[Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics - page 48.

aoluain

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on December 04, 2022, 11:23:03 PM

I'm always wary of points spreads preferring to just place bets on who is going to win a match (I'm reluctantly placing two bets on soccer fixtures win+draw)

I may not get to see these matches, but I'm going for Salford Red Devils, Wiggan Warriors and Hull FC in the English Rugby League on the 18th of December.

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.165 mBTC
Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.138 mBTC
Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.16 mBTC

plus a parlay on those three to win:

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.07 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.255 mBTC

Ah the Super League, I wouldn't be clued in to that competition or the teams other
than famous names like Hull, At. Helen's and Wigan Warriors. I'm not sure I will be
getting involved with that competition. The Rugby Union side is going to get way busier
this weekend with the start up of two more competitions:

European Champions Cup (The Heineken Cup) and
The EPCR Challenge Cup

There is Irish interest in both competitions, Leinster, Munster and Ulster in the
Champions Cup and Connacht in the Challenge Cup so I will be following those as
much as I can but I will be focusing on the URC.

Timelord2067

legendary

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I'm always wary of points spreads preferring to just place bets on who is going to win a match (I'm reluctantly placing two bets on soccer fixtures win+draw)

I may not get to see these matches, but I'm going for Salford Red Devils, Wiggan Warriors and Hull FC in the English Rugby League on the 18th of December.

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.165 mBTC
Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.138 mBTC
Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.16 mBTC

plus a parlay on those three to win:

Leigh Centurions - Salford Red Devils Money Line Salford Red Devils @ 1.65 Hull KR - Wigan Warriors Money Line Wigan Warriors @ 1.38 Hull FC - Castleford Tigers Money Line Hull FC @ 1.60 Taken Amount: 0.07 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.255 mBTC

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Recap on my bets on this weekends round in the United Rugby Championship:

It worked out with 2 from 4.

My predictions won but I made those two losses wrong, The points difference didn't workout

Quote from: aoluain on December 03, 2022, 02:22:18 AM

Munster on the other hand were very good and covered my +3.5 bet by beating Edinburgh by
21 points, I definitely think they will be on a winning roll from now on.

I have 2 more bets on for today, -11.5 on the Stormers to beat the Dragons @1.71 and a straight
ML win by the Lions to beat Scarlets @ 1.23

Connacht v Benneton - Connacht will win today but to get some value I have Benneton +11.5 @ 1.63

Stormers only beat the Dragons by 8 points
Connacht beat Benneton by 19 points.

I might rethink my point spread betting for next week....

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Quote from: Timelord2067 on December 02, 2022, 07:21:00 PM

Hopefully I'll be able to get home in time to put some wagers on those games. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to get myself sorted this last week to put any wagers on, but from what I can tell they were great games.

Indeed Timelord they were!
At a time when the Soccer world cup is on I find it difficult to watch that sport after watching
Rugby and especially those two games last weekend and all the Autumn Internationals I got
to see. There can be really bad games in Rugby but they are in a minority where as IMO really
good games in Soccer are a minority.

Anyway last night's games in the URC threw up wins for my predictions but I didn't put a wager
on the Sharks, I wanted to do a point spread but the lowest I could get on Rollbit was -21.5,
lucky because they only beat the Ospreys by 15 points.

Munster on the other hand were very good and covered my +3.5 bet by beating Edinburgh by
21 points, I definitely think they will be on a winning roll from now on.

I have 2 more bets on for today, -11.5 on the Stormers to beat the Dragons @1.71 and a straight
ML win by the Lions to beat Scarlets @ 1.23

Connacht v Benneton - Connacht will win today but to get some value I have Benneton +11.5 @ 1.63

Timelord2067

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Hopefully I'll be able to get home in time to put some wagers on those games. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to get myself sorted this last week to put any wagers on, but from what I can tell they were great games.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Rugby Union

Round 9 in the United Rugby Championship kicks off tonight with 2 games:

Cell C Sharks v Ospreys - these two are close enough on the table but I'm backing the
home team for this one with a point spread. Sharks are massive favourites 1.06 - 8.4...
maybe a point spread on the Ospreys would be a consideration too?

