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Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 5. (Read 15349 times)

legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1178
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 03, 2024, 02:31:34 PM
Surely. But I'm also sure that if the Make America Healthy Again program was being run by someone on Kamala's ticket you'd be raving about it. Do you see something wrong with the program or is it just that you don't like Kennedy?
Except that program is not going to specifics. May i remind you that RFK's views on "health" aren't in any way based on science. In fact he is mostly spreading just weird, cultish conspiracy theories.

He is anti-vaccine, believes that vaccines cause autism among other things. He called Covid-19 vaccine “the deadliest vaccine ever made”. He believed that  “Covid-19 is targeted to attack Caucasians and Black people”. He also believes that mass shootings are caused by prescription drugs.

So yeah, put your health on a guy who had a worm in his brain and dumped a dead bear in the central park, and doesn't trust science but his gut feeling about things.

I imagine all goes well when government forces people to quit their prescription drugs, or makes them illegal and who knows what else.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 2093
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
November 03, 2024, 01:22:21 PM
Vote TRUMP! Vote for FREEDOM & HEALTH & PROSPERITY FOR AMERICA! Instead of.... wait.... does Kamala have really anything to offer? Anything at all? Maybe a really flipping annoying joker laugh and a constant word salad that doesn't even make any sense or ever answer any question she has been asked. Lets just get this over with please lmao.
This is what it looks like when someone only consumes right wing media^^^

Surely. But I'm also sure that if the Make America Healthy Again program was being run by someone on Kamala's ticket you'd be raving about it. Do you see something wrong with the program or is it just that you don't like Kennedy?

Not sure what your point is, but if Kamala had an anti vax conspiratard as her vp I definitely wouldn't be raving about any health related programs they were proposing.  

I don't think you realize American political parties have been going through a political realignment for basically the past decade that appears to be culminating right now.  The traditional values of the left/right are barely recognizable compared to what they were from the 80s until around 2015.  

Democrats are proposing immigration reform that only a Republican would consider befor 2015.

Republicans have given up on the free trade argument.  Same with being fiscally conservative.  

You have the most conservative republicans from when Obama and Bush were in office campaigning on stage at rallies for the democratic nominee and union leaders giving speeches at the RNC.  The Christians have declared the convicted felon that's on his third wife who brags about grabbing pussy their savior and the sitting president who went almost 40 years in Washington scandal free and goes to mass every Sunday the devil.

It's a new world.
hero member
Activity: 1638
Merit: 576
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 03, 2024, 10:09:15 AM
While we wait for Tuesday 5th of November when the US presidential election will be held, I'm curious to know if there will be a website that'll be dedicated in uploading the results as election exercise goes on. If there any, someone with the knowledge should please tell us so we can use it to track how the election will be conducted. A lot of people might not be able to access their TV's to follow live proceedings from the election but will be pleased to know a website that'll help them.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 2017
November 03, 2024, 09:24:39 AM
Vote TRUMP! Vote for FREEDOM & HEALTH & PROSPERITY FOR AMERICA! Instead of.... wait.... does Kamala have really anything to offer? Anything at all? Maybe a really flipping annoying joker laugh and a constant word salad that doesn't even make any sense or ever answer any question she has been asked. Lets just get this over with please lmao.
This is what it looks like when someone only consumes right wing media^^^

Surely. But I'm also sure that if the Make America Healthy Again program was being run by someone on Kamala's ticket you'd be raving about it. Do you see something wrong with the program or is it just that you don't like Kennedy?
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1492
November 03, 2024, 02:11:23 AM
This is very much shocking for me because the popular vote ratings on Polymarket is 63% on Kamala and only 37% on Trump. I reckon this is the more correct ratings and very much similar to the elections on Gore vs. Bush, Obama vs. McCain or Hillary vs. Trump. The Democrats have always won or had more popular votes than the Republicans.

In any case, it appears the fomo on Trump is beginning to dump. He is presently falling to 61% from a top rating of 66%. This might continue until November 4 and this might become Trump 55% vs. Kamala on 45%.
I don't know what will happen with odds in last 5 days before the Election day. It is possible that gamblers will flip between Trump and Harris but did they know something of improvement on Harris campaign recent days?


There are more reports on typos on paper votes and errors of don't allow people to choose Trump, but automatically choose Harris on Voting machines in some swing states, and Trump /Vance appears at next pages of vote choices. Are these things reasons that people changed their minds that Harris will win this election?

