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Topic: Tennis League All Thread - page 320. (Read 203653 times)

legendary
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January 21, 2022, 05:18:25 PM
Very poor choice of games for tonight, I picked a couple of matches just to have some skin in the game but small stakes only.
Medvedev -6.5 @1.65, he is much better player and I expect at least one set with multiple breaks which should cover this handicap even if one set gets really close or goes the wrong way
Cabal/Farah ML @1.5, this one should be quite secure, even 2:0 @2.20 looks tempting so I am taking both
Cornet ML @1.6, she destroyed Muguruza, while Zidansek had much more problems against weaker opponents, taking the bet on stats, did not see either of them play recently
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 05:00:27 PM
Karatsev just lost to Mannarino and a pretty shocking loss,Karatsev was a big favorite in this match.

Karatsev was seriously tired after several matches already played . He was sweating "like a crazy" after 2nd sets and suffered much much more today and not during match against Murray. Some times it was like he forget how to play tennis.... the only explanation I can had is related mental and physical status: too much consecutive games.
However Mannarino has played very well winning some crucial break points....I don't think he can go far away on that tournament but lets see if there is some "miracle" Smiley
sr. member
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January 21, 2022, 12:59:57 PM
Medvedev on the other hand did seriously well to beat the audience again, he really
cannot be phased by this, mentally strong. He is someone who has changed his game
and mentality and is benefiting from it.
I have a different feeling about his mentality. I still think he is prone to self destruct and that he did not do much on that front. He did however improve all parts of his game and now he is good enough that he very rarely gets into situations which can trigger the breakdown. I will not be convinced for the mental aspect until I see his match when the result and luck does not go his way. It is easy to look composed when result is in your favor and opponents do not pressure you over the limits Smiley

That is why I miss Djokovic, he is a perfect mental test for every player on the tour.

I can agree to this. Medvedev is a great player but he doesn't has the same mental strength as Djokovic (and will probably never have it). I can't remember Djokovic really complaining about the public similar to what Medvedev did after his match against Kyrgios.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 10:52:22 AM
impressive win by Nadal at Australian open tonight.
He seems definitely in a good shape... he can deserve a good position in the final rank if he continue to play in that way.
now there is live another interesting match/players Mannarino, Adrian - Karatsev, Aslan, interesting to follow Wink interesting to place quick bets (like single winning and moreover)


Was expecting 3-0 for Nadal to win in straight sets,but he won 3-1,Nadal is looking really good on AO and i think he will go really far in it and maybe knockout some of the big players. Also Karatsev just lost to Mannarino and a pretty shocking loss,Karatsev was a big favorite in this match.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 09:54:35 AM
I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.

Disappointed to check back and see her lose even with serve advantage but yes Anisimova (spelled wrong first time) definitely well worth her tie-breaker. Didn't watch as had to tune out but just saw highlights now -- only problem is her service, either really good, or really poor, thankfully for her Osaka didn't return well, and in the end I was wrong about her nerves settled, she still looked like she gave up too many times. Well done on your win, would have followed you if not for some wallet mismanagement =)

Epic, still, and I've no skin left in this GS except for good ol' Tsitsi but he'll be playing way too early for me to watch.
Pushing it a step further with the bet on Anisimova to win outright @15 with profits from this bet.

She plays out of her skin here and she is in AO what Raducanu & Fernandez were in US Open. I still think that her next opponent Barty will be a bit much for her with all the experience and home crowd on her side but if she manages to overcome that I don't see who else can stop her. And outright pays much more than win against Barty.

I am also taking a handicap on her against Barty and forcing her till the end of tournament if she progresses further.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 09:35:11 AM
cant believe Osaka lost
She's one of those players who is in sort of a weird situation at the moment, with her recent history of withdrawals and time away from the game. I wouldn't bet on her at all, she has the ability to beat anyone, but there's zero guarantee that it'll actually happen, due to other circumstances.

I'm now staying clear of the womens side for a while
Women's has been unpredictable for quite a while. But that does mean that there is good money to be made - if you pick the right outsider, they have a better chance of going deep in the tournament than is the case on the men's side. I'm not making money on it, but I'm sure it's possible. Cheesy
hero member
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January 21, 2022, 08:40:20 AM
impressive win by Nadal at Australian open tonight.
He seems definitely in a good shape... he can deserve a good position in the final rank if he continue to play in that way.
now there is live another interesting match/players Mannarino, Adrian - Karatsev, Aslan, interesting to follow Wink interesting to place quick bets (like single winning and moreover)

Karatsev vs Mannarino is live but it's a hard game to bet, 1-1 score and both winning in a tie-break.

