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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33371. (Read 26497625 times)

hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust
And I have the bad feeling that we missed a one in a life time chance when we were in the spotlight to gain more people to use bitcoins.

Is that a feeling you would be willing to bet on?

For me it would be a safe bet
missed chance at least I won the bet / no missed chance at least my bitcoins will be worth more

In your case you risk to end up with a double loss. Smiley

Well that's one way of looking at it, but it's wrong.

I am willing to bet 1 BTC that within two years there will be at least 10 times as many people using Bitcoin than use it today, as indicated by the number of client downloads. If you really think it's a safe bet, and you really think we missed our chance to get users, put up.

Client downloads number is worth *******.
And , you assume a mass adoption with 10x number of people in two years? Are you joking?

We currently have 55k transactions a day (just double from the lowest point in 2012) , so 550k would be that amazing?
And remember , transactions outside the top100 (sd/pools etc.) are just half of it.

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
There will be proper demand of Bitcoin regardless of it being legal or illegal in the US, I can guarantee you that.

Yes, but if it's going to be illegal, or even semi-illegal in the US, it will be much less attractive as an investment.

There's real, actual demand for BTC, namely drug trade and gambling. They represent less than ten percent of the total demand, everything else is speculative investment.

I would call it a gamble more than an investment. There are so many things that can go south, and one of them is precisely the very real possibility of it being declared illegal by one or more Governments.

I agree that after we reached $20 at the en of January there was an explosion of speculative activity around Bitcoin, and that's why the price skyrocketed so fast. But real demand besides of speculation will grow steadily and quicker than before, now that Bitcoin has been exposed to the whole world.

Based on what, gut feeling?  Certainly not facts.  Bitcoin is slow and extremely complicated.  You have to be above average technical to even consider using it and then, who's going to want to when you can't spend it anywhere except to do illegal stuff?  

So, you're doing something that's super complicated.  That's slow and could never handle micro transactions.  That in this scenario presented would be illegal, thus you risk jail time all to buy a digital "currency" that you can only use to buy illegal stuff.  And somehow despite all this, you think it's just going to keep growing and achieve mass adoption?  It is the speculation thread but I think it's a flawed piece of speculation you've laid out.  More like a dream with zero basis in reality.

And with that, I'll take my Hero Member badge.   Wink

Welcome back the Coinseeker that we have been waiting on.   Cheesy

Bitcoin is super fast, isn't that the point? I think you meant the confirmations? Yeah, they need to work on speeding that up and there is a work a round using a "trusted" buyer system. Sounds like Ripple, but with a money that they don't need to give away to be accepted. ehehe

Complicated - Well, considering it is pretty new, I'd say that is debatable. The VC money coming in will address this. Nothing shocking here. I remember the internet pre Netscape Navigator - THAT WAS COMPLICATED and look where it ended up. We are doing fine, but of course things need to be improved upon.

You are criticizing a very new technology that is still getting the bugs worked out and all the while is worth over 1.5 or so Billion dollars. Not bad. Imagine if it wasn't "complicated" where we'd be at.  Wink


Patience Grasshopper, patience...
hero member
Activity: 634
Merit: 500
And I have the bad feeling that we missed a one in a life time chance when we were in the spotlight to gain more people to use bitcoins.

Is that a feeling you would be willing to bet on?

For me it would be a safe bet
missed chance at least I won the bet / no missed chance at least my bitcoins will be worth more

In your case you risk to end up with a double loss. Smiley

Well that's one way of looking at it, but it's wrong.

I am willing to bet 1 BTC that within two years there will be at least 10 times as many people using Bitcoin than use it today, as indicated by the number of client downloads. If you really think it's a safe bet, and you really think we missed our chance to get users, put up.
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1819
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust
And I have the bad feeling that we missed a one in a life time chance when we were in the spotlight to gain more people to use bitcoins.

Is that a feeling you would be willing to bet on?

For me it would be a safe bet
missed chance at least I won the bet / no missed chance at least my bitcoins will be worth more

In your case you risk to end up with a double loss. Smiley
hero member
Activity: 634
Merit: 500
And I have the bad feeling that we missed a one in a life time chance when we were in the spotlight to gain more people to use bitcoins.

