Tennis League All Thread - page 316.

babygun

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Quote from: Jackl87 on January 22, 2022, 06:57:28 AM

I saw all three matches of Osaka in this tournament and i have to say she did play pretty well in my opinion. She won her first two matches in a pretty convincing way and only had a few phases where she didn't play well there. In her match against Anisimova she also did play pretty good in my opinion and it was a pretty close match overall. Both ladies have a very identical playstyle they are trying to hit the ball very early and are both playing very aggressive with a lot of power in their shots. I think Osaka lost that match because Anisimova showed a very good performance and not because Osaka herself played bad or something.

I am glad she is back and she showed some decent form! Hopefully she can continue like this and keep mentally strong!

Quote from: Trofo on January 22, 2022, 06:48:56 PM

Sabalenka did not look good to me so I am skipping that one, granted I only watched a couple of games but she looked even more prone to unforced errors then usual. I agree about Azarenka, she is one of my picks as well. Looks like she is getting close to her old form.

I watched a lot of Anisimova and Barty and I am actually taking handicap on Anisimova here. I believe Barty is closer to winning but it will not be easy. Anisimova has some amazing ground strokes and I expect her to take a set here, maybe even a match if stars align. There is 6.5 handicap @1.65 which pays much better then Barty win and I expect it to pass easy.

That's a pretty good odd and I will follow your bet. Barty will probably win (allthough an upset can also happen) but there is no value in Barty to win with an odd of around 1.2 .

Trofo

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on January 22, 2022, 05:58:20 PM

Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner Aryna Sabalenka @ 1.32 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Ashleigh Barty - Amanda Anisimova Match Winner Ashleigh Barty @ 1.18 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.12 mBTC
Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Azarenka Match Winner Victoria Azarenka @ 1.42 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.06 mBTC
Madison Keys - Paula Badosa Gibert Match Winner Madison Keys @ 2.56 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.10 mBTC

Sabalenka did not look good to me so I am skipping that one, granted I only watched a couple of games but she looked even more prone to unforced errors then usual. I agree about Azarenka, she is one of my picks as well. Looks like she is getting close to her old form.

I watched a lot of Anisimova and Barty and I am actually taking handicap on Anisimova here. I believe Barty is closer to winning but it will not be easy. Anisimova has some amazing ground strokes and I expect her to take a set here, maybe even a match if stars align. There is 6.5 handicap @1.65 which pays much better then Barty win and I expect it to pass easy.

Timelord2067

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Quote from: buwaytress on January 22, 2022, 03:28:00 AM

@TimeLord2067: Do they have Whovians playing ladies tennis? I don't dislike the dark side at all, just rarely see any interesting odds though Trofo winning on Osaka getting dumped out proves I need to look harder. (Good luck to you on your Anisimova outright Trofo. Checked out odds myself but I don't seem to have as good as you got, so skipping).

Sometimes I like to imagine I've got the Grey's Sports Almanac in my top pocket... Cool

I'm going for a parlay today: (essentially the five I'm also placing individual wagers on)

Madison Keys - Paula Badosa Gibert Match Winner Madison Keys @ 2.56
Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Azarenka Match Winner Victoria Azarenka @ 1.42
Ashleigh Barty - Amanda Anisimova Match Winner Ashleigh Barty @ 1.18
Simona Halep - Alize Cornet Match Winner Simona Halep @ 1.08
Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner Aryna Sabalenka @ 1.32 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC
Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC

My ~~five~~ four pics in the Women's Singles are:

Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner Aryna Sabalenka @ 1.32 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Ashleigh Barty - Amanda Anisimova Match Winner Ashleigh Barty @ 1.18 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.12 mBTC
Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Azarenka Match Winner Victoria Azarenka @ 1.42 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.06 mBTC
Madison Keys - Paula Badosa Gibert Match Winner Madison Keys @ 2.56 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.10 mBTC

aoluain

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Quote from: Jackl87 on January 22, 2022, 06:57:28 AM

Quote from: Daniel91 on January 22, 2022, 06:44:23 AM

Obviously, Osaka has a long way to go to return to the top of world tennis, but I'm glad she's back.
As for the other tennis players, for now all the favorites are winning in both men's and women's competition, and it will be very interesting to follow their clashes at the end of the tournament.
Medvedev, ZVerev, Nadal ... who is ready for the last step and winning this tournament? Cheesy

