I feel that Australia are pretty much in the finals at this point while the remaining teams are fighting for the 2nd position. It's tough to tell which team will grab that spot, but I am expecting India to occupy it.
Teams like NZ, ENG, PAK etc disappointed many of their fans and seriously need to make some big changes in order to improve in this format.
I feel 4 wins should be a very difficult task for India, 4 wins means you have to beat Bangladesh which might not be that difficult but then beat Australia 3-0 which is highly unlikely but yes this thing would ease out if South Africa loses couple of more matches from Australia then India may qualify with a rather lesser number of wins. Australia for sure is qualified for the finals. But yes the slow over rate will clearly slash 5 points from your overall tally so India is pretty bad on that. But If things come to India and England then English have the same problem too. This WTC has definitely given Test cricket a different feel as well now.
Yeah, Australia are in and fight is for 2nd spot. Proteas playing 2 home tests against the Windies so they also have a good chance.
At home, India has lost only 2 tests in the last decade so they are dominating force but this time Australia can challenge the hegemony (they always compete fiercely) and might cross the line as our Top order is in shambles.
Middle-lower order and bowlers are bailing out every single time. I Hope Pujara continue his form and occasionally Rohit's masterclass on rank turner.