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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 2175. (Read 3313070 times)

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1001
September 01, 2014, 04:19:25 PM

4) Zerocash, should it ever be released, would Only offer anonymous transactions(Yes, that's pretty much a bad thing, since even private companies need to keep a record of their transactions etc, Ring Signature(Monero) allows both anonymous sending and regular sending, while Zerocash doesn't which means it likely won't be used by any legitimate companies/institutions)

I seriously doubt anyone in the black market cares about being able to prove a transaction took place, in fact I think they would rather the opposite. You and I know the importance of financial privacy and the bad things that can happen by practicing bad financial privacy methods, but most people are oblivious to this. The sheeple of this world that are still using FIAT, and even a lot of Bitcoin users, are oblivious to the importance of financial privacy. Therefore, it narrows the population of possible Monero adopters to the small group of people that understand the value of financial privacy and the black market. The black market is a much bigger and valuable subgroup, and more people within it will be adopting an anonymous cryptocurrency rather than the general public.

I also think it's silly to think that Monero will be used in a large way by "legit companies/institutions." That space is reserved to Bitcoin for the time being. For that to change, Monero would have to achieve greater liquidity and popularity than Bitcoin. I just don't see that happening... ever... because Monero doesn't provide enough of a benefit over Bitcoin for everyone to switch over.

The same goes with Zerocoin, Anoncoin, or Darkcoin. Anonymous cryptocurrencys will not overtake Bitcoin for the simple fact they are more anonymous, it will take much more than that. I think it is possible that another cryptocurrency eventually surpasses Bitcoin, but Monero is not that cryptocurrency. Simply making transactions more anonymous is not a big enough innovation to overcome the infrastructure and network effect of a crypto currency like Bitcoin. It will require better anonymity couple with many other features and/or improvements to do this.


There are private transactions, anonymous transactions and plausibly deniable transactions - each coming with tradeoffs. I could see situations where legit and illegit companies/persons would want to conduct private transactions but not necessarily anonymous nor impossible to prove transactions.

Organized criminal enterprises, high net worth individuals, intelligence assets (spies), etc all have reasons to want to prevent transactions from being discernible to outsiders but might want to be able to prove they made or received payments to certain 3rd parties. Even mobsters have accountants.

It's reasonable the feature set Monero offers could be superior to the one proposed by Zerocoin, under a broader set of circumstances.

Ask yourself this. Would someone looking to replace a swiss numbered bank account chosen for tax avoidance likely use a tool that will only be perceived useful to criminals or one that has broader purposes? I posit that Monero would be more palatable.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
September 01, 2014, 04:10:09 PM
I am also wondering if the use of zero knowledge proofs can considerably slow down transaction times and/or confirmations due to the heavier computational power required, as compared to Monero's ring signatures.

In the zerocoin paper they claim a block with 800 zerocoin transactions would take five minutes (they really said minutes, that is not a typo) to verify. That is 2.6 seconds per transaction. In a decentralized network every node must verify blocks before forwarding them. Monero gets criticized for a proof of work that takes about 20ms per block, although it remains to be seen whether that turns out to be a problem.

This orders of magnitude away from being practical for a decentralized network.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 500
September 01, 2014, 04:06:28 PM
Comparing Monero and Zerocoin, here is a post I made in the Anoncoin thread.

Ok, as an example let's consider ring signatures. A solution that provides cryptographically guaranteed anonymity without the risk of keys that can create unlimited coins. Who in their right mind would prefer Zerocoin/Zerocash? Let's use a gas tank in a car as an analogy. Would you prefer a gas tank that has a hole, which has a metal plate welded over it, or one without any hole to begin with? The metal plate should theoretically prevent leaks, but who would choose it over a tank with no hole to begin with?
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1026
In Cryptocoins I Trust
September 01, 2014, 03:57:07 PM
I think Zerocoin is better at this point in time seeing as though it can be implemented without having to trust a third party.
One big problem with Zerocoin was the massive bloat, as I recall.  It makes ring signatures look like an anorexic supermodel in contrast.

Thank you, this is the type of reply I was hoping to receive.. something that compares the two technologies on a technical level which is what I am really interested in. You are referring to block chain bloat? I think that is a valid criticism, but maybe not the worst thing in the world (see Electrum client, etc.) I guess it depend on if you like to run a full node or not as to whether that would be a big deal.