I saw all three matches of Osaka in this tournament and i have to say she did play pretty well in my opinion. She won her first two matches in a pretty convincing way and only had a few phases where she didn't play well there. In her match against Anisimova she also did play pretty good in my opinion and it was a pretty close match overall. Both ladies have a very identical playstyle they are trying to hit the ball very early and are both playing very aggressive with a lot of power in their shots. I think Osaka lost that match because Anisimova showed a very good performance and not because Osaka herself played bad or something.

Osaka had 2 match points but couldnt make it so she lost marginally not massively.
Her post match interview is something to be positive about, she seems to be
more at ease with the fact that she cannot win every match and to manage
her expectations rather than all of ours.

My betting from last round was Sinner to win, which happened and Rublev to
win, which didnt! Cilic is on a bit of a roll so far in the AO, he did well to win in 4 sets.
The match stats are similar except for his 24 Aces, yes 24! against Rublev's 17. His 1st
serve % was 85 so it seems his game was all about the serve which worked well.

Jackl87

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Quote from: Daniel91 on January 22, 2022, 06:44:23 AM

Obviously, Osaka has a long way to go to return to the top of world tennis, but I'm glad she's back.
As for the other tennis players, for now all the favorites are winning in both men's and women's competition, and it will be very interesting to follow their clashes at the end of the tournament.
Medvedev, ZVerev, Nadal ... who is ready for the last step and winning this tournament? Cheesy

I saw all three matches of Osaka in this tournament and i have to say she did play pretty well in my opinion. She won her first two matches in a pretty convincing way and only had a few phases where she didn't play well there. In her match against Anisimova she also did play pretty good in my opinion and it was a pretty close match overall. Both ladies have a very identical playstyle they are trying to hit the ball very early and are both playing very aggressive with a lot of power in their shots. I think Osaka lost that match because Anisimova showed a very good performance and not because Osaka herself played bad or something.

Daniel91

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In this tournament, I followed Osaka's return to tennis with special interest.
We all already know that her return was not the most successful and here is what she says about it:

''"I fought for every point. I can't be sad about that. You know, I'm not God. I can't win every match," she said.''
"For me, I feel like I grew a lot in this match," said Osaka.''
''"The last match that I played in New York I think I had a completely different attitude.''
''"I think this for me is the biggest step, even though I lost. I think I was really focused throughout the entire match, and I didn't have a dip. So that's really good."''

Source: https://www.bbc.com/sport/tennis/60085418

Obviously, Osaka has a long way to go to return to the top of world tennis, but I'm glad she's back.
As for the other tennis players, for now all the favorites are winning in both men's and women's competition, and it will be very interesting to follow their clashes at the end of the tournament.
Medvedev, ZVerev, Nadal ... who is ready for the last step and winning this tournament? Cheesy

buwaytress

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@TimeLord2067: Do they have Whovians playing ladies tennis? I don't dislike the dark side at all, just rarely see any interesting odds though Trofo winning on Osaka getting dumped out proves I need to look harder. (Good luck to you on your Anisimova outright Trofo. Checked out odds myself but I don't seem to have as good as you got, so skipping).

@Kemarit: Fritz made it hard on himself today, huh. Did your handicap get this to a win?

I myself woke up to find my outright pick Tsitsi also made it through. Wasn't a clean game but I'll take a 4-set game any time of day.

Kemarit

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Watching the Bautista-Agut vs T. Fritz currently, I have Bautista Agut by handicap.

He lost though the first set by bagel, but won the next 2 sets. But Fritz is coming back strong in the fourth set and hopefully this can go on a decider side. Fritz broke early and leading 3-2 and now serving to get a good lead.

dataispower

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Quote from: Cnut237 on January 20, 2022, 12:19:00 PM

Shame about Raducanu losing. IIRC she did have a problem with a blister vs Sloane Stephens, but it really became a major issue today. TBH I'm quite impressed with how she managed to stay in the match and adapt her play to compensate for the discomfort and still be competitive. And her attitude is very good I think. Some people will look at the result and think 'oh, she's lost in an early round again', but actually there is quite a bit more to the story (particularly as she has also only just come back from Covid). I do think she'll have a very strong 2022.