Is that a feeling you would be willing to bet on?
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust
Rampion , sorry to say but you're messing up with adoption rate / price.

Just because the value has gone up to 130 , it doesn't mean there are 10x users than last year or we're doing 10x transactions.

Looking at the charts it's clearly that the whole bitpay propaganda "we're adding 100 merchants a day" is just bull* or they add those merchants but receive no sales.

Currently the price is based more on "what bitcoin will be" than is actual value.

And I have the bad feeling that we missed a one in a life time chance when we were in the spotlight to gain more people to use bitcoins.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
So, you're doing something that's super complicated.  That's slow and could never handle micro transactions.

What you described is worse in every single way with the legacy banking system, just saying.


That's what Ripple is for.  Just saying.

Good night gentleman. 
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250

Based on facts: the demand created by a single Darknet website (Silk Road) + a single gambling website (Satoshidice) is enough to take one BTC to be worth aprox. 14 of your beloved US dollars. Maybe you do not understand that 14 (fourteen) dollars for something like Bitcoin is not trivial (it was worth $0.079 in May 2010 - did you know?)

Wow!  A whole $14?  So the plan is to spawn a new world currency off of black market sales and gambling, all while it's made illegal?  Good luck with that.

Quote
This is only the beginning. Bitcoin may be very complicated for you, I bet you are well over 30 yo - someone younger wouldn't feel it's so complicated. In fact, we will have a a new generation coming that will grow knowing that there is an "anonymous cash of the internet" in the wild, and they will understand it naturally, something you obviously do not do.

No, we'll have Ripple or something even better.  The first of anything is never the best.  Bitcoin is no exception.

Quote
What I'm trying to explain you is that Bitcoin has a HUGE growth potential. It's price already went from $0.07 to $14 because of real but extremely reuced demand, that's a x200 increase in 1 year because of Satoshidice and Silk Road.

It has a tremendous growth potential but not without mass adoption and you can't have mass adoption without conforming to the law.  

Quote
And then you have the bubbles, the one we are having now and the 2011 one, created by pure speculative mania - but we can leave those out and concetrate only on real economy demand.

Sure could...once you submit to regulations.

Quote
Just wait for more people to slowly understand Bitcoin. For them to understand that they can use it to move freely their wealth - because you knew that there are a lot of countries where there are strict financial controls that restrict people's freedom, don't you? I can tell you a real story it happened to me in Argentina if you wish. And just wait for the "black market" to see how good can be BTC for them (Dread Pirate Roberts is a visionary, but give to his "folks" some years to understand BTC), and for more gambling sites to embrace it.
 Again, you're basing the entire future of Bitcoin on illegal operations.  What legitimate business is going to want to deal with Bitcoin?  You're plan alienates the majority of businesses in the world.  

Quote
Sure, it will be a slow process. And that's why is retarded to believe that BTC is a get-rich-quick scheme, and that it will be at 6 figures next year. But there is a fact: BTC won't go away easily. It's here to stay. And solves a lot of real life, important problems related to monetary freedom, and that matter to millions of people in the world, regardless of what the US says.

All very true, if done within the confines of the law.  Your black market, illegal strategy is a loser bro.  Just saying.  No chance.

Quote
And think about something, Coinseeker: there have been threats of Bitcoin being declared illegal since day 1. Just use the search of these forums and check the debates about Wikileaks accepting BTC, and how worried Satoshi was (in fact he asked Assange to please don't - read and learn, it's all on the forums). And what you call "a dream with zero basis on reality", is what happened. Real demand grew. And it's growing. And the core demand for BTC is at those who want monetary freedom, not a "quick minitransactions protocol". Because the core characterisitics of Bitcoin are a) decentralized and b) trust-free, and hence unseizable and uncontrollable by Governments. And that very characteristics will attract a very specific real and powerful demand, as they did with Satoshidice and Silk Road.

It will attract the only people that care about such things...speculators and criminals.  Much like what we see now.  Liberty Reserve just got crushed.  I'm sure many of those folks are headed right to Bitcoin.  You probably think that's great.  Let's sign up the cartels and dictators of the world.  Bitcoin will survive but as nothing more than a tiny little black market payment option, that the masses would never deal with.

