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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1273. (Read 3314316 times)

legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
June 17, 2016, 05:42:11 PM
XMR has been looking strong at Polo for a while now. Why ?

Internal factors: emission dropping off, official GUI being written, I2P and 0MQ are bad ass, and RingCT is (close enough to) the Holy Grail of truly fungible ecash.

The killer app for 100% fungible ecash is financial sovereignty.

External factors: the market just got burned (we're talking 3rd degree oxygen chamber horror show stuff) by rushed inadequately spec'd/tested crypto.

Monero is (in)famous for its mature, responsible, meticulous, cautious "no merge before its time" approach to development.

We don't rush.  We get it right.

And Bitcoiners of all stripes are coming around to that paradigm:

Quote
https://twitter.com/danWilcz/status/743736668901908480

#DAO vulnr validates that there is merit in having a security-first approach of #Bitcoin development

When (AND NOT BEFORE) we get ecash done right, then we can built smart contracts on top.  Premature action is contraindicated.   Wink

We are seeing the first few wispy clouds of a trillion dollar perfect Monero storm appear on the horizon.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
June 17, 2016, 05:37:21 PM
Question for XMR core devs:

Under what (if any) circumstances would you request (or like VB forcefully demand under threat of rollback) a halt to XMR activity on exchanges?[/b]

Grin  fluffypony must be enjoying this schadenfreude at VB's expense!   Grin

I see no circumstance under which I would ever support asking for a halt in trading on a centralized exchange. Trading on the exchange is trading book entry claims on the exchange's wallet. Even in the extreme case of a rollback or other problem affecting wallets, traders can assess the impact that might have on the solvency of an exchange and trade accordingly. However, an exchange might on its own (or in discussion with other exchanges) decide to halt trading. That's their call, it is their platform after all.

If there were a problem with the blockchain affecting (or even possibly affecting) wallets, I would support asking for (and recommending) a halt to deposits/withdrawals until it was resolved.

During the initial stages of the 202612 attack exchanges may have stopped trading as we put out an general "red alert" until we actually figured out what was going on. Most decided to restart it but they kept wallet transactions on hold until bug was identified and the vulnerability deemed over.

With respect to the DAO, it wasn't even a bug in the coin at all. Ethereum devs acting in that capacity shouldn't have been involved nor should they have asked exchanges to do anything in my opinion, nor should any fork, hard or soft, be on the table at all. My other (perhaps more controversial) opinion on the matter is here: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/there-was-no-dao-hack-1516067

Needless to say I will never support a fork or rollback or any other sort of meddling with coin ownership in Monero on the basis of an external incident that was not a flaw in the implementation of the coin itself (an example of the latter being the overflow bug in Bitcoin).
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
June 17, 2016, 05:24:01 PM
Question for XMR core devs:

Under what (if any) circumstances would you request (or like VB forcefully demand under threat of rollback) a halt to XMR activity on exchanges?


We already did this during the block 202612 attack. We asked them to halt deposits and withdrawals (but not trading!) until we figured out what was happening. The minute the fork resolved and we had a handle on what to do about it we told them they could resume.

If, during that fork, an exchange had continued accepting deposits and processing withdrawals we wouldn't have stopped them, that's entirely at their own risk.

Monero still has a lot of work to do, and we don't have $20 million to rest on, so I can imagine that a sophisticated attack like this might be repeated in future. As it stands right now, a resourceful attacked could probably just fork the network based on hashing power alone. Obviously we will do our utmost to ensure that this isn't possible, but if it does happen we will - again - handle things as best we see fit. We won't ever ask exchanges to pause deposits / withdrawals unless we don't know what's going on and fear that we may be under attack.

Supremely informative answer, thanks!

I'd forgotten the in/out halt during the troll block attack.

But your retelling of the tale hits upon a critical distinction between XMR and ETH core dev's conduct/approach/attitude.

XMR devs Highly Recommended exchanges halt deposits and explained the basis for that urgent suggestion, but did not Command & Demand like the ETH guys.

And you didn't try to halt trading, preventing this kind of 100% bullshit scenario:

Quote
[3:43:10 AM] Bill Shihara: Stopping the trading will stop the hacker from liquidating.  but that may be penalizing legit traders

Any exchange that penalizes legit traders to stop a hacker (especially one that only used the existing rules of a broken system to his benefit) is an amoral/unethical piece of shit.

