🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 - page 226.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tyKiwanuka on December 06, 2020, 12:51:46 PM

Apart from the obvious one, i.e. the Colts, I could imagine the Jets pulling an upset.

Man, i'm dodging bullets like Keanu lol, you almost called both upsets, nice. I really didn't see it being so close.
Jets are indeed going for that 0-16 record, Colts were so close of losing themselves, and the Vikings barely won in OT vs. mighty M. Glennon and the Jags.

Quote from: nutildah on December 06, 2020, 03:39:58 PM

Yikes, that's really balls to the wall there and I wish you good luck.

Thanks, nothing has gone wrong yet, we are still alive and kicking, all i need is Wentz and Giants backup QB to throw a few interceptions each.

Quote from: morvillz7z on December 06, 2020, 11:01:12 AM

Redemption ticket features Colts and ~~Bears~~ to cover ^{(edit/update, ahh dammit, misclick instead of Bears spread i've pressed on Lions ml haha i'm an idiot, let's go Detroit )} , Trubisky sucks but Lions just have fired their HC, Colts got trashed last week, they absolutely need the win here vs. awful Houston defense.

I've never won a misclick bet before, but i will take it. hehe Grin

edit;

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on December 06, 2020, 05:56:34 PM

I placed a bet on the Giants at HT, so SEA win at least should be safe Wink

Good one! Who would've thought that Seattle will lose at home vs. Colt McCoy haha, no TDs for Metcalf/Lockett is total bs.

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Quote from: morvillz7z on December 06, 2020, 11:01:12 AM

My 'what could go wrong' 6 team parlay backing the favorites to win, i just don't see any major upsets happening today, but that's not how it usually works. lol

Yikes, that's really balls to the wall there and I wish you good luck. That's the thing about upsets: nobody sees them coming! Maybe we're due for a week of few upsets for once.

Quote from: Hueristic on December 06, 2020, 01:00:02 PM

There needs to be a straight up odds on whether the Steelers will get rescheduled every week!

Did it get moved from today to Monday or what happened? Whatever happened explains why I couldn't find the odds last night. It's up there now though: line looks to be about Steelers -6.5. The Washington ML for this game is ~3.45x, which I think would make for an exciting bet. This is one upset I'd like to see happen: the team without a name defeats the only undefeated team.

If I win today's game (Miami needs 2 more points or 4 more yards and I'll be up) I'm gonna put a little on Was. ML.

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Quote from: ralle14 on December 06, 2020, 09:46:47 AM

Picking the Titans handicap (-4) for this week it opened at -6.5 now it's down to -4 might go down even more before kickoff. Expecting they'll win by at least 6 or more since the Browns nearly lost to the Jags.

For my survivor picks i'm going for a safe play and burn the Chiefs as they'll face the Broncos later today. I'm getting nervous heading in to the last four weeks it seems way to easy.

Careful, Denver has a QB this week! Cheesy

There needs to be a straight up odds on whether the Steelers will get rescheduled every week!

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Quote from: morvillz7z on December 06, 2020, 11:01:12 AM

'what could go wrong' 6 team parlay

Apart from the obvious one, i.e. the Colts, I could imagine the Jets pulling an upset. NYJ odds are super low imo, since I don't think they even want to win, so something fishy going on there. Maybe it's because the Raiders are usually poor in early games at the east coast. If the odds were higher, I would probably try my luck, but around 4-ish isn't enough for me, I would want 8.

I am not very inspired in general today. Was staring at the odds for quite some time, without finding anything to bet on with confidence. So will just play Titans ML and the over 51.0 in Vikings game to not get too bored. And maybe a little bit of Cardinals ML later, although the H2H looks horrible for them.

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My 'what could go wrong' 6 team parlay backing the favorites to win, i just don't see any major upsets happening today, but that's not how it usually works. lol

Redemption ticket features Colts and ~~Bears~~ to cover ^{(edit/update, ahh dammit, misclick instead of Bears spread i've pressed on Lions ml haha i'm an idiot, let's go Detroit )} , Trubisky sucks but Lions just have fired their HC, Colts got trashed last week, they absolutely need the win here vs. awful Houston defense.

Also have the Chargers/Saints moneylines + Raiders to cover, Carr hasn't had a good game as of late, and Jets have to stay on the right path of losing.

I'm confident at least one of those three will come through for me...and yeah gl, everyone!

ralle14

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Picking the Titans handicap (-4) for this week it opened at -6.5 now it's down to -4 might go down even more before kickoff. Expecting they'll win by at least 6 or more since the Browns nearly lost to the Jags.

