Topic: UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion - page 55. (Read 17627 times)

Jake Paul's weigh ins for the Nate Diaz fight were on the same time as Sandhagen vs Font fights ceremonial one.
They already trying to take a bit of their audience away, but we will see if it worked by the weekend.
I would imagine the numbers will be in favor of the Jake vs Nate fight since it is a one time event and you have a fight night's every weekend if not a main event card.
They already seeing if they can have a MMA oriented fight against each other even before this boxing match has even started.

^^
Derrick moving to Bellator or PFL is likely the plan already since he didn't get any offer from Danaa to renew his contract. It should have been done before his last fight. It's final already or he could go boxing against Jake Paul. Jake is fighting just about anyone from UFC and the old guys in combat sports.

Sandhagen vs Font is not gonna be a one-sided fight, there is a chance that Sand will be defeated either by KO or decision but he is the bookmaker's favorite though. It's easier to look at the other fights than Sand and Font. I would just bet higher on Suarez and Lopes.

UFC Nashville: Ceremonial Weigh-In are happening in about 9 hours from now.
You can tune-in to them from the official UFC channel from this link:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pZ7OIJhkRIc

Seen Sandhagen fight Marlon Vera for his last fight around a year ago and he looked good.
He trained by running up stairs of an outdoor stadium in the desert so he gets in a good mindset before his fights.

Yup! it was Derrick "Masvidal" Lewis that was his flying knee, and it was really unexpected by his opponent but that is not going to work on his every fight maybe Lewis will need to calculate if his opponent is really technical then that move will not likely going to work everytime, for me if Derrick Lewis can not become a technical fighter which is I surely doubt if he can it is just better to retire and try his luck with other organization like the PFL, or Bellator


This event was really crazy, and Justin Gaethje looks very different now, in terms of a calculating fighter we can say that Gaethje is one of them a Volkanovski type of fighter, but surely Alexander Volkanovski is more technical than Gaethje, but maybe if Alexander Volkanovski could go do a fight for the Lightweight Division this two could be likely can face each other and this time for the BMF belt if Volkanovski wants a BMF belt, that would be crazy,

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Great thing that we got this fight night but for me it is best for us to get the Cory Sandhagen VS Umar Nurmagomedov than with the Rob Font fight for me this is going to be a technical fight for Cory Sandhagen, right now Cory Sandhagen is extremely a different fighter now, he is more technical with his striking but in addition to this he now has Wrestling in controlling his opponent in the ground that is why this is a great fight if we can see him goes toes to toes with Umar Nurmagomedov than with Rob Font, but let's wait if what new Skill does Rob Font can show us,

Another one that I an  upset about was Said Nurmagomedov VS Kyler Phillips was cancelled I really wish we could see Said Nurmagomedov fight again but because of health issue it was cancelled so yeah it was really terrible in my opinion,

Damn, that's a lot of change in just one card. I don't know how they could prepare at analyzing their opponents on such short notice.
Here is the fight preview of the match.
Sandhagen vs Font - Straight To The Title Shot | UFC Nashville
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cwFSfJCQ3y0


The odds are also ready and here they are.
Cory Sandhagen - Win @1.28 | by KO @2.43 | Submission @7.60 | by Decision @2.55 |
Rob Font - Win @3.55 | by KO @7.80 | Submission @23.00 | by Decision @6.20 |

Jéssica Andrade  - Win @3.80 | by KO @7.20 | Submission @13.00 | by Decision @10.00 |
Tatiana Suarez - Win @1.26 | by KO @4.60 | Submission @2.02 | by Decision @4.10 |

It looks like they are expecting Suarez to defeat Andrade by submission by just looking at the odds. Well, she is undefeated, and looking at her stats, the submission part has a higher percentage. She made 4 submission wins out of her 10 fights. It might happen.

UFC on ESPN 50 has some interesting fights on the card

Dennis Buzukja has replaced Jesse Butler since he has been removed from his featherweight bout with Sean Woodson.
So this would be the second fighter to be replaced on this card since Nurmagomedov withdrew from the event in mid July because of a shoulder injury.
Thus why this main event on the card headlined as a catchweight 140lbs bout.

