I get that PSV is a good team, they are not a bad team at all, and I like to watch them too, but Benfica didn't really shock the pundits and all when they won, they were always a great team and they won, it was that simple, so why would it be that weird for them to actually end up with a win again? I mean think about it, they won once, how could it be 3.70 for them to end up winning once again? That doesn't make sense.
I always find the Dutch teams a little soft, wobbly when it matters, you know? Good football for sure, and we don't need to be reminded of how exciting they can be as a national team but even Ajax, the silkiest team from Eredivisie, looks suspect every time they come up against other European opposition.
Benfica deserved the win, and I'm also backing them to not lose the next leg. 3.7 is just a reflection of the away tie, how strong PSV are at home, and conversely, how defensively Benfica are expected to play away + all those Dutch bets on the home team;)