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Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] - page 145. (Read 73687 times)

copper member
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White Russian

Do you think it will be possible to sell this to Western sponsors as a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive? Grin

Ukraine needs to try harder, otherwise it will soon have to swallow the Chinese peace plan, to which Russia will add a couple of points. And it will be just a slightly sweetened pill of unconditional surrender in a different wrapper.

To me it seems as though this thing has moved well beyond 'Ukraine'.  I think that I would say something like this if I were Russia:

 - We intend to end up with a more 'sustainable' Eastern Europe which works better for all parties directly involved (especially us), and is more safe for everyone world-wide, by the time this thing is wrapped up.

 - Most complex things of importance take time and planning.  This one will.

 - Everyone can see that the power structures animating the U.S. is increasingly desperate to get WW-III going.

 - We understand why they must instigate a broader war and the time pressures which they are working under.

 - We very well may decide that it is necessary to give them what they wish, but at a time and place of OUR choosing.

 - The process for exiting NATO is currently quite protracted.  We suggest that member states start that process without delay.


In early May, there was an entertaining one-hour conference hosted by the Canadian Foreign Policy Institute with Jeffrey Sachs and Ivan Katchanovski.

Here are a couple of quotes from there:
Quote
The war could have been avoided because the Soviet Union and then Russia said over and over: "Don't expand NATO into Ukraine." If you want to know what caused this war, here is the explanation. The rest is details.

Quote
There was a detailed account with time frames in a 1997 Foreign Affairs article by Brzezinski: “The expansion of NATO and the EU must proceed in stages. By 1999 Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic will be admitted to NATO. By 2003, the EU will initiate accession negotiations for all three Baltic republics, and between 2005 and 2010 for Ukraine. All they do is play out Brzezinski's plan to encircle Russia in the Black Sea. That is the US plan. Putin said in 2008 - we want to cooperate, but don't expand NATO.

Quote
In March 2022, Zelensky allowed a neutral status for Ukraine. And in Ankara, with the mediation of Turkey, negotiations began. On the basis of Ukrainian neutrality, rapid progress was made, but the US insisted on continuing the war, according to Naftali Bennett.

Quote
The government of Ukraine has put everything in their country at stake with the support of the United States. This is a terrible adventure. Ask Vietnamese, Nicaraguans, Libyans, Syrians, "Isn't it great to gamble with the US as your patron?"
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
See... no provocation, just unhappy citizens, like in the Donbas.

https://t.me/breakingmash/44237
Do you think it will be possible to sell this to Western sponsors as a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive? Grin

Ukraine needs to try harder, otherwise it will soon have to swallow the Chinese peace plan, to which Russia will add a couple of points. And it will be just a slightly sweetened pill of unconditional surrender in a different wrapper.

If you can sell Bakhmut as a "victory" I guess everything is possible, isn't it?

However, no need to sell anything I would say. Ukraine has nothing to do with this, this is Russian citizens performing an special military operation on their own, just like it happened in the Donbas. The RF was not in the Donbas prior to the invasion right? Or was it?

No reason to worry. Ukraine has gained the ability to reach any target in the occupied areas and well into Russia, but that is no reason to worry, Europe commits even more weapons, funds and training, but there is no reason to worry. F16 jets seem to be imminent, but no reason to worry. Drink Stolichnaya and sleep well, there is no reason to worry... ever.


Do you think it will be possible to sell this to Western sponsors as a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive? Grin

Ukraine needs to try harder, otherwise it will soon have to swallow the Chinese peace plan, to which Russia will add a couple of points. And it will be just a slightly sweetened pill of unconditional surrender in a different wrapper.

To me it seems as though this thing has moved well beyond 'Ukraine'.  I think that I would say something like this if I were Russia:

 - We intend to end up with a more 'sustainable' Eastern Europe which works better for all parties directly involved (especially us), and is more safe for everyone world-wide, by the time this thing is wrapped up.

 - Most complex things of importance take time and planning.  This one will.

 - Everyone can see that the power structures animating the U.S. is increasingly desperate to get WW-III going.

 - We understand why they must instigate a broader war and the time pressures which they are working under.

 - We very well may decide that it is necessary to give them what they wish, but at a time and place of OUR choosing.

 - The process for exiting NATO is currently quite protracted.  We suggest that member states start that process without delay.



Yet the RF decided to simply send in the troops. What could go wrong? Many times over... Putin is going to get the Congress Medal of Honor... of the US Congress.
legendary
Activity: 4690
Merit: 1276

Do you think it will be possible to sell this to Western sponsors as a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive? Grin

Ukraine needs to try harder, otherwise it will soon have to swallow the Chinese peace plan, to which Russia will add a couple of points. And it will be just a slightly sweetened pill of unconditional surrender in a different wrapper.

To me it seems as though this thing has moved well beyond 'Ukraine'.  I think that I would say something like this if I were Russia:

 - We intend to end up with a more 'sustainable' Eastern Europe which works better for all parties directly involved (especially us), and is more safe for everyone world-wide, by the time this thing is wrapped up.

