Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 76. (Read 40042 times)

Parlay busted by the narrowest of margins, so much for international friendlies on Christmas day. Boxing Day EPL is really one of my favourite times of the year, and I'll just make a simple parlay for the favourites - again if the big 4 drop points, except for Liverpool of course, I won't mind losing the bets.

Game 1: Leicester vs Man City. City WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.36
Game 2: Tottenham vs Bournemouth. Spurs WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.35
Game 3: Brighton and Hove vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.68
Game 4: Watford vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.70. BCR odds: 1.68
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.2670. BCR parlay: 5.182

Odds advantage: 1.64%
Units advantage: 8.5

Scoreless draws in both games last night, guess the Turks weren't ready to light up the night sky on Christmas Eve.

Some interesting friendlies today but odds aren't available everywhere, but I'll back the Vietnam tough guys fresh from AFC Cup elimination, and the Qatar heavyweights to continue their domination in friendlies.

Game 1: Vietnam vs DPRK. Vietnam WIN @2.65. BCR odds: 2.63
Game 2: Qatar vs Kyrgystan. Qatar -1.5 @2.00. BCR odds: 1.95
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.30. BCR parlay: 5.1285

Odds advantage: 3.34%
Units advantage: 17.15

Good solid wins. No idea about Qatar stats as the friendly was played behind closed doors but hard to ignore the Qataris are vastly superior to Jordan's national team. And Spurs winning in style, nice to see our bankroll finally come up so we're back in the black!

Really slim pickings on Christmas eve, but I'll back a couple of games in today's Turkish league:

Game 1: Akhisar Belediyespor vs Konyaspor. Over 2.5 @2.13. Betcoin odds: 2.10
Game 2: Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce. Feerbahce WIN @1.79. Betcoin odds: 1.80
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.8205. Betcoin parlay: 3.78
Odds advantage: 1.07%
Units advantage: 4.05

Spectacular night for the underdogs last night, shame I didn't listen to my gut for once haha, but as I said, happy to lose the parlay if it means Big Six teams drop points in the EPL. Never mind dropping points, losing games at difficult home grounds (Etihad, Stamford Bridge). Is it too much to have yet another, albeit minor, upset happen today with Spurs? If so, it'll be another loss for me I won't mind.

Simple parlay with Qatar winning their friendly against Jordan.

Game 1: Everton vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Spurs WIN @2.3. BCR odds: 2.31
Game 2: Qatar vs Jordan. Qatar WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.72
100 units Parlay at Betcoin @4.025. BCR parlay: 3.984
Odds advantage: 1.03%
Units advantage: 4.1

The comfortable 2-0 win for Liverpool was far from comfortable, Wolves are such a solid team, just that Salah was irresistible on the night. Dortmund bounced back from their loss to give our parlay a solid win... but the icing was the 1-0 win our underdog Alaves managed. Fewer shots on target, low possession but they smashed as early goal and held on for the win. Great night to take us back above positive bankroll!

We'll go for a big 4-game parlay tonight in the EPL. I actually won't mind losing if one of the favourites Arsenal/Chelsea drops points. Can Crystal Palace do that in City's fortress though? Very unlikely, so I'll pass the delicious 10/1 odds to draw on that game

Game 1: Arsenal vs Burnley. Arsenal WIN @1.25. BCR odds: 1.21
Game 2: Chelsea vs Leicester. Chelsea WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.34
Game 3: Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove. Bournemouth WIN @1.9. BCR odds: 1.92
Game 4: Newcastle vs Fulham. Newcastle WIN. Newcastle WIN @2.0. BCR odds: 2.05
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.4125. BCR parlay: 6.364

Odds advantage: 0.76%
Units advantage: 4.85

Straightforward wins to make up for the double losing bets of Wednesday, Rodez got the desired advantage to push for promotion and Feyenoord duly progressed in the cup competition.

We see Liverpool take on Wolves tonight, which I must of course back as am bound to by my weakness for them. If they win, they can ensure City don't spend another day in 1st spot for longer than a week. I'd really like to see how Liverpool deals with pressure being on top, and how City deals with being the one doing the chasing for once.

Wolves are a tough nut, mind you... the only team outside top four and Lyon to have caused City to drop points this season. We'll parlay them up, backing home teams Dortmund to bounce back from defeat.

