⚽UEFA Conference League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Round of 16 - page 25.

LTU_btc

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Did anyone watched Fiorentina - Braga game? There was interesting referee decision. Goal line technology confirmed that ball fully crossed goal line, but referees after watching replays for maybe 5 minutes over ruled decision and cancelled goal
https://mobile.twitter.com/calciomercatoit/status/1628867042169307137
After 34 minutes it really looked that Braga can make a comeback, they were up 2:0, but they ended with conceding 3 goals in a row

Quote from: casperBGD on February 23, 2023, 03:46:54 PM

Partizan didn't use their advantage from first match, and lost it at home, not sure what to think, but expected to see us in next round

on the bright side, Maximiano is getting chances on Lazio goal in Europa Conference league at least, and produced two clean sheet against Cluj (not that much of a success, but nice to see him between bars)

Partizan loss looks like big upset. They scored first goal and had 2:0 lead on aggregate. And then conceding 3 goals at home without response is terrible thing.
Good that decided to avoid betting on Lazio game, it's one of teams on my black list.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: buwaytress on February 23, 2023, 01:48:42 PM

@morvillz7z I'd have taken Braga too but again but seriously? 2x to qualify?, winnings not close tempting me enough <...>

If you look at the screenshot again you would notice it was taken before the 1st leg, hence me rooting for them to make the impossible today. Not quite, but i appreciate the effort.

Trabzonspor got to be the unluckiest team this round by far. Without actually watching the game, they appear to have missed a penalty, another one been shut down by VAR, had a couple of disallowed goals, and hit the post once. Lol Out of 40+ goal attempts and 4+ xG in both matches, they've only scored one goal. Shocked

execijutiere

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Trabzonspor, our representative in the conference league, has been eliminated with this away defeat. A sad result of course. It would have been good both in terms of national points and in these difficult days. Bakasetas' missed penalty was perhaps the decisive moment of the match.
Fiorentina won 3-2 at home and reached a total score of 7-2 against Braga. I can say it was a performance I didn't expect.
It was strange for Braga to score 7 goals against out of form Fiorentina when they were in such good form in the league.

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Fiorentina - Braga

honestly i had expectations that braga could have won that game and that they would be able to move on to the next stage, but for some reason i don't know braga became a very inconsistent team, it doesn't seem like the same team that a few weeks ago managed to be consistent, if they were the same braga from weeks ago they would have won that game, but unfortunately they are at a time when they are not a good option to bet on them in European competitions, well they have already been eliminated, but even in the Portuguese league I will avoid betting on them

Lazio - CFR Cluj

in recent games lazio is not doing well in attack, they have not been able to score many goals, although their defense is good, but this way they will not go far, they passed this time because they were lucky, but if they find an opponent who scores many goals so they won't be as lucky as they were in this game

Basel - Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor became a weak team, I'm not surprised they were eliminated in this game

execijutiere

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After Anderlecht went 2-0 up, they couldn't defend this score and the match went into extra time. In extra time, the tie was not broken and the match went to penalties.
In the Lazio match, as I expected, there was no goal in the second half. Lazio didn't want to play with too much pressure thinking about the league. Because this result was enough for them. I thought they would win in extra time at worst. The Larnaca game ended in a draw in the same way and it was Larnaca who won the round.

casperBGD

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Partizan didn't use their advantage from first match, and lost it at home, not sure what to think, but expected to see us in next round

on the bright side, Maximiano is getting chances on Lazio goal in Europa Conference league at least, and produced two clean sheet against Cluj (not that much of a success, but nice to see him between bars)

Basel still to go, solid odds on a home win, and they need it to equalize Trabzon lead from first match

Joca97

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What a dissapointment from Partizan they just lost a won duel they had 0-1 from previous match in the 1st leg and in the second leg they had a lead of 1-0 and were able to drop it all at home and lose 1-3 and get knocked out. Big shame from my team hopefully we get a new ownership because this is just a scanadal for us

execijutiere

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Anderlecht leads 1-0 at home. Ludogorets won the first match 1-0. Now it's equalized. If the match ends like this, it will go into extra time. In the second half Anderlecht will increase the pressure and will look for the second goal.
There were no goals in the first half of the Cluj-Lazio match, Lazio won the first leg 1-0. If the match ends with this score, Lazio will be the winners. Lazio will do well even if they only play defense.
We didn't see a goal in the first half of the Dmipro-Larnaca game either. Larnaca are the more comfortable side. As long as they don't concede a goal, they will be fine.