 - Most complex things of importance take time and planning.  This one will.

 - Everyone can see that the power structures animating the U.S. is increasingly desperate to get WW-III going.

 - We understand why they must instigate a broader war and the time pressures which they are working under.

 - We very well may decide that it is necessary to give them what they wish, but at a time and place of OUR choosing.

 - The process for exiting NATO is currently quite protracted.  We suggest that member states start that process without delay.

copper member
Activity: 2226
Merit: 915
White Russian
See... no provocation, just unhappy citizens, like in the Donbas.

https://t.me/breakingmash/44237
Do you think it will be possible to sell this to Western sponsors as a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive? Grin

Ukraine needs to try harder, otherwise it will soon have to swallow the Chinese peace plan, to which Russia will add a couple of points. And it will be just a slightly sweetened pill of unconditional surrender in a different wrapper.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
I do not really understand your concept of "provocation". You are in a war, What provocation does anyone need?
War is only in your fantasies. Russia is conducting a special military special operation, Ukraine is also not at war with Russia. There is no exchange of appropriate notes through diplomatic channels declaring war, Russia continues to pump gas to Europe through a pipeline through Ukraine, Gazprom regularly pays Naftogaz for gas transit - what fucking kind of war is this? You again have terminological difficulties, for which you'd better consult a dictionary. Please don't disappoint me, I think you're a pretty smart conversationalist.
..

Of course you are in a war! You do not need anything in written, But anyway, that is fine, let's say that Ukraine is not anyway invading Russia. It is a group of Russians doing a special military operation to de-Putinify Belgorod and free their people. So there is no provocation, it is just that Putin does not seem to be able to keep all his citizens happy enough or afraid enough to not cause problems.

See... no provocation, just unhappy citizens, like in the Donbas.

https://t.me/breakingmash/44237
copper member
Activity: 2226
Merit: 915
White Russian
I do not really understand your concept of "provocation". You are in a war, What provocation does anyone need?
War is only in your fantasies. Russia is conducting a special military special operation, Ukraine is also not at war with Russia. There is no exchange of appropriate notes through diplomatic channels declaring war, Russia continues to pump gas to Europe through a pipeline through Ukraine, Gazprom regularly pays Naftogaz for gas transit - what fucking kind of war is this? You again have terminological difficulties, for which you'd better consult a dictionary. Please don't disappoint me, I think you're a pretty smart conversationalist. Try to independently determine the difference between the current martial law in Ukraine and the state of war.

About "provocations". Western sponsors are driving Ukraine into a counteroffensive for which it is not ready. There is not enough military equipment, the offensive brigades trained at the ranges of the West are formed from scratch and have no real combat experience, there is dramatically little air support, it is difficult to concentrate forces into a shock fist, because any concentration of forces is immediately followed by a missile strike. Under such conditions, the counter-offensive is more like a suicide. The situation is complicated by the fact that Zaluzhny seems to have been taken out of the game by a missile strike on the bunker of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Pavlograd, which Ukraine is trying in every possible way to hide and refute in order not to demoralize the soldiers, who are very appreciated, respected and loved by Zaluzhny. But Ukraine also cannot ignore the demands of Western sponsors to present positive results, something must be done. In such conditions, all hope is for false maneuvers and "provocations", in the hope that Russia will react to them and make a mistake by exposing some section of the front.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
Next, you need to separate the core of Wagner and the prisoners who temporarily joined them, who did the main work to free Bakhmut. This is a unique experiment on the socialization of former prisoners, in which approximately 35-40 thousand people took part. According to curator Vagner Prigozhin, 26,000 of them have already completed their six-month contract and demobilized, with a severance allowance of 1,200,000 rubles, combat veteran status, an extinguished criminal record (and a Wagner medal in case of injury or special merit). These people are now free, without weapons and with a good chance for a new life. I think that this experiment is quite successful.
26 000 of serial killers, thieves, pedophiles and all other kinds of worst criminals is no longer criminals and now free on Russia's streets. Offcourse it's going to end well and they're not going to repeat their crimes. Anyway, couldn't care less what's happening in RF.
Do not dramatize, serial killers and the most malicious criminals are in special regime prisons, from where Wagner was not recruited. Of course, some part of those who successfully completed the contract with Wagner will go down the wrong path again, this is inevitable. They will be caught again, convicted and returned to prison. But I think that the vast majority of former Wagner stormtroopers correctly use their chance for a new life, because they have all the conditions for this - money for the first time to settle down, the status of a combat veteran giving the right to numerous benefits and increased pensions, a clean history with expunged criminal record, which makes it possible to find a decent job. I think this is a successful social experiment, but time will tell.

Good that you reminded Patriot, yesterday on Russian Su-35 was downed in Black Sea and seems they did it with Patriot missile.
It's fake. Please activate the rudiments of critical thinking, the Patriot defends Kyiv, where Kyiv is and where the Black Sea is. Grin

BTW seems that some strange things happening in Belgorod oblast or I should say Belgorod People's Republic.
Some drug addicts. The usual hype at the suggestion of Budanov, all saboteurs have already been eliminated by the FSB special forces.