If I knew better than to trust ETH/DAO's concept/code/crypto and went short in order to make the market aware of my pertinent information, HOW DARE SOME FUCKING TWAT AT POLO HQ ARBITRARILY DECIDE TO HALT/ROLLBACK?

All those presuming to force the invisible hand of the market should be pimp slapped by it until rendered unable to do further harm.   Angry

For all the cyber/cypherpunk name dropping Vitalik does, he still utterly fails to grok the ethos.  And he's met Nick Szabo FFS.

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
June 17, 2016, 05:19:38 PM
XMR has been looking strong at Polo for a while now. Why ?

Its about to start looking even stronger.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
June 17, 2016, 05:15:46 PM
XMR has been looking strong at Polo for a while now. Why ?

my guess is that those who wanted out that held large bags of XMR...have sold.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1014
ex uno plures
June 17, 2016, 05:14:30 PM
XMR has been looking strong at Polo for a while now. Why ?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
June 17, 2016, 04:56:46 PM
Quote
[3:43:01 AM] Vitalik Buterin: ok can you guys stop trading


donator
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1060
GetMonero.org / MyMonero.com
June 17, 2016, 04:52:35 PM
Question for XMR core devs:

Under what (if any) circumstances would you request (or like VB forcefully demand under threat of rollback) a halt to XMR activity on exchanges?


We already did this during the block 202612 attack. We asked them to halt deposits and withdrawals (but not trading!) until we figured out what was happening. The minute the fork resolved and we had a handle on what to do about it we told them they could resume.

If, during that fork, an exchange had continued accepting deposits and processing withdrawals we wouldn't have stopped them, that's entirely at their own risk.

Monero still has a lot of work to do, and we don't have $20 million to rest on, so I can imagine that a sophisticated attack like this might be repeated in future. As it stands right now, a resourceful attacked could probably just fork the network based on hashing power alone. Obviously we will do our utmost to ensure that this isn't possible, but if it does happen we will - again - handle things as best we see fit. We won't ever ask exchanges to pause deposits / withdrawals unless we don't know what's going on and fear that we may be under attack.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
June 17, 2016, 04:42:28 PM
this part of the quote from ICE stood out:

Quote
[3:43:01 AM] Vitalik Buterin: ok can you guys stop trading


say what??   Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
June 17, 2016, 04:31:53 PM
I still struggle with how the DAO can even claim it is a problem, as the DAO terms expressly say the code supercedes the description / intent.

Quote
The terms of The DAO Creation are set forth in the smart contract code existing on the Ethereum blockchain at 0xbb9bc244d798123fde783fcc1c72d3bb8c189413. Nothing in this explanation of terms or in any other document or communication may modify or add any additional obligations or guarantees beyond those set forth in The DAO’s code. Any and all explanatory terms or descriptions are merely offered for educational purposes and do not supercede or modify the express terms of The DAO’s code set forth on the blockchain; to the extent you believe there to be any conflict or discrepancy between the descriptions offered here and the functionality of The DAO’s code at 0xbb9bc244d798123fde783fcc1c72d3bb8c189413, The DAO’s code controls and sets forth all terms of The DAO Creation.

https://daohub.org/explainer.html

So I guess future DAO will need to have a disclaimer that there are situations where the code doesn't control, and therefore you have to look to intent... Which basically means opening the same can of worms lawyers and courts have been dealing with for ages, but "smart contracts" were supposed to avoid.

It would be hilarious if the "hacker" sued the DAO for breach of contract if the "stolen" funds are returned!

You've hit logical bedrock following up on my bit of initial conceptual drilling.

Since XMR intends to implement smart contracts, we may learn something from this DAO/ETH/POLO SNAFU

ETH/DAO were marketed to investors using the USP "The Code is the Law; The transaction is the settlement; Moral hazard has no power here."

The last 24 hours have destroyed that conceit.

Now we will roll our eyes when we hear happy talk about permissionless leaderless decentralization.

