People, you don't get it. Rampion said we need to hit 50 first before we go up. So you can easily sell 100% now like he obviously also did. Unless he's full of shit ofcourse.
You and him both.
Perhaps two sides of the same coin.
I'm no perm-bear, saying the bubble needs to deflate (to $50 or whatever the bottom will be, I have no crystal ball) is just stating the obvious.
If you think that I'm full of shit for believing we had a bubble which is now deflating, then maybe you are in denial of facts, but honestly it didn't seem so by your posts.
In my opinion you can't say with certainty for extended periods.
I made this thread once to state what I think about it:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-is-not-digital-gold-it-is-digital-rhodium-189308Agreed, impossible say with certainty for extended periods. I just say that before a positive cycle is resumed the price needs to fully deflate and then enter in a sustainable uptrend. Obviously nobody can predict a 100% certain timeframe, only guesstimate.
But anyhow I don't understand your post about Rhodium, your point is that BTC will behave as Rhodium long term? I think that's BS. I don't deny that the charts look similar, with their two bubbles (good catch BTW), but they are fundamentally different assets. You say they have three properties in common:
It is very rare, (much) rarer than Gold
It is somewhat of a fringe investment
It is subject to hypes
1) scarcity is relative in Bitcoin, as each BTC can be easily and very conveniently divided in 100.000.000 sub-units, ready to be immediately transferred with a clic. I don't see how its scarcity is comparable to Gold or Rhodium, apart from a fundamental and general aspect: supply is limited inflation is more or less predictable.
2) yes, but for different reasons. Bitcoin is still an experiment in its initial stages.
3) all commodities are subject to hypes
My point is that I don't get what is the "killer similarity" between BTC and Rhodium. Yes, Bitcoin is a "digital commodity". But its "digital" form is not only an adjective, is a very important characteristic that makes Bitcoin different from any physical commodity. It can be easily transfered, transported, hided, divided, etc. Stores of value are needed, they provide an utility, and Bitcoin is a huge improvement in utility over physical stores of value because of its convenience and "digital" characteristics. Plus, you have the blockchain, which is a fascinating, multi-use beast by itself. Then, you have colored coins applications. The possibilities Bitcoins open go well beyond its similarity with physical commodities. I really think that saying that in the long term Bitcoin will probably behave like Rhodium is baseless.