Here is the main event fighter Rob Font talking about this fight night weekend's matchup during the pre-fight press conference earlier today:
Rob Font: 'It is Going to Be Fight of the Night For Sure' | UFC Nashville
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFAhkIcVu9U

Jorge Masvidal still got the fastest knockout in UFC history of 5 seconds, and that can not be beaten if there could is another he needs to beat that 5 seconds I really don't know if Jorge Masvidal is just good or Ben Askren is just wrong, for sure you can see it the way of Ben Askren's wrestling to the wrestling we have now, and that is all he has wrestling, because Askren's striking is totally bad, and his win against Robbie Lawler was not a win I really think Lawler is winning that fight and was Herb Deans fault, but surely Derrick Lewis have recreated it with his fight well maybe to suppress the wrestling of Marcos Rogério de Lima,


Surely Justin Gaethje has done a great job in making this happen he has calculated all possible knockouts he can attain from this fight and given the position it was well pretty much that same side combo is pretty much effective on boxers because if they see a punch they will respond to this then they will not have any defense to the most damaging kick it was really proven that is was effective given the fight of Kamaru Usman VS Leon Edwards, Beniel Dariush VS Charles Oliveira and now Dustin Poirier VS Justin Gatheje,

I guess I am lucky I didn't do that because I could've added that winning funds for Dustin Poirier and that means more losses. A split is fine with me but it could've been better winning both. 

Certainly, it is one of the best events in the UFC. They should do more at using that belt (BMF) to gain more audience. 
I like it too when a KO happens or submission because whenever it ends up at the hands of the judges, something scary could always happen, or a questionable judgment. Although, the Alex Pereira versus Jan Błachowicz fight was actually judged right, thankfully. I won't give Blachowicz that last takedown as a good score because he didn't really dominate while he is above Pereira. Alex did great at keeping the fight in a standing position, his takedown defense is really amazing.

Derrick Masvidal Lewis are what many are calling him now with that blazing fast switch flying knee a'la gamebred did.
From that unforgettable knockout he is now known for that made him a very rich man.
There are talks Derrick Lewis is off contract that he should go to the PFL and fight Francis Ngannou as this fight would make him alot more than being binded to the UFC thus having to be obligated into doing so many fights.
It should be alot more exciting than from when they first face-offed with each other back in 2018 for UFC 226:
https://www.sportskeeda.com/mma/news-how-many-times-francis-ngannou-fought-derrick-lewis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q7ig45n0W8Q

Marcos Rogério de Lima has a great career and has a little wrestling but surely his style is like Derrick Lewis and he is not that Technical actually Derrick Lewis has a great plan to beating Marcos Rogério de Lima fast maybe Lewis is taking note of Jorge Masvidal VS Ben Askren fight but surely the fight took 33 second and a great way so Marcos Rogério de Lima can not get those wrestling of his,


For sure we are not aware of what could happen in the fight I haven't made my bet because I am not so sure on what may happen with the Main Event, but Justin Gaethje did well in taking the rematch and calculate his every move and make it a technical knockout a befitting revenge for him,


It Didn't go well with Dustin Poirier, but if I can make my bet I think I might go with Poirier aswell The fight was Justin Gaethje's revenge fight and he surely deserved the BMF belt after watching their fight it was surely imminent that Justin Gaethje really deserve it most because he calculated and adjust for this fight for sure many have seen how really technical Justin Gaethje in this fight,

I also lost the Dustin Poirier fight but it was really an entertaining fight Justin Gaethje was really technical right, you can surely see the difference in their performance in their 1st fight with this fight right now Justin Gaethje was very technical right now he is calculating and learning the fight pattern of Poirier, and being a friend of Kamaru Usman that kick was really something that reminds him of that fated lost, but as a friend and maybe have bet for Justin Gaethje maybe it was mixed emotions for him for sure

well I think we all have moved from this event and on to the next and here are the next event for the UFC this fight should be Sandhagen VS Nurmagomedov but Umar Nurmagomedov withdrew,

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font

Saturday 08.05.2023 at 06:00 PM ET

Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
Venue: Bridgestone Arena
Location: Nashville, Tennessee, United States



MAIN EVENT
Cory Sandhagen VS Rob Font

CO-MAIN EVENT
Jéssica Andrade VS Tatiana Suarez

MAIN CARD
Dustin Jacoby VS Kennedy Nzechukwu
Gavin Tucker VS Diego Lopes
Tanner Boser VS Aleksa Camur
Ignacio Bahamondes VS Ľudovít Klein

PRELIMINARY CARD
Raoni Barcelos VS Kyler Phillips
Jeremiah Wells VS Carlston Harris
Billy Quarantillo VS Damon Jackson
Jake Hadley VS Cody Durden
Ode Osbourne VS Asu Almabaev