There are statistics on early votes in swing states too but Harris did not lead on many states and in Pensylvania, she did not have a Blue Fire Wall from early vote with 1M votes. Republican Party Voters are doing better with early votes in this election, but it won't guarantee they will win Pensylvania.

There is only 2 days until the election and it appears that more votes from the early voters are for the Democrats. Polymarket gamblers are beginning to bet more money on Kamala which has caused the ratings for the Donald Trump to fall under 55%.

I speculate that because this election is very much a 50-50 fight, my only wish is for this to be peaceful after the winner is declared. The losing candidate should accept his or her loss and immediately thank his or her opponent.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 02, 2024, 06:08:10 PM
Fact check: False claims

One reason why Harris might win is that wifes, daughters and girlfriend of these maga-hats might vote for harris but are afraid to say it out loud because they don't feel safe (for a good reason).

The gender gap is definitely play an important role in this election, I am already seeing political left media in the United States politicizing the tragic death of a woman who was denied an abortion which could have saved her life. It is very awkward how the Republican party does not seem to realize how they are making women to feel uncomfortable with the idea of the state having legal power over their bodies and their choices. It is a matter of common sense, I guess...
If a doctor said to a woman that she is going to die unless she gets and abortion due to a non-viable fetus, she won't sacrifice herself for a being which is not going to live anyways... It is very disturbing how politics are devolving in the USA .



Also, I wonder if there are some markets open on how much the results are going to take to come through or how long it would take before Trump starts claiming there is fraud going on in the election. Even if the odds are not attractive, I am looking for other ways to wager some money indirectly, not only by trying to predict the winner of the race next week.  Smiley
Yep, from a party that used to think that government shouldn't be telling citizens what to do, that's a definitely weird how much they want that now.

And trump has done that (claiming there is fraud) all the time, and paving the way by telling that all democrats can do is cheat. Twitter is used to spread Russian disinformation warfare about fraud. China is participating to that as well.

https://newrepublic.com/article/187336/trump-cheating-2024-election-republicans-worse-ever

There are just some many contradictions within the ideology of the current Republican party in my opinion and that is what it has made many republicans to endorse Harris or not to publicly endorse Donald Trump. It is a mistery to me why Bush had not come out clearly on what he believes about Trump and the impact he will have on the country if he is elected again.
Also, in the issue of misinformation... I have already seen some reports of people alledgely finding burnt ballots and ballots dumped in places they are not supposed to be at. I have no doubt Russian intelligence and China will do as much as possible to sow doubt on American democracy and the values it holds during this next week, which will be history in the making, before our very own eyes.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 2093
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November 02, 2024, 04:33:49 PM
Vote TRUMP! Vote for FREEDOM & HEALTH & PROSPERITY FOR AMERICA! Instead of.... wait.... does Kamala have really anything to offer? Anything at all? Maybe a really flipping annoying joker laugh and a constant word salad that doesn't even make any sense or ever answer any question she has been asked. Lets just get this over with please lmao.
This is what it looks like when someone only consumes right wing media^^^
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1178
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 02, 2024, 04:16:23 PM
Fact check: False claims

One reason why Harris might win is that wifes, daughters and girlfriend of these maga-hats might vote for harris but are afraid to say it out loud because they don't feel safe (for a good reason).

The gender gap is definitely play an important role in this election, I am already seeing political left media in the United States politicizing the tragic death of a woman who was denied an abortion which could have saved her life. It is very awkward how the Republican party does not seem to realize how they are making women to feel uncomfortable with the idea of the state having legal power over their bodies and their choices. It is a matter of common sense, I guess...
If a doctor said to a woman that she is going to die unless she gets and abortion due to a non-viable fetus, she won't sacrifice herself for a being which is not going to live anyways... It is very disturbing how politics are devolving in the USA .



Also, I wonder if there are some markets open on how much the results are going to take to come through or how long it would take before Trump starts claiming there is fraud going on in the election. Even if the odds are not attractive, I am looking for other ways to wager some money indirectly, not only by trying to predict the winner of the race next week.  Smiley
Yep, from a party that used to think that government shouldn't be telling citizens what to do, that's a definitely weird how much they want that now.

