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Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 18. (Read 15314 times)

legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 2093
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October 09, 2024, 04:46:21 PM

I can't even imagine what would have to happen for me to believe that Harris would be elected president. How could she go out and give a speech when her head was completely empty? Without a prompter, she repeated so comically that there were 32 days left until the election! She resembled a student who forgot his cheat sheet at home and now all she can do is repeat the same thought. At the same time, I like the way Trump speaks.


I think you're mixing up the two candidates.  Harris is not the orange one.

Quote
Question:

"Will you commit to prioritizing legislation to make child care affordable?"

Trump:

“Well, I would do that, and we’re sitting down. You know, I was somebody — we had, Senator Marco Rubio, and my daughter Ivanka, was so impactful on that issue. It’s a very important issue.

"But I think when you talk about the kind of numbers that I’m talking about — that, because look, child care is child care, couldn’t — you know, there’s something — you have to have it in this country. You have to have it. But when you talk about those numbers, compared to the kind of numbers that I’m talking about by taxing foreign nations at levels that they’re not used to. But they’ll get used to it very quickly. And it’s not going to stop them from doing business with us. But they’ll have a very substantial tax when they send product into our country. Those numbers are so much bigger than any numbers that we’re talking about, including child care, that it’s going to take care. We’re going to have — I look forward to having no deficits within a fairly short period of time, coupled with the reductions that I told you about on waste and fraud and all of the other things that are going on in our country.

"Because I have to stay with child care. I want to stay with child care. But those numbers are small relative to the kind of economic numbers that I’m talking about, including growth, but growth also headed up by what the plan is that I just — that I just told you about. We’re going to be taking in trillions of dollars. And as much as child care is talked about as being expensive, it’s, relatively speaking, not very expensive compared to the kind of numbers will be taking in.

"We’re going to make this into an incredible country that can afford to take care of its people. And then we’ll worry about the rest of the world. Let’s help other people. But we’re going to take care of our country first. This is about America first. It’s about make America great again. We have to do it because right now, we’re a failing nation. So we’ll take care of it. Thank you. Very good question. Thank you.”
hero member
Activity: 1470
Merit: 790
ARTS & Crypto
October 09, 2024, 09:18:42 AM

I can't even imagine what would have to happen for me to believe that Harris would be elected president. How could she go out and give a speech when her head was completely empty? Without a prompter, she repeated so comically that there were 32 days left until the election! She resembled a student who forgot his cheat sheet at home and now all she can do is repeat the same thought. At the same time, I like the way Trump speaks.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
October 09, 2024, 08:30:42 AM
Betting each by each state result would be much easier then guessing the overall sum total but its the total that matters.

What they should really do if serious about polling is ignore the big safe states for counting popular vote.   We can already assume the Democratic party has the majority of the popular vote.   If there was a recession, if oil goes to $120 by election day then sure it could alter alot but I dont think Trump has a majority secured but also he doesnt have to.

He might have the electoral college, surprising but possible just about.   The polls should assess constantly the state of votes in all the swing states, its under 10 states where it can go either way as I understand it.   Even 10 states it would be hard to survey enough people to get an accurate poll but thats what they should be doing, just asking people in cali or nyc is easy to do but comparatively no new information.

The last thing I'd mention though we havent forgot the 2020 election was right in the middle of a pandemic.  It can easily be different this time beyond expectations just because the setup is really not the same either.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 636
October 09, 2024, 05:56:42 AM
Donald Trump would be better for us as crypto people.
Trump is leading in the polls but I don't know how healthy it is to fully trust the polls.
There is very little time left until November 5th, November 5th is a critical day for crypto, let's see who will be the new president of America.
Better than any surveys and polls, watch the bets that are made with money, they will definitely not deceive and are the most accurate. For example, prediction markets such as polymarket or kalshi. I often go there to monitor probabilities. You have probably seen how other users on our forum often mention this. Nevertheless, there was an attempt to ban them at the legislative level in the US this spring. I would not like this. I want to say that Trump is currently leading with a probability of 53% and volumes of more than $ 1.5 billion. Nevertheless, there is still time before the election to tip the scales in one direction or another. It is no secret that candidates have professionals who are trying to convince voters to vote for their candidate. I think the whole world is watching this.
hero member
Activity: 3178
Merit: 977
www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
October 09, 2024, 05:46:50 AM
I think it is still a bit 50/50 from what I've seen.

It really depends on the source of the polls, many of them support one or the other candidate.