I am also wondering if the use of zero knowledge proofs can considerably slow down transaction times and/or confirmations due to the heavier computational power required, as compared to Monero's ring signatures.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1026
In Cryptocoins I Trust
September 01, 2014, 03:55:58 PM
It´s pretty obvious that you don´t get it. Some people prefer to use something that actually exists.

Ringsignatures provide good privacy without moonmath, read gmaxwells posts maybe (nullc): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7765455
Or Andytoshis post on stackexchange: http://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/29471/is-there-any-true-anonymous-cryptocurrencies


Care to proof that mainly botnets mine Monero? Most hash seems to be from Claymores GPU miner.

I don't know othe's source, but he's pretty plugged into the mining scene (I'm not) so he may well be right.

However, it is quite obvious from analyzing readily available public information that a very, very large portion of the hash rate is GPU mining. If you don't see that you can't claim to be doing credible research. To his credit CoinHoarder has retracted his botnet claim, for which he admittedly had zero evidence anyway.

My original analysis done on Monero was done months ago when it was first released, at that time it could only be mined by CPUs. I did not realize GPU miners had been made, and as you say I retracted my statements which would of been applicable to a cryptocurrency that can currently only be mined by CPUs.

Minus the bot net stuff, I think I have some valid criticisms. To my credit, a lot of people ITT don't seem to be doing "credible research" on competing anonymous crypto currencies and what they are up to. They seem to think Zerocoin was abondened and/or that it requires to trust a third party. I admit I have been keeping up with their project better than Moner because I decided a long time ago it is the superior anonymous technology. Yeah, it may be vaporware right now but I have faith it will come to market sooner or later. If that happens I think Monero could be in trouble.

I've just been seeing a lot of posts about Monero the past months and wanted to know what all the fuss is about. I came here seeking enlightenment, and I have already learned one thing, so I guess my mission was successful. I also learned that Monero is planning on doing other features or improvements.. Although no one has enlightened me as to what. I guess I will need to dig that up on my own. I am mainly here speaking as to anonymity.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
September 01, 2014, 03:54:35 PM
voicing bearish concerns...
shorting is cumbersome

Not necessarily. If you can bear to buy the PUT option from me, then there is very good leverage when the price goes down.

The delta can be about 300% and the maximum leverage more than 1000%.

It is a p2p transaction, not on an exchange, and one has to believe not only that XMR will go down, but that your option pricing is attractive. I'm not discouraging it, but I still find it somewhat cumbersome.

If you want to buy futures that would at least take some of the complication out of it, although still a more cumbersome p2p type deal.

You always need to check whether option pricing is attractive when buying or selling options.

Yes and that is another consideration that doesn't apply when shorting (potentially unlimited need for margin applies to shorting though)
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1001
September 01, 2014, 03:46:45 PM
I just don't get it.

Just read the thread name...

Am I not speculating about Monero here as well? I just have a different opinion than most of you guys I guess. Please explain it to me why I you guys are right and I am wrong. It's just odd that everyone seems so bullish on Monero and there is not one person here voicing bearish concerns...

It's not odd its a massive PR campaign of paid accounts. In fact I was asked by PM several times if Id like to post pro-Monero stance all day long for good cash.  I was the wrong guy to ask that cuz im rich and wont support junk.

~CfA~

Not that unsubstantiated statements hold a lot of water coming from reputable participants, but seriously - how do you expect anyone to believe them coming from you? (I can't believe I even replied to this crap)
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
September 01, 2014, 03:46:03 PM
I think Zerocoin is better at this point in time seeing as though it can be implemented without having to trust a third party.

One big problem with Zerocoin was the massive bloat, as I recall.  It makes ring signatures look like an anorexic supermodel in contrast.

legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
September 01, 2014, 03:43:35 PM
voicing bearish concerns...
shorting is cumbersome

Not necessarily. If you can bear to buy the PUT option from me, then there is very good leverage when the price goes down.

The delta can be about 300% and the maximum leverage more than 1000%.

It is a p2p transaction, not on an exchange, and one has to believe not only that XMR will go down, but that your option pricing is attractive. I'm not discouraging it, but I still find it somewhat cumbersome.

