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Topic: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) - page 269. (Read 907227 times)

newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0

I sold all. Game over.

BINGO!

I work like a doctor day and night, trying to prevent it, but still - sometimes the patient dies. It is sad. Sad


Here's the bottom line, you just buy for a dollar and sell for two.
That all there is to it, and will be.

Will bitcoin be the best and most efficient mean to accomlish that?

There just isn't enough manors for every bitcoin owner.
That's the core of the problem.

legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001

I love being called Dude, rather than mr Lebowski.  Smiley


I am from Southern California.  What can I say?

I only use it when I am really trying to get through to a friend.  "Like DUDE pay attention!"  Wink

That said, I understand your skepticism but do not underestimate the risk of having ALL your coins sold.  What I see all the time is people feeling like Bitcoin is risky. Everything in life is risky.  Walking outside my door each day is risky. Wink

That said, we don't know what will happen tomorrow.  All we can do is guess based on trends and the analysis of those trends.  Risto does an amazing job of understanding those trends and has been kind enough to give us some of his "secrets" if you will.  He could go smoke cigars in his castle but instead he "casts his pearls" out here for us "swine" to take advantage of.  I for one, am grateful.  And NOT having any coins at all could be the riskiest move to make.  I believe it is far worse than those that bought at $1100 and are still holding.  Why?  When the price gets to $5000 or more they may still have some coins.



sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255

Bitcoin will not work as:
-currency, too volatile
-mean of transaction, too slow and heavy
-value holder, for sure not

Due those factors Bitcoin will remain its status as marginal phenomenom. An experiment.
Mass adobtion WILL not happen. This will melt its value. Ask average Joe? He will ultimately
Mare the price howering between ask and bid....

1. The bigger Bitcoin gets, the more stable it gets and the easier it works as a currency.  So #1 is wrong.

2. Bitcoin is too slow to use at a checkout counter in a store.  But it's fantastic for internet orders.  Which way is the world going?  Also, Bitcoin pays off in only 1 hour as opposed to credit cards which can be recalled 120 days later.  So #2 is wrong.

3. It's holding value for me just fine.  Dollars will continue to inflate.  Bitcoin will continue to deflate.  So #3 is wrong.
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0

I sold all. Game over.

BINGO!

I work like a doctor day and night, trying to prevent it, but still - sometimes the patient dies. It is sad. Sad


Risto,

Do you think bitcoin will work in these:

Bitcoin will not work as:
-currency
-mean of transaction
-value holder

You will answer, bitcoin is a technology, right?
All technologies will eventually be replaced by better ones right?
The way I see it, this was "it".
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Much appreciated Rpietila, you just gotta think about the ones you saved  Wink
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036

I sold all. Game over.

BINGO!

I work like a doctor day and night, trying to prevent it, but still - sometimes the patient dies. It is sad. Sad
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
So Risto,  What are your feelings at the moment?  I assume now is a great time to buy.  When do you think the next rally will take place and what is your estimation on when we will reach the next ATH?  What do you think the next ATH will be?

I was thinking that I was surprised, yet again, that you were right about how the price was too high and that we would correct down to $400 or so. Yet here we are.  When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink

- I think it is much more probable (70%) that 400 will hold vs. not. Even if it goes lower, it does not change anything except that price is better for buyers and worse for sellers. There is still exactly the same number of bitcoins in the market and the viability of the technology is exactly the same.
- Yes, it is a great time to buy. If you are thinking of buying bitcoins, you should do it now. Even if you were not thinking, the price is good.
- The tribulation is likely over in a week, at most the sub-500 prices persist until past April 15 (tax sales). In the end of the month we are definitely over 500, probably about at 600.
- We are now at -0.3 log-units in the long term trendline. This situation will persist until the next uptrend launches. Note that the trendline ascends 23% per month and it drags the price up with it.
- After about 2-3 months, we are near 1000 and there is a hurdle to get over it. It succeeds and the rally is ignited, catapulting us to a new ATH of 3000-7000 in July-August. From taking the old ATH of 1163 to making the new, it is only 20-40 days.

Always happy to help Smiley

And these are based on what?

-400 will not hold, it's going to be a long slide bear behavior til below 100$
-buying or selling are irrellevant...
-2-3 months will be around 100-200$
-we will never see four figers again...

I sold all. Game over.

Dude.  Risto just bought a castle in Estonia. I think that in itself should lend some credit to him being "good" at this.  Not to mention he has been right over and over and over again in his predictions.  

Why are you so sure 400 will not hold?  What is your reasoning based on?  Please tell!

Do yourself a huge favor and at least buy some back!  You don't have to listen to me, but so far the only real regrets I have is not following Risto's advice more often. Wink  I own much thanks to him for not getting too emotional during the dips!  I have not sold out of panic because he seems to remain calm in "all weather."  In fact, if we can learn how to manage the ups and downs we can be thankful for them and use them to our advantage.

