2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 5.

Barikui1

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Quote from: arwin100 on June 09, 2024, 04:05:48 AM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 08, 2024, 09:36:27 PM

Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 07:52:16 PM

what you think about that analisys?

This election will not be a fight of political issues and political platforms. This will be a fight of personalities because one of the candidates is a populist. Biden will need to create his own marketing tactic to convince the swing voters to vote for him because Trump's candidacy might have been strengthened because of his felony case. The people are presently sympathizing for him because they want drama, comedy, action hehehehe. The country's leaders cannot by trusted anymore and they only want to be entertained hehehehe.

He need to create something cool that can make him stand out on the crowd since to many people sending dislikes on past decision he made and Trump use this as his advantage that's why he's name has been the talk if the town especially for those bitcoin and crypto users. But people should not only look at those two candidates since there are other more who have good records to choose so maybe they should try new candidates which possible can bring some good improvement to their country since maybe with that they can make their country great again. Compare if they choose those recycled politician which intentions are clear that they only run for presidency to protect their personal interest.

This coming presidential election race coming up between joe Biden and Donald trump is really going to be fascinating no doubt, but I really think that Donald trump has the upper hand here, because their are some decisions that joe Biden has took in his time in office that hasn't been appealing to the citizens of the united state of America, and if you look at the support he has among local now, it's extremely low, compared to the time he won his present tenure as president of the united state.

Lastly, another Vital aspect that makes me believe that joe Biden is definitely going to lose this upcoming election is that, if you look at his foreign policy, it has made the united state of America no longer being respected as they were before under the leadership of his immediate predecessor, and that has made most countries around the world to now do things with reckless impunity, believing that nothing can happen, so this is the major reason I believe that he is going to loose to Donald trump, because joe Biden too predictable to be president of the united state.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: arwin100 on June 09, 2024, 04:05:48 AM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 08, 2024, 09:36:27 PM

Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 07:52:16 PM

what you think about that analisys?

This election will not be a fight of political issues and political platforms. This will be a fight of personalities because one of the candidates is a populist. Biden will need to create his own marketing tactic to convince the swing voters to vote for him because Trump's candidacy might have been strengthened because of his felony case. The people are presently sympathizing for him because they want drama, comedy, action hehehehe. The country's leaders cannot by trusted anymore and they only want to be entertained hehehehe.

He need to create something cool that can make him stand out on the crowd since to many people sending dislikes on past decision he made and Trump use this as his advantage that's why he's name has been the talk if the town especially for those bitcoin and crypto users. But people should not only look at those two candidates since there are other more who have good records to choose so maybe they should try new candidates which possible can bring some good improvement to their country since maybe with that they can make their country great again. Compare if they choose those recycled politician which intentions are clear that they only run for presidency to protect their personal interest.

The beginning words of your first sentence has caused me to laugh very loud hehehehehe. This will be the new cool image of Biden for his campaign. He can also copy Trump's campaign phrase and replace great with cool. Make America Cool Again hehehehhe.

@Hispo. The Biden administration have no choice because if they make this a fight of political issues and political platforms, they will also lose because the Biden administration has also caused the problems in America. Problems with overspending on the war in Ukraine, inflation, immigration problems and border crossers in the southern border.

Hispo

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Quote from: arwin100 on June 09, 2024, 04:05:48 AM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 08, 2024, 09:36:27 PM

Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 07:52:16 PM

🍑

So... if this coming election is not actually about politics but rather a fight or contest or personalities, then indeed Trump has much advantage over Biden, but I think such affirmation would be an underestimation of the intelligence and the care people from the United States have. There are people who look beyond the personality and care on the political and economical impact each candidate could have on their life. However, Joe Biden must be quite aware (or perhaps his campaign team) that his personality or the perception of his personality needs to be improved in the eyes of the undecided voters and the democrats who are unhappy with his choices. That is why he recorded that video daring Trump to debate him on live TV. He could have done the same by writing an oficial statement but he did not, because he wanted to be perceived as a strong candidate.

EarnOnVictor

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Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 12:44:21 PM

Quote from: EarnOnVictor on June 08, 2024, 02:13:46 AM

. Nevertheless, I just don't like arrogance, so regardless of losing my money, I must bet on Joe Biden and the election will be keenly contested like before.

