Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 510. (Read 100953 times)

It's really good to look at the early lines to see if there's some value.  I think that Overeem one is value as it could move closer as we get to the day of the event.  And if you really want Sandhagen, it's best to wait for the line to move towards Edgar since he's a fan favorite.  Lots of money should prolly be going to him a couple of days before the event. 

That Sandhagen via decision prop at 1.95 is ok I guess.  But best to wait for a better line.  Just my 2c.

Aldo needs to hype the rematch and if Conor McGregor looses one more fight then he might think about giving another opportunity for Aldo as he still thinks that he can still be a title contender in the 155 pound division and i am sure he does have the confidence but it wont be easy.

All McGregor needs to do is give opportunity to fighters that are planning to retire and let them earn a fair amount of money before settling down for good .

It's because also, after the lost to Conor went on a 4-5 win/lost record. So there' no more hype on Aldo anymore. He is not the same after Conor destroys him. While Dustin after the first loss to Conor, improved a lot got his chance for a second fight and then won.

So I think there's no hype on Mcgregor vs Aldo at 145. Both of them are in a decline already.

There was no talk about Aldo getting his rematch he wanted it so badly it looks like both fighters are losing their steam, why not let Dana hatch that idea, I'm sure Aldo wants his revenge so badly, and McGregor should give him a chance, Dustin got his rematch, why not Aldo in the 145 pounds it has the making of a big hype.

Everyone forgets that McGregor dominated the 145 pound division and moving up in weight he was able to defeat Eddie Alvarez who is a striker and it was a perfect match up for him but the rest of the 155 pound division is filled with tough opponents and it is not that easy to dominate the division with his style of fighting. I bet if McGregor goes down to 145 pound division he can still dominate most of the fighters but not in higher weight divisions.

McGregor is fast losing his magic he us not the McGregor we've known when he is just starting out, the hunger is not there anymore, Dana should focus on fresh fighter and give them a chances, McGregor has done a lot to the organizations but they cannot keeps give him mega fights and losing it, the best fighter should work there way up and continue to strive to be there, like Khabib had done.

I haven't checked the odds admittedly yet as its a bit too far away for m, but I'll likely be putting it down as a Sandhagen by decision which should bolster the odds a little bit, at least it usually does quite nicely. The thing is when I'm usually super confident on a fighter, that's usually when they end up getting beat in embarrassing fashion, so wanted convincing otherwise!

I'm still sticking with my 30-27 prediction, for anyone reading this DO NOT back based on my over confidence, I'm simply quite biased towards Sandhagen.

Everyone goes through these nightmare, even i had one bad card this month where most of my bets were lost.

If he is aiming to get a title shot he needs to face Justin Gaethje which he avoided for the longest time, another top contender is Charles Oliveira who is a submission specialist and yet another tough opponent then you have the newly signed Michael Chandler who is a hard puncher with wrestling game and the other fighter he can face is Tony Ferguson.

Not sure McGregor will face anyone in the top of the table and he might go after Nate Diaz or ask for the Dustin Poirier trilogy.

^  Sandhagen is pretty good, but that price.  He’s like 1.23ish in most books.  So unless you’re willing to lay that kind of chalk, it’s better to pass or bet on the underdog.  Frankie Edgar is no joke.  The match could be closer than what the lines are showing us.

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-fight-night-184-overeem-vs-volkov-2029#

I think Edgar’s wrestling should give Sandhagen a little bit of trouble.


Overeem’s KO percentage is lower cos he has way more bouts than Volkov.  And check out how much of Overeem’s fights were won via sub.  I’m leaning Overeem for the experience, he’s just the better fighter overall and I like those odds.  

https://www.mmaformguide.com/overeem-vs-volkov/

Anyone willing to point out to me why I shouldn't be backing COry Sandhagen as much as I am? I only see this fight going one way, ignoring the chance of any lucky shots. Cory has always impressed me in fights, even when he appears to be struggling he has a certain volume that's just fun to watch. I think he's going to out pressure his opponent, and wear him down across the three rounds.

I don't see a knockout in this fight,  but its going to be a war right until the end. I honestly think we could see a 30-27 win by Cory. This might just be because I'm biased as I love him as a fighter, but I just don't seen a Edgar win (obviously every fighter in MMA has a chance of winning).

You cannot underestimate the striking of Alexander Volkov and he does have knockout power and Alistair Overeem is not the monster he once was and he is prone to great strikers and there is no doubt this will be a great match up but i will be picking Alexander Volkov to win the fight.

It is time Clay Guida retires from the sport, he is in the fight game for a very long time and now he always falls short and i pick Michael Johnson to win the fight because of his fast hands.

