Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 235. (Read 97228 times)

with jake paul's boxing experience, he becomes good at it over time. dana will advise Paddy not to take what others had taken, it will destroy Paddy's career. he is just starting in ufc. if there is a chance for jake vs paddy, it may be when paddy's 35 and have 3-5 loses and about to retire.


Blachowicz is big so maybe he can resist the takedowns. Ankalaev on top of him is the end of it.

Yep, Pimblett is better in ground fight rather than boxing. Don't forget about the weight difference, it's quite far since Pimblett is in lightweight while Jake Paul is light heavyweight. Paul's punch could hurt Pimblett, but Pimblett's punch might doesn't that strong to Jake Paul. Why not Jake Paul learn MMA and it will be friendly MMA match lol.

Russian is really strong in MMA, I think both Ankalaev and Makhachev are similar, so I'd think Ankalaev will win this match. Blachowicz isn't really stable on his performance, but what I like about him is, he's never give up even though he's on the worst situation.

If Paddy Pimblett has a once of intelligence in his brain he would never accept that offer because for me he is much of a grappler than a boxer even though he got decent boxing he is no match against Jake Paul, knowing Paddy that wants to brawl sometimes and would surely want a decent amount of money to take to his pocket, so Paddy Pimblett will surely agree to this, let's just wait if it will happen,


Sadly, we can not get the Jiří Procházka VS Glover Teixeira fight, but this is all because of the sudden shoulder injury of Jiri Prochazka, it didn't go through, I hope he recovers fast so he could return to UFC and retain his title, while Glover Texeira would someday want to fight whoever will won in the Jan Błachowicz VS Magomed Ankalaev fight because against Ankalaev, he would surely need a decent time to prepare for this beast, but I do think he will surely had a hard time against Ankalev for sure,

The next event is surprisingly good and there are a lot of fights that I like,

UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. Ankalaev

12/10/2022 Saturday
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada



MAIN EVENT
Jan Błachowicz VS Magomed Ankalaev

CO-MAIN EVENT
Paddy Pimblett VS Jared Gordon

MAIN CARD
Santiago Ponzinibbio VS Robbie Lawler
Darren Till VS Dricus Du Plessis
Bryce Mitchell VS Ilia Topuria

PRELIMINARY CARD
Edmen Shahbazyan VS Dalcha Lungiambula
Billy Quarantillo VS Alexander Hernandez
Erik Silva VS TJ Brown
Jairzinho Rozenstruik VS Chris Daukaus
Chris Curtis VS Joaquin Buckley
Daniel da Silva VS Vinicius Salvador
Jay Perrin VS Raul Rosas Jr.
Ovince St. Preux VS Antonio Trócoli
Cameron Saaiman VS Steven Koslow

CANCELLED CARD
Jiří Procházka VS Glover Teixeira - Procházka Shoulder Injury
Jamie Pickett VS Bo Nickal - Nickal Injury
Ronnie Lawrence VS Cameron Saaiman - Lawrence withdrew Changed to Steven Koslow
Alexander Gustafsson VS Ovince St. Preux - Gustafsson Withdrew Changed to Philipe Lins
Ovince St. Preux VS Philipe Lins - Lins Withdrew Changed to Antonio Trócoli

All information was from https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/92214-ufc-282

A lot of talk coming from Paddy’s camp about Jake Paul these days. I think a boxing match between the two may actually happen at some point in the near future. I think this is probably bad news for Paddy, except for the payday as Jake Paul is quite a bit larger and trains strictly for boxing. You never know though. Paddy certainly seems to be confident that he could beat up Jake Paul without so much as a training camp.

Well, you have picked correctly, Holland has really high odds, he was the favorite to win which is why this fight is upset for Kevin Holland, The Wonder Boy was pretty much very crafty with his performance, while Holland was getting wrecked with those fast striking, and in the interview, he just knew that he has got a bad day in getting pummeled by Wonder Boy's striking,

I really thought that Kevin Holland will result in getting into takedowns fast just like what Khamzat Chimaev has done to him but again he is not fast enough to shoot those fast takedowns and is not as strong as Chimaev to finish Thompson fast, and Thompson was just getting up from Holland's ground game, well I forget to notice that his right hand was broken the whole 2nd round up to the 4th round that is why he is having a hard time securing Thompson on the ground,


Well, as expected for the Heavyweight a fast victory because both fighters have the striking capabilities to Knockout their opponent in the 1st round, and just like you I was really shocked that the fight just lasted under a minute, I had check the time again and it was really 54 seconds, and looking at how Sergei Pavlovich giving those strikes to Tuivasa he really knows what he is doing pretty much reach advantage was the key while Tuivasa was just punching random punches, that doesn't make sense,