For my survivor picks i'm going for a safe play and burn the Chiefs as they'll face the Broncos later today. I'm getting nervous heading in to the last four weeks it seems way to easy.

nutildah

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Gonna take Miami at -10.5 this week for 1.98x, which I think is a good deal. I tend to do a little bit better toward the end of the season because teams that are really fighting for wins to get into the playoffs have more of an incentive to get extra points than those who have no chance. Additionally, if they tend to cover in the past, that trend should continue into the playoffs, is my rationale.

I also like Washington Football Team to finally hand Pittsburgh a loss. I was going to place one bet on Washington with the spread and a smaller one on Was. to win outright, but its not listed at my sportsbook of choice, at least not at the moment.

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on December 03, 2020, 11:58:49 PM

Why is the odds beginning to favor San Francisco when they are not playing in their home stadium and they do not yet have Jimmy Garoppolo back from injury?

Probably some uncertainty about Allens ankle, which he injured a bit against the Chargers; he looked fine the rest of the game though. Adrenaline always helps in such a situation, the severity of the injury you only realize the day(s) after. It's said to be not bad, but you never know (what other punters know^^).

Main reason though is imo the 49ers getting more healthy on defense and this showed already in the Rams game. Offensively they are still struggling, but if their defense clicks, it's always hard to beat them. Bills are still a bit overrated and/or not super convincing, so with a FF or INT here and there, the odds look ok-ish to me.

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NFL experts! What are your analysis on the Bills versus San Francisco? Why is the odds beginning to favor San Francisco when they are not playing in their home stadium and they do not yet have Jimmy Garoppolo back from injury?

I want to bet on the Bills but I will wait for everyone's advice hehe.

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Quote from: xxjumperxx on December 03, 2020, 01:14:14 AM

Wow them Steelers sure did have a hard time yesterday beating them Ravens...
I was so back and forth on that game that I decided not to bet on it, and well lose my money on NCAAB Cheesy

Steelers were very rusty looking and to top it all of that 4th Quarter 70 Yd pass to Marquise Brown to put that Dagger into that Steelers Spread...
3 Minutes before end and its the typical Spread Destroyer play... Roll Eyes

Yeah but nothing beats that monday night eagles back breaker on the spread. Seattle up 14 with about a minute to go and favored by 6.5, no way they lose on the spread....then eagles desperation drive and for some wierd reason they went for 2 pts instead of extra point and made it only losing by 6. I read someone lost $500k on that play. That was one of the worst bad beats of the year

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Wow them Steelers sure did have a hard time yesterday beating them Ravens...
I was so back and forth on that game that I decided not to bet on it, and well lose my money on NCAAB Cheesy

Steelers were very rusty looking and to top it all of that 4th Quarter 70 Yd pass to Marquise Brown to put that Dagger into that Steelers Spread...
3 Minutes before end and its the typical Spread Destroyer play... Roll Eyes

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Quote from: morvillz7z on December 02, 2020, 03:25:40 PM

Quote from: South Park on December 01, 2020, 04:46:43 PM

I wonder if Cam is having one of the worst seasons for a starting QB with his 9 INT and 4TD and his spectacular ratio of 0.44 TD per INT.

Quote from: morvillz7z on November 30, 2020, 07:23:34 PM

Seahawks ml + Wentz 1 pass TD + ~~Metcalf Anytime score~~ + Goedert 25 receiving yards total odds 3.68

I can't believe this did not hit, you will hardly ever see someone get 177 receiving yards and not score a TD, and that stop at the 1-yard line, my god. Lips sealed

Yeah wenz is definately having a terrible season for sure. His Oline isn't giving him any help. I don't knwo the stat but I wonder the average time in the pocket he has. That was Eliannings issue at the end of his career, the giants online was putrid and Eli never had more than a second before he had to bail on the play. Either way wentz isn't helping himself either.

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Quote from: South Park on December 01, 2020, 04:46:43 PM

I wonder if Cam is having one of the worst seasons for a starting QB with his 9 INT and 4TD and his spectacular ratio of 0.44 TD per INT.

Quote from: morvillz7z on November 30, 2020, 07:23:34 PM

Seahawks ml + Wentz 1 pass TD + ~~Metcalf Anytime score~~ + Goedert 25 receiving yards total odds 3.68

I can't believe this did not hit, you will hardly ever see someone get 177 receiving yards and not score a TD, and that stop at the 1-yard line, my god. Lips sealed

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Quote from: DireWolfM14 on November 29, 2020, 10:35:14 PM

Lol, they should just extend the season a week, and give everyone else an extra bye week. There are bound to be more teams affected in the next couple of weeks.

While the 9ers were on the plane headed to LA they learned that the Santa Clara County Counsel issued a ban on all contact sports within county limits. The 49ers can't practice at their home field for the next three weeks.

