Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 4. (Read 15310 times)
The stock for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp are up 13% today. This is an indication that more and more people think that Trump is going to win the elections (in case he lose them, then the stock will become worthless). Voting has started, and I have to say that Trump is the favorite at this point (for the first time in 3 elections, as he was the underdog in both 2016 and 2020). He is being favored by betting sites such as Polymarket, and he is also ahead according to poll aggregators such as RealClearPolling.
I remember the 2000 election when it took weeks, I think it came down to Florida and a load of votes were not registering because the paper stuck in the hole. Called chad gate or similar.
That was Bush Jnr. vs Gore and it was December till Gore decided it was better to resign his court case not carry on arguing. Must have been hard for him because it was seriously that close. The last one in 2020 wasn't really that close just people disputed it anyway.
Even this year its unlikely to come down to just one state and a set of votes in that way though I think its close enough to take a few days not be immediately obvious. 50% of all votes are already cast prior to election day but not counted till now apparently.
That was Bush Jnr. vs Gore and it was December till Gore decided it was better to resign his court case not carry on arguing. Must have been hard for him because it was seriously that close. The last one in 2020 wasn't really that close just people disputed it anyway.
Even this year its unlikely to come down to just one state and a set of votes in that way though I think its close enough to take a few days not be immediately obvious. 50% of all votes are already cast prior to election day but not counted till now apparently.
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The Florida vote was ultimately settled in Bush's favor by a margin of 537 votes out of 5,825,043 cast when the U.S. Supreme Court, in Bush v. Gore, stopped a recount that had been initiated upon a ruling by the Florida Supreme Court.
[December 12, 2000]
Actually worse then I thought, thats tiny. [December 12, 2000]
This is my first time posting in this thread. I went allin with my earnings from the JackToken FortuneJack Telegram mini app. I voted for Donald Trump without doing any research, just because of the hype lol. I just want to ask when we'll know the results? I'm really excited because in the JackToken Telegram app, if your pick wins, you can win a share of $30,000. And I think only a few people voted on their Telegram app.
That's risky decision to bet on something you didn't research for. But since you are betting on a well known politician then this add the excitement upon waiting for the result.
I frequently searching for updates regarding on election to know the pulse on who among this two candidate get a hype on election day. So let see how this election end up if it goes favor to our candidate or not.
Guess the answer to your question is here.
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So when will we know who won the US election?
Well, that depends on how close things turn out to be. Four swing states – Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – have absentee ballot procedures that can require days to conclude. But if Harris has decisively won the other swing states, it is enough to declare her the victor. Any other result will take time.
Well, that depends on how close things turn out to be. Four swing states – Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – have absentee ballot procedures that can require days to conclude. But if Harris has decisively won the other swing states, it is enough to declare her the victor. Any other result will take time.
Source https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/05/harris-trump-election-results-when
This is my first time posting in this thread. I went allin with my earnings from the JackToken FortuneJack Telegram mini app. I voted for Donald Trump without doing any research, just because of the hype lol. I just want to ask when we'll know the results? I'm really excited because in the JackToken Telegram app, if your pick wins, you can win a share of $30,000. And I think only a few people voted on their Telegram app.
Trump is once again surging in Polymarket. Initially he was leading 67% to 33%, and then it went down to 54% to 46% as a few polls showed Kamala leading in rust belt states. But now once again he is leading by a healthy margin (62% to 38%). But a lot will depend on Pennsylvania. If Trump loses this state, then he essentially need to win every other swing state (including Wisconsin and Michigan), or flip one of the blue states (such as New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia or even New Mexico).
BTW, Elon just tweeted this (change in voter registration between 2020 and 2024):
BTW, Elon just tweeted this (change in voter registration between 2020 and 2024):
Majority of the polls are predicting a Harris win now by a very small margin, but they are all obviously in the margin of error. Hope Pennsylvania goes to Harris somehow.
Meanwhile, according to my research today, polls show that Trump seems to be gaining ground over Harris and Pennsylvania is leaning more toward Trump than Harris. The official election will begin in a few hours but what's interesting is that we have so many different results circulating on various media, social networks...LOL.
In my opinion, we don't need to argue or fight to defend the candidate we support anymore, everything will end soon because the election has finally come. I guess in the next 24 hours we will know who is the final winner.
This rating is from Polymarket.
I bet on Harris thanks to amazing value for money odds since the actual odds are still evenly split between both of them currently with Pennsylvania probably being their final test. Fingers crossed.
Majority of the polls are predicting a Harris win now by a very small margin, but they are all obviously in the margin of error. Hope Pennsylvania goes to Harris somehow.
This rating is from Polymarket.
I bet on Harris thanks to amazing value for money odds since the actual odds are still evenly split between both of them currently with Pennsylvania probably being their final test. Fingers crossed. 
This rating is from the media pollster FiveThirtyEight Interactive.
