Topic: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 - page 227. (Read 57607 times)

Lol, they should just extend the season a week, and give everyone else an extra bye week.  There are bound to be more teams affected in the next couple of weeks.  

While the 9ers were on the plane headed to LA they learned that the Santa Clara County Counsel issued a ban on all contact sports within county limits.  The 49ers can't practice at their home field for the next three weeks.

What are the odds on whether Tuesdays game will get postponed?

Lol!  

The Giants are looking better the last couple of games, but I predict the ForeSkins will take the division.  Washington has an easier schedule going ahead, with at least two games they "should" win, and I think they can be competitive in two more.  Their defense is actually pretty stout, and now that they have The Game Manager back under center I think they have a better chance.

NYG, on the other hand has Seattle, Arizona, Cleveland, and Baltimore ahead.  That'll be a tough row to hoe.

Okay, back to watching the 9ers and Rams turn the ball over to each other again and again for three more quarters.  

ETA:  YEAH, BABY! 

...and this without J.Jones and T.Gurley, i mean 43 pts is a lot


NFC (L)East has a new leader, Giants barely won today and currently top the division. I didn't expect to be this close but apparently, D.Jones had some kind of injury and didn't finish the game. I watched the final 2 minutes, their defense was able to force a fumble with 49 seconds left (with Bengals @50).

Browns got lucky in the end too, Jaguars just couldn't convert on 2-pt to tie the game, Mike Glennon with 235 yds and 2 TDs, i absolutely didn't see that coming. Chubb scored a TD and i'm 2-1 on the day, J.Allen with 2TDs but one was a rushing td unfortunately.

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edit; Kendall Hinton 0/7 (1INT) at the half, can we get at least one pass completion, pleeease! Broncos were better off forfeiting the game imo.

FML 

Man, what a blowout in the LV / Atlanta game. Carr wasn't playing very well and gave up some turnovers... Way too many penalties by the Raiders D. Just overall a shit game to watch all the way until now (its still going). My other two games won but this will teach me to include the Raiders in a parlay.

The Patriots barely beat the Cardinals with a FG on the last seconds, honestly I am surprised especially since the offence played terribly once again and Newton had 2 INT and only 9 complete passes, but the defence played great and nullified one of the best offences this season, yet it seems to me this Newton experiment will last only for this season as it is impossible for me to imagine how this is going to continue, but the problem is that each win gets the Patriots away from the best possible QB prospects during the next draft so it will be interesting to see how they address the QB position next year.

Well the Bills coming off a loss to the Arizona Cardinals is what was giving me pause about betting them on this game.  I think it's also very important to note that Austin Ekeler was activated off of the Injured Reserve today and that guy makes a huge difference for this team.  Personally I wouldn't be surprised seeing the Chargers win this one.  Herbert is one hell of a QB ( wish my Bears could draft someone like him).

I do to and am surprised no one has mentioned the Bills yet. They are coming off a bye week and are nearly a lock for me to beat the Chargers today. Chargers only beat Bengals/Jaguars/Jets this season, although they were able to keep most games close or lose with some dumb plays tbf. Bills will play with a chip on their shoulder after the Murray-miracle and I can see nothing but a Bills win here. ML @1.50 is good enough for me. The over 51.5 looks very tempting as well, can see this one going into the 60’s, if the Chargers show up. Something like 40-24 maybe.

Giants to win vs Bengals i'm only betting on the Giants because no Joe Burrow and they're one win away from taking the lead in their division since they've beat Washington twice. Backing the Giants in my survivor pool as well, there's only 20+ of us left banking on a sneaky win so I could play the Browns in week 16 against the Jets.

I also went for this small side bet Rams, Chiefs, Packers, Saints to win and Over 33.5 @6.5. Looks like an okay multi a bit worried about the Chiefs game though.

Edit : Giants made me sweat when they put in McCoy their defense clutched it out though.  The side bet was so close from hitting after the Rams take advantage of the turnover.