How can someone be so stupid as to leave a border unattended when at war!!
In general, the border is well protected, it was a breakthrough of a small sabotage group through the checkpoint. Western curators do not encourage strikes on Russian territory, so Ukraine is forced to carry out provocations at the hands of small detachments of "Russian partisans" who do not pose a serious threat. There are no nuclear warheads in the nuclear warhead storage near the border for a long time, they were removed even before the conflict began. I think this is a common provocation such as landing on the islands in the gray zone near Kherson to force Russia to respond to the threat and divert attention from the loss of Bakhmut.


Yes, the border is well protected, with lots of fortifications and troops and all that, this was just a point that was not. Like Belgium in WWII. As I write, there are video confirmations of explosions in Belgorod.

Ukraine was not involved, just as the army in the Donbas after 2014 was not the RF army (wink wink). I think it was an special military operation of Russian citizens that feel that Belgorod needs to be de-putinified and freed from the Kleptocrats influence, so they have nothing to do with Ukraine (wink wink). Sure there is no threat... such a small group. Let's hope it does not become bigger, that could be a problem right? We would then start thinking of the Belgorod People's Republic?

To put it plainly: Anyone can play denial, hybrid war, "special operations", the "insurgency game" and the "proxy war" and create a problem where there wasn't to serve their geostrategic interests. It takes however wisdom, that Putin lacks, to solve the issues without doing it.

Of course... there were no nuclear material there... although some people out there point to the fact that it was removed that same day... as always, you a free to believe it was not there. As you are free to believe that an alert was not sounded in the nearby localities or may be decide that, in your mind, it was not.

I do not really understand your concept of "provocation". You are in a war, What provocation does anyone need?

Now, to the strategic level: Attacking the region of Belgorod, serves several purposes. First to create concern, second to require the RF to move troops there, which requires time, plenty of fuel and spreads the resources. Also these need to be proper troops, not the grunts that run towards Moscow when they see anything advancing in their general direction, and these type of troops are quite in demand. This distraction can easily become much more of a problem if the RF decides to do nothing or just send a few choppers.

Militarily, it is a good move. A few posts ago I said there were news of a column of troops heading to Belgorod. Let's see what comes out.

copper member
Activity: 2226
Merit: 915
White Russian
Next, you need to separate the core of Wagner and the prisoners who temporarily joined them, who did the main work to free Bakhmut. This is a unique experiment on the socialization of former prisoners, in which approximately 35-40 thousand people took part. According to curator Vagner Prigozhin, 26,000 of them have already completed their six-month contract and demobilized, with a severance allowance of 1,200,000 rubles, combat veteran status, an extinguished criminal record (and a Wagner medal in case of injury or special merit). These people are now free, without weapons and with a good chance for a new life. I think that this experiment is quite successful.
26 000 of serial killers, thieves, pedophiles and all other kinds of worst criminals is no longer criminals and now free on Russia's streets. Offcourse it's going to end well and they're not going to repeat their crimes. Anyway, couldn't care less what's happening in RF.
Do not dramatize, serial killers and the most malicious criminals are in special regime prisons, from where Wagner was not recruited. Of course, some part of those who successfully completed the contract with Wagner will go down the wrong path again, this is inevitable. They will be caught again, convicted and returned to prison. But I think that the vast majority of former Wagner stormtroopers correctly use their chance for a new life, because they have all the conditions for this - money for the first time to settle down, the status of a combat veteran giving the right to numerous benefits and increased pensions, a clean history with expunged criminal record, which makes it possible to find a decent job. I think this is a successful social experiment, but time will tell.

Good that you reminded Patriot, yesterday on Russian Su-35 was downed in Black Sea and seems they did it with Patriot missile.
It's fake. Please activate the rudiments of critical thinking, the Patriot defends Kyiv, where Kyiv is and where the Black Sea is. Grin

BTW seems that some strange things happening in Belgorod oblast or I should say Belgorod People's Republic.
Some drug addicts. The usual hype at the suggestion of Budanov, all saboteurs have already been eliminated by the FSB special forces.

How can someone be so stupid as to leave a border unattended when at war!!
In general, the border is well protected, it was a breakthrough of a small sabotage group through the checkpoint. Western curators do not encourage strikes on Russian territory, so Ukraine is forced to carry out provocations at the hands of small detachments of "Russian partisans" who do not pose a serious threat. There are no nuclear warheads in the nuclear warhead storage near the border for a long time, they were removed even before the conflict began. I think this is a common provocation such as landing on the islands in the gray zone near Kherson to force Russia to respond to the threat and divert attention from the loss of Bakhmut.
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1375
Slava Ukraini!
Next, you need to separate the core of Wagner and the prisoners who temporarily joined them, who did the main work to free Bakhmut. This is a unique experiment on the socialization of former prisoners, in which approximately 35-40 thousand people took part. According to curator Vagner Prigozhin, 26,000 of them have already completed their six-month contract and demobilized, with a severance allowance of 1,200,000 rubles, combat veteran status, an extinguished criminal record (and a Wagner medal in case of injury or special merit). These people are now free, without weapons and with a good chance for a new life. I think that this experiment is quite successful.
26 000 of serial killers, thieves, pedophiles and all other kinds of worst criminals is no longer criminals and now free on Russia's streets. Offcourse it's going to end well and they're not going to repeat their crimes. Anyway, couldn't care less what's happening in RF.