The second game tonight is Edinburgh at home to visiting Munster. I think I'll go with a
Munster win. I think they have their game back on winning ways. Odds are 1.75 - 2.14.

I'll go with a +3.5 on Munster @ 1.65

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Well betting on draws in Rugby is non-sensical, it rarely happens, I get it though when
betting on Soccer though, draws are the norm.

Quote from: Timelord2067 on November 29, 2022, 02:37:49 AM

(I also went to do a wager on the AFLW grand-final and mistakenly bet on Brisbane at $1.40 instead of Melbourne at $7+ - needless to say, Melbourne won and I'm a dollar shorter).

Ouch, that was a missed opportunity.

Did you get a wager on Australia against Wales? that was another missed opportunity!

Timelord2067

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I thought I'd posted the other day about my wagers for Australia etc in the internationals, but today I can't see it. Not sure what happened there. (I also went to do a wager on the AFLW grand-final and mistakenly bet on Brisbane at $1.40 instead of Melbourne at $7+ - needless to say, Melbourne won and I'm a dollar shorter).

I'm also experimenting with betting $1 on a win plus $1 draw (where the odds are 2.0 or better for each) on the World Football cups being played at the moment.

I prefer placing bets "to win" not win or draw.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

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^
My two point spreads yielded a 50% return:

Stormers beat Scarlets 36 to 19, so that bet paid out but Ulster only had a winning margin of
16 over Zebre.

I also had a bet on Munster to beat Connacht, Munster had a strong starting team out
while Connacht had a weakened one.

And the final 2 games of the Autumn Internationals were played yesterday, the first: Wales v Australia
was an epic encounter. Before the game I took Australia at +3.5 figuring they have been within a point or
two in their previous games but boy were they value for money to come back from....

Quote

the Wallabies' incredible 39-34 comeback win over Wales from 21 points down with 23 minutes remaining on Saturday night.

https://www.rugby.com.au/news/wallabies-wales-mark-nawaqanitawase-offers-wallabies-xfactor-20221127

The second game between England v South Africa was a frustrating one for England losing
13 - 27.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

^
I have gone for a couple of point spreads for the two games tonight, it's not something
I have done in the past but the two home teams, Stormers and Ulster are big favourites with
very low odds, the only question is by how many points will they win?

Stormers -11.5 @ 1.63
Ulster -26.5 @ 1.72

Other tournaments on the Rugby Union side are back up and running too, The English
Premiership and the French Top14. I'm following them currently though.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Rugby Union

URC

So after the Autumn Internationals the United Rugby Championship starts back up again,
this weekend is round 8 with the games listed below:

I'm gonna make a few bets, only made 1 choice already, I'm going against my home team
with Munster to win, they will have a full strength team and Connacht look like losing
Mack Hansen to an injury, that's a big loss for Connacht, he has done so well so far with club
and country.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Rugby Union

The World Rugby annual awards were yesterday, Ireland's and Leinster's flanker Josh Van Der Flier
and New Zealand's Ruahei Demant took the Men's and Women's player of the year awards.

https://super.rugby/therugbychampionship/news/world-rugby-awards-winners-2022/

There were other awards celebrated:

Best coach of the year
Best Women's breakthrough player
Best Mens breakthrough player (which went to an Italian player, which is nice to see)

And other awards for Rugby 7's, best try, referee etc.

aoluain

legendary

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Yes congratulations to Australia, Men's and Women's sides! definitely a different level.
That was a massive score difference in the women's game 54 - 4 and in a final. Obviously
the game has developed way more in Australia than anywhere else.

Rugby Union

My handicap bet on Australia v Ireland yesterday came to pass, Ireland won with just
3 points in a lack lustre game. Johnny Sexton, Ireland's #10 and chief playmaker
picked up a calf injury during warmup, his absence definitely made a difference.
The game was riddled with errors.

The stand out result from the weekend is the win by Georgia over Wales, This
was their first time beating a "Tier 1" team.