If you want to buy futures that would at least take some of the complication out of it, although still a more cumbersome p2p type deal.

You always need to check whether option pricing is attractive when buying or selling options.
sr. member
Activity: 469
Merit: 250
English Motherfucker do you speak it ?
September 01, 2014, 03:39:06 PM
rpietila aka Monero Jesus have PUT and CALL options for Monero, like he posted just one reply above me.
I cannot understand why no one is using it except me.
This is a fantastic opportunity to make extra cash whether you believe monero is going up or down.
CALL = You think it's going to go up.
PUT = You think it's going down.

legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
September 01, 2014, 03:36:30 PM
voicing bearish concerns...
shorting is cumbersome

Not necessarily. If you can bear to buy the PUT option from me, then there is very good leverage when the price goes down.

The delta can be about 300% and the maximum leverage more than 1000%.

It is a p2p transaction, not on an exchange, and one has to believe not only that XMR will go down, but that your option pricing is attractive. I'm not discouraging it, but I still find it somewhat cumbersome.

If you want to buy futures that would at least take some of the complication out of it, although still a more cumbersome p2p type deal.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
September 01, 2014, 03:27:44 PM
voicing bearish concerns...
shorting is cumbersome

Not necessarily. If you can bear to buy the PUT option from me, then there is very good leverage when the price goes down.

The delta can be about 300% and the maximum leverage more than 1000%.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
September 01, 2014, 03:23:14 PM
It´s pretty obvious that you don´t get it. Some people prefer to use something that actually exists.

Ringsignatures provide good privacy without moonmath, read gmaxwells posts maybe (nullc): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7765455
Or Andytoshis post on stackexchange: http://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/29471/is-there-any-true-anonymous-cryptocurrencies


Care to proof that mainly botnets mine Monero? Most hash seems to be from Claymores GPU miner.

I don't know othe's source, but he's pretty plugged into the mining scene (I'm not) so he may well be right.

However, it is quite obvious from analyzing readily available public information that a very, very large portion of the hash rate is GPU mining. If you don't see that you can't claim to be doing credible research. To his credit CoinHoarder has retracted his botnet claim, for which he admittedly had zero evidence anyway.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
September 01, 2014, 03:18:20 PM
I just don't get it.

Just read the thread name...

Am I not speculating about Monero here as well? I just have a different opinion than most of you guys I guess. Please explain it to me why I you guys are right and I am wrong. It's just odd that everyone seems so bullish on Monero and there is not one person here voicing bearish concerns...

Quick note from the moderator. Bearish comments are most certainly on topic and even encouraged. You won't see that many of them since most people who decide not to speculate on XMR don't stick around and talk about it. Most people here are either holding XMR or planning to buy (shorting is cumbersome). So any thoughtful representation the bearish view is a welcome counterpoint.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1026
In Cryptocoins I Trust
September 01, 2014, 03:12:12 PM
I just don't get it.

Just read the thread name...

Am I not speculating about Monero here as well? I just have a different opinion than most of you guys I guess. Please explain it to me why I you guys are right and I am wrong. It's just odd that everyone seems so bullish on Monero and there is not one person here voicing bearish concerns...

No, you are here wondering why everyone is talking about Monero in a Monero thread, we don't care about Zero/whatever and its not because we are talking it down but because we just don't care about it or we would be on the Zero/whatever Speculation thread.

Discussing alternative technologies other cryptocurrencies are implementing is necessary to speculate properly and form an educated opinion. You can't just omit the from your thought process like they don't exist.

Furthermore, it seems a lot of people don't realize that Zerocoin can be implemented without the requirement of trusting third parties and/or don't realize people are working on implementing it. Zerocash =/= Zerocoin...