Quote
ps Excellent speech by Zelensky in the US Congress on December 21, 2022, about the role of Bakhmut and the importance of the Patriot air defense system. Grin
Good that you reminded Patriot, yesterday on Russian Su-35 was downed in Black Sea and seems they did it with Patriot missile.
BTW seems that some strange things happening in Belgorod oblast or I should say Belgorod People's Republic.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
That is because Ukraine has nationalists, but no more Nazis than Russia or, for that matter, the US - so they do not worry about your imaginary friends because they are yours.

People in Ukraine fought the real Nazis in WW II. Putin is currently acting like a Nazi (e.g. 15 years of prison for anyone complaining).
I think you have a serious problem with terms and definitions that you'd better discuss with a dictionary.
The main reason for this war is Crimea. Putin needs a port that the RF can use all through the year and he has decided that it is even better to have the base in Sebastopol and steal from Ukraine Mariupol and anything in between the two.
The main reason for Russia's invasion of Ukraine is the genocide of the Russian-speaking population in Donbas. The issue with Crimea was closed in 2014, it’s just that Ukraine has difficulties with the stages of accepting the inevitable, it is stuck at the stage of denial.

Sure Wagner is an illegal group and Santa Claus is meeting Superman today for tea. Wagner is fighting in the front, receiving money and weaponry from the RF government and I do not see anyone taking to justice the wagnerites - in fact the RF has supplied convicts as soldiers (cannon fodder).

I cannot separate Wagner from Wagner and Wagner from Putin because they are one and the same, just cut the official bullshit seriously, you will be left will zero credibility if you have any left.

26000 have completed they contract and retired as fertiliser for the Ukrainian soil, dying as stupidly as all the rest of the young RF citizens sacrificed for nothing. From your point of view, I am sure that you consider the "experiment" very successful.

Meanwhile, the deep strikes RF people keep smoking in the wrong places deep in the occupied territories and in the RF.
All the Wagnerites who died during the liberation of Bakhmut are buried in Russia. For example, there is a Wagner cemetery in the city of Goryachiy Klyuch in the Krasnodar Territory and in the city of Berezovsk in the Sverdlovsk Region. Tens of thousands of soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are fertilizing the Ukrainian land, whose bodies no one was even going to take out of Bakhmut, and there was no physical possibility.


That's a good one, but if I wanted fiction histories from Russia, I would go for "Peter and the Wolf". Prokofiev was much better than you at making legends and tales fun, while Wagnerites are notoriously careless about their fallen.

Now, what is happening in Belgorod? Belgorod, Russia, not Belgorod, Kentucky.  I heard that Ukraine has nothing to do with a group of RF armed people called "the legion of freedom", that seem to be fighting for Ukraine without Ukrainian permission - inside Russia. It cannot be possible right? Russia is perfectly able to defend its borders and all Russians love Putin and would never attack their homeland?? Interestingly enough, they seem to have Humvees and other military equipment.

What is worse, it seems they are pretty much near a storage of nuclear warheads. I think is time to evacuate but then Putin would need to recognise that he cannot even defend his borders... nah, better to leave his people there.

It seems that the XXI is all about proxy wars, undeclared wars and troops that would not answer when asked "who do you fight for?".

I am going to link a guy, kind of pro-Russian but not too propagandistic: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCLtgrAdnq8

How can someone be so stupid as to leave a border unattended when at war!!
 
[url=https://t.me/shot_shot/51738]https://t.me/shot_shot/51738

https://t.me/Tsaplienko/32273
https://t.me/bazabazon/17864

...
The main reason for this war is Crimea. Putin needs a port that the RF can use all through the year and he has decided that it is even better to have the base in Sebastopol and steal from Ukraine Mariupol and anything in between the two.
The main reason for Russia's invasion of Ukraine is the genocide of the Russian-speaking population in Donbas. The issue with Crimea was closed in 2014, it’s just that Ukraine has difficulties with the stages of accepting the inevitable, it is stuck at the stage of denial.
...


Nope, the issue has never been "closed" (certainly not for Ukraine an seem that nor for Putin). Crimea's water supply is in Ukrainian territory (now occupied, soon to be liberated). Crimea was fully dependant on the Kerch bridge for ground supplies (which has proven to be veeery vulnerable).

