev WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.68
Game 3: Vidi vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.6. BCR odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.02. BCR parlay:5.635

Odds advantage: 6.83%
Units advantage: 38.5

Running advantage after 116 bets: +1,486.95 (+38.5 units)

Running units after 115 bets (31W|84L): +138.18 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Close games, Liverpool won by a goal, but Barca and Inter both disappointed so our parlay folded miserably. Brugge held to a scoreless draw but to be fair from what I saw, they didn't deserve to win either.

Tonight's parlay goes again for away wins for teams facing difficult times - Manchester United and Bayern Munich. United are rumoured to field a weak team but then again, their stars have been playing crap and youngsters might be bolder. Bayern are also increasingly under pressure but they'll want to seek confidence with a win. Different night, different atmosphere!

Game 1: Ajax vs Bayern Munich. Munich WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.06
Game 2: Valencia vs Manchester Utd. Utd WIN @3.1. BCR odds: 3.06

100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.355. BCR parlay: 6.3036
Odds advantage: 0.82%
Units advantage: 5.14

Running advantage after 115 bets: +1,448.45 (+5.14 units)

Running units after 114 bets (31W|83L): +238.18 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Bloody Everton! Almost had an underdog winner last night, yes Watford benefitted from an own goal but if you don't keep shooting, you don't get those goals. So many bets won with last minute goals, so I guess this is karmaic to lose the bet to a 96th-min Everton equaliser.

Champions League aplenty tonight, I only have eyes for 1 game - Liverpool, which I'll parlay with Barcelona - but I'll tuck something away for an underdog pick.

Game 1: Liverpool vs Napoli. Liverpool WIN [email protected]. BCR odds: 1.65
Game 2: Barcelona vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Barca WIN [email protected] BCR odds: 2.04
Game 3: Inter Milan vs PSV Eindhoven. Inter WIN Betcoin @1.45 BCR odds: @1.41

100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.0532. BCR parlay: 4.7493
Odds advantage: 6.4%
Units advantage: 30.39

Underdog pick of the day: Club Brugge vs Athletico Madrid. 100 units at Fairlay for Brugge WIN [email protected]. Betcoin odds:6.25
Odds advantage: 10.82%
Units advantage: 67.65

Total Units advantage: 98.04

Running advantage after 114 bets: +1,443.31 (+98.04 units)

Running units after 112 bets (31W|81L): +438.18 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Shame on the Torino game, thought this was going really well with the last-minute winner from Wolves, but the game in Turin just couldn't deliver any goals. If anything Torino might have lost. So the winning streak's broken, we look at tonight's sole EPL for a surprise win by Watford away at Everton. Yes, I'm clearly the red side of Mersey, so let's have a look Wink

I'm always on the lookout for good sportsbooks, and Bitcoinrush really has lowest margins majority of the time, but I will now add 2 more active options: Betcoin and Fairlay. The former does have an unfortunate history but under new management, seems to have stayed out of trouble and is building a reputation now, while the latter is more of a prediction market. Fairlay does have a commission if you win (0.2256%) so I will factor that into the odds. It does go lower as you bet more, so I'll remember to adjust). Fairlay also doesn't do parlays, so it will probably make rare appearances on this thread, but as you know I do like the single bets on underdogs!

Game 1: Everton vs Watford. Fairlay odds:5.4449 BCR odds: 5.33 Betcoin: 5.25
Single bet for 100 units at Fairlay @5.449

Odds advantage: 2.3%
Units advantage: 11.49

Running advantage after 112 bets: +1,345.27 (+11.49 units)

Running units after 111 bets (31W|80L): +538.18 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well how about that for a change? First time won 2 daily bets, and both above 3/1 odds so it's the first streak of 3 wins on the canter and perfect results for me personally with Liverpool topping the English league, City handed their first loss, and Dortmund scoring a last-gasp winner to solidify their grip on Bundesliga. Great stuff for the underdogs.

For Sunday, we back a Wolves away win... Newcastle will surely play at their best at home trying to recover from a break in their 3 consecutive wins, but Wolves got to be on song after beating the team that defeated City. We'll also back a Milan home win to complete the simple parlay.

Game 1: Newcastle vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves [email protected] Nitro odds: 2.725
Game 2: AC Milan vs Torino. Milan WIN @1.9 Nitro odds:1.889

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.2085. Nitro parlay: 5.148
Odds advantage:1.18%
Units advantage: 6.05

Running advantage after 111 bets: +1,333.78 (+6.05 units)

Running units after 110 bets (31W|79L): +638.18 (+527.43 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Slim win for Juventus, but all the same really happy with the fight Inter put up, it's been a long climb back into Serie A contention for them but I think a lot of people will be glad to see them fight it out with the best at the top again. Napoli still in second and will not be able to take their foot of the gas in the league, same as Liverpool in 2nd when they next meet in Anfield.

We pushed on the 2nd leg, but still collect some winnings for making the first and last leg of parlay.

Back to Premier League action for today's picks, starting with early kickoff Liverpool win to begin the ball rolling. We pair that with another away win in the Bundesliga backing Dortmund.

