D&T, the theory we've explained to you has been floating around for many months and coming from different people. Even pirate back in March or April somewhat confirmed this. It's not coming out of the blue. There is no new news here, we're only explaining what has already been explained a couple of times before.
...mmm...Brunic, do you actually know what pirate was doing to
legitimately earn 7%/week, or do you just have a theory?
I'm a little late to the conversation here, but I've done a considerable amount of reading on this matter over the last few days. Frankly, I've yet to see any substantial information on pirate's business model posted anywhere. I've seen many who claimed they knew what pirate was doing, but nobody provided any specifics (for the typical dubious reasons). The most detailed info on pirate's op I've been able to find is in this post:
and to further expand..
When I first joined #bitcoin-otc, I did a crapton of trading. I did a bunch of moneypaks to btc and back. Basically, playing market maker for whomever needed to move. Pirate joined around the same time as me, a few days earlier if I'm not mistaken. He was doing much the same thing. As a result, it was inevitable for us to end up trading. At various times, we each would come up with some big fish (or so it seemed at the time) and would help each other out with sourcing coins or finding coins good homes. All of these trades were always online, with random people that would join #bitcoin-otc. Eventually, pirate had some 'IRL' customers and it seemed they were larger than your typical moneypak transactions. Eventually, I got into mining rather than trading because of a few bad moneypaks that someone screwed me with. It seemed safer and less time intensive. Meanwhile, pirate seemed to be branching out his trading and there were times where he needed to borrow coins. When trading, you'd try to line up the incoming with the outgoing to minimize exchange risk and maximize profit, but then sometimes things go weird with one side or whatever and a person would end up needing to borrow. It happened to me at times in the past so I didn't think anything of it to loan out. Time went on, the lending became more regular and one thing leads to another and we end up here. Pirate never really told me what he was doing but I felt I had a good grasp of what was going on. The dip in and out of two transactions could make 10% pretty easy (5% on both sides, sometimes much more than that) so 7% actually seemed fair.
The above + other stuff I've read here indicates money laundering - not ponzi - to me. Reason being that market plays/arbitrage/trading skill by pirate would only last so long. IMO, money laundering is the only model that's sustainable for any length of time, given the returns pirate was paying. Problems would only occur when the guy(s) with dirty money who will pay >=10% to clean it
stop showing up on a regular basis. I think that's just what happened. To me, it's the only non-ponzi explanation that fits.
But since you claim pirate's operation has been explained on these forums ad infinitum, it should be a simple matter to point me to a post that explains pirate's
legitimate operation succinctly. Or perhaps you could spend a paragraph explaining your understanding of it. After all, there's no reason why you or anyone else couldn't divulge their knowledge of pirate's op now, and without ambiguity, unless his op was illegal from the gitgo.