Not sure what will happen in the election, but I'm pretty sure it will be massive, and a very close race.

Maybe even some random event that will change the whole thing, yet again.
Well said. These republican supporters are clearly voicing their support for that clown loudly in Polymarket and within this forum a lot more often recently which is simply silly to say the least.

Am supporting Harris, but I can clearly see that it's still 50:50 between them. This particular election is easily the most chaotic one that I have witnessed so far.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1313
October 09, 2024, 02:09:50 AM
Donald Trump would be better for us as crypto people.
Trump is leading in the polls but I don't know how healthy it is to fully trust the polls.
There is very little time left until November 5th, November 5th is a critical day for crypto, let's see who will be the new president of America.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 960
October 09, 2024, 01:48:51 AM
I’m glad to see that Donald Trump is starting to pull away from Kamala Harris on the gambling prediction sites. I’ll admit I was a bit nervous there for a second when everything had Trump as the underdog. It’s pretty obvious who the right candidate is for this period in time though. America needs Trump and so does my bank roll.

I think it is still a bit 50/50 from what I've seen.

It really depends on the source of the polls, many of them support one or the other candidate.

Not sure what will happen in the election, but I'm pretty sure it will be massive, and a very close race.

Maybe even some random event that will change the whole thing, yet again.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1565
The first decentralized crypto betting platform
October 09, 2024, 12:43:08 AM
it seems trump is taking the attention so fast compared to kumala, and i am sure trump will win it, trump will be the favorite right now, but everything can change drastically but still trump is my favorite

I wouldn't get too excited about the polls if you're a Trump fan. Believing that Trump is going to win with a lead may cause a few of his voters to stay home on election day and that can be key in swing states. Besides, with one month left, anything can happen. If they were evenly matched not long ago and it seems that Trump is now ahead, the tables can also be turned.


This shows for me that there is still a lot of game left.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 1298
October 09, 2024, 12:36:56 AM
Harris still ahead of that old fart Trump who wants to fire out all sencible Americans  and put on their places the   bastards similar to him. She is steadily building her momentum across all walk of America's life and what I like most is that the  young generations support her visions for future  rather then Trump's ones. I have put my bet on Harris win.


donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 11:58:38 PM
I’m glad to see that Donald Trump is starting to pull away from Kamala Harris on the gambling prediction sites. I’ll admit I was a bit nervous there for a second when everything had Trump as the underdog. It’s pretty obvious who the right candidate is for this period in time though. America needs Trump and so does my bank roll.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1492
October 08, 2024, 10:51:34 PM
I had a question on the ratings in Polymarket, however, I did not get an answer on this and it appears that this only caused annoyance and some anger hehehehe. In any case, I asked if Trump's ratings on Polymarket will be more than 55% on November 1. It was only 50.8% on the day I asked this. This was on October 7. However presently, it is beginning to increase and this is on 52.8% at present.

Also, I have another question. Is the cause of this increase because of smart money inflows or stupid money from republican supporters?

hero member
Activity: 1932
Merit: 511
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
October 08, 2024, 03:51:45 PM
it seems trump is taking the attention so fast compared to kumala, and i am sure trump will win it, trump will be the favorite right now, but everything can change drastically but still trump is my favorite
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1132
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 03:36:25 PM
I was little surprised about the fact that trump led for a while, considering the fact that all of his promises are so transparent lies. Just listing his crimes and crimes he is credibly accused of, would make me seem like i am trying start a flame war, as they are so horrid. And imagine him dying of old age after becoming president. Who would want his running mate anywhere near to real power? Because i haven't seen even most loyal magahats praising him. His popularity seems to be in the dumpster:
Trump seems to be getting the momentum, after the assassination attempt and Kamala being declared, and DNC, for a while Kamala was leading, and the polls started to show her leading, plus the debate didn't go well for Trump neither, it wasn't something he shines at anyways, so all of these combined made Kamala, unlikely winner, somehow manage to get ahead on the polls and even at polymarket which leans on Trump side a bit because of the whole crypto thing.

However, this was also because Trump wasn't doing all those big major rally stuff, he did a few smaller stuff but these "call up Elon for the rally" type of stuff isn't really something he did, now he is putting it to another gear, which shows on both the odds and the polls as well.