Game 1: Wolves vs Liverpool. Liver WIN Betcoin @1.6. BCR odds: 158
Game 2: Borussia Dortmund vs BoMönchengladbach. Dortmund WIN Betcoin @1.6. BCR odds: 1.58
Parlay for 100 units at Betcoin @2.56. BCR parlay:2.495
Odds advantage: 2.61%
Units advantage: 6.5

And underdog pick of the day: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves. 100 units at Fairlay Alaves WIN @5.4449. BCR odds: 5.3
Odds advantage: 2.73%
Units advantage: 14.49

Total units advantage: 20.99

RIP Japanese football to Bale's hattrick. If I knew he'd be playing (he was supposed to be unfit) I might have stepped aside. And RIP Gunners to the revenge of Spurs who fielded a strong team.

Warming up for tomorrow's English cup games, we pick a simple parlay in French 3rd division where Rodez can make a strong case with their game in hand to claw up to pole. Then we pick a Dutch cup game backing the home favourites, who've not much to play for in the league anyway.

Game 1: Rodez Avayron vs Laval: Rodez WIN @2.00. BCR: 2.09
Game 2: Feyenoord vs FC Utrecht: Feyenoord WIN @1.50. BCR: 1.45
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.0272. Betcoin parlay: 3.00
Odds advantage: 0.91%
Units advantage: 2.72

You know, it was a really close game. City fielded kids as expected and Leicester scored to make it 1-1 and could have snatched it at extra time. As it happened, game went to penalties and Pep got the win and momentum he wanted.

I know I should not try for another upset, but Real Madrid are a case with the FIFA Club World Cup. They're coming up against Kashima Antlers... both are third in their league but also current champions of Europe and Asia... and I've followed Antlers every now and then due to them having played against my home team in the past on occassion. Antlers want this win, and they're certainly capable, they're not afraid of Ramos and they might be facing weaker attacking options if Solari has his eye on domestic competition.

So 100 units at Fairlay, on Kashima Antlers to WIN @10.3837. Bitcoinrush odds: 8.12
Odds advantage: 27.88%
Units advantage: 226.37

Also, EFL trophy parlay. Arsenal are the Liverpool of 2 seasons past, doing well against good teams, faltering against lesser opponents. Their kids at home are also better than Spurs' kids, and if Poch plays his veterans, they'll be tired. We'll match it against a simple Sarri win over Bournemouth.

Game 1: Arsenal vs Spurs. Arsenal WIN @2.45. BCR odds: 2.45
Game 2: Chelsea vs Bournemouth. Chelsea WIN @1.35. BCR odds: 1.32
100 units parlay at Betcoin @3.3075. Bitcoinrush parlay: 3.246
Odds advantage: 1.89%
Units advantage: 6.15

Total units advantage: 232.52

Thank you for the kind words! Bitcoinrush is really one of the oldest names around Bitcoin sportsbooks - their casino is now part of a larger suite of offerings called Monster Byte, which also acquired MoneyPot (another really old name) as a wallet integrated across apps plus an exchange called Nessie. They've had the best sportsbook odds for a while now, consistently lowest margins (off Pinnacle). Ever since a few others made comparisons, their name pops up very often.

Just a word of caution. I don't provide tips primarily, this thread's purpose is really to show the edge you can gain simply by choosing the bookie with the best odds or lowest margins. As you can see, after 116 bets I've placed, the average gain is over 10 units just by taking a few extra minutes to compare odds. And that's only using closest competitor. You stand to lose a LOT more if you just bet on 1 bookie. If I were to compare best odds to worst odds, I'd probably record twice that much advantage.

Regarding my betting style, I'm big on parlays too so those tiny margin advantages can really add up - as well as on high odds bets, my last single bet above has a 14.98% better odds over the closest competitor. I'm not a great tipster, and don't claim to be... but with parlays and underdog bets I tend to cash in big... bankroll's gone as high as 35% in profit but as you can see now... I'm currently at my all-time low of -5% My win/loss record is also around 1/3 now, reflecting the risks I take.

But all my tips are backed by actual bets, and every unit lost/earned recorded to 2 decimals, so I like to think I'm one of the more transparent and accountable recorders here. Most tipsters show you a win/loss record but no real way to track profits.

wow i really like this thread, We will add Bitcoinrush asap to our listings, and I will follow this thread and try some of your bets.