Like this analysis of tennis game, and especially the way you break it down, so i believe that if you have give me description or channel i will follow your part and also analyze like you also.were can i watch the game i need liknk ?

Timelord2067

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In today's matches, I'm going for the following: (I was half asleep last night hence there's a couple of (unintentional) double wagers.

Ashleigh Barty - Amanda Anisimova Match Winner Ashleigh Barty @ 1.20 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.12 mBTC
Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Azarenka Match Winner Victoria Azarenka @ 1.48 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.06 mBTC
Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Azarenka Match Winner Victoria Azarenka @ 1.53 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Madison Keys - Paula Badosa Gibert Match Winner Madison Keys @ 2.46 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC
Madison Keys - Paula Badosa Gibert Match Winner Madison Keys @ 2.49 Taken Amount: 0.04 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.10 mBTC
Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner Aryna Sabalenka @ 2.18 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC
Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka Match Winner Aryna Sabalenka @ 2.32 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC
Martic/Rogers - L.Kichenok/J.Ostapenko Match Winner L.Kichenok/J.Ostapenko @ 1.62 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.05 mBTC
Sorana Cirstea - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Match Winner Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova @ 1.37 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.04 mBTC
Sorana Cirstea - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Match Winner Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova @ 1.42 Taken Amount: 0.03 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.04 mBTC

I watched the entire Barty Vs Giorgi match. Giorgi faulted on her first serve to Ash and although she played a very good game, I got the feeling she was rattled by the fault (and made a couple of similar errors during the game). I'll put money on her next time she's playing definitely.

Quote from: aoluain on January 21, 2022, 01:46:59 AM

@Timelord2067 seems to be happy enough with a lot of bets on the women though.

Quote from: Jating on January 21, 2022, 06:17:50 AM

I can feel you, I haven't watch women's tennis for a while, but it's good to see Timelord2067 making money on the ladies tournament.

They might be small wagers, but I'm happy having the distraction at the moment.

Quote from: Trofo on January 21, 2022, 03:58:24 AM

Timelord prefers to watch women it seems, I get that, much easier on eyes than men side

I just can't understand how he can win any money on them

I watched last 2 and a half sets of Alcaraz - Beretinni and I can't believe Italian managed to win it. It looked like Alcaraz took all the momentum on his side after loosing first 2 sets and then he fell apart in the middle of tie break. Don't get me wrong Berettini played some very nice points but than Alcaraz gifted some more.

Now watching Osaka - Anisimova, some serious hitting in this one and this could go both ways. Osaka 1 set up but I just placed a small bet on Anisimova @6.5 to try and get an upset. If Osaka wins I get 0.25 mBTC free bet on that Sportsbet promo so I am winning either way.

I caught from the third set on-wards and yes Alcaraz just starting falling apart. Lot's of running around in unnecessary circles on the base line.

Quote from: Trofo on January 21, 2022, 05:10:36 AM

I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.

I felt Osaka - Anisimova would end the way it did. I only caught a few minutes during the Barty game when Channel nine would look in on the other match. They had similar scores from what I could see.

Quote from: aoluain on January 21, 2022, 07:28:09 AM

Hmmm I see also Timelord didn't go for Osaka....

A couple of others who managed to watched the game have alluded to Osaka powering down from the end of the second set. This was Naomi's first major tournament after a break, so I guess she has found new strength - how much from here only she knows.

Quote from: buwaytress on January 21, 2022, 04:57:18 AM

P.S. I'm not Timelord, only time I ever bet on women's tennis is 2:1 wins like today Wink

Come to the dark side (we have cookies and ladies playing tennis too!) Cool

Trofo

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Very poor choice of games for tonight, I picked a couple of matches just to have some skin in the game but small stakes only.
Medvedev -6.5 @1.65, he is much better player and I expect at least one set with multiple breaks which should cover this handicap even if one set gets really close or goes the wrong way
Cabal/Farah ML @1.5, this one should be quite secure, even 2:0 @2.20 looks tempting so I am taking both
Cornet ML @1.6, she destroyed Muguruza, while Zidansek had much more problems against weaker opponents, taking the bet on stats, did not see either of them play recently

bitbollo

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Quote from: Joca97 on January 21, 2022, 10:52:22 AM

Karatsev just lost to Mannarino and a pretty shocking loss,Karatsev was a big favorite in this match.