And trump has done that (claiming there is fraud) all the time, and paving the way by telling that all democrats can do is cheat. Twitter is used to spread Russian disinformation warfare about fraud. China is participating to that as well.

https://newrepublic.com/article/187336/trump-cheating-2024-election-republicans-worse-ever
legendary
Activity: 3136
Merit: 1172
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 02, 2024, 12:50:19 PM
The popular vote will be counted state by state and will be monitored by both parties and the results will be sent to Congress. Meanwhile, the electoral votes that decide the election results will be counted directly in Congress and will be announced immediately afterwards. So once the final results are announced in Congress, no matter how many accusations or worse, riots occur, the results cannot be changed.

Everyone tried to defend their candidate but to be fair, the fight was fierce and tense, there was not a big gap between the two candidates. So I believe there will not be an overwhelming victory but a very close victory regardless of who wins.

But the question is whether the betting sites will consider the congress results as the final judgement is determining who has won the US election and settling the bet at the same time ? Or will they wait for a few days before knowing 100% of the election results? 
I think they should wait until they are sure who is the elected president of the US, as in case of close voting and accusations later may turn out some unexpected events to happen too. You never know what we see in this election as this time the geopolitical situation is too much tense and don't know what is being cooking underground.  Huh
hero member
Activity: 1386
Merit: 599
November 02, 2024, 12:43:00 PM
Its still so wild to me that betting on the presidential election is actually a thing and that there are multiple pro crypto platforms doing this. I mean its great for crypto the adoption and the recognition for both sides. Donald / Kamala polymarket compared to the polling is night and day lol. It is surely going to be interesting to see what happens next week. I forgot that I need to go and place an absurdly large bet on Trump because if he doesn't win having Kamala as President isn't just bad for the US, its bad for the entire world IMO. Get out there and vote Red! Vote TRUMP! Vote for FREEDOM & HEALTH & PROSPERITY FOR AMERICA! Instead of.... wait.... does Kamala have really anything to offer? Anything at all? Maybe a really flipping annoying joker laugh and a constant word salad that doesn't even make any sense or ever answer any question she has been asked. Lets just get this over with please lmao.
legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1109
Free Free Palestine
November 02, 2024, 11:01:17 AM


If the result is not a landslide win, whichever party loses will not accept the result and will once again have a dispute over ballots to be counted while the other will not allow counting knowing illegal migrants are voting. This is chaotic election.

Since Trump hit a 67% win probability at some point and Harris didn't touch 60, I think the other will accuse them of cheating. There has to be a landslide win either Harris or Trump, if not there will be chaos after. We see those supporters already tearing down posters.


The popular vote will be counted state by state and will be monitored by both parties and the results will be sent to Congress. Meanwhile, the electoral votes that decide the election results will be counted directly in Congress and will be announced immediately afterwards. So once the final results are announced in Congress, no matter how many accusations or worse, riots occur, the results cannot be changed.

Everyone tried to defend their candidate but to be fair, the fight was fierce and tense, there was not a big gap between the two candidates. So I believe there will not be an overwhelming victory but a very close victory regardless of who wins.
hero member
Activity: 2800
Merit: 595
https://www.betcoin.ag
November 02, 2024, 10:28:35 AM
I haven’t trusted election polls for a long time because I think these polls are conducted to manipulate the public. Contrary to predictions, I don’t believe Trump has a significant lead. In my view, both candidates still have an equal chance. Since Biden stepped back, Harris has done a good job. Of course, she made some mistakes, but she she made up for them quickly. I’ll be considering the odds offered for Kamala on betting websites.
Though I don't agree with your opinion that both presidential candidates have equal chance and that's because every reliable source that I've checked is suggesting that Donald Trump is the favorite to win the election. Kamala Harris is a strong candidate that shouldn't be underestimated for sure but I think it'll be more more unlikely to see her win at the end of the election than see Donald Trump win. My money is on Donald Trump to win and I don't think there's anything that's gonna stop it.

The poll result now seems didn't favor in single candidate only since it show up that Harris is leading and there are times that Trump is getting the lead. This election is not one sided fight and for sure that we could see an exciting election with Harris and Trump. There are few days left and things became more exciting especially for bettors who's showing their opinions towards their favorite candidate and the way how they place their bets towards their favorite politician.

No one of them has been underestimated since we see on each people discussion that both candidate is strong. We don't have any clue on who's gonna win this election so let see if we could able to take a win on or we go home as a loser the same on the politician where we place our bets on.