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Quote from: slaman29 on February 18, 2023, 03:45:03 AM

I just read up and saw that I missed the fact buway actually booked a ticket on Cluj to beat Lazio... I know Lazio haven't been as good in recent times but this was at home and you saw yourself hopefully it was not even going to stop them playing with 10 men.

Because of all the stars of Napoli and other teams scoring well, we forgot that Ciro Immobile is a force to be respected at least by a team as bad as Cluj

Yes, and I'm doing it again. This time the odds are about halved but Lazio are away, stinging from the last week's almost-draw, I think 6/1 is still pretty okay. Haven't actually placed any bets yet of course, just waiting to see how things go.

@morvillz7z I'd have taken Braga too but again but seriously? 2x to qualify?, winnings not close tempting me enough and I think I agree... BTTS or some kind of Asian overs as an acca are the way to go for these ties! I'll share the good news if I get something.

If not, then assume I lost everything...

LTU_btc

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It's strange for me that odds for Partizan win todayis not much lower than it was when they played away. 1.95 looks very attractive. I'm struggling to make picks today, so, one random and maybe a bit stupid bet - Cnipro-1 to qualify @2.60.

Quote from: morvillz7z on February 23, 2023, 10:39:07 AM

Hear me out... Grin

1. Braga scores an early goal.
2. Ref helps with a red card for Fiorentina (Benoit Bastien, the guy who is going to ref today showed two red cards in Ligue 1 over the weekend).
3. The Portuguese clutch 3 more goals after the break to force the game to extra time and win. 5-0 Braga! The pipest dream of all pipe dreams. 😂

And week ago Braga looked like a favorite and betting on them to qualify is logical decision. No idea what happened to them in 1st leg.. Don't believe in Braga miracle comeback, so I just will go with over 2.5 goals there. BTTS is good option too probably.

morvillz7z

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Hear me out... Grin

1. Braga scores an early goal.
2. Ref helps with a red card for Fiorentina (Benoit Bastien, the guy who is going to ref today showed two red cards in Ligue 1 over the weekend).
3. The Portuguese clutch 3 more goals after the break to force the game to extra time and win. 5-0 Braga! The pipest dream of all pipe dreams. 😂

Now, seriously, i went with BTTS on Basel and Trabzonspor. I watched the highlights from the first leg, and even though it was just one goal both teams had plenty of chances to score more. Throughout the first legs, (Basel and Trabzonspor match) also had the highest combined xG. Reverse fixtures at this stage of the tournament typically produce more open football and goals, which is why i'm going with btts, though O2.5 has better odds and is just as good a bet.

slaman29

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I just read up and saw that I missed the fact buway actually booked a ticket on Cluj to beat Lazio... I know Lazio haven't been as good in recent times but this was at home and you saw yourself hopefully it was not even going to stop them playing with 10 men.

Because of all the stars of Napoli and other teams scoring well, we forgot that Ciro Immobile is a force to be respected at least by a team as bad as Cluj

LTU_btc

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Quote from: casperBGD on February 17, 2023, 09:17:02 AM

what was the game looked out, saw just a score, being on a small vacation wasn't able to watch it, but will be at home to hear stadium crowd in a re-match

I watched this game not in full on second screen.From what I saw Partizan didn't had advantage, Sheriff had their moments, especially that one must score moment in 1st half when they hit post. In general, this game wasn't easy to watch - bad quality pitch, empty stadium, it didn't looked like knockout stage of UEFA competition.

Quote from: slaman29 on February 17, 2023, 06:12:10 AM

Back to Partizan, was the result correct or did Sheriff deserved a point? Seems not so long ago when they were terrorizing Real Madrid!

From what I saw, draw wouldn't be against logic. That season when they were doing miracles in Champions league, Sheriff played above their level, it will be very difficult to repeat something similar. Now they back to reality. Also, I think thatthere was lot of changes in their squad after that season.