I love being called Dude, rather than mr Lebowski.  Smiley
Predictions over price are impossible to make. Price status floats
in the middle of ask and bid.

What I'm seeing here it's a fixed fight. Ownership base is too narrow.
Few highrollers can dumb their coin like that and price will??

I've been thinking coin a lot for 2 years now. What we've seen so far was "it".
There's nothing to expect anymore. Risto got a manor, well done.

Bitcoin will not work as:
-currency, too volatile
-mean of transaction, too slow and heavy
-value holder, for sure not

Due those factors Bitcoin will remain its status as marginal phenomenom. An experiment.
Mass adobtion WILL not happen. This will melt its value. Ask average Joe? He will ultimately
Mare the price howering between ask and bid....
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001

I sold all. Game over.

BINGO!
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
Clarification on the tax issue from a US tax attorney.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/21una0/i_am_a_tax_attorney_here_is_the_truth_about_1099s/

Thought it could be valuable since some of the posters here seem to have it slightly wrong.

Does this mean tax reporting is not needed for personal purchase ?
hero member
Activity: 665
Merit: 500
Clarification on the tax issue from a US tax attorney.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/21una0/i_am_a_tax_attorney_here_is_the_truth_about_1099s/

Thought it could be valuable since some of the posters here seem to have it slightly wrong.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
So Risto,  What are your feelings at the moment?  I assume now is a great time to buy.  When do you think the next rally will take place and what is your estimation on when we will reach the next ATH?  What do you think the next ATH will be?

I was thinking that I was surprised, yet again, that you were right about how the price was too high and that we would correct down to $400 or so. Yet here we are.  When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink

- I think it is much more probable (70%) that 400 will hold vs. not. Even if it goes lower, it does not change anything except that price is better for buyers and worse for sellers. There is still exactly the same number of bitcoins in the market and the viability of the technology is exactly the same.
- Yes, it is a great time to buy. If you are thinking of buying bitcoins, you should do it now. Even if you were not thinking, the price is good.
- The tribulation is likely over in a week, at most the sub-500 prices persist until past April 15 (tax sales). In the end of the month we are definitely over 500, probably about at 600.
- We are now at -0.3 log-units in the long term trendline. This situation will persist until the next uptrend launches. Note that the trendline ascends 23% per month and it drags the price up with it.
- After about 2-3 months, we are near 1000 and there is a hurdle to get over it. It succeeds and the rally is ignited, catapulting us to a new ATH of 3000-7000 in July-August. From taking the old ATH of 1163 to making the new, it is only 20-40 days.

Always happy to help Smiley

And these are based on what?

-400 will not hold, it's going to be a long slide bear behavior til below 100$
-buying or selling are irrellevant...
-2-3 months will be around 100-200$
-we will never see four figers again...

I sold all. Game over.

Dude.  Risto just bought a castle in Estonia. I think that in itself should lend some credit to him being "good" at this.  Not to mention he has been right over and over and over again in his predictions.  

Why are you so sure 400 will not hold?  What is your reasoning based on?  Please tell!

Do yourself a huge favor and at least buy some back!  You don't have to listen to me, but so far the only real regrets I have is not following Risto's advice more often. Wink  I own much thanks to him for not getting too emotional during the dips!  I have not sold out of panic because he seems to remain calm in "all weather."  In fact, if we can learn how to manage the ups and downs we can be thankful for them and use them to our advantage.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035

When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink

this is what I have done

I've come to conclusions that risto is the one who makes most sense on this forum with a couple of perma bulls after him


legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
So Risto,  What are your feelings at the moment?  I assume now is a great time to buy.  When do you think the next rally will take place and what is your estimation on when we will reach the next ATH?  What do you think the next ATH will be?

I was thinking that I was surprised, yet again, that you were right about how the price was too high and that we would correct down to $400 or so. Yet here we are.  When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink

- I think it is much more probable (70%) that 400 will hold vs. not. Even if it goes lower, it does not change anything except that price is better for buyers and worse for sellers. There is still exactly the same number of bitcoins in the market and the viability of the technology is exactly the same.
- Yes, it is a great time to buy. If you are thinking of buying bitcoins, you should do it now. Even if you were not thinking, the price is good.
- The tribulation is likely over in a week, at most the sub-500 prices persist until past April 15 (tax sales). In the end of the month we are definitely over 500, probably about at 600.
- We are now at -0.3 log-units in the long term trendline. This situation will persist until the next uptrend launches. Note that the trendline ascends 23% per month and it drags the price up with it.
- After about 2-3 months, we are near 1000 and there is a hurdle to get over it. It succeeds and the rally is ignited, catapulting us to a new ATH of 3000-7000 in July-August. From taking the old ATH of 1163 to making the new, it is only 20-40 days.

Always happy to help Smiley

Already bought a small amount.  Smiley  Unfortunately we are not that liquid in our fiat right now with all of our "disposable" income tied up in BTC already.