I'm waiting on Tsitsipas vs Paire - I bet on the underdog here as Tsitsipas doesn't look good at his last match although he won, he was extended on that game. Paire is on a 7.x odds, so I might as well take it and see how it goes. I'm speculating that it could go on a 5 setter match.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 08:20:48 AM
impressive win by Nadal at Australian open tonight.
He seems definitely in a good shape... he can deserve a good position in the final rank if he continue to play in that way.
now there is live another interesting match/players Mannarino, Adrian - Karatsev, Aslan, interesting to follow Wink interesting to place quick bets (like single winning and moreover)
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1387
January 21, 2022, 07:28:09 AM
I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.

Disappointed to check back and see her lose even with serve advantage but yes Anisimova (spelled wrong first time) definitely well worth her tie-breaker. Didn't watch as had to tune out but just saw highlights now -- only problem is her service, either really good, or really poor, thankfully for her Osaka didn't return well, and in the end I was wrong about her nerves settled, she still looked like she gave up too many times. Well done on your win, would have followed you if not for some wallet mismanagement =)

Epic, still, and I've no skin left in this GS except for good ol' Tsitsi but he'll be playing way too early for me to watch.

AFFS cant believe Osaka lost, I had her to win but obviously Anisimova
cam through. As per previous comments by you guys, I'm now staying clear of
the womens side for a while, first Muguruza and now Osaka out, all top seeds.

Hmmm I see also Timelord didn't go for Osaka....
hero member
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January 21, 2022, 06:17:50 AM
Murray vs Daniel will also be next, Andy is the favourite per ML, but I will go over 35.5 @1.91 boosted. I think this will be an extended game and will not be easy for Murray to win.

As we might have expected, Murray is struggling and is a set down against an opponent ranked #120 in the world.
The problem is not his ability, it's his recovery... a long 5-set win in the last round against a top player was always going to take it out of him, it's the same as we saw last season, a great win against a top player is almost always followed by a real struggle against a much lower ranked player.

I feel bad for Murray, but from a betting perspective there is a clear pattern.
He is down 0-2 sets already, but leading in the 3rd set, maybe he will rally in the 3rd and at least win a set. But it's going to be very difficult for him it this is going to last for a 5th set. And if ever he will win, he will have to fight the next day and we all know that as we gets old the recovery of our body is slowing down.

As for the over bet, well at least Murray needs to win this set so that you will get a win. But if Daniel wins, then the bet is lost.
Murray lost that break and it does not look good for him. Wanted to watch a  bit of that match but how when there is Medvedev - Kyrgios on at the same time? Some really interesting shots in this one, Kyrgios with his under arm serve and some great volleys, both with some strange but effective shots, good serving and even better returning. And of course Kyrgios complaining about serve clock, public, ref....you know the drill. Great watching for sure.

Yeah, too bad that Murray has lost and the game was not extended.

I can feel you, I haven't watch women's tennis for a while, but it's good to see Timelord2067 making money on the ladies tournament.

The Alcaraz vs Berrettini match though, it was really very close but no surprise that Berrettini got the win at the end.

I have a Bautista-Agut and Rublev at a parlay.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 05:54:17 AM
I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.

Disappointed to check back and see her lose even with serve advantage but yes Anisimova (spelled wrong first time) definitely well worth her tie-breaker. Didn't watch as had to tune out but just saw highlights now -- only problem is her service, either really good, or really poor, thankfully for her Osaka didn't return well, and in the end I was wrong about her nerves settled, she still looked like she gave up too many times. Well done on your win, would have followed you if not for some wallet mismanagement =)

Epic, still, and I've no skin left in this GS except for good ol' Tsitsi but he'll be playing way too early for me to watch.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 05:10:36 AM
Also watching US v Japan. But yee yikes Osaka, started as strongly as expected, but Asimova claimed a fine set to take it to third, and it seemed for a flash or two like Osaka was happy to give up the second set to focus on third, least it seemed that way to me, agree Trofo?

Thought it was going away already with two early points surrendered at the net (and 2 won from Asimova out of bounds) but once the first game was won, nerves seem a bit settled. Asimova is killing herself with way too many double faults... but now I have to stop watching, so hope Osaka closes this out, while Barty does look like having a close 2nd set too...

P.S. I'm not Timelord, only time I ever bet on women's tennis is 2:1 wins like today Wink
I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 04:57:18 AM
Also watching US v Japan. But yee yikes Osaka, started as strongly as expected, but Asimova claimed a fine set to take it to third, and it seemed for a flash or two like Osaka was happy to give up the second set to focus on third, least it seemed that way to me, agree Trofo?

