And maybe I should pay less attention the league then in that case because I seem to be doing worse by trying to follow the news and how teams line up and expected odds etc it would seem that bookie odds on the day itself seems a more accurate way to adjust predictions. I am trying to be very consistent, not to predict too many upsets but it's not working anyway!
This is random. To evaluate the effectiveness of your efforts, you need to try different options over a long distance. For example, in this round, I predicted a draw (if I remember correctly) between Atlético and Barcelona, and it seems to me that Barcelona's victory can hardly be called natural. I also predicted draws in Serie A - between Spezia and Lecce and between Milan and Roma with the same score 1-1. As a result, the first pair played 0-0, and the second 2-2. On the one hand, I guessed right, on the other hand, luck was against me.
I feel like I did the same "strategy" last season and did slightly better, so that's the long term enough proof for me that consistency is better than just trying something different all the time. But let's see, maybe the recent results really are unnatural (Barca winning was truly a surprise).
It was an intense game between Valencia and Real Madrid and hopefully we'll get an equally or even more interesting game between Barcelona and Betis, for what it's worth, I literally would have preferred Valencia going through because it would have meant a less tougher opponent should Barcelona win their tie as well. I really don't if Lewandowski's ban would be carried over to the super cup, but if that's the case it might be just another fixture for Barcelona to struggle with, I'll regardless have my bet on Barcelona to win at 90 minutes.
My bet is on both to score today, Barcelona should score for sure and I expect Betis to do some problems for Barca defense as well. Really don't like that these matches are played in Saudi Arabia but money can get you anything these days. If I were a supporter from one of these clubs I would send complaining letters every year to make Spanish football associations or whatever their governing body is called aware that not everybody is happy about it.
I prefer to bet on Barca to qualify but I haven't made up my mind yet, although the odds aren't so great but I feel terrible if we end the game to penalties. So I might split my bets, one multibet with Barca inside and one bigger one on them to qualify.
Spain playing their games abroad is a tragedy. Doesn't matter where, even if in next country, it should never happen. If I'm a fan, I'd be protesting and burning down the club HQ!!
Real Madrid have won 12 out of 16 games in La Liga and 4 out of 6 in the Champions League - in any case, it is beneficial to choose Real as the winner. If we are talking about betting on money, then of course, from time to time there are situations when it is more profitable to bet against Real Madrid, but in this format of the competition there are simply no options other than betting on Real Madrid.
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