It is funny how when we are in the rallies, or close to the ATH how easy it is to get blinded to reality.  Every time we experience the crazy increases in price I think to myself, "What if it just keeps going!?"  I never expect the price to drop, and I can't even imagine it going down to less than half of what the price is.  I am not sure if it is the optimist in me or I just enjoy seeing the value of BTC going up that I am in total denial of reality. BitChicksHusband is trying to prepare me to systematically sell during the next rally.  We can buy back a small percentage if (or should I say when) the price corrects.  It really is the smarter way to take advantage of the ups and downs.  For now we have just been holding through them but there are things that I really need the funds for pretty soon here.  (braces for one kid, a mission trip to India, etc. . . )  Thankfully July and August is not that far away!  It should be fun!  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
So Risto,  What are your feelings at the moment?  I assume now is a great time to buy.  When do you think the next rally will take place and what is your estimation on when we will reach the next ATH?  What do you think the next ATH will be?

I was thinking that I was surprised, yet again, that you were right about how the price was too high and that we would correct down to $400 or so. Yet here we are.  When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink

There is still exactly the same number of bitcoins in the market...


not true.
hero member
Activity: 709
Merit: 503
My non-retirement Bitcoins were acquired on the following dates;

April 25, 2013
April 26, 2013
May 2, 2013
May 7, 2013
May 17, 2013
May 23, 2013
June 4, 2013
June 6, 2013
June 14, 2013
July 1, 2013
July 2, 2013
July 24, 2013
August 13, 2013

At prices ranging from $85/BTC to 144.49/BTC.

Each of those same dates in 2014 is when the corresponding Bitcoins reach the ripe old age of 12 months and become eligible to be treated as long term capital gains.  My plan is to sell enough of these to finish getting my original stake back (to satisfy my family and friends and keep them from nagging me).

At the same time my plan is acquire additional Bitcoins into my Roth IRA retirement account.

So, I want the Bitcoin exchange rate to be as high as possible on each of the dates given above in 2014 in order to reduce the number of Bitcoins I need to sell but at the same time I want the lowest possible exchange rates on the days in-between so that I can acquire the maximum number of Bitcoins.  Who can arrange this for me?  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I give credit to Risto for taking all the abuse from people that he does and doing so in a mature manner. He works hard on his TA and shares it for free with the crum bums on this board and all they do is challenge him. Imo he's one of the 5-10 people on this board who are actually worth reading.

Risto's posts are amongst those that I generally read through well. Most of the rest on here (unless post is short and happens to catch my eye), I don't bother even reading cos I know exactly the drivel to expect and don't want to waste mental energy trying to make sense of it. Worst of all are the drivel merchants who aggrandise their drivel with fancy jargon and complex concepts. There has been one in particular who has been at large (aminorex) recently in this thread that has resulted in the past few pages here being a total skim read for me....unless I see a poster with a reliable track record of good posts.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
So Risto,  What are your feelings at the moment?  I assume now is a great time to buy.  When do you think the next rally will take place and what is your estimation on when we will reach the next ATH?  What do you think the next ATH will be?

I was thinking that I was surprised, yet again, that you were right about how the price was too high and that we would correct down to $400 or so. Yet here we are.  When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink

- I think it is much more probable (70%) that 400 will hold vs. not. Even if it goes lower, it does not change anything except that price is better for buyers and worse for sellers. There is still exactly the same number of bitcoins in the market and the viability of the technology is exactly the same.
- Yes, it is a great time to buy. If you are thinking of buying bitcoins, you should do it now. Even if you were not thinking, the price is good.
- The tribulation is likely over in a week, at most the sub-500 prices persist until past April 15 (tax sales). In the end of the month we are definitely over 500, probably about at 600.
- We are now at -0.3 log-units in the long term trendline. This situation will persist until the next uptrend launches. Note that the trendline ascends 23% per month and it drags the price up with it.
- After about 2-3 months, we are near 1000 and there is a hurdle to get over it. It succeeds and the rally is ignited, catapulting us to a new ATH of 3000-7000 in July-August. From taking the old ATH of 1163 to making the new, it is only 20-40 days.

Always happy to help Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 471
Merit: 250
I give credit to Risto for taking all the abuse from people that he does and doing so in a mature manner. He works hard on his TA and shares it for free with the crum bums on this board and all they do is challenge him. Imo he's one of the 5-10 people on this board who are actually worth reading.

Agreed.
sr. member
Activity: 798
Merit: 250
CurioInvest [IEO Live]
I give credit to Risto for taking all the abuse from people that he does and doing so in a mature manner. He works hard on his TA and shares it for free with the crum bums on this board and all they do is challenge him. Imo he's one of the 5-10 people on this board who are actually worth reading.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
So Risto,  What are your feelings at the moment?  I assume now is a great time to buy.  When do you think the next rally will take place and what is your estimation on when we will reach the next ATH?  What do you think the next ATH will be?

I was thinking that I was surprised, yet again, that you were right about how the price was too high and that we would correct down to $400 or so. Yet here we are.  When do we just shut up and stop questioning you?  Wink
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