Game 1: AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.55. Nitro: 1.539
Game 2: Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund WIN @2.21. Nitro: 2.197
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.4243. Nitro parlay:3.381
Odds advantage: 1.28%
Units advantage: 4.33

Can't resist betting Chelsea to win at home vs Man City for underdog pick of the day either also at Bitcoinrush @3.85. Nitro odds: 3.817
Odds advantage:0.86%
Units advantage: 3.3

Running advantage after 110 bets: +1,327.73 (+7.63 units)

Running units after 108 bets (29|79L): +110.75 (+177.69 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Bloody night with the favourites in Spanish/Italian cup games last night. Eibar couldn't score the much-needed goal and our parlay crumbled with that leg. Real had a beautiful thrashing of their minnow opponents, should have gone for that but 2/1 was only available at Over 4 and Real's form lately hasn't been great.

We do have a lone game in each German, Italian, and Spanish top leagues tonight (French postponed or we'd have taken Monaco), so let's take a look at options there.

Game 1: Werder Bremen vs Fortuna Dusseldorf. Bremen WIN @1.76. Nitro odds: 1.752
Game 2: Getafe vs Leganes. Over 2 @2.18. Nitro odds: 2.172
Game 3: Juventus vs Inter. Juve WIN @1.6. Nitro odds: 1.585

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.1323. Nitro parlay: 6.032

Odds advantage: 1.6%
Units advantage: 10.03

Running advantage after 108 bets: +1,320.1 (+10.03 units)

Running units after 107 bets (28W|79L): -66.94 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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I'm a fan of happy endings, and I was inside rooting for a Fulham result against the club he took to immortality, but Leicester had to win this... and didn't. RIP parlay and our bankroll is back down almost to even balance.

A few exotic games tonight, but let's look at Copa del Ray and Coppa Italia for some hunting.

Game 1. Genoa vs Virtus Entella. Over 2.5 goals @1.81. Nitro: 1.798
Game 2. Eibar vs Sporting Gijon. Eibar WIN @1.51. Nitro: 1.498
Game 3. Real Betis vs Racing Santander. Betis WIN @1.41. Nitro: 1.4
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.9605. Nitro parlay: 3.7707

Odds advantage: 5.03%
Units advantage: 18.98

Running advantage after 107 bets: +1,310.07 (+18.98 units)

Running units after 106 bets (28W|78L): +33.06 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Excellent night out, home teams all played really well last night, even Watford despite their fighting loss to Manchester City. Very happy we got the Brighton win, even though they were the slight underdog, they raced into a 3-0 lead that Crystal Palace were never going to go level with.

We switch over to the away teams tonight!

Liverpool once more features tonight, and we parlay that against a goalfest at Old Trafford (poor odds on either winners so why not bank on Emery's boys to fire away?) and the Leicester away win?

Game 1: Burnely vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.3. Nitro: 1.286
Game 2: Man Utd vs Arsenal. Over 2.5 goals @1.63. Nitro: 1.619
Game 3: Fulham vs Leicester. Leicester WIN @.2.56. Nitro: 2.545

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.417. Nitro parlay: 5.299

Odds advantage: 2.23%
Units advantage: 11.8

Running advantage after 106 bets: +1,291.09 (+11.8units)

Running units after 105 bets (28W|77L): +133.06 (+399.67 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Leverkusen tried and tried very hard but to no avail. Have I been caught out by the winter period where teams run out of energy or are conserving them? So many parlays lost by a goal or a failure to win by favourites. Nonetheless, we keep our spirits high because there's still 2/3rd of the season to go.

Premier League is back tonight and we'll go for two home games to keep it simple!

Game 1: AFC Bournemouth vs Huddersfield. Bournemouth WIN @1.67. Nitro: 1.661
Game 2: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace. Brighton WIN @2.99 Nitro: 2.973

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.9967 Nitro parlay:4.938
Odds advantage: 1.1%
Units advantage: 5.83

Running advantage after 105 bets: +1,279.29 (+5.83 units)

Running units after 104 bets (27W|77L): -266.61 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Doom and gloom, as it turns out, but for Liverpool to win the Merseyside derby the way they did, I'd have given up yesterday's parlay any time of day. Some wins are just everything and we'll remember this one for a long time.

Monday night football's not going to get me to go on telly, but here is today's parlay on 2 away wins at Serie A and Bundesliga:

Game 1: Atalanta vs Napoli: Napoli WIN @2.2. Nitro odds: 2.187
Game 2: Nurnberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Leverkusen WIN @1.78. Nitro odds: 1.764
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.9054 Nitro parlay: 3.858

Odds advantage: 1.23%
Units advantage: 4.74 units

Running advantage after 104 bets: +1,273.46 (+4.74 units)

Running units after 103 bets (27W|76L): -166.61 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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And so today after just over 100 bets, bankroll goes into negative. Real and Juve won, but not Newcastle. But since this was never really a tipster thread and a record of how betting regularly at bookies with better odds/lower margins is a good strategy for maximising profits (or mitigating losses haha), we continue and hope to get back into the black.

Tonight of course we back Liverpool, there's no point in winning a parlay if my beloved team lose.