Jake Paul vs. Nate Robinson last night, Kendall Hinton vs. Taysom Hill today, 2020 keeps delivering, i'm so ready!
Guess who snatched Hinton off the waiver wire and is going to run him at flex, boy better get me a touchdown 

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I'm liking the Bills, Giants and the Browns to win and have placed a couple of bets, nothing too crazy.

J.Allen 2+ pass TD + Bills ml total odds 1.98
Chargers have allowed to opposing QBs at least 2 pass TDs in their last three games, Josh Allen has passed for 2 or more TDs in 4 of their 5 home games this season.

N.Chubb Anytime Score + Browns ml total odds 2.05
Chubb was fantastic against the Eagles last week despite not scoring a TD, Jaguars have allowed at least one rushing TD in their last three games, Chubb is due a score.

W.Gallman 40+ rush yards + Giants over 18.5 pts + Giants ml total odds 1.96
Back-to-back divisional wins for the Giants keeping their hopes of making the PO alive but they need to win today, Burrow-less Bengals should not be much of a threat.  Gallman has rushed for over 40 yards (1+ td) for NYG in three consecutive games and they have bottom of the league Bengals in opponent rushing yards per game @136...easy!

Hehe, they have very good options still

Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/broncos-lock-rypien-bortles-not-allowed-to-play-in-week-12-qbs-were-evaluated-fo

I was looking forward to bet against the Saints today, but will probably still do so just for the fun of it. Wildcat ftw^^

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49ers will have to look for new practice facilities and a venue for their home games.

This is kind of getting out of hand and unfair competition to a certain extent by now. I watched Indiana vs Maryland yesterday in College football - the brother of Tua is QB at Maryland now - and Indiana was missing 14 players due to Covid and Maryland even 26 and couldn't practice properly. This is a big mess all in all

"Sources: Denver Broncos QBs ruled ineligible vs. New Orleans Saints"
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/30408624/sources-denver-broncos-qbs-ruled-ineligible-vs-new-orleans-saints

I don't think the league will postpone this one (but they should probably consider), so question is...who's playing QB for the Broncos then, like literally who? A tight end can sub in for LT/RT, or a running back lined up as a wideout sure/maybe, but without a QB idk, how is this going to work really, such a mess, isn't it?!

It's hard to stay up to date (fantasy/betting wise) with all these covid injuries popping almost every minute of every day, damn it.

I really liked the +3 Washington over Dallas, much more so than everything else, but here's what I like for tomorrow..thoughts?

*Titans +3 vs Indianapolis Colts
I'll happily take the Titans +3.  Even though they are on the road, I see them as a superior team to the Colts.  It looks as if AJ Brown will be playing too which is huge.  Not that it matters a ton but Jonathan Taylor has just been ruled out for the Colts

*Dolphins -7 vs Jets
Regardless of what QB ends up under center at the end of this game, I think Miami is sizably better than the Jets.

*Chiefs -3.5 over Bucs
Bucs are reeling right now, and Brady just ins't who Brady even was last year.  His passing percentage past 20 yards is extremely low, and their defense isn't as strong as once thought.  I think the Chiefs come out and take care of business.

To a lesser extent I like the Rams -6.5, Browns -7, and Cardinals -1.5

I've intentionally left the self-mod rules in this thread extremely relaxed, but what you did there is blatant spam.  Feel free to engage in the discussion, and I don't mind if you mention your projects as a part of that discussion, but please don't do that again.

Word. This is a good point actually and I was glossing over the details in my assessment. When I see teams with even just 1/5 full stadiums I have a positive psychological response because its just a trace of normality that lets me enjoy the game w/o thinking about covid. Perhaps its not cost effective for some stadiums to run at 1/5 capacity, and there's not much more that people can do right now to change that besides try hard not to get covid, lol.

Anyway.

