Topic: UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread - page 991. (Read 130208 times)

1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

The figures are odd. I would never bet on Atalanta or Leipzig winning the Champions League before Real Madrid or Juventus. Also the probability for Manchester City is much too high. The team is worse than the last years when they always failed in the Champions League. Same to Bayern, even though I think Bayern has the best chances this year. It is the only team in the list that has convinced me the most so far.

That percentage has not yet determined the outcome later and I see some teams that currently play more interesting because the continued victory in their own league will remain if UCL starts it will certainly be very aggressive or may be weak because the match is not long started, then from me think Atalanta will be better at UCL this season.

Still a more exciting match is Real Madrid vs. Manchester City this will be a big bet for me.

That percentage is just speculation based on the statistics according to data and algorithms from fivethirthyEight.com.
Of course, we know that is impossible to predict everything and that final results will be different 😀
Still, these numbers can help you in your betting.

Raflesia

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Quote from: hahay on July 12, 2020, 08:56:05 AM

1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

The figures are odd. I would never bet on Atalanta or Leipzig winning the Champions League before Real Madrid or Juventus. Also the probability for Manchester City is much too high. The team is worse than the last years when they always failed in the Champions League. Same to Bayern, even though I think Bayern has the best chances this year. It is the only team in the list that has convinced me the most so far.

That percentage has not yet determined the outcome later and I see some teams that currently play more interesting because the continued victory in their own league will remain if UCL starts it will certainly be very aggressive or may be weak because the match is not long started, then from me think Atalanta will be better at UCL this season.

Still a more exciting match is Real Madrid vs. Manchester City this will be a big bet for me.

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Quote from: Harkorede on July 12, 2020, 08:14:18 AM

Quote from: Harkorede on July 12, 2020, 08:14:18 AM

1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

The figures are odd. I would never bet on Atalanta or Leipzig winning the Champions League before Real Madrid or Juventus. Also the probability for Manchester City is much too high. The team is worse than the last years when they always failed in the Champions League. Same to Bayern, even though I think Bayern has the best chances this year. It is the only team in the list that has convinced me the most so far.

The odds are factor of Atlanta ro Leipzig's chances of advancing to the next round, the both have greater chances of making it to the next round ahead of Madrid, and Madrid having a greater odds would decrease Man City's odds since only one of them would advance (with Ciy in pole position) you can't win the competition if you've been eliminated hence, the Real Madrid odds value are justified, imo. However, I think Real Madrid might stun Man City.

Even the percentage of Real Madrid is lower than Atletico Madrid and I'm also not sure about that percentage especially about RB Leipzig, Atletico Madrid and Atalanta, but if it's only about Real Madrid and Man City I feel clear, Man City certainly has a greater chance and also, Bayern remain the favorite I think and that percentage should only have a gap closer because both of them have very good chances this season.

You might be missing a point regarding Bayern vs Man City's chances the difference between both of them is some what significant because of their potential opponents Man City vs (Lyon or Juventus, Lyon being most likely) Bayern vs (Barcelona or Napoli, Barcelona), don't you also agree that Man City have a better chance of making it through against Lyon, than Bayern against Barcelona ? I'm not saying the odds are the correct prediction of the way things would turn out eventually, but I don't see anything wrong with the distribution, and if you put in all the factors surrounding each team's qualification chances you might agree too.

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1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

The figures are odd. I would never bet on Atalanta or Leipzig winning the Champions League before Real Madrid or Juventus. Also the probability for Manchester City is much too high. The team is worse than the last years when they always failed in the Champions League. Same to Bayern, even though I think Bayern has the best chances this year. It is the only team in the list that has convinced me the most so far.

The odds are factor of Atlanta ro Leipzig's chances of advancing to the next round, the both have greater chances of making it to the next round ahead of Madrid, and Madrid having a greater odds would decrease Man City's odds since only one of them would advance (with Ciy in pole position) you can't win the competition if you've been eliminated hence, the Real Madrid odds value are justified, imo. However, I think Real Madrid might stun Man City.

Even the percentage of Real Madrid is lower than Atletico Madrid and I'm also not sure about that percentage especially about RB Leipzig, Atletico Madrid and Atalanta, but if it's only about Real Madrid and Man City I feel clear, Man City certainly has a greater chance and also, Bayern remain the favorite I think and that percentage should only have a gap closer because both of them have very good chances this season.

Harkorede

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1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

The figures are odd. I would never bet on Atalanta or Leipzig winning the Champions League before Real Madrid or Juventus. Also the probability for Manchester City is much too high. The team is worse than the last years when they always failed in the Champions League. Same to Bayern, even though I think Bayern has the best chances this year. It is the only team in the list that has convinced me the most so far.