Quote
I wonder what would you have told me in 2010 when bitcoin was at 0.0x, if I told you that some day one BTC was going to be worth $14 on "real demand".

Coinseeker, if you want a fast transaction system for minipayments go and use Dwolla, or even better: Ripple. Bitcoin is not that.

I absolutely plan to use Ripple.  The funny thing is, I believe Ripple is going to save Bitcoin from the thinking like yours.  It will drag Bitcoin, kicking and screaming, into compliance of regulations.  There's really no stopping it.  The big money investors and business owners will see to it.  One day soon, you're going to look at your Bitcoin holdings and look at the markets and say, "Thank [enter diety] for Ripple".  Ripple is going to legitimize Bitcoin and allow it to achieve mass adoption.  That's what I speculate and that's why I have a few BTC.

BTW-Thanks for the civilized discourse this time.  If you attack me, I'll attack you back but if you are civil, I'll be civil right back.   Wink
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
So, you're doing something that's super complicated.  That's slow and could never handle micro transactions.

What you described is worse in every single way with the legacy banking system, just saying.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
There will be proper demand of Bitcoin regardless of it being legal or illegal in the US, I can guarantee you that.

Yes, but if it's going to be illegal, or even semi-illegal in the US, it will be much less attractive as an investment.

There's real, actual demand for BTC, namely drug trade and gambling. They represent less than ten percent of the total demand, everything else is speculative investment.

I would call it a gamble more than an investment. There are so many things that can go south, and one of them is precisely the very real possibility of it being declared illegal by one or more Governments.

I agree that after we reached $20 at the en of January there was an explosion of speculative activity around Bitcoin, and that's why the price skyrocketed so fast. But real demand besides of speculation will grow steadily and quicker than before, now that Bitcoin has been exposed to the whole world.

Based on what, gut feeling?  Certainly not facts.  Bitcoin is slow and extremely complicated.  You have to be above average technical to even consider using it and then, who's going to want to when you can't spend it anywhere except to do illegal stuff?  

So, you're doing something that's super complicated.  That's slow and could never handle micro transactions.  That in this scenario presented would be illegal, thus you risk jail time all to buy a digital "currency" that you can only use to buy illegal stuff.  And somehow despite all this, you think it's just going to keep growing and achieve mass adoption?  It is the speculation thread but I think it's a flawed piece of speculation you've laid out.  More like a dream with zero basis in reality.

Based on facts: the demand created by a single Darknet website (Silk Road) + a single gambling website (Satoshidice) is enough to take one BTC to be worth aprox. 14 of your beloved US dollars. Maybe you do not understand that 14 (fourteen) dollars for something like Bitcoin is not trivial (it was worth $0.079 in May 2010 - did you know?)

This is only the beginning. Bitcoin may be very complicated for you, I bet you are well over 30 yo - someone younger wouldn't feel it's so complicated. In fact, we will have a a new generation coming that will grow knowing that there is an "anonymous cash of the internet" in the wild, and they will understand it naturally, something you obviously do not do.

What I'm trying to explain you is that Bitcoin has a HUGE growth potential. It's price already went from $0.07 to $14 because of real but extremely reuced demand, that's a x200 increase in 1 year because of Satoshidice and Silk Road.

And then you have the bubbles, the one we are having now and the 2011 one, created by pure speculative mania - but we can leave those out and concetrate only on real economy demand.

Just wait for more people to slowly understand Bitcoin. For them to understand that they can use it to move freely their wealth - because you knew that there are a lot of countries where there are strict financial controls that restrict people's freedom, don't you? I can tell you a real story it happened to me in Argentina if you wish. And just wait for the "black market" to see how good can be BTC for them (Dread Pirate Roberts is a visionary, but give to his "folks" some years to understand BTC), and for more gambling sites to embrace it.

Sure, it will be a slow process. And that's why is retarded to believe that BTC is a get-rich-quick scheme, and that it will be at 6 figures next year. But there is a fact: BTC won't go away easily. It's here to stay. And solves a lot of real life, important problems related to monetary freedom, and that matter to millions of people in the world, regardless of what the US says.

