no comments here, but hard fought win for Barca, and they are back to no.2, didn't look as realistic just a few rounds ago, but Girona stepped down a bit lately
It was a matter of when not if with Girona. Realistically they couldn't have been expected to keep it up all the way till season end. That game against Real Madrid was the one that brought the reality back for them. Never been the same free flowing side after that one.
Yeah, the stats always showed them to be overperforming. I don't always keep track of teams but I remember Spurs doing that a lot, and Liverpool season after season -- it always bites back, if not the end of the season, then the one after. It's rather why I feel afraid for Liverpool next season. We're letting in fewer goals than we should be, and scoring a little more than we should. Going against the mean is not sustainable.
Then again -- Real have managed to overperform in the UCL season after season, and tournaments seem to be where you can continuously defy the average. So maybe there's something to adjust for in KO competitions, but in the league, numbers bring the truth out eventually.
Oh, and Atleti. The surprise bedshitters.