Here is the point at which that dream died:

Quote
[3:41:38 AM] George Hallam [ETH] : ALL EXCHANGES: please pause ether trading as soon as possible
[3:41:56 AM] Jesse: why pause trading?
[3:41:59 AM] Aurélien MENANT: done :p
[3:42:56 AM] Tristan D'Agosta: That's a pretty serious measure, is the stolen ETH moving?
[3:42:57 AM] Alex Hanin: Can you please elaborate on this pause?
[3:42:58 AM] dino: ALL EXCHANGES EMERGENCY PAUSE TRADING RIGHT NOW
[3:43:01 AM] Vitalik Buterin: ok can you guys stop trading
[3:43:05 AM] Tristan D'Agosta: Okay
[3:43:10 AM] Bill Shihara: Stopping the trading will stop the hacker from liquidating.  but that may be penalizing legit traders significantly
[3:43:11 AM] Vitalik Buterin: and deposits and withdrawals
[3:43:18 AM] dino: ALL EXCHANGES STOP WITHDRAWALS RIGHT NOW EMERGENCY
[3:43:25 AM] Tristan D'Agosta: Okay, not trading then...

http://pastebin.com/aMKwQcHR

Question for XMR core devs:

Under what (if any) circumstances would you request (or like VB forcefully demand under threat of rollback) a halt to XMR activity on exchanges?


Grin  fluffypony must be enjoying this schadenfreude at VB's expense!   Grin
sr. member
Activity: 248
Merit: 250
June 17, 2016, 03:43:16 PM

Vitalik did everything wrong.  Last night the potential conflicts-of-interest created by his vast personal holdings of ETH and DAO were actualized.

He should have told DAO to FOAD.  Instead he made a bad situation much worse by throwing exchange operators and users under the bus in a vain attempt to save ETH's highest-profile project.

DAO's incompetent devs and greedy bagholders are solely responsible for the consequences of this fiasco.

But now we have moral hazard spreading to ETH and exchanges as the rot spreads upward.

Is this type of situation going to happen again?

It seems inevitable, given all the dubious low-security shitcoins Polo lists, one or more will be hacked in the future.

When MAID and DASH get hacked, will Polo freeze trading, etc for tangentially related coins like BTC, forcing traders to lock in their losses?

This godawful precedent implies the answer is yes, they will.

Agreed.  And I still struggle with how the DAO can even claim it is a problem, as the DAO terms expressly say the code supercedes the description / intent.

Quote
The terms of The DAO Creation are set forth in the smart contract code existing on the Ethereum blockchain at 0xbb9bc244d798123fde783fcc1c72d3bb8c189413. Nothing in this explanation of terms or in any other document or communication may modify or add any additional obligations or guarantees beyond those set forth in The DAO’s code. Any and all explanatory terms or descriptions are merely offered for educational purposes and do not supercede or modify the express terms of The DAO’s code set forth on the blockchain; to the extent you believe there to be any conflict or discrepancy between the descriptions offered here and the functionality of The DAO’s code at 0xbb9bc244d798123fde783fcc1c72d3bb8c189413, The DAO’s code controls and sets forth all terms of The DAO Creation.

https://daohub.org/explainer.html

So I guess future DAO will need to have a disclaimer that there are situations where the code doesn't control, and therefore you have to look to intent... Which basically means opening the same can of worms lawyers and courts have been dealing with for ages, but "smart contracts" were supposed to avoid.

It would be hilarious if the "hacker" sued the DAO for breach of contract if the "stolen" funds are returned!
hero member
Activity: 687
Merit: 500
novag
June 17, 2016, 03:37:44 PM

And please do not forget the support of the coin exchange poloniex Monero.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1072
Crypto is the separation of Power and State.
June 17, 2016, 03:30:50 PM
Where's primer-?   Grin

Bad day for Ethereum. Vitalik did the right thing, miners make the final decision and so far there seems to be a consensus.
I haven't sold a single ether and i hold almost $500k usd worth (@ 0.028). I am more confident than ever that in 2-3 months, with Coinbase's support, we are to see a new ATH..

On another note, Monero pump looking better than ever! I'd love to see .003 soon!

Vitalik did everything wrong.  Last night the potential conflicts-of-interest created by his vast personal holdings of ETH and DAO were actualized.

He should have told DAO to FOAD.  Instead he made a bad situation much worse by throwing exchange operators and users under the bus in a vain attempt to save ETH's highest-profile project.

DAO's incompetent devs and greedy bagholders are solely responsible for the consequences of this fiasco.