Let's see if he can keep the momentum going, or will Kamala do something to take the light again. If Trump goes on, then he will surely win, which was what expected at the start before everything, but if he can't and Kamala does something to get the attention, then she has a chance.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1353
October 08, 2024, 03:04:06 PM
It seems like the market has started taking a dose of reality. Kamala is no longer the favorite and she never should have been. I’m glad I got my high odds bets placed when I did and am keeping my fingers crossed that this election isn’t filled with fraud and manipulation like in 2020. I’m trying to eat at Sizzler next month.

It used to be even at 50/50, but you are right, now it's Trump that is the favorite and Kamala slid, maybe Trump's supporter made a swing and then bet on him to win. However, it is still very early to conclude we still have weeks.

Anyhow, I do hope that there is no intervention from foreign country to at least influence the result just like in 2020 as you have said. Maybe in the side of Kamala Harris, once they see that she is the underdog again, they might do something differently to change the tide on their favor. On Trump's side, maybe continue what he had done, make controversial statements that will favor a lot of Americans.
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 01:41:39 PM
It seems like the market has started taking a dose of reality. Kamala is no longer the favorite and she never should have been. I’m glad I got my high odds bets placed when I did and am keeping my fingers crossed that this election isn’t filled with fraud and manipulation like in 2020. I’m trying to eat at Sizzler next month.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
October 08, 2024, 01:25:03 PM
~

Let's stop using so many words as it seems like you want to twist everything so despite claiming for three pages 1+2=4 you then claim it as victory when someone says it's 2^2 that's making 4.

So, about both the Trump support for Isreal which you denied, and the people of US not interested in the war, simple examples:



and about the war effort:


But yeah, Trump is definitely not favored by Isreal to win, Israeli people are defienlty not interested in seeing Trump elected, and most of all we all did the biggest blunder of our life in NOT making peace with Hitler and defending the UK! We prolonged the war instead of living peacefully with a genocidal maniac just like we do now with Putin!
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 11:59:03 AM
Also, there are republican supporters outside of America? I did not know this heheheheheheheheee.

Republicans and Democrats as such doesn't have too many supporters outside the US. That said, both Trump and Kamala are having a sizable fan following in countries such as India. Here in India, the Hindu rightwing are ardent supporters of Trump. And Trump even organized a campaign event with Narendra Modi in the US back in 2020, only a few weeks before the POTUS elections. Similarly, the left-wing has thrown their support behind Kamala. Anyway, such fanbase hardly matters on the outcome of the 2024 elections.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 1298
October 08, 2024, 11:13:57 AM
 Michael Moore who has nicely predicted  the result of previous election envisages that it is for Kamala to win  this time and  new era for America is coming  with her presidency. Her agenda should be as simple as that: 


I like all points in it. As it is stated in the below picture "Kamala Harris is 4 people" and it is true. She has proved this by her life position.

full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 236
October 08, 2024, 04:20:10 AM

In my opinion, Kamala Harris currently has a higher probability of becoming the new US President than Donald Trump.

Donald Trump is already known to Americans. He has certain personal merits, but there are also significant shortcomings. These shortcomings are known to everyone. Even ardent supporters of Donald Trump admit their presence.

At the same time, Kamala Harris has not yet proven herself. Voters are uncertain - it is currently unknown what kind of President Kamala Harris will become. This is intrigue. American citizens do not have experience of a woman - the President of the United States.

People love novelty, they are interested in trying something new in life.
Therefore, the probability that Kamala Harris will be elected President of the United States is very high.

On the one hand, I agree with you that people tend to expect different results from a new candidate, but more often people tend to choose what they know better and they know what to expect from Trump.

In my opinion, maybe he is not the best president who has ever been, but he made payments to people during the Covid times and I think this was well remembered. This does not mean that he will pay again, it is rather a sign that he will take care of the population. In my observations, Trump is closer to victory, but this is only what I see on my screen, and what is actually happening across the ocean is difficult for me to understand. I also see a lot of talk that Trump will be the best choice for Bitcoin, so in this regard, I am also inclined to his victory.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 960
October 08, 2024, 02:40:09 AM
It's hilarious watching some people in this forum fully depend on polymarket to assess the presidency election. It's just a tool for reference and anyone with a half-decent brain wouldn't completely depend on it.

FYI, it's actually banned in the USA and is filled with crypto dudes who are mostly republican supporters. The actual result looks like it's evenly split(50:50) between both at the moment based on multiple reference points.

Yeah, any kind of poll, even this one that has bets on it, is just that, a poll.

It doesn't consider every single person that goes to vote, and also it is done at a different time than the election.

It might give you a rough idea, but given that this election is so close, I don't think you can say one candidate will win based on just this information.
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