Russia just could not accept that their naval base in the Black Sea (Sebastopol), which is also geopolitically super-important to have sea access in winter, was under one threat or another (no water, no access, no leasing...). And the last straw was obviously Ukraine deciding, very rightfully, not to play ball with Russia and potentially joining NATO which would end up with Sebastopol as a NATO base or under permanent NATO threat (in Putin's mind of course).

The "genocide", the "culture", "the Nazis" ... all that is for simple minds. Politics in the RF care little about any of it.
copper member
Activity: 2226
Merit: 915
White Russian
That is because Ukraine has nationalists, but no more Nazis than Russia or, for that matter, the US - so they do not worry about your imaginary friends because they are yours.

People in Ukraine fought the real Nazis in WW II. Putin is currently acting like a Nazi (e.g. 15 years of prison for anyone complaining).
I think you have a serious problem with terms and definitions that you'd better discuss with a dictionary.
The main reason for this war is Crimea. Putin needs a port that the RF can use all through the year and he has decided that it is even better to have the base in Sebastopol and steal from Ukraine Mariupol and anything in between the two.
The main reason for Russia's invasion of Ukraine is the genocide of the Russian-speaking population in Donbas. The issue with Crimea was closed in 2014, it’s just that Ukraine has difficulties with the stages of accepting the inevitable, it is stuck at the stage of denial.

Sure Wagner is an illegal group and Santa Claus is meeting Superman today for tea. Wagner is fighting in the front, receiving money and weaponry from the RF government and I do not see anyone taking to justice the wagnerites - in fact the RF has supplied convicts as soldiers (cannon fodder).

I cannot separate Wagner from Wagner and Wagner from Putin because they are one and the same, just cut the official bullshit seriously, you will be left will zero credibility if you have any left.

26000 have completed they contract and retired as fertiliser for the Ukrainian soil, dying as stupidly as all the rest of the young RF citizens sacrificed for nothing. From your point of view, I am sure that you consider the "experiment" very successful.

Meanwhile, the deep strikes RF people keep smoking in the wrong places deep in the occupied territories and in the RF.
All the Wagnerites who died during the liberation of Bakhmut are buried in Russia. For example, there is a Wagner cemetery in the city of Goryachiy Klyuch in the Krasnodar Territory and in the city of Berezovsk in the Sverdlovsk Region. Tens of thousands of soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are fertilizing the Ukrainian land, whose bodies no one was even going to take out of Bakhmut, and there was no physical possibility.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
What I am "saying" is that how come no one in the RF seem to be worried about having an irregular army waging war in Ukraine, I mean, they are in Ukraine now, they can be in the streets of Moscow tomorrow - we are talking thousands. Or is the way Putin protects himself from a coup, by having two competing armies?
It is more strange to me that Ukraine is not worried about Nazi armed formations like Azov and Kraken, or Luftwaffe aerial reconnaissance units, but I understand what you mean.

That is because Ukraine has nationalists, but no more Nazis than Russia or, for that matter, the US - so they do not worry about your imaginary friends because they are yours.

People in Ukraine fought the real Nazis in WW II. Putin is currently acting like a Nazi (e.g. 15 years of prison for anyone complaining).

 The main reason for this war is Crimea. Putin needs a port that the RF can use all through the year and he has decided that it is even better to have the base in Sebastopol and steal from Ukraine Mariupol and anything in between the two.



Wagner is an illegal armed group in Russia, it's no secret that Wagner's commander Dmitry Utkin is an ideological Nazi. Therefore, they are thrown into the most difficult combat missions, the more they kill Ukrainian Nazis and the more they themselves die in battle, the more successfully denazification is moving forward in Ukraine. It's ironic that denazification happens at the hands of the Nazis themselves, isn't it?

Next, you need to separate the core of Wagner and the prisoners who temporarily joined them, who did the main work to free Bakhmut. This is a unique experiment on the socialization of former prisoners, in which approximately 35-40 thousand people took part. According to curator Vagner Prigozhin, 26,000 of them have already completed their six-month contract and demobilized, with a severance allowance of 1,200,000 rubles, combat veteran status, an extinguished criminal record (and a Wagner medal in case of injury or special merit). These people are now free, without weapons and with a good chance for a new life. I think that this experiment is quite successful.

ps Excellent speech by Zelensky in the US Congress on December 21, 2022, about the role of Bakhmut and the importance of the Patriot air defense system. Grin

Sure Wagner is an illegal group and Santa Claus is meeting Superman today for tea. Wagner is fighting in the front, receiving money and weaponry from the RF government and I do not see anyone taking to justice the wagnerites - in fact the RF has supplied convicts as soldiers (cannon fodder).

I cannot separate Wagner from Wagner and Wagner from Putin because they are one and the same, just cut the official bullshit seriously, you will be left will zero credibility if you have any left.

26000 have completed they contract and retired as fertiliser for the Ukrainian soil, dying as stupidly as all the rest of the young RF citizens sacrificed for nothing. From your point of view, I am sure that you consider the "experiment" very successful.