Poor Lazio, lost again to a first minute goal, despite having 3 times as many attempts as Atalanta. Bankroll's dipping to new negatives, so I'm going to go for less ambitious hits for a while to build back a healthy positive.

But not before betting on an upset in tonight's Carabao Cup in England! I know Pep keeps saying it doesn't matter which game he's playing, and he'll talk up Leicester to no end before the game, but who knows, home advantage and Vardy desperate to find the net.

100 units at Fairly on Leicester to WIN against Manchester City @9.773. Betcoin odds: 8.50
Odds advantage: 14.98%
Units advantage: 127.3

Horrendous result for the Gunners, but that another of the challengers for the English league title has dropped points makes me feel OK I lost the parlay. Took several other single bets on Liverpool, (Over 1 at HT, -1.5 Handicap, Corners, Cards) all of them won, so a nice bonus either way. Shouldn't really have been betting so much but the Liverpool-Utd match always gets me a bit foolhardy.

Lazio disappointed me in their last outing and they're playing away today with a bad patch of form, so even though they aren't tipped to win, I'll back them to get 3 points and leapfrog Milan for 4th place. We'll parlay that with an Alaves home win... slight favourites Bilbao are having some recent political troubles within management, so I'm hoping they'll be distracted.

Game 1: Atalanta vs Lazio. Lazio WIN @3.4. Betcoin odds:3.35
Game 2: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao. Alaves WIN @2.98. Betcoin odds: 2.95
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @10.132. Betcoin parlay: 9.88
Odds advantage: 2.55%
Units advantage: 25.2

Weird Saturday indeed. Every single game contrived to end 1-0, and even went against my hedge bet, hence 2 losses with nothing to shout about.

Today, only 1 game matters. A bit shocking to see Liverpool are such distant favourites, I cannot ever recall Man Utd ever given more than 6/1 when playing even at Anfield. Great value for Red Devils but I'm going for a bet with the heart, and choosing all the favourites to win today.

Game 1: Southampton vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.84. Betcoin odds: @1.85
Game 2: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.45. Betcoin odds: @1.5
Game 3: Liverpool vs Manchester United. Liverpool WIN @1.56. Betcoin odds: @1.45
100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @4.1716. Betcoin parlay: 4.0237
Odds advantage: 3.68%
Units advantage: 14.79

Really tight game, I did see that most of the volume at Fairlay on the match was for a draw, so perhaps everyone else knew something a little more than I did, eh? Anyway, Leganes drawing away to a favourite, should probably keep an eye on them.

We return to more EPL action for today, and use the AFF Cup final between Vietnam and Malaysia to try and double that odds. We use a slightly risky Over goals for all legs:

Game 1: Crystal Palace vs Leicester City. Over [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.7
Game 2: Huddersfield vs Newcaselte. Over [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.9
Game 3: Vietnam vs Malaysia. Over 2.5 @1.94. Betcoin odds: 2.0

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.6674. Betcoin parlay: 6.1

Odds advantage: 9.3%
Units advantage: 56.74

I'll also take a side single on Malaysia winning the AFF Cup on fairlay, interesting odds as I think they've got a fair chance with one of the strongest teams in years. So 90 units (couldn't match it all) at Fairlay on Malaysia to WIN at full time @5.5609. Betcoin odds: 5.5
Odds advantage: 1.1%
Units advantage: 5.48

Total units advantage: 62.22

Another miserable Europa night for me, all three legs of the parlay failed, would even have failed over/unders I was considering. That's what you get for backing reserves I guess. Bordeaux even got their win, and they lost the last 2 times I backed them!

Simple bet on Leganes away at Celta Vigo tonight on La Liga. They've got more to gain, fighting off relegation and they have been showing good form with a draw and 2 wins in the last 2 weeks. I'll back them to continue their fine run.

100 units on Leganes to WIN at Celta Vigo at Fairlay @4.8522. Betcoin/BCR odds: 4.75.

Odds advantage: 2.15%
Units advantage: 10.22

Well, how about that, overestimating Manchester United yet again and Bayern too! I deserved the loss haha. Pity I didn't spot the underdog victories in Group G, a parlay on those two would have bagged over 20/1 if I recall the odds correctly!