Not a pollster. The pollsters each run their own polls. 538 uses the data from the polls to forecast the outcome.
Just one more day to go for the elections, and even now no one knows who is going to win the elections. Most of the polls are saying that the race for popular vote is tied. Polls for swing states are more uneven, with some claiming that Trump will sweep the rust-belt, while some others are saying that Kamala has a much better chance in doing that. Anyway, in another 1.5 days, we will get to know who is going to become the next president of the United States. Also, Trump has managed to stabilized his ratings. At the moment, he is leading by 58% to 42% against Kamala.
I reckon the popular vote is certainly not tied. Kamala Harris will win this very much similar to much of the other Democrats in the past presidential elections.
In any case, I share these screenshots before we watch the counting of the votes and witness these ratings' correctness or their wrongness tomorrow hehehe.
This rating is from the media pollster FiveThirtyEight Interactive.
This rating is from Polymarket.
Just one more day to go for the elections, and even now no one knows who is going to win the elections. Most of the polls are saying that the race for popular vote is tied. Polls for swing states are more uneven, with some claiming that Trump will sweep the rust-belt, while some others are saying that Kamala has a much better chance in doing that. Anyway, in another 1.5 days, we will get to know who is going to become the next president of the United States. Also, Trump has managed to stabilized his ratings. At the moment, he is leading by 58% to 42% against Kamala.
From the rating statistics that I've been able to access in recent days, I think this will be one of the most keenly contested presidential elections in the US. While some people are of the opinion that Kamala Harris stands a better chance of winning the elections, others are tipping former president Donald Trump to be returned elected. I'm wishing that Donald Trump clinches victory at the end of the elections but since wishes doesn't guarantee success, I'll wait for final results in high anticipation 
Except that program is not going to specifics. May i remind you that RFK's views on "health" aren't in any way based on science. In fact he is mostly spreading just weird, cultish conspiracy theories.
He is anti-vaccine, believes that vaccines cause autism among other things. He called Covid-19 vaccine “the deadliest vaccine ever made”. He believed that “Covid-19 is targeted to attack Caucasians and Black people”. He also believes that mass shootings are caused by prescription drugs.
So yeah, put your health on a guy who had a worm in his brain and dumped a dead bear in the central park, and doesn't trust science but his gut feeling about things.
I imagine all goes well when government forces people to quit their prescription drugs, or makes them illegal and who knows what else.
He is anti-vaccine, believes that vaccines cause autism among other things. He called Covid-19 vaccine “the deadliest vaccine ever made”. He believed that “Covid-19 is targeted to attack Caucasians and Black people”. He also believes that mass shootings are caused by prescription drugs.
So yeah, put your health on a guy who had a worm in his brain and dumped a dead bear in the central park, and doesn't trust science but his gut feeling about things.
I imagine all goes well when government forces people to quit their prescription drugs, or makes them illegal and who knows what else.
Well, I didn't know that about RFK jr. but for me it does not invalidate the other. Obesity and chronic disease rates in the USA have multiplied in the last 50 years to the point where we can talk about a sick nation. Going back to the physical education programs they had in the 70's, banning toxic chemicals in food and seed oil garbage seems to me a very good idea even if the advocate believes that the earth is flat.
I don't believe in these electoral polls, I think they are very easy to manipulate and the media outlets that carry them out are very suspicious, practically everyone is in favor of Kamala Harris and that for me is a conflict of interest, I still believe in Donald Trump's victory, anything different from that would be an apocalypse for the USA, no one could stand another leftist government in the most powerful country on the planet.
Ok, let me remind you who are you standing with. Remember how magas tried Epstein argument against democrats? I wonder what happened to that...Oh wait, never mind
Listing what's wrong with your sentence would take too much space, and other people have done that already so i past one of the links:
https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/1gib2x0/comment/lv46gmg/
So how are the democrats destroying USA again? Where is the apocalypse? Because it doesn't show up in their economy. All i am seeing is that they are going stronger then ever, despite all their disagreements. And most experts think that trump's concept of a plan would hurt the economy and most of the citizens.
It's not like i have believed in the polls either, but iowa was surprising though:
https://www.salon.com/2024/11/03/heavily-skewed-accuses-iowa-pollster-of-being-a-hater-after-survey-moves-toward-harris/
Just one more day to go for the elections, and even now no one knows who is going to win the elections. Most of the polls are saying that the race for popular vote is tied. Polls for swing states are more uneven, with some claiming that Trump will sweep the rust-belt, while some others are saying that Kamala has a much better chance in doing that. Anyway, in another 1.5 days, we will get to know who is going to become the next president of the United States. Also, Trump has managed to stabilized his ratings. At the moment, he is leading by 58% to 42% against Kamala.
Once the final result is in, a loss is a loss, a win is a win, there is no room for any madness or excess because that will not change the result. You don't have to exaggerate and think you're great.
