I don't see a trend reversal, not even short term. Only the most fine-grained of the indicators I look at saw a swing in the other direction, everything else indicates we're going down further, or are at least not about to go up rapidly, within the next 24h.
I am however mildly nervous because my gut feeling tells me that recent news (Bitcoin ETF, mtgox press release re: wire transfers) are comparably positive, and we've reached a price level that, say, 4 weeks ago would have had people salivating. In other words, I don't trust this downtrend.
The ETF may or may not happen. They filed the paperwork. It will be months before we know. It could help add exposure to BTC though and that is great. In and of itself it is not much.
The MtGox release is NOT good news. They are essentially saying "We almost got our problem resolved. Things will still be slow for a while until we catch up." It is not good news to just function as expected.
Good news will be in a few weeks when they have the new trade engine. But LTC is being released around then (perhaps) so we'll see the effect.
Not to be a downer but just calling it like it is.
You can turn it any way you want, those *are* good news. Maybe you're sceptical about them, but for those who trade on mtgox, this press release is almost certainly better news than the previous where they announced they'd stop (automatically) processing them.
Similar with the ETF. Sure, might take a while before it becomes reality, maybe it'll never do... that's not the point I made in my post however: I recognized we're in a downtrend, but that I'm somewhat nervous because of the relatively good news recently, and that I recognize the possibility that it might turn around soon. Nitpicking about the *exact* quality of goodness of the news doesn't influence that argument, in my opinion.
I'm not trying to turn anything. MtGox is almost back to functional regarding outgoing wires. Do you understand that the initial announcement cause a boost in BTC price as it was the only way for those affected to get money off Gox? I think Gox has done a lot for the BTC community and I know being #1 comes with costs.
The ETF thing can be a good way to hedge bets but I think it is must for large investors. Who does it benefit? I mean to buy Gold ETF's make sense, but bitcoin is already digital. It is pretty easy to buy as well. It seems the ETF, at least so far, benefits the twins and not so much BTC (though like I said it is advertising but I have a feeling that is not why the twins did it.)
I'm a huge long term BTC Bull, just in case you get the wrong idea. But I don't see either of these things as great news. Just my opinion (and so far the market seems to agree, but only so far...)
Oh, I'm not nitpicking about the news, I just pretty much disagree with you.
The Kipochi announcement above I think is really exciting and potentially great news.