Thought it was going away already with two early points surrendered at the net (and 2 won from Asimova out of bounds) but once the first game was won, nerves seem a bit settled. Asimova is killing herself with way too many double faults... but now I have to stop watching, so hope Osaka closes this out, while Barty does look like having a close 2nd set too...

P.S. I'm not Timelord, only time I ever bet on women's tennis is 2:1 wins like today Wink
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 03:58:24 AM
They are in the 4th set now, Berrettini took the first two. I was going to bet on Alcaraz
but to me they are quite even so I couldnt make a call on which one.

Similar to the womens side, I find it hard to pick winners, my last pick Muguruza is out,
and I have Osaka to win later.

@Timelord2067 seems to be happy enough with a lot of bets on the women though.
Timelord prefers to watch women it seems, I get that, much easier on eyes than men side Smiley I just can't understand how he can win any money on them Smiley

I watched last 2 and a half sets of Alcaraz - Beretinni and I can't believe Italian managed to win it. It looked like Alcaraz took all the momentum on his side after loosing first 2 sets and then he fell apart in the middle of tie break. Don't get me wrong Berettini played some very nice points but than Alcaraz gifted some more.

Now watching Osaka - Anisimova, some serious hitting in this one and this could go both ways. Osaka 1 set up but I just placed a small bet on Anisimova @6.5 to try and get an upset. If Osaka wins I get 0.25 mBTC free bet on that Sportsbet promo so I am winning either way.
legendary
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January 21, 2022, 01:46:59 AM
It's a tough one for Tsitsipas, the game scored: 7-6, 6-7 going into the 3rd set. So it will be tough for him to cover that spread, just saying.

I caught most of the third set and thought Tsitsipas was doing well, then you could just see he was rattled and shouting to himself for clumsy errors (serves, returns) I'm sorry I wasn't able to see how it turned out.
{..snip..}

Yes, in the end Tsitsipas won the match but the handicap was not covered so I lost my bet here.

I haven't put any bet yet, but it looks like a Garin vs Monfils will be a good one. I'm watching it right now and both are playing good.

Kecmanovic vs Sonego is also playing, just glad that this is on my time zone so I can watch the game live.

The Sonego vs Kecmanovic is already on the 4th set. Kecmanovic serve and volley is on point and Sonego has no answer on it. However, Sonego is leading the 4th set 3-1, Kecmanovic serving, I wouldn't be surprised to see it going into a gruelling 5th set. And I'm thinking that Kecmanovic might pull an upset to the 25th seed here.

Another very good but close match is Alcaraz vs Berrettini.

They are in the 4th set now, Berrettini took the first two. I was going to bet on Alcaraz
but to me they are quite even so I couldnt make a call on which one.

Similar to the womens side, I find it hard to pick winners, my last pick Muguruza is out,
and I have Osaka to win later.

@Timelord2067 seems to be happy enough with a lot of bets on the women though.
hero member
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January 20, 2022, 11:28:06 PM
It's a tough one for Tsitsipas, the game scored: 7-6, 6-7 going into the 3rd set. So it will be tough for him to cover that spread, just saying.

I caught most of the third set and thought Tsitsipas was doing well, then you could just see he was rattled and shouting to himself for clumsy errors (serves, returns) I'm sorry I wasn't able to see how it turned out.
{..snip..}

Yes, in the end Tsitsipas won the match but the handicap was not covered so I lost my bet here.

I haven't put any bet yet, but it looks like a Garin vs Monfils will be a good one. I'm watching it right now and both are playing good.

Kecmanovic vs Sonego is also playing, just glad that this is on my time zone so I can watch the game live.

The Sonego vs Kecmanovic is already on the 4th set. Kecmanovic serve and volley is on point and Sonego has no answer on it. However, Sonego is leading the 4th set 3-1, Kecmanovic serving, I wouldn't be surprised to see it going into a gruelling 5th set. And I'm thinking that Kecmanovic might pull an upset to the 25th seed here.

Another very good but close match is Alcaraz vs Berrettini.
legendary
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January 20, 2022, 10:55:17 PM
It's a tough one for Tsitsipas, the game scored: 7-6, 6-7 going into the 3rd set. So it will be tough for him to cover that spread, just saying.

I caught most of the third set and thought Tsitsipas was doing well, then you could just see he was rattled and shouting to himself for clumsy errors (serves, returns) I'm sorry I wasn't able to see how it turned out.
{..snip..}

Yes, in the end Tsitsipas won the match but the handicap was not covered so I lost my bet here.