Karatsev was seriously tired after several matches already played . He was sweating "like a crazy" after 2nd sets and suffered much much more today and not during match against Murray. Some times it was like he forget how to play tennis.... the only explanation I can had is related mental and physical status: too much consecutive games.
However Mannarino has played very well winning some crucial break points....I don't think he can go far away on that tournament but lets see if there is some "miracle"

babygun

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Quote from: Trofo on January 20, 2022, 03:33:49 PM

Quote from: aoluain on January 20, 2022, 12:57:27 PM

Medvedev on the other hand did seriously well to beat the audience again, he really
cannot be phased by this, mentally strong. He is someone who has changed his game
and mentality and is benefiting from it.

I have a different feeling about his mentality. I still think he is prone to self destruct and that he did not do much on that front. He did however improve all parts of his game and now he is good enough that he very rarely gets into situations which can trigger the breakdown. I will not be convinced for the mental aspect until I see his match when the result and luck does not go his way. It is easy to look composed when result is in your favor and opponents do not pressure you over the limits

That is why I miss Djokovic, he is a perfect mental test for every player on the tour.

I can agree to this. Medvedev is a great player but he doesn't has the same mental strength as Djokovic (and will probably never have it). I can't remember Djokovic really complaining about the public similar to what Medvedev did after his match against Kyrgios.

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Quote from: bitbollo on January 21, 2022, 08:20:48 AM

impressive win by Nadal at Australian open tonight.
He seems definitely in a good shape... he can deserve a good position in the final rank if he continue to play in that way.
now there is live another interesting match/players Mannarino, Adrian - Karatsev, Aslan, interesting to follow Wink

interesting to place quick bets (like single winning and moreover)

Was expecting 3-0 for Nadal to win in straight sets,but he won 3-1,Nadal is looking really good on AO and i think he will go really far in it and maybe knockout some of the big players. Also Karatsev just lost to Mannarino and a pretty shocking loss,Karatsev was a big favorite in this match.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on January 21, 2022, 05:54:17 AM

Quote from: Trofo on January 21, 2022, 05:10:36 AM

I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.

Disappointed to check back and see her lose even with serve advantage but yes Anisimova (spelled wrong first time) definitely well worth her tie-breaker. Didn't watch as had to tune out but just saw highlights now -- only problem is her service, either really good, or really poor, thankfully for her Osaka didn't return well, and in the end I was wrong about her nerves settled, she still looked like she gave up too many times. Well done on your win, would have followed you if not for some wallet mismanagement =)

Epic, still, and I've no skin left in this GS except for good ol' Tsitsi but he'll be playing way too early for me to watch.

Pushing it a step further with the bet on Anisimova to win outright @15 with profits from this bet.

She plays out of her skin here and she is in AO what Raducanu & Fernandez were in US Open. I still think that her next opponent Barty will be a bit much for her with all the experience and home crowd on her side but if she manages to overcome that I don't see who else can stop her. And outright pays much more than win against Barty.

I am also taking a handicap on her against Barty and forcing her till the end of tournament if she progresses further.

Cnut237

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Quote from: aoluain on January 21, 2022, 07:28:09 AM

cant believe Osaka lost

She's one of those players who is in sort of a weird situation at the moment, with her recent history of withdrawals and time away from the game. I wouldn't bet on her at all, she has the ability to beat anyone, but there's zero guarantee that it'll actually happen, due to other circumstances.

Quote from: aoluain on January 21, 2022, 07:28:09 AM

I'm now staying clear of the womens side for a while

Women's has been unpredictable for quite a while. But that does mean that there is good money to be made - if you pick the right outsider, they have a better chance of going deep in the tournament than is the case on the men's side. I'm not making money on it, but I'm sure it's possible. Cheesy

Yaunfitda

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Quote from: bitbollo on January 21, 2022, 08:20:48 AM

impressive win by Nadal at Australian open tonight.
He seems definitely in a good shape... he can deserve a good position in the final rank if he continue to play in that way.
now there is live another interesting match/players Mannarino, Adrian - Karatsev, Aslan, interesting to follow Wink

interesting to place quick bets (like single winning and moreover)

Karatsev vs Mannarino is live but it's a hard game to bet, 1-1 score and both winning in a tie-break.