And think about something, Coinseeker: there have been threats of Bitcoin being declared illegal since day 1. Just use the search of these forums and check the debates about Wikileaks accepting BTC, and how worried Satoshi was (in fact he asked Assange to please don't - read and learn, it's all on the forums). And what you call "a dream with zero basis on reality", is what happened. Real demand grew. And it's growing. And the core demand for BTC is at those who want monetary freedom, not a "quick minitransactions protocol". Because the core characterisitics of Bitcoin are a) decentralized and b) trust-free, and hence unseizable and uncontrollable by Governments. And that very characteristics will attract a very specific real and powerful demand, as they did with Satoshidice and Silk Road.

I wonder what would you have told me in 2010 when bitcoin was at 0.0x, if I told you that some day one BTC was going to be worth $14 on "real demand".

Coinseeker, if you want a fast transaction system for minipayments go and use Dwolla, or even better: Ripple. Bitcoin is not that.

legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1819
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 634
Merit: 500
And with that, I'll take my Hero Member badge.   Wink

And the value of the title depreciates.
To be clear, I don't even dislike you. But getting to Hero Member this fast should tell you something.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
There will be proper demand of Bitcoin regardless of it being legal or illegal in the US, I can guarantee you that.

Yes, but if it's going to be illegal, or even semi-illegal in the US, it will be much less attractive as an investment.

There's real, actual demand for BTC, namely drug trade and gambling. They represent less than ten percent of the total demand, everything else is speculative investment.

I would call it a gamble more than an investment. There are so many things that can go south, and one of them is precisely the very real possibility of it being declared illegal by one or more Governments.

I agree that after we reached $20 at the en of January there was an explosion of speculative activity around Bitcoin, and that's why the price skyrocketed so fast. But real demand besides of speculation will grow steadily and quicker than before, now that Bitcoin has been exposed to the whole world.

Based on what, gut feeling?  Certainly not facts.  Bitcoin is slow and extremely complicated.  You have to be above average technical to even consider using it and then, who's going to want to when you can't spend it anywhere except to do illegal stuff?  

So, you're doing something that's super complicated.  That's slow and could never handle micro transactions.  That in this scenario presented would be illegal, thus you risk jail time all to buy a digital "currency" that you can only use to buy illegal stuff.  And somehow despite all this, you think it's just going to keep growing and achieve mass adoption?  It is the speculation thread but I think it's a flawed piece of speculation you've laid out.  More like a dream with zero basis in reality.

And with that, I'll take my Hero Member badge.   Wink
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
But real demand besides of speculation will grow steadily and quicker than before, now that Bitcoin has been exposed to the whole world.

I wonder if it will be fast enough to fill the gap left by speculation.

Probably not in the short term, 100% sure in the long term.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
But real demand besides of speculation will grow steadily and quicker than before, now that Bitcoin has been exposed to the whole world.

I wonder if it will be fast enough to fill the gap left by speculation.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
There will be proper demand of Bitcoin regardless of it being legal or illegal in the US, I can guarantee you that.

Yes, but if it's going to be illegal, or even semi-illegal in the US, it will be much less attractive as an investment.

There's real, actual demand for BTC, namely drug trade and gambling. They represent less than ten percent of the total demand, everything else is speculative investment.

I would call it a gamble more than an investment. There are so many things that can go south, and one of them is precisely the very real possibility of it being declared illegal by one or more Governments.

I agree that after we reached $20 at the end of January there was an explosion of speculative activity around Bitcoin, and that's why the price skyrocketed so fast. But real demand besides of speculation will grow steadily and quicker than before, now that Bitcoin has been exposed to the whole world.
hero member
Activity: 501
Merit: 500
There will be proper demand of Bitcoin regardless of it being legal or illegal in the US, I can guarantee you that.

Yes, but if it's going to be illegal, or even semi-illegal in the US, it will be much less attractive as an investment.

There's real, actual demand for BTC, namely drug trade and gambling. They represent less than ten percent of the total demand, everything else is speculative investment.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
Maybe you have some trouble to grasp the concept of very scarce a non-inflatable currency.
Yeah, and perhaps onecoin truly is the most expensive coin ever.  Roll Eyes

Scarcity principle doesn't apply without the proper demand.

There will be proper demand of Bitcoin regardless of it being legal or illegal in the US, I can guarantee you that.
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1819
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
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