Meanwhile, the deep strikes RF people keep smoking in the wrong places deep in the occupied territories and in the RF.
copper member
Activity: 2226
Merit: 915
White Russian
What I am "saying" is that how come no one in the RF seem to be worried about having an irregular army waging war in Ukraine, I mean, they are in Ukraine now, they can be in the streets of Moscow tomorrow - we are talking thousands. Or is the way Putin protects himself from a coup, by having two competing armies?
It is more strange to me that Ukraine is not worried about Nazi armed formations like Azov and Kraken, or Luftwaffe aerial reconnaissance units, but I understand what you mean.

Wagner is an illegal armed group in Russia, it's no secret that Wagner's commander Dmitry Utkin is an ideological Nazi. Therefore, they are thrown into the most difficult combat missions, the more they kill Ukrainian Nazis and the more they themselves die in battle, the more successfully denazification is moving forward in Ukraine. It's ironic that denazification happens at the hands of the Nazis themselves, isn't it?

Next, you need to separate the core of Wagner and the prisoners who temporarily joined them, who did the main work to free Bakhmut. This is a unique experiment on the socialization of former prisoners, in which approximately 35-40 thousand people took part. According to curator Vagner Prigozhin, 26,000 of them have already completed their six-month contract and demobilized, with a severance allowance of 1,200,000 rubles, combat veteran status, an extinguished criminal record (and a Wagner medal in case of injury or special merit). These people are now free, without weapons and with a good chance for a new life. I think that this experiment is quite successful.

ps Excellent speech by Zelensky in the US Congress on December 21, 2022, about the role of Bakhmut and the importance of the Patriot air defense system. Grin
legendary
Activity: 4690
Merit: 1276
...
$2.8 billion, you say. Did you notice that the amounts are slacking off? Soon it will be $2.8 thousand. The Russians and Wagner are sitting back and chuckling about how dumb Ukrainians have become since the smart ones left Ukraine like a year ago.


Millions went to Russia.  Many more stayed in-situ, in both private life and throughout the government, and are feeding intel to Russia as evidenced by the pin-point strikes taking out missile systems, DU arms depots, etc.  Probably most of even the non-Russian speakers have been at least indirectly abused and dismayed by the behavior of the Nazis installed by the Zionist neocons in the 2014 coup and it's now pay-back time.

Almost without question the Nazis will double-down on the terrorism against the Ukranian people and almost without question it will lead to increasing levels of blow-back in a cyclic nature.  That's an Achilles' heal of managing a population using internal terrorism.  Tension builds up, then one small tear (e.g., Russia's 'special military operation') rips through like wild-fire.  But again, since it's all the Nazis have and know, they are sure to double-down using characteristic methods.

legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
The amount of Reddit tier cope that's going to justify how losing Bakhmut is actually a good thing.

The reality is, it was a very strategically important city because it now gives them access to a lot of roads a geographically significant areas. Over the coming weeks/months, expect Russia to take a lot of territory pushing up to the next/final cities in the Donbass region.

There is nothing good about loosing Bakhmut, but it does not change much the strategic map nor possibilities.

As of now, the RF fails in all that is not shelling cities and using cannon fodder to take them. It has been months since they cannot make any significant advance outside that type of dirty battle that leaves you with lots of losses and basically a flat land. Now they are trying to make Bakhmut a big thing, like a great victory or the like, but it is not, is in fact a very minimal progress.


~


You are not offering "the unofficial truth", you are not linking to "an alternative better information", you are simply blurting information that is detached from reality to the point that is basically fake. This might or not change, but NATO does not want the RF to show any kind of credible victory simply because after this war they will wage another, and another,...


All the things you talk about in your post that I have partially quoted, are save-face operations for the US and Nato getting out of Ukraine....

Cool

No, 2.8 billion and sending fighter jets, latest generation cruise missiles and training thousands of troops is not save-face sorry, it is proper help. In my view, much more could be done, but this is real. You of course will not recognise any of this, but it does not matter - the Storm Shadows and HIMARS destroy depots without your help.



Speaking of which... there seem to be some clouds of smoke in Mariupol. I wonder if the RD recruits are still smoking near weapons depots and using telegram 600 at the time?




$2.8 billion, you say. Did you notice that the amounts are slacking off? Soon it will be $2.8 thousand. The Russians and Wagner are sitting back and chuckling about how dumb Ukrainians have become since the smart ones left Ukraine like a year ago.

Cool

No, I do not "say", I link. This discussion is gone, the support from NATO is so evident that there is no need to further proof.

politico.eu/article/urkaine-war-germ

Quote
Germany approves new €2.7B package of arms for Ukraine

What I am "saying" is that how come no one in the RF seem to be worried about having an irregular army waging war in Ukraine, I mean, they are in Ukraine now, they can be in the streets of Moscow tomorrow - we are talking thousands. Or is the way Putin protects himself from a coup, by having two competing armies?
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
The amount of Reddit tier cope that's going to justify how losing Bakhmut is actually a good thing.

The reality is, it was a very strategically important city because it now gives them access to a lot of roads a geographically significant areas. Over the coming weeks/months, expect Russia to take a lot of territory pushing up to the next/final cities in the Donbass region.