Congratulation,,

Less than one minute!! This fight lasted less than one minute!
I did say that, but the fighters are very aggressive. I also said that anything can happen in this fight. I have to say that I did not expect it to be a 54-second knockout  . But it also did not come to me as a surprise as well. I was also writing about Sergei Pavlovich. I trusted him with the skills that he has and also my prediction was right about Pavlovich being the winner of this fight. And also, for the 54 seconds, in which the fight was going on, Tai Tuivasa did not look like he had anything going on. He was just getting beaten on by his opponent.

Holland has a massive fight IQ deficit imho. Lol.  If you watched the match, Holland had Thompson on the mat twice with Holland on top.  Twice!  But what did Holland do?  He let Thompson stand up.    He played into Thompson's strengths and lost for it.  

Oh and Holland was fighting with his right hand broken around R2.  So he really should've played it on the ground as Thompson had mostly no ground game.  :/

Dolidze got a great victory. What games did he play in the 2nd round, even though his back was on the ground in Hermanson's take down. Finally he put on the calf slicer and finished the Hermanson. Until I put on a calf slicer, some created a lot of games, it was very enjoyable to watch.

Sergei Pavlowich, after finished Derick Lewis, I said this could happen, Heavyweight after all, but I couldn't have imagined that much. I was shocked that he finished Tuivasa so quickly. It's over in a minute. There isn't much to say.

Although Kevin Holland took 2 takedowns, he lifted his opponent to his feet. I think he's mad at himself for not judging these takedowns. At the end of the match, he said that he had a problem with his right hand and this was the first round. He started wrestling when things get bad. There was no match discipline. At first I didn't understand what he was doing afterwards as he was just after the show.

Results of my picks for the UFC Fight Night Thompson VS Holland

Stephen Thompson +175
Kevin Holland -160 - LOST

Kevin Holland was surprised by Stephen Thompson's speed it was really a crazy fight actually I have watched the replay because I haven't caught the live stream, for me Kevin Holland should have gone for the takedown just like what Khamzat Chimaev did to him, but again it was really a great fight to watch both fighters really respects one another smiling while fighting and because of that the fight was really fun to watch,

Rafael dos Anjos -550 - WIN
Bryan Barberena +400

Even though Bryan Barberena is much larger and taller than Rafael dos Anjos, he managed to take that opportunity to take that Submission move of a rear naked choke to Barberena, but yeah Bryan Barberena really is a tough one, but dos Anjos have made a clear statement that he has a plan,

Jack Hermansson -190 - LOST
Roman Dolidze +160

Roman Dolidze Calf slice Jack Hermansson and finished him with back control, for this fight, Hermansson should be the one in the advantage here but Roman Dolidze got the better of Hermansson by locking his calf and getting a win with a back finished,

Tracy Cortez - 100
Amanda Ribas + 100 - CANCELLED

I was really sad about what happened to Tracy Cortez getting some medical issue to cancel the fight, I really wish her good health and a fast recovery,

I think Holland just Hype the people with all the trash talk he did before. But I was sure Thompson has something good to offer to Holland, and that's why I only placed 1 bet on that event and it was Thompson for the win.


I know it wasn't a big amount, but I really enjoy that fight. and love that x2.48.

The first round was complex, but from the second one, I knew Thompson has this match because Holland was just acting as a kicking bag.

54 Seconds KO! was all Sergei Pavlovich, I really think that Tai Tuivasa's chin still doesn't recover from the knockout Ciryl Gane gave him, it goes to show that a long break is needed to regain the recent damage a fighter sustained, and Looking at their fight Sergei Pavlovich can also be technical he really knows what kind of punch he would throw to Tai Tuivasa and his reach advantage also have proven he early seen an opening to Tuivasa, in getting those punches while Tai Tuivasa is really just brawling his way to win,

---

Now here are my pick results for the UFC Fight Night Thompson vs. Holland

Stephen Thompson VS Kevin Holland ROUND 4 KO/TKO - LOST

Stephen Wonder Boy Thompson just got it on with Kevin Holland, a very beautiful fight indeed, Thompson was really fast and Holland was pretty much surprised about it, at 1st I thought that Holland was winning it, both were smiling out of respect for each other and it was really a crazy start, for me it was a great brawl to watch and pretty much on the 4th round both fighters was gas out and getting slow in their movement but Stephen Thompson has seen his opening to KO Holland,