Timelord2067

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Australia's dominance in the Rugby League World Cup was never in doubt in-spite the heavy barrage by the media with Samoa competing in the semi finals, then their elevation to the finals.

Both the Australian Women's then their male counterparts out scored their opponents to win clear with comfortable leads.

OTOH, France's wheel-chair competitors gave their English counterparts a run or their money in a close scoring game.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Rugby Union

Autumn Internationals

A lot of games on today, I have one bet on - Australia +13.5 against Ireland. I think and
hope this is a safe one, Australia have lost their last two games by only 1 point so they
will be really itching not to be going home with zero wins

BUT

Ireland are playing a full strength squad!

The first game is at half time now:
Italy 13 - 18 South Africa
Scotland v Argentina up shortly, this will be a big test for Scotland
England v New Zealand - The All Blacks should win that.
Wales also play today against visiting Georga

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

Quote from: Timelord2067 on November 14, 2022, 02:28:13 AM

I unfortunately haven't been able to see many live (or replay games) since the NRL grand final a few weeks back.

I do like International games for something that is very much played at a local team level - different countries will have vastly differing tactics of play that the opponents don't expect. Usually, the winners will have struck down their opponents.

We don't get to see much Rugby live normally and were surprised to see Amazon Prime
had the rights to show the Autumn Internationals, hopefully it has been a success
for them and will continue to add more.

They already have almost all the big Tennis tournaments so hopefully Rugby will grow for them.

Rugby League

World Cup tomorrow - Australia v Samoa

I don't think there is much point on backing Samoa, Australia are heavy favourites.

Timelord2067

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I unfortunately haven't been able to see many live (or replay games) since the NRL grand final a few weeks back.

I do like International games for something that is very much played at a local team level - different countries will have vastly differing tactics of play that the opponents don't expect. Usually, the winners will have struck down their opponents.

aoluain

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1387

I wasn't aware of a big NRL presence in the Samoan team, so yea it could be an NRL type
final but I would expect Australia to be the winners.

Rugby Union

I forgot to mention and I'm sure you have seen the result that Australia lost out to Italy
in the Autumn Internationals. They had a penalty kick to win the game and missed.

Also France v South Africa was a close affair, both with red cards the game had everything,
lots of drama but France got the job done.

Timelord2067

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I'm actually wondering if Samoa is fired up enough to win the cup? They have good odds online and I'm going to check a little later what they are. It might be worth putting a dollar on them if the price is right?

I won on the Australia Vs NZ game and lost on the England Vs Samoa game in part because I wasn't paying attention to the fact there are a handful of NRL players in the Samoan side which means the Final will be an NRL style thriller.

aoluain

legendary

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Merit: 1387

Quote from: aoluain on November 09, 2022, 02:12:17 AM

Rugby Union

Women's Rugby World Cup

The grand final takes place on Saturday, New Zealand v England. Being a home tournament
for the Black Ferns they are not the favourites, this has the makings of being a great final, is there
is a value bet on for New Zealand @ 2.73 ?

MASSIVE day of Rugby yesterday, I asked the question above regarding the Women's
Rugby World Cup Final if NZ were a value undergo bet, and they absolutely were, they
won the final 34-31....but I didn't pull the trigger on that bet.

Well done to them.

Autumn Internalionals

I had two bets on yesterday, Ireland to beat Fiji....but with -21.5 points which they failed
to do, it was a patchy enough game with a good few second team players getting
a start. They won but "only" by 18 points.
More importantly they hold onto
their #1 spot.

My second bet on Argentina didn't pay either, Argentina took the lead early on,
Wales had a shaky start but got the job done to "just about" win from a very
good Argentinian team, it was a close enough game, 20-13.

Rugby League

I only had one bet on the Men's World Cup this weekend, Australia to beat New Zealand.
I was going to bet on England to beat Samoa but actually forgot to do it, they lost!

Australia won, so it's an Australia v Samoa final.

Topic: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics - page 48. (Read 16868 times)