No shit Sherlock! Are you even aware of the Jan 6th Capitol attack that happened when Biden won way back in 2020? If you did, you just posted a bunch of nonsense. There is clearly room for madness if Trump loses.I still believe in Donald Trump's victory, anything different from that would be an apocalypse for the USA, no one could stand another leftist government in the most powerful country on the planet.
Spoken like a proper far right supporter. It's seriously ironic hearing you talk about apocalyptic nonsense when the person that you are supporting is Trump. Silly stuff! 
Gut feeling says that Harris will end up winning by the tiniest of margins, but I am worried about how some of his crazy supporters will react if my prediction ends up being true.
We are less than 48 hours away from the election but honestly the polls are unreliable as both parties are trying to manipulate it. TwitchySeal provided poll results in favor of Harris but today I see many polls circulating on social media X and most of the results are in favor of Trump. There are a lot of conflicting opinions being spread and I don't see any credibility with those polls let alone your hunch. It's just your wish and hope, not a hunch because like me, I hope Trump wins.
Once the final result is in, a loss is a loss, a win is a win, there is no room for any madness or excess because that will not change the result. You don't have to exaggerate and think you're great. Let's wait and see who wins in the next few days and we will know who the American people need and trust the most.
Source: X
I don't believe in these electoral polls, I think they are very easy to manipulate and the media outlets that carry them out are very suspicious, practically everyone is in favor of Kamala Harris and that for me is a conflict of interest, I still believe in Donald Trump's victory, anything different from that would be an apocalypse for the USA, no one could stand another leftist government in the most powerful country on the planet.
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Gut feeling says that Harris will end up winning by the tiniest of margins, but I am worried about how some of his crazy supporters will react if my prediction ends up being true.
We are less than 48 hours away from the election but honestly the polls are unreliable as both parties are trying to manipulate it. TwitchySeal provided poll results in favor of Harris but today I see many polls circulating on social media X and most of the results are in favor of Trump. There are a lot of conflicting opinions being spread and I don't see any credibility with those polls let alone your hunch. It's just your wish and hope, not a hunch because like me, I hope Trump wins.
Once the final result is in, a loss is a loss, a win is a win, there is no room for any madness or excess because that will not change the result. You don't have to exaggerate and think you're great. Let's wait and see who wins in the next few days and we will know who the American people need and trust the most.
Source: X
And I think the same poll had her ahead by a point or two in Pennsylvania for several weeks. They're still fighting for a 1 maybe 2% edge on a coin flip with all but Arizona within the margin of error, but it seems Kamala has likely taken back the momentum at the best possible time.
Trump messed up at the worst possible time by insulting Puerto Ricans thanks to which Pennsylvania(Big Prize) looks like it might end up going to Harris. He made a similar mistake way back in 2020 by insulting women.Gut feeling says that Harris will end up winning by the tiniest of margins, but I am worried about how some of his crazy supporters will react if my prediction ends up being true.
Whoever wins Pennsylvania takes it overall is the rough summary I heard last. They had more of those swing states going to Trump when I saw it though I suspect he just loses a few or more like that projection depicts.
Its still muddy waters but its going to take a little too much of a swing for Trump to take it seems like. The biggest issue that matters for votes is that Harris is a women, I dont think the ethnicity or anything else matters so much as that very simple idea does gender matter or not when voting.
Everyone has their pet topic on voting the issues but gender is about as universal as it gets and should be clear enough to predict, is USA ready for its first women president. She simply cant get in if its a plain and common issue for voters to struggle over, its too close on other aspects for that also to be a problem.
Its still muddy waters but its going to take a little too much of a swing for Trump to take it seems like. The biggest issue that matters for votes is that Harris is a women, I dont think the ethnicity or anything else matters so much as that very simple idea does gender matter or not when voting.
Everyone has their pet topic on voting the issues but gender is about as universal as it gets and should be clear enough to predict, is USA ready for its first women president. She simply cant get in if its a plain and common issue for voters to struggle over, its too close on other aspects for that also to be a problem.
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Pretty surprising final poll from NYTimes Sienna.
I would've expected Kamala to finish strongest in Michigan, and certainly have a better chance in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania than North Carolina. And I think the same poll had her ahead by a point or two in Pennsylvania for several weeks. They're still fighting for a 1 maybe 2% edge on a coin flip with all but Arizona within the margin of error, but it seems Kamala has likely taken back the momentum at the best possible time.
I would've expected Kamala to finish strongest in Michigan, and certainly have a better chance in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania than North Carolina. And I think the same poll had her ahead by a point or two in Pennsylvania for several weeks. They're still fighting for a 1 maybe 2% edge on a coin flip with all but Arizona within the margin of error, but it seems Kamala has likely taken back the momentum at the best possible time.
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