I don't understand your point of view, to be honest. You as a gambler, should have on among your biggest interests (when comes to betting) the potential profit of the fact you can profit of your choices, otherwise, what would be the point on betting in favor of Biden and against Trump?
-snip-

I quite understand you bro and you are making enough sense here, but at the same time, gambling is beyond that, you can gamble based on many factors and reasons, but it mustn't always make sense or profits driven per se. This is why I like you to read about Sentimental betting, yes, this is real and it is not necessarily about any objective betting but a bias towards what you love in most cases due to one reason or another which you may not even be able to prove aright since you may just be emotional about your decision.

This was why I chose Joe Biden and that is the least I can do as a fan against what I perceived to be a tyrant not only to the US people but also to immigrants. We all saw what happened in Trump's first term, I will never support such a person who is selfish and inciting just for his personal gains. But again, Joe Biden has his many faults as well, still, a better choice as far as I am concerned.

So regardless of any other factors that will determine the election possibilities, I am betting based on what I believe is right even if there are scarce objectives/basis/factors to back that up (Sentimental betting).

arwin100

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 08, 2024, 09:36:27 PM

Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 07:52:16 PM

what you think about that analisys?

This election will not be a fight of political issues and political platforms. This will be a fight of personalities because one of the candidates is a populist. Biden will need to create his own marketing tactic to convince the swing voters to vote for him because Trump's candidacy might have been strengthened because of his felony case. The people are presently sympathizing for him because they want drama, comedy, action hehehehe. The country's leaders cannot by trusted anymore and they only want to be entertained hehehehe.

He need to create something cool that can make him stand out on the crowd since to many people sending dislikes on past decision he made and Trump use this as his advantage that's why he's name has been the talk if the town especially for those bitcoin and crypto users. But people should not only look at those two candidates since there are other more who have good records to choose so maybe they should try new candidates which possible can bring some good improvement to their country since maybe with that they can make their country great again. Compare if they choose those recycled politician which intentions are clear that they only run for presidency to protect their personal interest.

Kelward

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This year's US election will be very interesting because the two candidates are not new to the white house, one is a past president and the other is a sitting president. It'll be easier for Americans to choose who they want to lead them after the election because they have seen the performance of the two. I would have said that it's not easy to defeat an incumbent president, but Joe Biden, won Donald Trump, who was an incumbent president.

If I'm to put a bet on whom I support to win and whom I think will win, then I'll put my money on one candidate, Donald Trump. But that's a call that the American citizens have to make, and I hope that they do justice with their votes to choose who the majority wants.

OcTradism

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on June 08, 2024, 09:36:27 PM

This election will not be a fight of political issues and political platforms. This will be a fight of personalities because one of the candidates is a populist.

Populist, you meant Trump.

Quote

Biden will need to create his own marketing tactic to convince the swing voters to vote for him because Trump's candidacy might have been strengthened because of his felony case. The people are presently sympathizing for him because they want drama, comedy, action hehehehe. The country's leaders cannot by trusted anymore and they only want to be entertained hehehehe.

Trump won over Hillary Clinton but failed over Biden in last two President Elections. He will return to fight against Biden again and if we don't count legal cases Trump is facing with recent months, I see he has advantage against Biden.

Economy, migration and border, war issues, many things are not on side of Biden. It's difficult to base on this and judge that Biden team saw all the disadvantages and want to do personal attacks against Trump as their proactive systematic activities to prevent Trump winning the President Election in November. This can help Biden to gain advantage but it potentially might cause side effects, negative effects on total votes for Biden in the November President Election.

Trust Biden or Trump? Who is a better President for the USA next four years?

It's tight because differences between them are small. I bet on Trump as a better President for the USA next four years. Trust him, I don't know because he is a populist and like a narcissist too but his policies and decisions can be better than Biden's.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: Hispo on June 08, 2024, 07:52:16 PM

what you think about that analisys?

This election will not be a fight of political issues and political platforms. This will be a fight of personalities because one of the candidates is a populist. Biden will need to create his own marketing tactic to convince the swing voters to vote for him because Trump's candidacy might have been strengthened because of his felony case. The people are presently sympathizing for him because they want drama, comedy, action hehehehe. The country's leaders cannot by trusted anymore and they only want to be entertained hehehehe.

Hispo

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To be honest, from the point of view was a gambler and trying to analize this election in a pragmatic way, Biden already had this election won. but the war in Gaza moved the scale in favor of Trump.
It only takes to look at the history of the recent past elections in which Republicans have lost battle ground.
Because of the response of Biden to the plead of Palestine civilians, he will lose votes and already lost the advantage he had over Trump.

what you think about that analisys?