I think we all know that an extra week at this point is inevitable but it seems to me the league is delaying this as much as possible because they know the state of the pandemic in the US is only going to get worse during the next weeks and it is not going to improve until the vaccine begins to be applied, so they are waiting until the last minute until they literally have no other choice.

Quote from: DireWolfM14 on November 30, 2020, 11:22:07 PM

For some completely unrelated news, I'll be rooting for the Glendale 49ers for the next two weeks...

Lol, I have been rooting for the New Ton Patriots all year and they are a disaster, I wonder if Cam is having one of the worst seasons for a starting QB with his 9 INT and 4TD and his spectacular ratio of 0.44 TD per INT.

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Quote from: DireWolfM14 on November 30, 2020, 11:22:07 PM

Crazy game, the Seahawks look off, and the Eagles defense looks good. WFT, over? I tuned in half way through the 3rd quarter, and was surprised to find it such a close game. A Seattle loss would be nice, but not looking good with 2 minutes left...

For some completely unrelated news, I'll be rooting for the Glendale 49ers for the next two weeks...

Now that was a crazy game and tbh Wentz didnt have that bad of a game...
I myself had the +7 spread (bought a bit) and to be honest was surprised I won this morning.
One of the only reasons I bet on Philly was, that I everywhere I looked I saw bets on the Hawks, usually spells bad omen.

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Crazy game, the Seahawks look off, and the Eagles defense looks good. WFT, over? I tuned in half way through the 3rd quarter, and was surprised to find it such a close game. A Seattle loss would be nice, but not looking good with 2 minutes left...

For some completely unrelated news, I'll be rooting for the Glendale 49ers for the next two weeks...

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Small play on the Seahawks' handicap (-5) bought half a point for the push I don't trust the Eagles covering this one but the Seahawks' defense is unreliable so I wouldn't be surprised if this one ends in a single possession game. It'll be interesting to see how the Eagles would perform with their backup QB getting more snaps than Wentz.

After the Raiders got stomped by the Falcons do you guys think it's still a good idea to pick them next week against the Jets ? My next best pick is probably the Seahawks(vs Giants), Chiefs(vs Broncos) and Vikings(vs Jags).

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My take on the game today:

Seahawks ml + Wentz 1 pass TD + Metcalf Anytime score + Goedert 25 receiving yards total odds 3.68

I don't give Eagles any chance of winning this matchup given their recent struggles, i just hope Wentz can at least pass for 1 TD. There've been reports J.Hurts is getting reps with the first team, so if Wentz screws up early and often he might not finish the game. Metcalf and Lockett should have an easy game vs. Eagles' secondary especially now when the Seahawks have both Hyde and Carson back, meaning more balanced offense. As for Goedert, 6/7 targets, so 25+ rec yards should be within his reach, 1TD and 77 yards last week vs. Cleveland.

tyKiwanuka

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I rarely bet on player props, but I like Wilson going over 28.5 rushing yards in MNF. He is 6/10 this season beating this line and though the Eagles are bad, their defense/pass rush is still doing good and the Seahawks O-Line isn't very reliable. He averages 36.7 rushings yards per game, which includes two games with only 5yds. There is a pattern in his stats with going over two times, followed by two under games. He currently is on his two-games-over-streak, so lets hope he will be able to break the pattern tonight.

Game looks very under-ish - also the H2H - but don't like to bet on that. Will maybe jump on the Seahawks inplay above 2.00, if that opportunity arises (and I don't fall asleep^^).

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Quote from: DireWolfM14 on November 29, 2020, 05:00:16 PM

Quote from: morvillz7z on November 29, 2020, 04:41:53 PM

NFC (L)East

Lol!

The Giants are looking better the last couple of games, but I predict the ForeSkins will take the division. Washington has an easier schedule going ahead, with at least two games they "should" win, and I think they can be competitive in two more. Their defense is actually pretty stout, and now that they have The Game Manager back under center I think they have a better chance.

NYG, on the other hand has Seattle, Arizona, Cleveland, and Baltimore ahead. That'll be a tough row to hoe.

Okay, back to watching the 9ers and Rams turn the ball over to each other again and again for three more quarters.

ETA: YEAH, BABY!

Yeah the giants definately have a tougher road but the giants have the head to head against the redskins and both of them are 3-2 in division. The way this schedule lays the giants could probably win the division with 6 wins, i really can't see a 7 win team this year. One of the teams would have to go 3-2 (3-3 for the eagles). I just can't see that happening. So the giants have to beat the cowboys in the last week and sneak a win from one of their games against seattle, Arizona, clevland or Baltimore. Go 1-3 in that stretch and they possibly could host a home playoff game with a 6-10 record 😂

Topic: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 - page 226. (Read 57607 times)