Matheus Nicolau VS Matt Schnell ROUND 2 KO/TKO - WIN

Just like I have said Matheus Nicolau was pretty much technical in his approach while Schnell was very aggressive and getting success with that aggressiveness, but it was no available success when Nicolau buried that takedown and ground and pound Matt Schnell,

Tai Tuivasa VS Sergei Pavlovich ROUND 1 KO/TKO - WIN

It was a fast win for Sergei Pavlovich, and in under 54 seconds the fight was finished with a KO, and who said that Pavlovich can not be technical, and with that Reach advantage he surely got the upper hand on Tai Tuivasa surely the power on that punch and the punch he picked to knockout Tuivasa was really something Tuivasa was just throwing some random punches in retaliation, to Pavlovich,

Tracy Cortez VS Amanda Ribas CANCELLED

A canceled bout and there is no report on what is the real condition of Tracy Cortez, but surely I will keep you guys updated,

Tuivasa more than deserves its title. In the match in France, Tuivasa- Cirly Gane hit a hook and knock down. I was as surprised as everyone else by this unexpected hit. He can get such accurate shots from his hands, yes he has a chance to hit everyone in the top three. For his match with Sergei Pavlovich, my guess will be TKO. BAM BAM

For the main game, Stephen Thompson was defeated in his last two games. Burns and Mohammed defeated him by referee decision. Holland, if you are remember, was brought before Khamzat with a last-minute change. I think this match goes to Holland, with Submission.

I will go fo Pavlovich also. But, I dont see him in probable fight against Gane, Ngannou or Blaydes. Ngannou seems to be to much for him. Gane - much quicker and experienced. Blaydes - i think he will submit Pavlovich. However, if Tuivasa wins, he, with his unpredicted and weird striking, can get a lucky punch against those 3 fighters that are above him in top.

Natan Levy has a traditional karate background and kinda fights in a karate stance...  For the first couple of minutes.  Then he gets hit in the face and all the karate is thrown out of the window.  

Anyway..  Here are the results for the weigh ins.  One guy didn't make weight.  

Stephen Thompson (170) vs Kevin Holland (170.5)
Bryan Barberena (170.5) vs Rafael dos Anjos (170)
Matheus Nicolau (126) vs Matt Schnell (126)
Sergei Pavlovich (255) vs Tai Tuivasa (266)
Roman Dolidze (185.5) vs Jack Hermansson (186)
Eryk Anders (186) vs Kyle Daukaus (184.5)
Niko Price (170) vs Phil Rowe (173.5)*
Emily Ducote (115.5) vs Angela Hill (115.5)
Clay Guida (154.5) vs Scott Holtzman (155.5)
Marc Diakiese (155.5) vs Michael Johnson (156)
Darren Elkins (145) vs Jonathan Pearce (146)
Tracy Cortez (125) vs Amanda Ribas (125)
Natan Levy (156) vs Genaro Valdez (156)
Francis Marshall (145) vs Marcelo Rojo (145)
Yazmin Jauregui (115.5) vs Istela Nunes (114.5)

*Missed weight

As for the betting side of things I think it's a parlayable event.  All the favorites should win except for a couple.  I got Anders and Rowe as underdogs.

On paper this should be good UFC event and I like main card with big heavyweight guys Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich, someone is not going to finish this fight on feet
Main event Thompson vs Holland is also interesting for betting, bookmakers made Holland big favorite but I think that Thompson has a good chance to win the fight.
Weigh-In and Faceoffs video released: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGHLo-dRVOI

I've a bet on this fight, Sergei Pavlovich has a better overall career record compared to Tai Tuivasa. I think the odds are also on point. If we just think about the records and overall skill of both fighters I think we will see that Sergei Pavlovich does hold the advantage against Tai Tuivasa. But both of the fighters are very aggressive. And when two fighters don't hold back and start throwing branches against each other regardless of the fear of getting knocked out the fight can go towards any fighter. I will also say that Sergei Pavlovich is going to win this fight. At least that should be the outcome if he sticks to his plan.