I'm waiting on Tsitsipas vs Paire - I bet on the underdog here as Tsitsipas doesn't look good at his last match although he won, he was extended on that game. Paire is on a 7.x odds, so I might as well take it and see how it goes. I'm speculating that it could go on a 5 setter match.

bitbollo

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impressive win by Nadal at Australian open tonight.
He seems definitely in a good shape... he can deserve a good position in the final rank if he continue to play in that way.
now there is live another interesting match/players Mannarino, Adrian - Karatsev, Aslan, interesting to follow Wink

interesting to place quick bets (like single winning and moreover)

aoluain

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Quote from: buwaytress on January 21, 2022, 05:54:17 AM

Quote from: Trofo on January 21, 2022, 05:10:36 AM

I switched to check out Barty - Giorgi match a bit since I knew that one will be much shorter so I did not see much of second set. Now back to Osaka match, must say I am impressed by Anisimova, she is hitting the ball beautifully. I knew she had good results but this is first time I am actually watching her play. Osaka has a serve advantage and that is it. This will be a very close match.

Disappointed to check back and see her lose even with serve advantage but yes Anisimova (spelled wrong first time) definitely well worth her tie-breaker. Didn't watch as had to tune out but just saw highlights now -- only problem is her service, either really good, or really poor, thankfully for her Osaka didn't return well, and in the end I was wrong about her nerves settled, she still looked like she gave up too many times. Well done on your win, would have followed you if not for some wallet mismanagement =)

Epic, still, and I've no skin left in this GS except for good ol' Tsitsi but he'll be playing way too early for me to watch.

AFFS cant believe Osaka lost, I had her to win but obviously Anisimova
cam through. As per previous comments by you guys, I'm now staying clear of
the womens side for a while, first Muguruza and now Osaka out, all top seeds.

Hmmm I see also Timelord didn't go for Osaka....

Jating

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Quote from: Trofo on January 20, 2022, 04:24:51 AM

Quote from: Yaunfitda on January 20, 2022, 03:49:22 AM

Quote from: Cnut237 on January 20, 2022, 03:25:23 AM

Quote from: Jating on January 20, 2022, 01:29:51 AM

Murray vs Daniel will also be next, Andy is the favourite per ML, but I will go over 35.5 @1.91 boosted. I think this will be an extended game and will not be easy for Murray to win.

As we might have expected, Murray is struggling and is a set down against an opponent ranked #120 in the world.
The problem is not his ability, it's his recovery... a long 5-set win in the last round against a top player was always going to take it out of him, it's the same as we saw last season, a great win against a top player is almost always followed by a real struggle against a much lower ranked player.

I feel bad for Murray, but from a betting perspective there is a clear pattern.

He is down 0-2 sets already, but leading in the 3rd set, maybe he will rally in the 3rd and at least win a set. But it's going to be very difficult for him it this is going to last for a 5th set. And if ever he will win, he will have to fight the next day and we all know that as we gets old the recovery of our body is slowing down.

As for the over bet, well at least Murray needs to win this set so that you will get a win. But if Daniel wins, then the bet is lost.

Murray lost that break and it does not look good for him. Wanted to watch a bit of that match but how when there is Medvedev - Kyrgios on at the same time? Some really interesting shots in this one, Kyrgios with his under arm serve and some great volleys, both with some strange but effective shots, good serving and even better returning. And of course Kyrgios complaining about serve clock, public, ref....you know the drill. Great watching for sure.

Yeah, too bad that Murray has lost and the game was not extended.

I can feel you, I haven't watch women's tennis for a while, but it's good to see Timelord2067 making money on the ladies tournament.

The Alcaraz vs Berrettini match though, it was really very close but no surprise that Berrettini got the win at the end.

I have a Bautista-Agut and Rublev at a parlay.

Topic: Tennis League All Thread - page 316. (Read 202212 times)