By the way, now it seems to me that it makes sense (when choosing favorites) to take a handicap. Because if the favorite is unpleasantly surprising, then in any case it is a loss, but if they win, then everything is likely to go "like clockwork" and the handicap seriously increases the odds.
You said it the way I felt it. But to be fair Chelsea losing to a decent team isn't really even surprising anymore. I think they along Liverpool as together were last season's finalists in two cups, this season are not feared by even the weakest team.
At least Real and Barca are still feared, but if we lose the way we both did this weekend as a habit, the fear factor will disappear.
Handicaps are very hard in multibets I think, too much near misses.
Yes it is, but when you win you get a big multiplier. Look at how weak the odds are now for simple wins by outsiders (I'm not even talking about favorites) - now is the stage of the season when most teams (Real, Barcelona, Napoli, etc.) can lose simply because they don't really need a win, or because that they are exhausted and cannot (Arsenal, Borussia, United, etc.) therefore odds on a simple result are unfavorable. It seems to me that in such conditions it is necessary to take more risk and either bet on an outsider or take a bet with a handicap.