I haven't put any bet yet, but it looks like a Garin vs Monfils will be a good one. I'm watching it right now and both are playing good.

Kecmanovic vs Sonego is also playing, just glad that this is on my time zone so I can watch the game live.
legendary
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January 20, 2022, 07:52:08 PM
It's a tough one for Tsitsipas, the game scored: 7-6, 6-7 going into the 3rd set. So it will be tough for him to cover that spread, just saying.

I caught most of the third set and thought Tsitsipas was doing well, then you could just see he was rattled and shouting to himself for clumsy errors (serves, returns) I'm sorry I wasn't able to see how it turned out.




My wagers for today's Women's Games underway.

Women's Singles:


Madison Keys - Qiang Wang Match Winner Madison Keys @ 1.18 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Amanda Anisimova - Naomi Osaka Match Winner Amanda Anisimova @ 3.31 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.10 mBTC
Ashleigh Barty - Camila Giorgi Match Winner Ashleigh Barty @ 1.04 Taken Amount: 0.13 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.14 mBTC
Sorana Cirstea - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Match Winner Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova @ 1.37 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.04 mBTC
Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner Aryna Sabalenka @ 2.18 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

Women's Doubles:

D.Kovinic/A.Krunic - A. Muhammad/J. Pegula Match Winner D.Kovinic/A.Krunic @ 3.38 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.10 mBTC
M. Linette/B. Pera - S.Stosur/S.Zhang Match Winner S.Stosur/S.Zhang @ 1.76 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Martic/Rogers - L.Kichenok/J.Ostapenko Match Winner L.Kichenok/J.Ostapenko @ 1.62 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Dolehide C./Sanders S. - E.Hozumi/M.Ninomiya Match Winner Dolehide C./Sanders S. @ 1.54 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
legendary
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January 20, 2022, 03:33:49 PM
Medvedev on the other hand did seriously well to beat the audience again, he really
cannot be phased by this, mentally strong. He is someone who has changed his game
and mentality and is benefiting from it.
I have a different feeling about his mentality. I still think he is prone to self destruct and that he did not do much on that front. He did however improve all parts of his game and now he is good enough that he very rarely gets into situations which can trigger the breakdown. I will not be convinced for the mental aspect until I see his match when the result and luck does not go his way. It is easy to look composed when result is in your favor and opponents do not pressure you over the limits Smiley

That is why I miss Djokovic, he is a perfect mental test for every player on the tour.
legendary
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January 20, 2022, 03:26:54 PM
Murray vs Daniel will also be next, Andy is the favourite per ML, but I will go over 35.5 @1.91 boosted. I think this will be an extended game and will not be easy for Murray to win.

As we might have expected, Murray is struggling and is a set down against an opponent ranked #120 in the world.
The problem is not his ability, it's his recovery... a long 5-set win in the last round against a top player was always going to take it out of him, it's the same as we saw last season, a great win against a top player is almost always followed by a real struggle against a much lower ranked player.

I feel bad for Murray, but from a betting perspective there is a clear pattern.
He is down 0-2 sets already, but leading in the 3rd set, maybe he will rally in the 3rd and at least win a set. But it's going to be very difficult for him it this is going to last for a 5th set. And if ever he will win, he will have to fight the next day and we all know that as we gets old the recovery of our body is slowing down.

As for the over bet, well at least Murray needs to win this set so that you will get a win. But if Daniel wins, then the bet is lost.
Murray lost that break and it does not look good for him. Wanted to watch a  bit of that match but how when there is Medvedev - Kyrgios on at the same time? Some really interesting shots in this one, Kyrgios with his under arm serve and some great volleys, both with some strange but effective shots, good serving and even better returning. And of course Kyrgios complaining about serve clock, public, ref....you know the drill. Great watching for sure.

Ah here we go again with Kyrgios and his antics, it doesnt doesnt do him any good,
he still lost. He needs to re-focus on his mentality and game, he has great talent
but just wrongly applied.

Medvedev on the other hand did seriously well to beat the audience again, he really
cannot be phased by this, mentally strong. He is someone who has changed his game
and mentality and is benefiting from it.

I had him to win do thats good but my other one on Muguruza not unfortunately.

If someone was going to win against Medvedev its was Nick Kyrigos but i guess a lot of time of the field had its effect on him and his mentality. Also women tennis is so unpredictable that we should mostly stay away from betting on it . So many favorites losing sets and getting knocked out
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