Only investing in one anon Cryptocurrency is like putting your eggs in one basket. I think Darkcoin is making strides towards better anonymity by improving their anon tech, and Anoncoin seems to be making strides in (and dedicated to) implementing Zerocoin. I guess that's the main point I'm trying to convey.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Invest & Earn: https://cloudthink.io
September 01, 2014, 02:56:24 PM
It's not odd its a massive PR campaign of paid accounts. In fact I was asked by PM several times if Id like to post pro-Monero stance all day long for good cash.
~CfA~

I can do it. Please tell me who PMed you i wil give you 20% of my profit if you help me.
please please please.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
eidoo wallet
September 01, 2014, 02:50:29 PM
"I also think it's silly to think that Monero will be used in a large way by "legit companies/institutions." That space is reserved to Bitcoin for the time being. For that to change, Monero would have to achieve greater liquidity and popularity than Bitcoin. I just don't see that happening... ever... because Monero doesn't provide enough of a benefit over Bitcoin for everyone to switch over.

The same goes with Zerocoin, Anoncoin, or Darkcoin. Anonymous cryptocurrencys will not overtake Bitcoin for the simple fact they are more anonymous, it will take much more than that. I think it is possible that another cryptocurrency eventually surpasses Bitcoin, but Monero is not that cryptocurrency. Simply making transactions more anonymous is not a big enough innovation to overcome the infrastructure and network effect of a crypto currency like Bitcoin. It will require better anonymity couple with many other features and/or improvements to do this."
- CoinHoarder


I may be incorrect, but I remember seeing a post by someone stating that even one of the core bitcoin team members ackowledged that Bitcoin's Lack of anonymity is a big obstacle.

As it stands, it's relatively less anonymous than Paypal for the average user once their identity is connected to an address(s), especially since many people(including myself) find it bothersome to make new bitcoin address to recieve/send payments, Just to be more anonymous, also Bitcoin's 3rd party coinjoin/mixing services are Out of the question. I've seen  posts by people claiming to get scammed out of their bitcoin by using them.

Privacy/Anonymity is a big deal, especially for monetary systems. The world is becoming less private, and concerning private companies, institutions, even governments, they would need a certain degree of privacy if we ever want them to accept using cryptocurrencies. A while back I read a post concerning someone asking the managers of a company he worked at to accept Bitcoin, and the told him no because the blockchain is public and there transactions can be traced, which is bad when you want to stay ahead of the curve against your competitors.

What's great about Cryptonote coins(Monero), is that you can have private transactions And public transactions. It's a 2 in 1, which is especially good for private companies, merchants, and even regular people.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1026
In Cryptocoins I Trust
September 01, 2014, 02:45:05 PM
I just don't get it.

Just read the thread name...

Am I not speculating about Monero here as well? I just have a different opinion than most of you guys I guess. Please explain it to me why I you guys are right and I am wrong. It's just odd that everyone seems so bullish on Monero and there is not one person here voicing bearish concerns...
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1026
In Cryptocoins I Trust
September 01, 2014, 02:41:52 PM
Cryptonite coins using the Cryptonite algo(Monero) can be mined by Both GPU's and very high end  CPU's..

The average CPU will get hardly any xmr per day since the difficulty is so high, not sure what point youre trying to make coinhoarder.

I did not realize a GPU miner had been released. Othe told me that in his reply, and I retracted my statements regarding bot nets and CPU mining in the middle of my previous post.

My apologies- I think my other concerns are valid though.

Care to proof that mainly botnets mine Monero? Most hash seems to be from Claymores GPU miner.
I did not realize that a GPU miner had been released for the CryptoNight PoW algorithm, so that is one thing I have learned thus far since entering this thread. I am not a bad guy and not here to spread FUD, I am just here seeking enlightenment. I take everything I said about bot nets and CPU mining back if it is true that Monero can be GPU mined, as that pushes the bot nets out... not completely, but it makes them a lot less profitable and they'd probably rather mine CPU-only cryptocurrencies.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1026
In Cryptocoins I Trust
September 01, 2014, 02:38:47 PM
Is Monero compatible with side-chains? If so, could a Zerocash-like side chain someday be incorporated into Monero, giving users per-transaction options of transparency, pretty good privacy, and total anonymity (provided you trust the Mint)?

Perhaps we will someday have ZeroMonero Minting Ceremonies as we add new Zerocash sidechains to Monero, and people will only accord trust to ZeroMonero that they or their webs-of-trust witnessed being minted honestly.

Yes it is possible, but I don't think people will ever get over the fact they need to trust the mint and money can be printed anonymously without anyone ever knowing about it. I think Zerocoin is better at this point in time seeing as though it can be implemented without having to trust a third party.
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