2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 4.

cabron

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Quote from: OgNasty on June 17, 2024, 01:16:17 PM

Betting on Trump to win is easy enough, but is there a place we can bet that Biden won’t be the next President. While I’m confident in a Trump win, I’d mortgage my house to bet that Biden would lose with anywhere near decent odds.

The bet on Trump might be in danger since I heard they are trying to dump Biden and replace him with someone. Although I'm not sure if the one they pick will win, I think it's Newsom. With money and how they can sell the guy for votes, Trump's presidency is unsure and still, they may even imprison him too.

But many possibilities will happen in just a month, especially since Russia's fleet is close to the US. Or maybe by the time election time comes, there will be no election that will happen. Zelensky did it in Ukraine.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: OgNasty on June 17, 2024, 01:16:17 PM

Betting on Trump to win is easy enough, but is there a place we can bet that Biden won’t be the next President. While I’m confident in a Trump win, I’d mortgage my house to bet that Biden would lose with anywhere near decent odds.

This would be in Polymarket.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1718679625805

You can choose yes or no for each candidate listed in the prediction market. On Biden not to win as president, at present the odds for this is if you bet $100, you will win $49.25.

Also, do not mortgage your house or get a loan for this. If you lose, you will not forget the face of Joe Biden heheheheh.

OgNasty

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Betting on Trump to win is easy enough, but is there a place we can bet that Biden won’t be the next President. While I’m confident in a Trump win, I’d mortgage my house to bet that Biden would lose with anywhere near decent odds.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: Hispo on June 15, 2024, 12:26:57 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 15, 2024, 03:31:44 AM

Quote from: OgNasty on June 12, 2024, 02:56:17 AM

The odds on Trump winning are sure taking a dive. On my last bet for Trump to win I had to include it in a parlay with Chimaev to win his upcoming UFC fight in order to make the odds worth betting on. I think this might be my play for the rest of the year. Anytime a bet doesn’t have good enough odds I’m just going to parlay it with Trump winning back the White House.

@Hispo. Would you vote for Biden who is for certain to crackdown on the cryptospace or Trump who might have a chance to become procrypto on his second term?

If we only talk about the possibility of further adoption of Bitcoin and the expansion of knowledge of Cryptocurrency in the United States, also allowing miners to have relatively fair taxes (which would allow them to continue to be in business) then I would definitely for for Biden instead of Trump. On the other hand, the orange guy has accumulated so many personal and political flaws which are difficult to ignore like me as someone who believe in democracy and the representation of the people by the people. I do not take those "dictator on day one" jokes very well.
I am also aware Biden will definitely force some regulations and taxes which won't be good for miners and holders who decide to sell their Bitcoin, because of taxes, he has also done good thinfs as well. You know, it is not all black and white, unfortunately Trump as a political figure is very good at polarizing the country.
It is clear to me though, there will be many Bitcoiners who will vote in favor of Trump just because his recent instance on Bitcoin and crypto, even after he posted on Twitter/X some years ago he believed Bitcoin was scammy.

I very much disagree that the democrat Biden will be better for the cryptospace. The democrats in the senate like the grandma Elizabeth Warren and the democrat who was appointed in the department of treasury, the grandma Yellen, have been very active in their anticrypto campaigns. There is also our favorite uncle, uncle Gary ehehhhe. If the democrats are given another 4 years, we can be quite certain that the cryptospace will continue to have more regulatory problems through uncle Gary's regulation by enforcement policy.

Also, the argument is on if the changes will occur under a Biden administration or Trump.

OgNasty

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Quote from: FanEagle on June 15, 2024, 03:48:03 PM

At the start of May, we had Biden over Trump in most places, or at least lets say the average was Biden over Trump, when you think about it the legal matter was something important that made that possible. Now when you look at it, Biden looks like a lot more down, and Trump seems like a little bit up, I think the result is mostly not Trump getting more, but DNC may pick someone other than Biden, because Biden may not see the elections.

We all know that he doesn't look good, and I do not know or have any idea why they are insisting on another 4 years, we are unsure if he will see through the election so we are certain that another 4 years would be impossible, not just life or death but his mind is already gone, in 4 years it would be mashed potatoes.

I think there are a lot of people who wanted to see Biden not make the end of his term so they could force the first woman President down our throats. Personally, I’d like to see a more intelligent and competent person being the first female President, but I guess people don’t care about things like competence with their elected officials anymore.

FanEagle

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At the start of May, we had Biden over Trump in most places, or at least lets say the average was Biden over Trump, when you think about it the legal matter was something important that made that possible. Now when you look at it, Biden looks like a lot more down, and Trump seems like a little bit up, I think the result is mostly not Trump getting more, but DNC may pick someone other than Biden, because Biden may not see the elections.