CANCELLED CARD
Cory Sandhagen VS Umar Nurmagomedov - Nurmagomedov withdrew Sandhagen Changed opponent to Rob Font
Virna Jandiroba VS Tatiana Suarez - Jandiroba withdrew Suarez Changed opponent to Jéssica Andrade
Said Nurmagomedov VS Kyler Phillips - Nurmagomedov withdrew Phillips Changed his opponent to Raoni Barcelos
Tagir Ulanbekov VS Jake Hadley - Ulanbekov Withdrew Hadley Changed his opponent to Cody Durden
Ovince St. Preux VS Ion Cutelaba - St. Preux Withdrew Bout Cancelled
Sean Woodson VS Steve Garcia - Garcia Withdrew Woodson Change his opponent to Jesse Butler
Sean Woodson VS Jesse Butler - Butler Withdrew Bout Cancelled

All information was from Tapology: https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/101342-ufc-fight-night
Sportsbet odds and betting: https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-fight-night-sandhagen-vs-nurmagomedov/matches
UFC on ESPN 50 Multi-Master Challenge: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-on-espn-50-multi-master-challenge-saturday-5461607

We had the same bets. I actually took the winnings from my Pereira bet and put in another single for the Gaethje fight going over 2.5 rounds as that was the lock selection certain of it happening. Well we all know how that went.
So lost everything on the main event with Poirier losing.
But can't complain about this UFC as many after watching it says this was the best event of the year.
Having only two matches going to decision means the rest were stoppages. As we know, MMA fans love it when they get their matches end by a knockout or a submission instead of them going til the end and letting the judges decide.

From watching a review of the whole last round done by TheWeasle, I have to agree it was Alex's fight and the number of strikes vs the control time of Jan's takedowns was in Pereira's favor. Damage trumps all.
Blachowicz was hit by a shot that made him start breathing heavily so you knew he was running out of gas and was going to start going on the defensive.
Pereira looked better at his debut of the new weight class and was more comfortable.
We will see who wins in October for a contender that Alex will face for a championship bout.

Jan lost in a standing fight and this I think the judges agreed upon so if it weren't for the takedowns, Jan would have completely broken his nose again.

But if they have to consider takedowns and how long Jan controlled the fight, Jan wins it. He knows he is no match standing so every chance he had is to takedown Pereira, he was successful in it and Pereira had to put his hands down most of the time due to the takedown threat.

Even though Stephen Thompson is 40 years now for me he is supreme when it comes to his striking and for sure he is more technical when it comes to his striking this is what I think about him and for me, he doesn't look like 40 years old, and unfortunately the fight was canceled due to Michel Pereira Missing Weight,


Dustin Poirier VS Justin Gaethje - LOST


Pretty much it is a great fight and congrats to Justin Gaethje he proves that he can surely up his game so much that he can become more technical with his fight, and for this fight he surely knows what Dustin Poirier will do and that punch kick combo is surely amazing just like on the Leon Edwards VS Kamaru Usman fight but in here Dustin Poirier surely doesn't have any defense for that kick he got a counter for that punch but for that kicks that Justin Gaethje is releasing it was really devastating for Poirier,

Jan Błachowicz VS Alex Pereira - WIN


Now in this fight, it was so intense and close that many are saying that it was a robbery, but it was a real win for Alex Pereira, he even has a good ground game right now because of Glover Teixeira for sure Teixeira was really strict in giving a lesson on Jan Blachowicz well in this fight it was a great fight for Alex Pereira in my opinion,

Stephen Thompson VS Michel Pereira - CANCELLED


Now I was really Frustrated about this Michel Pereira missed weight and it was annoying knowing that it was Cancelled just like this,

Actually, I made my bet but didn't post it here because the rain was heavy and the flood was entering the house it was a disaster so I had to bring up my PC on the high ground, where I could not set it up, but because I made my bet and I am seeing the fights late right now through the recap it was 1 epic fight for Justin Gaethje I got to admit Gaethje is researching his opponent well and studying Poirier in his previous fights well I have lost it because I have bet for Dustin Poirier on this one,

Dustin Poirier VS Justin Gaethje ROUND 2 KO/TKO - LOST

It was a great fight for Justin Gaethje and he has proven that he is really the "Bad Mother F" there is and he has proven it, here well Justin Gaethje is throwing a setup on Poirier the 1st round was just a setup for that knockout he is preparing for Dustin Poirier his right straight and that leg kick that Gaethje was throwing that low kick was a preparation for the high kick in the later round, but man! that round 2 was really a great thing for Gaethje to throw that naked high kick because the ground that Dustin Poirier was showing was for a boxer defense the Philly shell defense and setting up that combination of punch and kicks where Dustin Poirier doesn't have any defense for the high kick, and this had rocked him really hard,

Jan Błachowicz VS Alex Pereira ROUND 3 DECISION - WIN

There are many saying that this fight was a Robbery but after watching the replays I really don't know if it was a good replay that it was a great fight Alex Pereira is showing massive improvements on the ground game, it was thanks to his mentor Glover Teixeira that he surely unloads that rare naked-choke on Jan Blachwicz it was surely an improvement for the guy, and judging from this fight the Alex Pereira will now fight for the vacant Light Heavyweight Title, maybe against Jiří Procházka,