We've got Europe league tonight and here is the parlay:

Game 1: Lazio vs Eintracht Frankfurt. Lazio WIN @2.15. BCR odds: 2.16
Game 2: Dinaomo Kiev vs Jablonec. Kiev WIN @1.75. BCR odds: 1.68
Game 3: Vidi vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.6. BCR odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.02. BCR parlay:5.635

Odds advantage: 6.83%
Units advantage: 38.5

Close games, Liverpool won by a goal, but Barca and Inter both disappointed so our parlay folded miserably. Brugge held to a scoreless draw but to be fair from what I saw, they didn't deserve to win either.

Tonight's parlay goes again for away wins for teams facing difficult times - Manchester United and Bayern Munich. United are rumoured to field a weak team but then again, their stars have been playing crap and youngsters might be bolder. Bayern are also increasingly under pressure but they'll want to seek confidence with a win. Different night, different atmosphere!

Game 1: Ajax vs Bayern Munich. Munich WIN @2.05. BCR odds: 2.06
Game 2: Valencia vs Manchester Utd. Utd WIN @3.1. BCR odds: 3.06

100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.355. BCR parlay: 6.3036
Odds advantage: 0.82%
Units advantage: 5.14

Bloody Everton! Almost had an underdog winner last night, yes Watford benefitted from an own goal but if you don't keep shooting, you don't get those goals. So many bets won with last minute goals, so I guess this is karmaic to lose the bet to a 96th-min Everton equaliser.

Champions League aplenty tonight, I only have eyes for 1 game - Liverpool, which I'll parlay with Barcelona - but I'll tuck something away for an underdog pick.

Game 1: Liverpool vs Napoli. Liverpool WIN [email protected]. BCR odds: 1.65
Game 2: Barcelona vs Tottenham Hotspurs. Barca WIN [email protected] BCR odds: 2.04
Game 3: Inter Milan vs PSV Eindhoven. Inter WIN Betcoin @1.45 BCR odds: @1.41

100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.0532. BCR parlay: 4.7493
Odds advantage: 6.4%
Units advantage: 30.39

Underdog pick of the day: Club Brugge vs Athletico Madrid. 100 units at Fairlay for Brugge WIN [email protected]. Betcoin odds:6.25
Odds advantage: 10.82%
Units advantage: 67.65

Total Units advantage: 98.04

Shame on the Torino game, thought this was going really well with the last-minute winner from Wolves, but the game in Turin just couldn't deliver any goals. If anything Torino might have lost. So the winning streak's broken, we look at tonight's sole EPL for a surprise win by Watford away at Everton. Yes, I'm clearly the red side of Mersey, so let's have a look

I'm always on the lookout for good sportsbooks, and Bitcoinrush really has lowest margins majority of the time, but I will now add 2 more active options: Betcoin and Fairlay. The former does have an unfortunate history but under new management, seems to have stayed out of trouble and is building a reputation now, while the latter is more of a prediction market. Fairlay does have a commission if you win (0.2256%) so I will factor that into the odds. It does go lower as you bet more, so I'll remember to adjust). Fairlay also doesn't do parlays, so it will probably make rare appearances on this thread, but as you know I do like the single bets on underdogs!

Game 1: Everton vs Watford.  Fairlay odds:5.4449 BCR odds: 5.33 Betcoin: 5.25
Single bet for 100 units at Fairlay @5.449

Odds advantage: 2.3%
Units advantage: 11.49

Well how about that for a change? First time won 2 daily bets, and both above 3/1 odds so it's the first streak of 3 wins on the canter and perfect results for me personally with Liverpool topping the English league, City handed their first loss, and Dortmund scoring a last-gasp winner to solidify their grip on Bundesliga. Great stuff for the underdogs.

For Sunday, we back a Wolves away win... Newcastle will surely play at their best at home trying to recover from a break in their 3 consecutive wins, but Wolves got to be on song after beating the team that defeated City. We'll also back a Milan home win to complete the simple parlay.

Game 1: Newcastle vs Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves [email protected] Nitro odds: 2.725
Game 2: AC Milan vs Torino. Milan WIN @1.9 Nitro odds:1.889

100 units parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.2085. Nitro parlay: 5.148
Odds advantage:1.18%
Units advantage: 6.05