There is nothing good about loosing Bakhmut, but it does not change much the strategic map nor possibilities.

As of now, the RF fails in all that is not shelling cities and using cannon fodder to take them. It has been months since they cannot make any significant advance outside that type of dirty battle that leaves you with lots of losses and basically a flat land. Now they are trying to make Bakhmut a big thing, like a great victory or the like, but it is not, is in fact a very minimal progress.


~


You are not offering "the unofficial truth", you are not linking to "an alternative better information", you are simply blurting information that is detached from reality to the point that is basically fake. This might or not change, but NATO does not want the RF to show any kind of credible victory simply because after this war they will wage another, and another,...


All the things you talk about in your post that I have partially quoted, are save-face operations for the US and Nato getting out of Ukraine....

Cool

No, 2.8 billion and sending fighter jets, latest generation cruise missiles and training thousands of troops is not save-face sorry, it is proper help. In my view, much more could be done, but this is real. You of course will not recognise any of this, but it does not matter - the Storm Shadows and HIMARS destroy depots without your help.

Speaking of which... there seem to be some clouds of smoke in Mariupol. I wonder if the RD recruits are still smoking near weapons depots and using telegram 600 at the time?




$2.8 billion, you say. Did you notice that the amounts are slacking off? Soon it will be $2.8 thousand. The Russians and Wagner are sitting back and chuckling about how dumb Ukrainians have become since the smart ones left Ukraine like a year ago.

Cool
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
The amount of Reddit tier cope that's going to justify how losing Bakhmut is actually a good thing.

The reality is, it was a very strategically important city because it now gives them access to a lot of roads a geographically significant areas. Over the coming weeks/months, expect Russia to take a lot of territory pushing up to the next/final cities in the Donbass region.

There is nothing good about loosing Bakhmut, but it does not change much the strategic map nor possibilities.

As of now, the RF fails in all that is not shelling cities and using cannon fodder to take them. It has been months since they cannot make any significant advance outside that type of dirty battle that leaves you with lots of losses and basically a flat land. Now they are trying to make Bakhmut a big thing, like a great victory or the like, but it is not, is in fact a very minimal progress.


~


You are not offering "the unofficial truth", you are not linking to "an alternative better information", you are simply blurting information that is detached from reality to the point that is basically fake. This might or not change, but NATO does not want the RF to show any kind of credible victory simply because after this war they will wage another, and another,...


All the things you talk about in your post that I have partially quoted, are save-face operations for the US and Nato getting out of Ukraine....

Cool

No, 2.8 billion and sending fighter jets, latest generation cruise missiles and training thousands of troops is not save-face sorry, it is proper help. In my view, much more could be done, but this is real. You of course will not recognise any of this, but it does not matter - the Storm Shadows and HIMARS destroy depots without your help.

Speaking of which... there seem to be some clouds of smoke in Mariupol. I wonder if the RD recruits are still smoking near weapons depots and using telegram 600 at the time?


legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373

~


You are not offering "the unofficial truth", you are not linking to "an alternative better information", you are simply blurting information that is detached from reality to the point that is basically fake. This might or not change, but NATO does not want the RF to show any kind of credible victory simply because after this war they will wage another, and another,...


All the things you talk about in your post that I have partially quoted, are save-face operations for the US and Nato getting out of Ukraine. Of course, they have to back it up a little, just to look good. But they have found that their operations in Ukraine are being strongly resisted by Russia, just like Russia found out the hard way that there was more than they expected to the US/Nato resistance after they entered Ukraine.

The banking/money cabal that is/was backing Ukraine, doesn't know exactly what the various outcomes might be. But they are keeping their options open in every way they can. Presently, things don't look so positive for a continued push against Russian demands. They are quietly backing off the land-heist operation they were working for in Ukraine.

Cool
hero member
Activity: 1328
Merit: 563
MintDice.com | TG: t.me/MintDice
The amount of Reddit tier cope that's going to justify how losing Bakhmut is actually a good thing.

The reality is, it was a very strategically important city because it now gives them access to a lot of roads a geographically significant areas. Over the coming weeks/months, expect Russia to take a lot of territory pushing up to the next/final cities in the Donbass region.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
Meanwhile, Bakhmut is taken.

By meanwhile you mean that a 17.000 habitants city, not too far from the RF borders, has been flattened to the ground to the point that is no longer a city and that has only taken... 1 week? 1 month? half a year?.... no, it has taken 1 year, since May 2022!

If that is how the Pyschos intend to keep waging war in Ukraine, I forecast what is basically a suicide for the current regime. The amount of money, men, resources and political capital employed make this war an economic suicide for the RF. BTW... watch your flanks... it may take 1 year to get it, but it may take 1 week to run from it.

I am thinking of it. Why would Ukraine choose to defend Bakhmut? Why did Ukraine need one more year to keep the RF busy in what is a not very strategically significant area. What did happen during that year?