But now we have moral hazard spreading to ETH and exchanges as the rot spreads upward.

Is this type of situation going to happen again?

It seems inevitable, given all the dubious low-security shitcoins Polo lists, one or more will be hacked in the future.

When MAID and DASH get hacked, will Polo freeze trading, etc for tangentially related coins like BTC, forcing traders to lock in their losses?

This godawful precedent implies the answer is yes, they will.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
June 17, 2016, 02:46:23 PM
Where's primer-?   Grin

Bad day for Ethereum. Vitalik did the right thing, miners make the final decision and so far there seems to be a consensus.
I haven't sold a single ether and i hold almost $500k usd worth (@ 0.028). I am more confident than ever that in 2-3 months, with Coinbase's support, we are to see a new ATH..

On another note, Monero pump looking better than ever! I'd love to see .003 soon!

This post must be a joke.

It is not a joke, XMR try to +0.0035

Oh I believe MOnero will rise.  I just mean its a joke because primer is positive about Monero.
hero member
Activity: 687
Merit: 500
novag
June 17, 2016, 02:45:46 PM
Where's primer-?   Grin

Bad day for Ethereum. Vitalik did the right thing, miners make the final decision and so far there seems to be a consensus.
I haven't sold a single ether and i hold almost $500k usd worth (@ 0.028). I am more confident than ever that in 2-3 months, with Coinbase's support, we are to see a new ATH..

On another note, Monero pump looking better than ever! I'd love to see .003 soon!

This post must be a joke.

It is not a joke, XMR try to +0.0035
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
June 17, 2016, 02:21:09 PM
Where's primer-?   Grin

Bad day for Ethereum. Vitalik did the right thing, miners make the final decision and so far there seems to be a consensus.
I haven't sold a single ether and i hold almost $500k usd worth (@ 0.028). I am more confident than ever that in 2-3 months, with Coinbase's support, we are to see a new ATH..

On another note, Monero pump looking better than ever! I'd love to see .003 soon!

This post must be a joke.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
June 17, 2016, 02:11:25 PM
Where's primer-?   Grin

Bad day for Ethereum. Vitalik did the right thing, miners make the final decision and so far there seems to be a consensus.
I haven't sold a single ether and i hold almost $500k usd worth (@ 0.028). I am more confident than ever that in 2-3 months, with Coinbase's support, we are to see a new ATH..

On another note, Monero pump looking better than ever! I'd love to see .003 soon!
hero member
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
June 17, 2016, 01:45:29 PM
Maybe there are just so many bagholders wishing to get out with minimal damage so when the opportunity arises they take it.
sr. member
Activity: 397
Merit: 250
June 17, 2016, 01:38:27 PM
How come? To me, that proves the point even more. The drop was more swift than the one from a year ago, even though the market showed much more strength. Also there were literally no bounces on this drop from the high...
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
June 17, 2016, 01:20:57 PM
If I didn't know better I would think coins are appearing from nowhere.

8600/day or so?


I'm aware how many are being created a day, I don't see your point with that comment. The consistent down pressure seems far higher long term than the emission and even if it was equal to the emission then I find it hard to believe all new coins are dumped. Every single time there is a breakout there is a dump, I just cannot figure out why anyone would want to intentionally suppress the price like that (especially if they have the coins to do it: it flies in the face of self interest) and I think it's fanciful to believe it's some other coins troll.

I cannot come to terms with someone/somegroup acquiring over time just for price suppression and I cannot think Of any logical reason except to slowly siphon from the cap unless they hold massive hoard which by now should have been absorbed. Unless you have a different theory?

BTW, I bolded the qualifier for you.

Yup, I was just thinking the very same thing these last few days. Whenever the market goes up even a few percent there's like a flood of sellers willing to market sell it back down. My only possible explanation to this is that whoever is accumulating (and has been since the last low around .0016) wants to dry all the supply at these levels before letting it go up. So basically they're buying all the coins up to their target and then they're selling into their own bids which are lower, forcing others to sell lower into the breakout, into their bids. So even though they're buying it up, they're trying to accumulate at the lowest possible price, as close as possible to the point from which they made the breakout.

What's crazy is that some traders are actually falling for this strategy and giving their coins away cheaply right before another breakout takes place and leaves them behind.

That was my thought for a very long time until the last dump from .004
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