Michael Chiesa VS Kevin Holland ROUND 1 SUBMISSION - WIN

WOW! Kevin Holland wants the BMF belt so if the BMF wasnt in that division he will switch Divisions just to get it, and for sure fight Justin Gaethje over it, I never thought those guys will have interest in the BMF belt like that but it was surely 1 shiny belt and a trophy for a fighters collection, well the fight against Michael Chiesa was really fast you can surely see who is the one that is on the advantage on this fight and it was really Kevin Holland, that knee that made Chiesa fall, then following up with the D'Arche Choke was really a tremendous win for him and man those takedown defense was really impressive,

Made my choice at the last hour before fight time.


I was sure I will bet on Alex Pereira after I saw his performance during the Pereira versus Adesanya 1.
The main event is where I was having a lot of trouble to decide.
Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje are both great fighters and so deciding who will win is unpredictable. I will just stick to the favorite today and see where it will go.
Put some good money for Alex Pereira but just a little bit for the main event. The fight is almost starting, let's enjoy the fight with some beers.

Let's go!! It's time!!!

^^
That main event will guarantee to be a very good fight to behold.
Because this is the second time they encounter each other and the last one Justin only lost because he slipped up with a leg kick and Dustin saw it coming so threw that knock out punch to put him on the back foot then press him.
I expect an over 2.5 rounds from a 5 round fight between these two to be a solid tip for this fight and have that market on most of my betslips for this card.

Also a side note: Michel Pereira vs Stephen Thompson has been officially cancelled so there goes my acca I had posted earlier and will have this one leg voided as per the casino sportsbooks rules on any fights that are cancelled before the event starts. Brings it down by nearly half my total odds since it was an over 2.5 rounds market as well.

So  hyped for poirier vs  gaithje!

Poirier is such a likeable dude so im really hoping he wins!

I read on reddit people talking about 'elevation ' factor and how  it might benefit gaithje more, anyone her has more insight on it ?

I  think ill just take poirier  and over  2.5 and enjoy 

Had to watch the official weigh-ins not live but about 4 hours ago, the entire show was 2:49 hours so skipped through it and missed a couple such as Kevin Holland and Vinicus Salvador. But caught all the others.

Derrick won't have that 6 pack when it is time to fight. He will gain all that weight back fast after his protein power meals are done. Marcos De Lima looks like a monster compared to him even at the weight cut.
If he goes down, I am afraid Derrick Lewis won't get back up due to submission if Rogerio doesn't chop off his legs first, from what he is known to do to his opponents.
I have always backed Poatan in all his fights and seeing him at the weigh-ins proved he looks more comfortable at light heavyweight instead of middle weight. Because I don't know how he managed to cut so much of his muscle weight fighting at middleweight with such a large frame he has. So I expect the big Brazilian to put away the Polish Power with a knockout later in the fight.

Two fighters missed weight during this weigh-in show:
Vinicus Salvador misses flyweight - "Vergara has already agreed to a catchweight bout, and will receive 20% Salvardor’s show money as compensation for his opponent’s error."
Michel Pereira blows weight cut - "Top ranked welterweight fighter Michel Pereira was the most notable name on the card to struggle on Friday morning. The Brazilian was all set for a high-profile action battle against former title contender Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson, when he came in 3 pounds over the limit."
source: https://bloodyelbow.com/2023/07/28/ufc-291-weigh-ins

As of now, they haven't decided what route to take for the Wonderboy vs Michel Pereira fight yet.
They will likely allow the fight to continue and just do a purse percentage cut like they had done for the Vinicus fight. Will likely know what will transpire closer to fight time.

Here are my full picks for the upcoming UFC 291

MAIN EVENT
Dustin Poirier VS Justin Gaethje

CO-MAIN EVENT
Jan Błachowicz VS Alex Pereira

MAIN CARD
Stephen Thompson VS Michel Pereira
Tony Ferguson VS Bobby Green
Michael Chiesa VS Kevin Holland

PRELIMINARY CARD
Trevin Giles VS Gabriel Bonfim
Derrick Lewis VS Marcos Rogério de Lima
Roman Kopylov VS Claudio Ribeiro
Jake Matthews VS Darrius Flowers
CJ Vergara VS Vinicius Salvador
Matthew Semelsberger VS Uros Medic
Miranda Maverick VS Priscila Cachoeira

Sportsbet odds and betting: https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-291-poirier-vs-gaethje-2/matches
UFC 291 Multi Master Challenge: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.62596526