- EU and US committed billions in additional aid.
- Ukrainian troops have been trained in a variety of systems. Notably in the Patriot, but not only in the Patriot.
- A number of Ukrainian pilots have been trained in F-16, which are going to be "freed" by the US so that allies can send them to Ukraine.
- A number of MBTs, IFV, artillery and other vehicles have arrived to Ukraine with their crews trained.

It seems to me that the cost of taking Bakhmut is not just the dead and the equipment lost. We will see along the summer.



Why complicate things? Look at it in a simple way... like this.

Russia is much larger than Ukraine. The Russian military is much larger than Ukraine's military. So...

Just to throw out some example figures, imagine that Ukraine's military was 10,000, and Russia's was 100,000. Let's say that they were killing each other off 1 to 1. This means that when Ukraine has killed off 10,000 Russians, there won't be any Ukraine military left... but there will still be 90,000 Russians left.

The fact is more like Russians are killing 6 or 7 Ukrainians for each Russian dead. Get the picture? Ukraine is being played... by the US, Nato, and Russia. The smart Ukrainians left months ago, by the millions.

Blab all you want. The fact of the matter is that there won't be any Ukrainians left in a very short time from now.

Cool

Your numbers are incorrect and the concepts on which it is based are incorrect and your conclusion do not match anything remotely close to reality. Your approach is not simple, it is simplistic because you are someone who likes simple yet wrong answers to real but complex to solve problems.

You want also a simplistic yet wrong argument? Here it goes: It took the RF 1 year to conquer a 17.000 pre-war population city. Thus it will take around 500 years to conquer Ukraine. As stupid as your calculation, see.

You want another simple yet wrong answer: Here it goes: The military budget of the RF is not even 1/10 of all the countries supporting Ukraine. Thus the RF has 1 in 10 chances of achieving a military "victory".

Russian was larger a year ago and had, in theory, a larger army, yet here we are. The RF and Ukraine are not even close to a full mobilisation, being the RF on an offensive imperial war and Ukraine simply defending their homeland, the political will to accept losses is very different. Thus, the ratios you mention are meaningless.

Let me educate you: nearly 99% of wars are economic, and this is not exception. The governments tend to say other things (religion, rightful government, revolutions, and for Putin "Nazis and Zionists, etc...) The war in Ukraine only works for the RF if it is economically beneficial, and that is no longer the case no matter what they do, unless they basically take all the territory of Ukraine and install a puppet. (e.g. you cannot be waging war for 500 years).

If Ukraine losses it ceases to exist. If the RF looses (whatever "loosing" means") it is likely that nothing will change (except if it is such a defeat that leaves the country in shambles, which is not going to happen). The RF is being played, Europe is being played and Ukraine has been left with no option but to fight thanks to Putin's clumsiness. I know who the winners, no matter what, are on this one: US, Saudis, Turkey, Israel and all weapons producers.

The "smart Ukrainians who left" and nothing compared to the "smart Russians who left" and are actually willing to go back - not the case for Russians, who probably can't anyway without risking jail.



Actually, it is your numbers that are wrong... as be.open is continually showing you one way or another. be.open has just explained why Wagner didn't simply overrun Bakhmut. Ukrainian solders were ordered to stay and fight to the end. Did they? If they did, they are dead... just reinforcement for the things that I have been saying. If they didn't, an Ukraine loss.

All the while you consider the failing US/Nato banking system as support for Ukraine, we are seeing growth in BRICS and BRICS ideas and nations. At the rate the US and Nato are helping Ukraine win, BRICS will have overcome them long before a Ukraine win can happen.

Half the Ukrainian population left Ukraine. Russia might have lost a small percent of her people, but she gained a whole lot more in Crimea and the whole Donbas area... to say nothing about other lands that have joined Russia.

You can talk about 99% of wars that act this way or that way, but there are other people who explain it all differently. The point is, Ukraine has already lost militarily. And their loss is causing the US and Nato to quietly back off. It can be seen that trade in Russia has gone right around the sanctions; they were a failure. Even trade in Ukraine is starting to act like there isn't any war going on. The war will soon end, and Russia will absorb a whole big bunch of Ukraine... economically if not in formal land acquisition.

Cool

This is NATO quietly backing off:

https://www.politico.eu/article/urkaine-war-germany-new-arms-package/
Quote
Germany approves new €2.7B package of arms for Ukraine

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/18/politics/us-allies-f-16-jets-ukraine/index.html
Quote
US signals to allies it won’t block their export of F-16 jets to Ukraine

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/16/europe/poland-fighter-jets-ukraine-intl/index.html
Quote
Poland becomes first to pledge fighter jets to Ukraine

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-patriot-missile-system-4c79f9110899ca1880a61f2d1f328179
Quote
US-made Patriot guided missile systems arrive in Ukraine

You are not offering "the unofficial truth", you are not linking to "an alternative better information", you are simply blurting information that is detached from reality to the point that is basically fake. This might or not change, but NATO does not want the RF to show any kind of credible victory simply because after this war they will wage another, and another,...
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