If the result is not a landslide win, whichever party loses will not accept the result and will once again have a dispute over ballots to be counted while the other will not allow counting knowing illegal migrants are voting. This is chaotic election.

Since Trump hit a 67% win probability at some point and Harris didn't touch 60, I think the other will accuse them of cheating. There has to be a landslide win either Harris or Trump, if not there will be chaos after. We see those supporters already tearing down posters.
hero member
Activity: 2520
Merit: 783
November 02, 2024, 06:18:43 AM
I haven’t trusted election polls for a long time because I think these polls are conducted to manipulate the public. Contrary to predictions, I don’t believe Trump has a significant lead. In my view, both candidates still have an equal chance. Since Biden stepped back, Harris has done a good job. Of course, she made some mistakes, but she she made up for them quickly. I’ll be considering the odds offered for Kamala on betting websites.
Though I don't agree with your opinion that both presidential candidates have equal chance and that's because every reliable source that I've checked is suggesting that Donald Trump is the favorite to win the election. Kamala Harris is a strong candidate that shouldn't be underestimated for sure but I think it'll be more more unlikely to see her win at the end of the election than see Donald Trump win. My money is on Donald Trump to win and I don't think there's anything that's gonna stop it.

The poll result now seems didn't favor in single candidate only since it show up that Harris is leading and there are times that Trump is getting the lead. This election is not one sided fight and for sure that we could see an exciting election with Harris and Trump. There are few days left and things became more exciting especially for bettors who's showing their opinions towards their favorite candidate and the way how they place their bets towards their favorite politician.

No one of them has been underestimated since we see on each people discussion that both candidate is strong. We don't have any clue on who's gonna win this election so let see if we could able to take a win on or we go home as a loser the same on the politician where we place our bets on.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 2017
November 02, 2024, 05:00:01 AM
As far as I know, traditionally pro-Democrat media outlets like the Washington Post have also just announced that they will remain neutral in this year's election instead of declaring their support for Harris. The Washington Post has publicly endorsed Democratic candidates since 1976, but it has not done so this year.

Previously, the Los Angeles Times also declared neutrality in this year's election.

That's not what I meant, which I already knew. In another thread he said something to the effect that the 70-80 million for Trump is that they have bought into the lies (about the election being stolen, etc.) because of media manipulation. And during these 4 years the only major pro-Trump media has been Fox, which has also not openly talked about the previous election having been stoles, and rather in some cases the opposite, as in Bret Baier's interview with Trump in 2023:

Quote
Former President Trump and Fox News anchor Bret Baier argued over Trump’s false claims of a rigged election in 2020 during a contentious interview that aired Monday on the network.

“First of all, I won in 2020 by a lot,” Trump said when Baier asked him how he plans to appeal to independent voters in 2024.

“You know that’s not what … ” Baier interjected as Trump talked over him.

The former president floated unfounded theories about ballot harvesting and voter fraud, to which Baier pushed back, saying, “Mr. President that’s all been looked into.”

“You lost the 2020 election,” Baier told Trump,
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 01, 2024, 09:31:35 PM
There have been some significant developments in the betting market. Trump was leading with 67% win probability a few days ago, but now he has dropped to 57%. And this happened after several polls showed Harris in the lead for the rust-belt states of Wisconsin and Michigan. On the other hand, the most important rust-belt state (Pennsylvania) is still with Trump. So it is going to be a very tight election, if the polls are correct. According to RealClearPolling, Trump still leads the popular vote by 0.3%.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 2093
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November 01, 2024, 09:07:35 PM
Cant both be right unless its the polls themselves which are biased and thats probably what its about.

Because of the margin of error, with a large number of polls, any race that's within a few points should result each candidate coming out ahead in different but similar polls.  

If it were a 1 point race and every single poll showed the same candidate ahead, that would be a sign that something is off with the polls.

Another view for a Dem win projected:

I don't think Harris ever wins Georgia but loses Nevada.  If she wins Georgia, it's very likely she sweeps all the swing states.  Same with Trump and Michigan.  