Jossque

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I don't think there were many surprises in the conference league games, more or less always the favorites won. I don't think I could have predicted that only Braga would concede so many goals. There weren't many goals in the other games anyway. Except for 2 games, all the other games ended with 1-0 wins. Lazio managed to win the match despite being down to 10 men early. This was important for them.

casperBGD

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Quote from: LTU_btc on February 16, 2023, 06:30:11 PM

-snip
Won my bet on Partizan, but Sheriff were much better than I expected.

what was the game looked out, saw just a score, being on a small vacation wasn't able to watch it, but will be at home to hear stadium crowd in a re-match

after losing 0:4 in Serbian league, I didn't expect us to shine there, but obviously we sacrified domestic league, where are chances for a title are low, for European competition

interesting enough, this was third match in a row against Sheriff where we won 1:0

slaman29

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Nice win, but even nicer to see that coreo from the Turkish fans. I recognize quite a few countries there, it is a tragedy actually what happened and a wake up call for the country, just like in our countries whenever disaster happens to think about long term safety and construction quality. Amazing thank you for sharing

Back to Partizan, was the result correct or did Sheriff deserved a point? Seems not so long ago when they were terrorizing Real Madrid!

LTU_btc

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Source https://twitter.com/JacobsBen/status/1626304331887648769
Look at choreo that Trabzonspor fans made. It's beautiful and very emotional. On helmet there is flags of countries which helped Turkey. Also, in the stands there was many flags of other Turkish clubs. Country got united after this huge tragedy and it's nice that Trabzonspor won this game.
I have no idea what happened to Braga, I saw them as favorites, but they're already eliminated after 1st leg - 0:4 at home. Seems that red card heavily affected game.
Won my bet on Partizan, but Sheriff were much better than I expected. Bodo/Glimt dominated game, but didn't managed to score, 0:0 is great result for Lech considering all factors.

morvillz7z

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For fuck's sake Braga...had them in multiple selections, DNB, DC parlayed with AEK and of course to qualify for the next round which is looking close to impossible after 0-4. Cheesy

I decided to put a few bucks on Sheriff and Partizan's Over after finding out that the game would be played without spectators, thought the Moldavians had UEFA ban or something....it turns out: Shocked

source: https://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/1734641/Sheriff-Tiraspol-Partizan-Belgrade-behind-closed-doors-Moldova-federation

Quote

Sheriff vs Partizan to be played with no fans over fears of pro-Russian government coup

Moldovan president Maia Sandu accused Russia of plotting a coup d'etat and planning attacks on government buildings after receiving EU candidate status last year.

Sandu told journalists that Moscow's alleged plan against Moldova would involve "saboteurs with military background, camouflaged in civilian clothes, to undertake violent actions, attacks on state institutions and taking hostages".

And those concerns have now led to Thursday night's Europa Conference League match between Sheriff and Partizan being played behind closed doors.

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Quote from: morvillz7z on February 15, 2023, 11:24:21 AM

Looking ahead to tomorrow's matches, i think there are two standout outrights to be had, AEK Larnaca and Braga qualifying for the next round. AEK and Dnipro met last summer, and AEK won both games to make the Europa League group stages. Dnipro has not played a competitive match since November and are forced to play their home fixtures at a neutral site. As for Braga and Fiorentina, the Portuguese are having a solid season and are only two points behind second-place Porto, whereas Fiorentina is in such poor form heading into this match. La Viola has the easiest Coppa Italia semi-finals matchup with Cremonese one could ask for, so that should be their focus rest of the season...i really don't expect them to do much against Braga. I will most likely end up with both AEK and Braga DC parlay on top of the outrights that i will also have.

Qarabag and Gent is one other match that caught my attention, Gent conceded 3 goals in each of their last three games in Belgium, Qarabag tends to play offensive footbal, so yeah, by simply putting two and two together...there could be goals here, btts and O2.5 quite tempting!

For those who want to get a little more creative with their bets, at this stage of the tournament last year, there were first-half goals scored in 7 of the 8 matches played, and 7 of the 8 away teams conceded a goal.

Thanks for the insight, I couldn't possibly have remembered these ties from last year, something tells me Dnipro is the hidden dark horse, although I usually never bet on teams that don't have match fitness.

I actually did well on some betting last night, so if I'm bored at HT, and depending on early Europa game outcomes, I might check back here for live betting and pick favs who are down a goal, since you brought up the HT goal tallies! I do recall before the break that there were plenty of goals in this league. That's always great value and I still have a boost to use up. If Cluj is somehow ahead also at HT, then I know where my hedge goes!

CLS63

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Trabzonspor are going to host Basel today. It is going to be the first sports event to be played in Turkey after the earthquake disaster happened on February 6. The arch rivals of Trabzonspor made a statement about their support to Trabzonspor today. It was valuable because of its not being seen much in Turkey. Besides Trabzonspor has stated that they will donate the total revenue they get from this match to earthquake victims.

Topic: ⚽UEFA Conference League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Round of 16 - page 25. (Read 4955 times)