We all know that he doesn't look good, and I do not know or have any idea why they are insisting on another 4 years, we are unsure if he will see through the election so we are certain that another 4 years would be impossible, not just life or death but his mind is already gone, in 4 years it would be mashed potatoes.

Hispo

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 15, 2024, 03:31:44 AM

Quote from: OgNasty on June 12, 2024, 02:56:17 AM

The odds on Trump winning are sure taking a dive. On my last bet for Trump to win I had to include it in a parlay with Chimaev to win his upcoming UFC fight in order to make the odds worth betting on. I think this might be my play for the rest of the year. Anytime a bet doesn’t have good enough odds I’m just going to parlay it with Trump winning back the White House.

@Hispo. Would you vote for Biden who is for certain to crackdown on the cryptospace or Trump who might have a chance to become procrypto on his second term?

If we only talk about the possibility of further adoption of Bitcoin and the expansion of knowledge of Cryptocurrency in the United States, also allowing miners to have relatively fair taxes (which would allow them to continue to be in business) then I would definitely for for Biden instead of Trump. On the other hand, the orange guy has accumulated so many personal and political flaws which are difficult to ignore like me as someone who believe in democracy and the representation of the people by the people. I do not take those "dictator on day one" jokes very well.
I am also aware Biden will definitely force some regulations and taxes which won't be good for miners and holders who decide to sell their Bitcoin, because of taxes, he has also done good thinfs as well. You know, it is not all black and white, unfortunately Trump as a political figure is very good at polarizing the country.
It is clear to me though, there will be many Bitcoiners who will vote in favor of Trump just because his recent instance on Bitcoin and crypto, even after he posted on Twitter/X some years ago he believed Bitcoin was scammy.

cabron

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 15, 2024, 03:31:44 AM

Quote from: OgNasty on June 12, 2024, 02:56:17 AM

The odds on Trump winning are sure taking a dive. On my last bet for Trump to win I had to include it in a parlay with Chimaev to win his upcoming UFC fight in order to make the odds worth betting on. I think this might be my play for the rest of the year. Anytime a bet doesn’t have good enough odds I’m just going to parlay it with Trump winning back the White House.

Heheheeh that would be a very entertaining campaign and election for you. Create multibets on boxers that are very much certain to get the victory and partner all of them with Trump. Tank-Trump, Inoue-Trump, Crawford-Trump and the other boxers with very high odds of being victorious hehehe. Your money will depend on Trump and if he will go back to the whitehouse!

@Hispo. Would you vote for Biden who is for certain to crackdown on the cryptospace or Trump who might have a chance to become procrypto on his second term?

Gamblers who will be betting on election results are not just up to win the bet but they are most probably up to believing Trump in Whitehouse is better for the country than Biden. At least that is what many believe these days and it could be true too.

It's an unusual parlay. The election is too far though so it's almost like investing in Trump while it's very unsure as to what will happen in the future. Biden could have him in prison and not even allow the media to interview Trump. I'm sure it's not the worst they could do to stay in power.

Sithara007

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Quote from: OgNasty on June 12, 2024, 02:56:17 AM

The odds on Trump winning are sure taking a dive. On my last bet for Trump to win I had to include it in a parlay with Chimaev to win his upcoming UFC fight in order to make the odds worth betting on. I think this might be my play for the rest of the year. Anytime a bet doesn’t have good enough odds I’m just going to parlay it with Trump winning back the White House.

Right now, I am going through the polls at RealClearPolitics. Trump is leading Biden by +7 in Arizona, +32 in Utah, +2 in Pennsylvania, +6 in Florida, +7 in Ohio and +1 in Maine. If he is allowed to participate in the POTUS elections, then in all probability he is going to win the race. At this point, I would say that odds of 1.30 would be fair for Trump.

BTW, Trump has pledged to commute sentence of Ross Ulbricht, in case he is elected as the POTUS. That may win him a lot of the Libertarian vote. Anyway it doesn't make much sense to hand down life w/o parole to Ulbricht, just for setting up an online marketplace.

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Quote from: OgNasty on June 12, 2024, 02:56:17 AM

The odds on Trump winning are sure taking a dive. On my last bet for Trump to win I had to include it in a parlay with Chimaev to win his upcoming UFC fight in order to make the odds worth betting on. I think this might be my play for the rest of the year. Anytime a bet doesn’t have good enough odds I’m just going to parlay it with Trump winning back the White House.

Heheheeh that would be a very entertaining campaign and election for you. Create multibets on boxers that are very much certain to get the victory and partner all of them with Trump. Tank-Trump, Inoue-Trump, Crawford-Trump and the other boxers with very high odds of being victorious hehehe. Your money will depend on Trump and if he will go back to the whitehouse!