Game 1 Liverpool vs Everton. Liverpool WIN @1.44. Nitro: 1.433
Game 2 Chelsea vs Fulham. Corners over 10.5 @2.01. Nitro: 2.003
Game 3 Alaves vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.05. Nitro: 2.038

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.9437. Nitro parlay: 5.85

Odds advantage: 1.60%
Units advantage: 9.37 units

Running advantage after 103 bets: +1,268.72 (+9.37 units)

Running units after 102 bets (27W|75L): -66.61 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Quote from: DarkStar_ on December 02, 2018, 12:54:51 AM

Hey, I have some other sportsbook suggestions for you to get better odds:

Fairlay is a sports betting exchange. Might be a little bit more complicated but they offer better/equal odds to BitcoinRush the majority of the time, even after commission (0.25% if you win). They don't allow parlays though, but you can certainly get better value from your single bets.

Betcoin's sportsbook now has really good margin for Soccer now. You can find better/equal odds at least a third of the time for ML bets. Margin for Totals/Handicaps is still pretty bad. Trust might be an issue for you but they've been running quite well after new management (from what I've seen).

Hey DS, thanks for dropping by, always appreciate the pointers from fellow bettors. I'm actually also really trying hard to find something better (aren't we all?). Your last recommendation was really good for major leagues in Europe but they've now dropped their sportsbook indefinitely so there's a gap to be filled.

I HAVE looked at Fairlay in the past and even 1hash (I believe quite similar style of market making/taking), but they weren't very good for selections, perhaps time to check them out again now whenever I back the underdog in Singles.

Betcoin yes. The trust issue very difficult to ignore, but fair enough to give them a chance.

I'll look into them the next week or so, it would add variety for sure!

DarkStar_

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3282

Hey, I have some other sportsbook suggestions for you to get better odds:

Fairlay is a sports betting exchange. Might be a little bit more complicated but they offer better/equal odds to BitcoinRush the majority of the time, even after commission (0.25% if you win). They don't allow parlays though, but you can certainly get better value from your single bets.

Betcoin's sportsbook now has really good margin for Soccer now. You can find better/equal odds at least a third of the time for ML bets. Margin for Totals/Handicaps is still pretty bad. Trust might be an issue for you but they've been running quite well after new management (from what I've seen).

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Both legs of the parlay drew, didn't foresee their opponents just having backs to walls and getting away with it. But we look to the premier leagues of Europe tonight for some salvation as we stand 1 bet away from an overall loss.

We'll go for convincing wins from the Old Lady in Turin, parlayed against Real in Madrid (yes I know, they are far from their best but this makes for good odds) and round it up with a Newcastle 4th win on the trot.

Game 1 Fiorentina vs Juventus. Juve WIN @1.67. Nitro odds: 1.656
Game 2 Real Madrid vs Valencia. Real WIN @1.57. Nitro odds: 1.564
Game 3 Newcastle Utd vs West Ham Utd. Newcastle WIN @2.51. Nitro odds: 2.496

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.5875. Nitro parlay: 6.465

Odds advantage: 1.89%
Units advantage: 12.25 units

Running advantage after 102 bets: +1,259.35 (+12.25 units)

Running units after 101 bets (27W|74L): +33.39 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Poor night in Europa, very few teams scored over 2 goals so even the ones I was considering didn't, although the we did have buckets of them in three games. I'm two losses away from recording a negative sheet from a really bad run of only 1 win in 10 days or so. That's the nature of it all!

I'll pick the FA Cup, where Blackpool's given pretty nice odds considering their opponent's from Conference leagues, and parlay that against a riskier Russian league game, favouring Rubin Kazan to get a tight home victory against their Moscovite opposition.

Game 1: Solihull Moors vs Blackpool. Blackpool WIN @1.93. Nitro odds: 1.913
Game 2: Rubin Kazan vs Dinamo Moscow. Kazan WIN @2.12. Nitro odds: 2

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush for 4.083. Nitro parlay: 3.826

Odds advantage: 6.72%
Units advantage: 25.7 units

Running advantage after 102 bets: +1,247.1 (+25.7 units)

Running units after 101 bets (27W|73L): +133.39 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Lost the parlay and the sucker bet. I really don't know if Liverpool can ever find their away leg form in Europe, but let's hope the Anfield Cauldron takes them past the group stage. That's still 2 weeks away so we'll cross that bridge when we get there.

Incredible number of games at Europa, we'll pick 2 juicy ones for goals and pad with a favourite to win yet again (Arsenal!):

Game 1: Rangers vs Villareal: Over 2.5 @1.68. Nitro: 1.670
Game 2: Astana vs Dinamo Kiev. Over 2 @1.93. Nitro: 1.918
Game 3: Arsenal vs Vorska Poltava. Arsenal WIN @1.78. Nitro: 1.764

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush for 5.7865. Nitro parlay: 5.65

Odds advantage: 2.42%
Units advantage: 13.65 units

Running advantage after 101 bets: +1,221.4 (+13.65 units)

Running units after 100 bets (27W|72L): +233.39 (-200 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 74. (Read 38849 times)