Here's what Nate Silvers model thinks the most probable swing state outcomes are (notice the 6th most likely scenario contradicts what I just said about Georgia lol):

STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
November 01, 2024, 06:59:35 PM
The trick by Trump team is that they figured out how they could "game" the polls as well. Polymarket is useless shit stuff IMO, nobody cares about that except republicans,

I do keep hearing Trump is ahead in the polls but also a few channels saying that about Harris, cant both be right unless its the polls themselves which are biased and thats probably what its about.
    Politics is all about creativity mostly with the truth and proper accounting standards, the hard truth is government is broke and the healthiest option is to stop spending money that isnt there to waste but that would be harsh vs talking down your opponents failings.

Quote
I don't think there's anything that's gonna stop it.

He wont win the popular vote but doesn't have to overall, it cant be said a Trump win isnt impeded he has alot to overcome.  Its amazing that he may have enough of the electoral college to win it but it would be as underdog I would see a Trump win still not the expected outcome imo.


As one commentator on PBS I was just listening to said in a good summary:   Clear surge after Kamila Harris took over & just prior to an election I've never been so confused in my life what will happen next as Iam right now, its impossible to tell.

Another view for a Dem win projected:
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 01, 2024, 06:53:25 PM
There are more reports on typos on paper votes and errors of don't allow people to choose Trump, but automatically choose Harris on Voting machines in some swing states, and Trump /Vance appears at next pages of vote choices. Are these things reasons that people changed their minds that Harris will win this election?

There are statistics on early votes in swing states too but Harris did not lead on many states and in Pensylvania, she did not have a Blue Fire Wall from early vote with 1M votes. Republican Party Voters are doing better with early votes in this election, but it won't guarantee they will win Pensylvania.
Fact check: False claims

One reason why Harris might win is that wifes, daughters and girlfriend of these maga-hats might vote for harris but are afraid to say it out loud because they don't feel safe (for a good reason).


The gender gap is definitely play an important role in this election, I am already seeing political left media in the United States politicizing the tragic death of a woman who was denied an abortion which could have saved her life. It is very awkward how the Republican party does not seem to realize how they are making women to feel uncomfortable with the idea of the state having legal power over their bodies and their choices. It is a matter of common sense, I guess...
If a doctor said to a woman that she is going to die unless she gets and abortion due to a non-viable fetus, she won't sacrifice herself for a being which is not going to live anyways... It is very disturbing how politics are devolving in the USA .



Also, I wonder if there are some markets open on how much the results are going to take to come through or how long it would take before Trump starts claiming there is fraud going on in the election. Even if the odds are not attractive, I am looking for other ways to wager some money indirectly, not only by trying to predict the winner of the race next week.  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 1638
Merit: 576
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 01, 2024, 06:39:19 PM
I haven’t trusted election polls for a long time because I think these polls are conducted to manipulate the public. Contrary to predictions, I don’t believe Trump has a significant lead. In my view, both candidates still have an equal chance. Since Biden stepped back, Harris has done a good job. Of course, she made some mistakes, but she she made up for them quickly. I’ll be considering the odds offered for Kamala on betting websites.
Though I don't agree with your opinion that both presidential candidates have equal chance and that's because every reliable source that I've checked is suggesting that Donald Trump is the favorite to win the election. Kamala Harris is a strong candidate that shouldn't be underestimated for sure but I think it'll be more more unlikely to see her win at the end of the election than see Donald Trump win. My money is on Donald Trump to win and I don't think there's anything that's gonna stop it.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1178
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 01, 2024, 06:27:08 PM
There are more reports on typos on paper votes and errors of don't allow people to choose Trump, but automatically choose Harris on Voting machines in some swing states, and Trump /Vance appears at next pages of vote choices. Are these things reasons that people changed their minds that Harris will win this election?

There are statistics on early votes in swing states too but Harris did not lead on many states and in Pensylvania, she did not have a Blue Fire Wall from early vote with 1M votes. Republican Party Voters are doing better with early votes in this election, but it won't guarantee they will win Pensylvania.
Fact check: False claims

One reason why Harris might win is that wifes, daughters and girlfriend of these maga-hats might vote for harris but are afraid to say it out loud because they don't feel safe (for a good reason).

Also magas seem to live more and more in bubbles, like the fact that they ignore things like polymarket, presuming that it would prove anything, when the majority of users are pro-trump demographic.

And there are lots of other reasons, for example here's some interesting data: https://app.vantagedatahouse.com/analysis/TheBlowoutNoOneSeesComing-1


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