The odds are factor of Atlanta ro Leipzig's chances of advancing to the next round, the both have greater chances of making it to the next round ahead of Madrid, and Madrid having a greater odds would decrease Man City's odds since only one of them would advance (with Ciy in pole position) you can't win the competition if you've been eliminated hence, the Real Madrid odds value are justified, imo. However, I think Real Madrid might stun Man City.

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Quote from: bct_ail on July 11, 2020, 04:31:11 PM

1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

The figures are odd. I would never bet on Atalanta or Leipzig winning the Champions League before Real Madrid or Juventus. Also the probability for Manchester City is much too high. The team is worse than the last years when they always failed in the Champions League. Same to Bayern, even though I think Bayern has the best chances this year. It is the only team in the list that has convinced me the most so far.

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Quote from: Daniel91 on July 11, 2020, 01:49:30 AM

Quote from: Daniel91 on July 11, 2020, 01:49:30 AM

In the current situation in which the football clubs find themselves, it is difficult to give a tipp. I don't know how the teams are coping with it except from the germans. But I think Bayern Munich has the best chances for the title.

In one match everything is possible.
If you have 2 matches and play bad in first match, there is always another chance in second match.

But especially the away games make it different in the current situation. What rules on hygiene apply in the country? Is there a lockdown right now and the hotel staff is more tense than usual? These are all factors that are unpredictable for example.

I believe that all the rules will be very strict because it is very important for UEFA to finish all competitions this year for financial and other reasons.
Since there will be no spectators, there will still be a limited number of people who are easier to control.
I don’t believe there will be any major problem and I am sure all the competitions will end as planned.
Portugal and Germany, which have been selected as host countries, have a relatively stable and good situation with the coronavirus.
What will be most missed are the fans and without them everything will still look a bit artificial and unnatural.
But for UEFA, the possibility of giving up or postponing has never been an option that they have seriously considered and of course too much money is at stake.
Fans are important but money is more important Grin

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In the current situation in which the football clubs find themselves, it is difficult to give a tipp. I don't know how the teams are coping with it except from the germans. But I think Bayern Munich has the best chances for the title.

In one match everything is possible.
If you have 2 matches and play bad in first match, there is always another chance in second match.

But especially the away games make it different in the current situation. What rules on hygiene apply in the country? Is there a lockdown right now and the hotel staff is more tense than usual? These are all factors that are unpredictable for example.

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will uefa restart soon i dont see it anywere

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Quote from: Soonandwaite on July 11, 2020, 10:55:40 AM

According to them, the new European champion will become Manchester City for the first time, giving as many as 30% of the chances.

Judging from city's currently hunger for goals and wins, I won't be surprised if they end up lifting the championship league trophy this season. That has been Pep's biggest challenge so far and considering their possible ban from completing next season when their appeal get decline. I think it's just fair if they win considering how impressive they have been so far.

What If, just what if the team with the least odd goes on to lift the trophy. Bayern shouldn't even get their hopes up, Chelsea will complete a comeback (yes I just said that) and end their hopes 😉.

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In the current situation in which the football clubs find themselves, it is difficult to give a tipp. I don't know how the teams are coping with it except from the germans. But I think Bayern Munich has the best chances for the title.

Yes. I also believe that bayern munich is a big favorite , but why is real madrid so far down on this bookie Wink

real madrid was the last games very strong and are first in the primera division. even now before barcelona . I think many people underestimate this team.

They don't give much chance to Real since they are playing first game against City, arguably the strongest team left in the draw. Furthermore, Real lost first leg at home against City 2:1 which puts them at solid disadvantage before the reverse fixture. Add to that the fact that Ramos managed to get red card in that game so he will not play and he is by far the best Real player at the moment. Percentages look about right to me.

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In the current situation in which the football clubs find themselves, it is difficult to give a tipp. I don't know how the teams are coping with it except from the germans. But I think Bayern Munich has the best chances for the title.

Yes. I also believe that bayern munich is a big favorite , but why is real madrid so far down on this bookie Wink

real madrid was the last games very strong and are first in the primera division. even now before barcelona . I think many people underestimate this team.

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Based on statistics and their data and algorithms on the fivethirtyeight.com estimate the chances of the remaining clubs in the competition to win the European Champions League.
Are you interested?
According to them, the new European champion will become Manchester City for the first time, giving as many as 30% of the chances.
The complete list of chances for all clubs is below.

1. Manchester City 30%
2. Bayern 22%
3. PSG 14%
4. Barcelona 8%
5. RB Leipzig 8%
6. Atletico Madrid 7%
7. Atalanta 5%
8. Real Madrid 2%
9. Juventus 2%
10. Lyon, Napoli, Chelsea less than 1%

I hope this helps you with your betting. Grin

What do you think?

Source: https://www.index.hr/sport/clanak/analiticari-odredili-novog-europskog-prvaka-tom-bi-klubu-to-bila-prva-titula/2197419.aspx

Daniel91

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