Here are my picks for the Fight Night Thompson vs. Holland

Stephen Thompson VS Kevin Holland

The stake odds for this fight are 2.50 for Thompson and 1.53 for Holland, I really thought that Kevin Holland will retire after that Khamzat Chimaev fight because of what Chimaev has done with the scramble on the ground, for this fight Kevin Holland will sure need that wrestling to win over Thompson, for me, I think that Holland had the advantage of going to the ground but Wonderboy has the striking capability to win this, but if this fight goes to the ground this is over for Thompson and Kevin Holland could win this,

Matheus Nicolau VS Matt Schnell

The stake odds for this fight are 1.26 for Nicolau and 3.90 for Schnell, for this fight, Nicolau is a technical fighter, he got a lot of speed and power than Schnell, and I think Matheus Nicolau is very picky with his shot and has decent defense and counter aswell, while for Matt Schnell that is a more aggressive, for me I will go with the most technical fighter and that will be Nicolau for sure,

Tai Tuivasa VS Sergei Pavlovich

The stake odds for this fight are 2.80  for Tuivasa and 1.45 for Pavlovich, In this fight, this could be just a 1 rounder fight because both fighters are knockout artists, I really think both are not really technical strikers, so this fight could definitely a brawl Tai Tuivasa can be calm and waiting for a right opportunity to strike but Sergei Pavlovich has that 9-inch reach advantage and he could be really aggressive from the start, both are not afraid to really trade punches and it will surely depend on both fighters durability, but I think I will go with a slight advantage of Sergei Pavlovich, winning this fight,

Tracy Cortez VS Amanda Ribas

I don't see any bookies for this fight at stake and on further research, Tracy Cortez was removed from the event due to an undisclosed medical issue, even though both fighters don't have any incidents with the weigh-in both landed 125 pounds on the scale, but Tracy Cortez had some medical issue and needs to be pulled out, I really wish she is OK though, I was really going with the beautiful Cortez because she might show something she never had shown before, and because Henry Cejudo is training her now, but because she was pulled out of the fight then there is no need to bet, but I am still posting this so readers could see it,

Now I will be giving my picks for the UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Stephen Thompson +175
Kevin Holland -160

Pretty Kevin Holland was the favorite to win here but pretty Wonderboy Thompson is famous for his spinning kick, which could hit Holland by surprise, but for this match, Holland has an edge on the ground and this is Holland's specialty against a striker like Thompson, for me, I will go with Kevin Holland,  that has an advantage on the ground,

Rafael dos Anjos -550
Bryan Barberena +400

For this fight, we all know Rafael dos Anjos and what he can do, but his opponent is more of a striker, and dos Anjos is pretty much well verse on the ground, for this fight, I guess we can see Rafael dos Anjos doing his scramble, on the ground, but Barberena can surely put more damage to RDA, but I will be going to the well-rounded fighter

Jack Hermansson -190
Roman Dolidze +160

For this fight, Jack Hermansson has the advantage over the odds, and pretty much I think Hermansson has the power to take down Dolodze, while Dolidze will focus on the stand-up when the fight would go down on the ground Jack Hermansson could be a ground and pound or a submission win for Hermansson,

Tracy Cortez - 100
Amanda Ribas + 100

For this fight, Amanda Ribas has a reach advantage but in this fight, both fighters have a ground game however Tracy Cortez if she can win it in a standup she will surely get it on with it, While Amanda Ribas can get fired up with the takedown, for me I think Amanda Ribas will win this for me I really want a more well-rounded fighter,  

Well, seeing his latest interviews I see a down-to-earth Paddy who only loves to eat, his interview with Molly McCann where he is just eating was tremendously stress-free, Well maybe there are some points that are sure I really judge him that quickly and never knowing the whole story

But any way if that Khamzat Chimaev having a fiasco, but still I like his performance a kid like this surely deserves something well in his recent fight I think I bet for him, I can't really remember but for sure I really like what I am seeing in doing his craft inside the Octagon,


I do notice what you did there with SALUTE!  anyway, I think I will enjoy them I mean enjoy their performance on the ground because of their wrestling and grappling background, so it will surely be a great fight,


Right now he is still young, but I think he will understand it eventually if he turns 30 it is now hard to cut off weight at that age, for me, I think he really loves what he is doing  and I am not really against that, but as a fighter, you are right that he needs to take care of his health more, and sure I am looking forward in some meme's of him in the future, well anyway I think there is a bigger picture in why he is doing this, and pretty much he is known in doing a weight increase and weight loss so much but still if he is showing great performance inside the octagon I don't really have any problem with that,


Let's just wait and see, if they got some beef for each other and I have watched their conversation I think it may happen plus it is not a bad offer for Paddy Pimblett a 1 million dollar offer in just a sparring match is a big amount for Paddy in what he is getting in the UFC, and he gets to kick Jake Paul inside the ring, well if he has great boxing that is, for me Paddy is a grappler, and I think this is a good opportunity for him as well to test his boxing skill and since this is just a sparring match I guess a great way to try his boxing,