In New Zealand Vs Sri Lanka match, there will be some tough situation for the Pakistan Team, if the New Zealand Team wins then slightly low chances will be for the Pakistan. But there are two more possibilities that will be good for the side of Pakistan, first if the Sri Lanka Team wins and Pakistan win their match England then They will qualify for the Next Round. And Second if The rains hits then it will also be a probability for the Pakistan. So let's see who will be in the Top 4 teams and who will qualify for the Semi's.
Among the three teams Afghanistan and Pakistan and New Zealand, New Zealand is leading in net run rate. Although Afghanistan won't win against South Africa but if Afghanistan win it won't win by much margin. In this respect, it can be said that Afghanistan is behind to reach the semi-finals among the 3 teams. If New Zealand wins today then NRR will be more +. Sri Lanka are not in good form, New Zealand scored 401 runs in the last match, New Zealand is back in form. On the other hand, if Pakistan wants to reach the semi-finals, it will have to win against England by a large margin. England has performed well in the last match, it doesn't seem like Pakistan can win by a big margin. The upcoming Pakistan vs England match will be an important match for both the teams. Today's match is going to be a do or die match for both teams. If New Zealand lose today, their hopes of making the semi-finals are over, and if Sri Lanka lose, they will not be able to play in the Champions Trophy. But in today's match I think New Zealand will win. I think New Zealand will make it to the semi-finals.
The good thing about today's match will be that both the teams have the personal interest in winning the match and it is not like one team is out of the World Cup and hence the win or loss does not matter. Yes, Sri Lanka is out of the World Cup already but they will be playing for a win so that they may not be the team not qualifying for the champions trophy. New Zealand on the other hand will want to win this match and thus increase their chances of moving ahead in this tournament.
If we look at the odds of this match at stake.com, for Srilanka you will get 3.25 odds while for the New Zealand the odds are only 1.25 before the start of the match. We can clearly see that New Zealand is the favorite team and for Sri Lanka to win this one, they would be needing an upset.