DaNNy001

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Quote from: OgNasty on June 06, 2024, 04:10:07 PM

I'm unsure if Biden will end up being the candidate. I think I'm more certain that Biden will not be the next President than I am that Trump will be. There's just no world where someone in Joe Biden's condition is the best candidate for President of the United States. I'm suffering from secondhand embarrassment for the democratic party. This current administration has to be one of the worst in the history of the world in my opinion. Sure, they will try to cheat the election again (confirmed again yesterday in Arizona), but at this point I think their support is so low, even with cheating I don't think they can win.

Wow ! Is that how bad the situation with Biden in the election is ? Well I don't know much about the electoral process and procedures when it comes to the us governmental procedures but I believe that if actually Donald trump's would get an upper hand then it would be for the fact that Donald trump's has been already and so he knows his way around and if actually he is in support of Bitcoin and other crypto coin then maybe that would be of positive start for those Bitcoin enthusiast.

AmoreJaz

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Quote from: alani123 on June 08, 2024, 06:23:55 PM

I think this election will be very unpredictable. Gambler's favor a trump election however every single big channel except fox news will say the opposite and do it's best to ridicule trump.

It's such a weird dichotomy. However I think the shaky economy and questionable jobs market that had affected many peoples livelihoods is something especially bad for Biden. The Biden administration has allegedly done some quite shady things to skew statistics in their favor but people aren't really eating it up. So all these factor might have actually made people angry at him, something that doesn't combine well with how one sided the media can be also.

But surprisingly, as you said, bookies are favouring Trump over Biden. Given that there's Trump conviction, he still has the upper hand on this upcoming election. Seems that people don't have much of a choice here.

Independent and third party candidates such as Robert F Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, Jill Stein or Chase Oliver seem not making very much noise in the media. The majority is still seeing Trump vs Biden. Let us see if Marianne Williamson can push thru her presidency bid on this upcoming election.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/politics/presidential-candidates-2024.html

alani123

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I think this election will be very unpredictable. Gambler's favor a trump election however every single big channel except fox news will say the opposite and do it's best to ridicule trump.

It's such a weird dichotomy. However I think the shaky economy and questionable jobs market that had affected many peoples livelihoods is something especially bad for Biden. The Biden administration has allegedly done some quite shady things to skew statistics in their favor but people aren't really eating it up. So all these factor might have actually made people angry at him, something that doesn't combine well with how one sided the media can be also.

Hispo

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Quote from: EarnOnVictor on June 08, 2024, 02:13:46 AM

. Nevertheless, I just don't like arrogance, so regardless of losing my money, I must bet on Joe Biden and the election will be keenly contested like before.

I don't understand your point of view, to be honest. You as a gambler, should have on among your biggest interests (when comes to betting) the potential profit of the fact you can profit of your choices, otherwise, what would be the point on betting in favor of Biden and against Trump?
The market of betting is about making profits, actually, I am sure there are people out there in this market who does not like Trump as a person or leader and still they believe he has better chances than Biden, so they bet in his favor. Politics and betting should not get mixed between each other, because in the end of the day, we are here to profit from this political even, regardless on who is on the ballot.
If you are rather moved to support Biden, instead trying to get profit, then you should donate to his campaign of to his party, that is a more coherent way to show political support than betting.
Because even if he loses, the money you donated to the campaign helped him to try get as far as possible, on the other hand, If you bet for him and he loses, then you money just changes hands to someone who is likely opposing to your political views.

STT

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I think Biden takes the nomination of the Democratic party and likely wins despite those odds, he is the sitting president and thats historic precedent in the majority of outcomes. However politics is increasingly heading towards wild card outcomes, I very often hear voters say they arent happy voting for any party.

Polls dont seem to mirror the electoral college as well as they should. Trump has alot of support but its the range of state wins that counts in the end, he got the 2016 win by capturing middle america, the coasts have the numbers in people but also its the amount of land and states won.

Even though USA elections are relatively predictable still I wouldnt want to rule out that either candidate from age could fail to qualify for office, die even is quite possible. So maybe the vice president is the real value bet on either side if the odds are good, as its more likely to occur then expected. The bets for a specific person if this occurs before election day get cancelled or Im not sure really

EarnOnVictor

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Oh, I see, Donald Trump has an odd of 1.70 and Joe Biden has 2.55 on Stake, that's nice and the person(s) who prepared this table might have had some beliefs to have made them think that Trump will win. But for me, I choose Joe Biden to win, more money to my bag...

To be honest with you, I don't have a serious reason for that because Joe Biden has made a lot of mistakes this time, even as Trump continues to leverage on division preachings as usual. Nevertheless, I just don't like arrogance, so regardless of losing my money, I must bet on Joe Biden and the election will be keenly contested like before.