Volkov for the win and so Sandhagen. Alistair is already 40 against the 32 Volkov the percentage of knockouts achieved by Volkov is much higher than Alistair. He's be beaten this time around, the younger fighters are more hostile like Cory sandhagen

Clay Guida fits right into the most entertaining fighter, he don't usually win but he eats a lot of punches while just dancing in front.

I have missed the Dustin Poirier VS Conor McGregor fight but I have made a bet on McGregor, men! after watching the highlights Poirier is really one tough bastard to crack, At first you would think that Conor McGregor is winning it but apparently he got stunned by Poirier barrage of punches,

I really think it was a great fight even though I have lost on my bet, watching it was really an amusement We could see that Dustin Poirier had leveled up after that fight he really got a heart of a lion to never give up.

I'm gong for Sandhagen I think in the co main event. I just love watching him fight, he always brings something to the table, and think he'll be too much for Edgar. I'm undecided on the rest of the fights at the moment, but I'm thinking that Volkov could just edge this fight if he stays out of trouble, and avoid those power shots which I do believe he's more than capable of doing.

The next coming months we've got some top fights though, 2021 is absolutely stacked in terms of main events, as long as none of cancelled of course.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov



Date: SUN, February 7, 2021
Main Card: SUN, FEB 7 / 3:00 AM EET
Prelims: SUN, FEB 7 / 12:00 AM EET
Venue: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Main card (ESPN)
Heavyweight: Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov            
Bantamweight: Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar            
Women's Bantamweight: Marion Reneau vs. Macy Chiasson            
Flyweight: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Manel Kape            
Bantamweight: Cody Stamann vs. Andre Ewell            
Lightweight: Beneil Dariush vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira   

Preliminary card (ESPN2 / ESPN+)
Lightweight: Clay Guida vs. Michael Johnson            
Light Heavyweight: Mike Rodríguez vs. Danilo Marques            
Bantamweight: Julio Arce vs. Timur Valiev            
Women's Flyweight: Molly McCann vs. Lara Procopio            
Featherweight: Seung Woo Choi vs. Youssef Zalal

source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Overeem_vs._Volkov

I think that Volkov has no chances against Overeem. Even though Overeem is not in his prime and best monster form, he is still on other level than Volkov. Volkov only chance is a lucky punch that will daze Overeem and then TKO. But, Overeem can survive a lot of damage and his monster power will simply blow Alexander from the octagon.

Another great fight is Edgar vs Sandhagen. Top4 vs Top2 fighters. I guess the winner of this fight will have a title fight next.

And Clay Guida is always fun to watch. I think both fighters will small opponents face to blood and will to a standing punch exchange frequently Both are on a loosing streak and has nothing to lose.

Personally, I don't want the trilogy just yet. I want to see Conor earn that right by taking out another top fighter within the division. There are far too many talanted fighters within the division to simply focus on the two. Conor had his chance to introduce himself once more, but he didn't take it. Poirier did. I also think it makes sense for Dana to try, and get Conor to fight as many fights as possible. After all, win or lose Conor brings fans from all walks of life, something that many fighters cannot do.

Justin vs Poirer?
Conor vs Justin?

I think Justin has to be within a shout with either one of them. I think it makes sense for Conor to fight him, and then Poirier, and the winner of the bout for the title.

Well it looks like the story board for a Conor vs Poirier is most likely:



https://twitter.com/DustinPoirier/status/1353809891773833219

Will it be for the lightweight belt? Dana might be looking for this fight, a trilogy for the belt and obviously, more money in the table. Biggest paycheck specially for Dustin.

For the PPV number:


https://www.givemesport.com/1643042-ufc-news-conor-mcgregor-vs-dustin-poirier-ppv-numbers-revealed

We already have a little discussion. Everyone are welcomed.

McGregor - Poirier trilogy, McGregor - Diaz trilogy, McGregor - Khabib 2 - What next, McGregor vs last blood ? McGregor vs Revenge? McGregor vs reunion? Division is full of talented fighters, why to schedule Conor to fight against them?
Hope Dana White wont follow the lead of money and fans only and makes a fight between someone from the top versus fresh blood.

Conor was sloppy and missed a lot of shots, when he connected he never went ahead with multiple combinations and he was just sticking in and getting out and his feet was planted for the leg kicks and he ate a lot of kicks from Dustin Poirier and the game plan was spot on to take his lead leg and you cannot take much kicks and Conor himself addressed that his legs were compromised and cannot feel anything and Dustin Poirier is known to throw great combinations and he ended the fight with his trademark flurry of punches.

That's just some normal scene every time a new champion has arisen, we see the former one in a bad state but that does not make them any less than a former champion. Mcgregor still earned the MMA fighters respect especially those who fought him before. I think he needs to rest and come up with a good condition after this one, I hope to see him again in the ring and Yes, I was rooting for this guy too.