@Hispo. Would you vote for Biden who is for certain to crackdown on the cryptospace or Trump who might have a chance to become procrypto on his second term?

Hispo

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Quote from: zuzie on June 12, 2024, 03:18:12 AM

Quote from: gracjan on June 11, 2024, 10:50:20 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 11, 2024, 01:27:12 AM

🍑

I don't know about you, supporting a president only because he suddenly becomes pro-cryptocurrency (ignoring all his previous actions, his flaws and the fact he is pretty much in legal problems) does not make much sense to me, in the particular case of Donald Trump, people even seem to forget he is kind of a liar and he has kept much of his promises unfulfilled. He can talk all he wants on how now he loves Bitcoin and cryptocurrency, but if he wins the presidency then he could just do the bare minimum and reduce taxes on miners and Bitcoin holders a bit, that's all. He won't adopt Bitcoin as currency, he won't push for decentralization, and he is likely to continue to push for the implementation of a Central Bank Digital Currency. Because in the end, both Donald and Joe are the same dinosaurs trying to appeal to a young audience and voters by talking about stuff they don't really care about.
They are not Bukele and the United States is not El Salvador, Bukele kind of understands Bitcoin and it's benefits.
Trump only cares about cryptocurrency and is talking about it because he know it is a section of the voting population which has been ignored and even mistreated by Biden.

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Quote from: gracjan on June 11, 2024, 10:50:20 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 11, 2024, 01:27:12 AM

@Hispo. I reckon that you can also relate this to the people in your own country. The financial news media will publish articles that the economy is in a very good condition and also share data to prove this. However, despite this economic bullishness, there are very many people who live from paycheck to paycheck and who are in financial difficulty despite working on 2 jobs.

Also, why would you blame Hamas? Blame the reaction of the Biden administration. They are sending billions in Ukraine and Israel while the people in their country are going through financial hardships? This is very head shaking.

I think it's not that simple. After all, both are good for the people and the country. It's just a matter of whether it's beneficial or not, good or bad. If I had to choose, I would choose Trump as the new president. Cryptocurrency is the trend of the future, and the stock market will only get lower and lower. Just like Nvidia's stock is very high now, but this is its limit. Cryptocurrency will only become less and less, and it will become very big Grin

If Trump later supports cryptocurrency to grow faster, then I also support Trump to win again in the 2024 election, my friend Grin

Yes, even though in Trump's previous term, the public considered Trump very bad at leading the country, whether it was because of the many supporters of Biden in the past.
And this year is a very hot year before the election will take place between the two camps, they must have had a strategy to bring each other down.

OgNasty

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The odds on Trump winning are sure taking a dive. On my last bet for Trump to win I had to include it in a parlay with Chimaev to win his upcoming UFC fight in order to make the odds worth betting on. I think this might be my play for the rest of the year. Anytime a bet doesn’t have good enough odds I’m just going to parlay it with Trump winning back the White House.

gracjan

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 11, 2024, 01:27:12 AM

@Hispo. I reckon that you can also relate this to the people in your own country. The financial news media will publish articles that the economy is in a very good condition and also share data to prove this. However, despite this economic bullishness, there are very many people who live from paycheck to paycheck and who are in financial difficulty despite working on 2 jobs.

Also, why would you blame Hamas? Blame the reaction of the Biden administration. They are sending billions in Ukraine and Israel while the people in their country are going through financial hardships? This is very head shaking.

I think it's not that simple. After all, both are good for the people and the country. It's just a matter of whether it's beneficial or not, good or bad. If I had to choose, I would choose Trump as the new president. Cryptocurrency is the trend of the future, and the stock market will only get lower and lower. Just like Nvidia's stock is very high now, but this is its limit. Cryptocurrency will only become less and less, and it will become very big Grin

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Quote from: Odohu on March 12, 2024, 05:16:20 PM

I don't know the yardstick for given Donald Trump 1.7 odd and Joe Biden 2.55 odd, considering that the later is the sitting president and with the instrumentality of the states at his disposal in a democratic setting. I don't know the chances of Donald Trump at that election when they will unleash the media and the big techs against him like they did the last time. If Trump could be defeated as a sitting president, I wonder how possible it will be for him to win in the midst of the persecution he is facing. I will rather avoid this bet than take risk that is not too clear to me.

Yes deeply concur to this fact , there is no angle that one will look at this bet as risk having a balance of 50-50 but extremely 100% as gainst trump, because if been in power could not defeat Joey Biden , such projected odd can't work possibility of him defeating the current seating president is hard.