Hispo

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Quote from: cabron on June 07, 2024, 05:09:01 AM

Quote from: OgNasty on June 06, 2024, 04:10:07 PM

🍑.

If there is someone more qualified, he has to step up and get some sense of what is happening. It doesn't make sense to have a president inside a cell but if this is what it takes, I think people will just take that chance as we see on polls. The only adult in the room is Donald. He may always be trolling, but his judgment is still better than Joe's.

Quote

Trump 1.70
Biden 2.55

🍑

There is indeed more qualified people and more serious people within the world of American politics who would be a better job as president of the United States than Jode Biden or Donald Trump,.but unfortunately the current political system in that country is designed to be and to be kept as a duopoly, total dominance shared between the Republican party and the Democrat party. If there was a third option for the people to band together and go it, then it would be an option for that qualified person to step up and try to break the duopoly, however this current status quo is so stiff that even big corporate media and TV channels would ignore the third way and only focus on the Democrat and Republican options.

On a side note, it is quite remarkable how the odds have shifted in favor of Trump even after being declared to be guilty as a felon in the NY state... I would have expected to see a negative change in the odds for Trump after the end of his first criminal trial, and still, he is the preferred candidate by bettors... I am starting to believe he indeed has.a good chance to be the first president to govern the country from within a cell or house arrest...

cabron

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Quote from: OgNasty on June 06, 2024, 04:10:07 PM

I'm unsure if Biden will end up being the candidate. I think I'm more certain that Biden will not be the next President than I am that Trump will be. There's just no world where someone in Joe Biden's condition is the best candidate for President of the United States. I'm suffering from secondhand embarrassment for the democratic party. This current administration has to be one of the worst in the history of the world in my opinion. Sure, they will try to cheat the election again (confirmed again yesterday in Arizona), but at this point I think their support is so low, even with cheating I don't think they can win.

If there is someone more qualified, he has to step up and get some sense of what is happening. It doesn't make sense to have a president inside a cell but if this is what it takes, I think people will just take that chance as we see on polls. The only adult in the room is Donald. He may always be trolling, but his judgment is still better than Joe's.

Quote

Trump 1.70
Biden 2.55

Still, odds to bet. It could change still as Biden is about to snatch the votes of crypto users. I don't know if they believe who knows.

OgNasty

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I'm unsure if Biden will end up being the candidate. I think I'm more certain that Biden will not be the next President than I am that Trump will be. There's just no world where someone in Joe Biden's condition is the best candidate for President of the United States. I'm suffering from secondhand embarrassment for the democratic party. This current administration has to be one of the worst in the history of the world in my opinion. Sure, they will try to cheat the election again (confirmed again yesterday in Arizona), but at this point I think their support is so low, even with cheating I don't think they can win.

cabron

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Quote from: Hispo on June 06, 2024, 12:36:43 PM

Quote from: STT on June 03, 2024, 09:00:39 AM

🍑

He can certainly appeal and he is already working on it. But since I am not an expert on those kinds of things, and how the criminal law applies in the United States, it would be worth asking: does not he get the tag or get labeled as a convinced felon in the eyes of the American law system? or is it supposed to be waited after the appeal before he can get tagged as a felon.?
Because, to be honest, I believe there are many people within the country who identify themselves as Republicans and yet they have a high enough moral bar so they would not vote for a person who was found auikty of a felony in the State of New York (there are several other cases pending).

Being a felon could make Trump to lose the vote of the moderate Republicans, those who are not going to vote for a democrat in any situation, but still they could not find themselves to send a felon to the white house. I am expecting to see how this conviction and the appeal could change they odds on the betting markets in the end (assuming there will be even a reaction by the markets).

You mean the American people would rather endure another 4 years of Biden than voting someone who can stop the crazy policies in their country?
It's their last chance before the border crisis is going to invade them all. And when they can't feed them all, the hungry illegal migrants will intrude on every home just to find a jar of salt.

It's their last chance to say enough to Joe without actually saying it.

Sithara007

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According to RealClearPolitics, Trump is still leading Biden by an average of 0.5%. The spread has narrowed, but Trump has remained ahead more than 90% of the time in the last 12 months. And due to peculiarities in US election system, it is possible for the GOP candidate to win election, even if he trails the popular vote by 2-3%. Given this, +0.5% lead for Trump would mean an electoral landslide after 5 months, when the votes will be counted. Still, 5 months is a long time and a lot can happen by then.

Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 5. (Read 2383 times)