I have a few semi-confident to confident picks this week, gonna put the ML for each team in at a parlay, but I also like the lines for these games, going by each team's overall ATS % wins:

Cleveland -7
Miami -7
Las Vegas -3

The one I feel least confident about is Miami because it comes down to whether Tagovailoa is starting QB or not. As of now he's listed as questionable with a thumb injury, but I'm thinking that he's gonna start.

I think it has actually gotten better in the last weeks with WAS/NYG improving a lot. Especially WAS is doing really good and who would have thought Alex Smith being the reason for that. He is the same old - kind of boring - game manager he always was, but it's just what they needed. It does not only help their offense, but maybe even more so their defense, which was already very good before. They now get way more rest with Smith being able to orchester long drives. Now it was just the Cowboys, but I was impressed with the Football Team yesterday.

The Giants progress is mainly due to the O-Line clicking better as a group, which brings me to this....


....and how important a good O-Line is. Cowboys probably had the best O-Line in the NFL for years and they invested heavily in it. Prescott is a product of that, as is Zeke - both have their qualities, but they are nowhere near as good as the 5 big guys made them look. Dallas sacrificed their defense for it and it worked out ok-ish for them. Now this O-Line is in shambles, but they still have their bad defense So this can't work out no more. Dalton at QB doesn't help, but everyone would struggle in Dallas atm.

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Well, there were quite some people at AT&T Stadium yesterday, but yes, I do still think that these empty-ish stadiums take away a good part of home field advantage. For NFL this is mainly the communication for the away team (fewer false start penalties f.e.), the refs being less biased and the cheering the home players don't get for their plays and which pumps them up. These young guys love the show and the attention they get

But there is still a home advantage imo, because it's not all the about crowd, which we were discussing here. Playing at home - even without spectators - you still have the advantage of not having to travel, staying in your usual environment, being familiar with the facilities; in general the feeling of being at home basically.

So guys. I think I placed my first ever NFL bets in my life. Or maybe I placed them before but it was totally for fun if I did, just like if I ever bet on curling or skiing or games I do not know the rules to;)

Anyway, it's just those betbuilder freebets I got from Sportsbet I went for the Cincinnati Bengals - New York Giants. Should have asked you guys first I guess;)

Money line - Giants (Game)
Total points - Over 37.5 (Game)
Money line - Giants (1st quarter)

I can. Dallas is simply awful this year. I mean their quarterback is Andy Dalton, who was fired from the NFL's worst team of my lifetime. Also, home field advantage is negligible this year for teams with empty stadiums (Ty pointed that out before the season started if memory serves). I was kind of rooting for Washington anyway. Hopefully they'll find a new name for next year's season!

what a horrendous two games today.  I can't believe the cowboys got annialated at home by Washington.  This nfc east is terrible.  If the eagles lose to Seattle on Monday night (which they should) and the giants beat the Bengals who are starting a practice squad quarterback then the giants will be in first place in week 12 with 4 wins.  Ba hahaha.  Crazy, but hey if there is any year it's would happen why not 2020 right.  😃

for player/team news i use either rotoworld or reddit:
https://www.rotoworld.com/sports/nfl/football
https://reddit.com/r/nfl/

my go-to place for stats and data is teamrankings, good alternatives are nfl.com or espn, pro-football-reference too:
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stats/
https://www.nfl.com/stats/player-stats/
https://www.espn.com/nfl/
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/

if you are into fantasy football and player props, id recommend fantasypros and fantasydata:
https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/
https://fantasydata.com/nfl

stats i look the most when quick comparing teams are:
Points per Game
Rushing Yards per Game
Passing Yards per Game
Opponent Points per Game
Opponent Yards per Game
Opponent Rushing Yards per Game
Penalty Yards per Game

i have extremely inconsistent results this year, either really good or very bad (for reference my previous bets in this thread). 
if someone else has some interesting sites not mentioned above, please do share.