All the allegation or charges against him may not allowed him to get certain vote support as mist masses will be confused and more to distract him is still coming, as all this will be a good strategies for Biden to reduce his weight towards the election, engaging on this bete will not yield result but wasting the money the risk has nothing to be considered as balanced ratio.

Hispo

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Quote from: FanEagle on June 11, 2024, 05:02:53 AM

I feel like this year election is becoming closer than ever, and it is going to be quite fun to see the situation we are going to be in. I am not saying that it will be one way or another, just saying that I feel it is getting closer...

🍑

That is the thrill one is supposed to feel when the election is getting closer and one has stakes on one of the candidates. Since we are talking about gambling; in the case of dices, Plinko or mines, the thrill one feels is short and last just a second or a fraction of second. The thrill in sports lasts as long as the match is going and increased dramatically when the times is running out before declaring the winner.

Though, betting on an election like this one, for which the market to bet can remain opened for months and months, the sensation of thrill increases in a very slow but steady way, until it reaches its peak at election night, when each one of us will know whether we lost or won money (I am keeping the political aspect of the candidates aside, by the way).
I can assure you, as election day gets closer and news gets wackier when a literal convicted felon running for President, things are going to continue to get interesting and amusing. Wink

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Quote from: FanEagle on June 11, 2024, 05:02:53 AM

I feel like this year election is becoming closer than ever, and it is going to be quite fun to see the situation we are going to be in. I am not saying that it will be one way or another, just saying that I feel it is getting closer. I am definitely sure that we are going to see Biden win the popular vote once again that would not be that hard, Democrats heavily outweight the republicans in population that part is true, but because it is EC that decides it, we have to consider the fact that we are going to see a lot of changes as well.

I am not aware of what's happening in the states but it seems that there are only two notable candidates that are in there. Despite that there are a lot of candidates that have filed for the candidacy, it's going to be Trump and Biden that are being on the list of these two parties.

Quote from: FanEagle on June 11, 2024, 05:02:53 AM

I believe that the best thing to do in this case should be something that will take a while, and we will not know until the very end when it's published, because until then all looks quite close to each other without a doubt.

Well, one of the best thing is to just gamble on them and let's on who's going to win. The odds are perfect with stake and I think that I might even drop some money to this election just for the sake of betting them. As much as I'd think of voting Trump but the odds, I guess that many wouldn't like that and Biden at 2.55 seems to be a good odd to gamble.

FanEagle

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I feel like this year election is becoming closer than ever, and it is going to be quite fun to see the situation we are going to be in. I am not saying that it will be one way or another, just saying that I feel it is getting closer. I am definitely sure that we are going to see Biden win the popular vote once again that would not be that hard, Democrats heavily outweight the republicans in population that part is true, but because it is EC that decides it, we have to consider the fact that we are going to see a lot of changes as well.

I believe that the best thing to do in this case should be something that will take a while, and we will not know until the very end when it's published, because until then all looks quite close to each other without a doubt.

bbc.reporter

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@Hispo. I reckon that you can also relate this to the people in your own country. The financial news media will publish articles that the economy is in a very good condition and also share data to prove this. However, despite this economic bullishness, there are very many people who live from paycheck to paycheck and who are in financial difficulty despite working on 2 jobs.

Also, why would you blame Hamas? Blame the reaction of the Biden administration. They are sending billions in Ukraine and Israel while the people in their country are going through financial hardships? This is very head shaking.

Hispo

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 10, 2024, 03:14:21 AM

Quote from: arwin100 on June 09, 2024, 04:05:48 AM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 08, 2024, 09:36:27 PM

Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 07:52:16 PM

what you think about that analisys?

🍑

@Hispo. The Biden administration have no choice because if they make this a fight of political issues and political platforms, they will also lose because the Biden administration has also caused the problems in America. Problems with overspending on the war in Ukraine, inflation, immigration problems and border crossers in the southern border.

Though, People in the political right seems to try purposely ignore the good numbers the Biden administration has gotten in record low unemployment, avoiding recession in large scale, and actually the inflation in the United States has been going down and the prices of gas pumps have stabilized.
Sure, it is not a perfect administration, but it is better than Trump has to offer politically. He runs his mouth and does not deliver.

Perhaps if Hamas did not decide to attack Israel and Ukraine was not being invaded, it is likely Biden would not be so heavily criticized for other expending the tax money of foreign wars.
To me it is quite interesting how the odds seem to reaming unchanged in spite of the conviction of Trump. People in the United States seem to be okey with voting for a convected felon, then...
You may think Trump is good and he has good political ideas, but in reality, what he is doing is lowering the bar on what it takes to be a president of the United States, if he wins, then from that moment it would be okey for a felon to be president.

Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 4. (Read 2383 times)