From news I heard yesterday newspaper and social media platforms, I heard that Kamalla Harris was leading the online prediction because there are some Democrats heavy weight are behind her/supporting her very well but that will not withstand. I still believe that Donald Trump will still will the general election in America. And the way I see it, it is because Joe Biden can't withstand with Trump and that is why Kamalla Harris is projected to face Trump.
As a member of the bitcoin forum I support Donald Trump because e will support bitcoin when win the election.
Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 51. (Read 15349 times)
Some researchers and followers of conspiracy theories and esoteric forecasts believe that the animated series about The Simpsons predicted the result of the upcoming presidential elections in America. According to this forecast, Kamalla Harris should win the election. In this series, the post of President of the United States is occupied by a woman after a male president. I don’t know what percentage of successful predictions the animated series about The Simpsons has, but for some reason I consider this prediction quite probable. You will laugh, but there is something in it.
******
******
It is incredibly telling that the media is trying to push this narrative that Harris is beating Trump in the polls while gambling markets are overwhelming telling a different story.
The same gambling markets that gave the 1.4 odds to Hillary, and the ones that were pushing Trump to 1.7 in 2020 right till the votes started coming in swing states?
Anyhow, nobody here got a bet on Biden?
I'm curious if any gambling website would issue a refund for this bet, but I really doubt it.
Meanwhile, on polymarket, someone lost 2 mils
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/07/22/polymarket-bettors-put-nearly-80m-on-bidens-democratic-chances/
It'll never be on Fox, far too much bias. If they were objecting to CNN perhaps but ABC is probably the closest to a compromise there is going to be. If you ask me the whole media is left leaning perhaps just because thats the way they are made.
Fox goes over the top trying to be right wing and end looking silly sometimes because of it but thats their audience. Good to hear there will be another debate as theres been alot of changes since the last.
If Harris hasnt got a lead by the debate I think she will face a loss. The reason being as stated here and elsewhere the DEM have a popular vote lead which shows in polls also but they need an actual positive advantage to be sure of getting enough states in the electoral college. As it stands Harris is lacking, its not a secure win by any means.
Fox goes over the top trying to be right wing and end looking silly sometimes because of it but thats their audience. Good to hear there will be another debate as theres been alot of changes since the last.
If Harris hasnt got a lead by the debate I think she will face a loss. The reason being as stated here and elsewhere the DEM have a popular vote lead which shows in polls also but they need an actual positive advantage to be sure of getting enough states in the electoral college. As it stands Harris is lacking, its not a secure win by any means.
Next, and only debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will take place on 10th September, and will be hosted by the ABC Network. The debate will be moderated by David Muir (anchor of ABC World News Tonight) and Linsey Davis (anchor of ABC News Live Prime). But there is some uncertainty as well. Trump supporters have cast doubt regarding the neutrality of the anchors, as well as that of the anchors. They want the debate to be hosted by Fox Network (which is unacceptable for the Democrat nominee).
Quote from: Poker Player link=t :)opic=5488428.msg64348695#msg64348695 date=1721618083
Certainly any candidate was better than Biden, who looked like he would either not make it to the election or would arrive in an even more advanced state of dementia. I see that Harrihttp://s can attract the feminist vote and the so-called racialized vote. I still think Trump is the favorite, but as it all comes down to swing states we will have to see.
I view this as too harsh on Biden, especially on someone's health challenge. Biden is an honourable guy who has served his country excellently in many capacities, he deserves respect. Mind you, just because he can't express himself like before doesn't mean that everyone is suddenly better than him. Expression is a thing, and action is another, he can't suddenly forget all the vast experience he has gathered in the decades of service.Also, Harris is a good choice for the Democrats. I've not seen anyone who is as popular as her and being a woman of colour is an added advantage. I only hope the Yankees will vote for a woman to rule them.
It feels good to note that, Democrats now have a vibrant, intelligent, and brave woman to go heads on with Trump on the election debate. Americans would then decide whose candidate has a better plan for the country, that is worth their voting for, as the American president in the November election
Also, we can never take away the sentiment in the colour, America is divided by that when it comes to voting, for this, I believe that her strongholds will mostly be the states where people of colour sentiment is high and where the Democratic party hardly lose. Above all, no one is popular in the Democratic party like her and she is a better contender against Trump who can deliver more votes than what Biden would have delivered after the poor debate.
I was surprised to see that narrative today, that some media outlet tells that suddenly Harris is ahead in some polls, while there are reports that Trump is still leading and that the gap he had is the same and Harris is not closing any from that lead. So it makes me wonder why? It's obvious though that they have the agenda from behind to at least picture Harris to beat Trump. But as we have said, numbers don't lie and so far we have seen sports bookies put Trump as the favorite to win this US Presidential election and there was no history to be made by Harris in this race. The best thing that Harris can do is to improved and cut that lead, but she doesn't have enough time to do that.
LOL.. mainstream media is trying hard to give a boost to Kamala Harris. But the problem is that there is no boost possible. Apart from one poll by Reuters/Ipsos that was published two days back, I haven't seen any where Harris is leading. Trump is leading by a very healthy margin. Harris is known to be harboring extreme-left ideas and that will turn off a lot of neutral and independent voters. RCP Polling gives a lead of +1.7% for Donald Trump against Kamala Harris. Even the CNN poll has Trump ahead by 3%.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
It is incredibly telling that the media is trying to push this narrative that Harris is beating Trump in the polls while gambling markets are overwhelming telling a different story. Maybe we need to start gambling on all the news events so we can actually get some truth instead of the media pushing their agenda.
I was surprised to see that narrative today, that some media outlet tells that suddenly Harris is ahead in some polls, while there are reports that Trump is still leading and that the gap he had is the same and Harris is not closing any from that lead. So it makes me wonder why? It's obvious though that they have the agenda from behind to at least picture Harris to beat Trump. But as we have said, numbers don't lie and so far we have seen sports bookies put Trump as the favorite to win this US Presidential election and there was no history to be made by Harris in this race. The best thing that Harris can do is to improved and cut that lead, but she doesn't have enough time to do that. 
...
Ironically, if suddenly the United States started to work using an universal and popular vote for them to choose their president, it would greatly improved the quality of the Republican candidates and politicians, because they would have the old electoral college for them to less with and turn the odds on their side, with an universal and direct popular vote, it would become more about convincing the highest number of people possible that the Republican alternative makes sense other the democrat alternative.
Politicians would need to actually make an effort on keeping their base happy with consistent polic, instead of populism and demagogy.
It would still not be a perfect system, sure. But it would be a wake up call for the Republican party.
Polls arent especially accurate but I wouldn't rely on the odds to tell you who wins either, both of them have the flaw of just saying who they think will win. A poll is supposed to be superior but its probably fair to rank them equally capable of being wrong.
The whole talk about popular vote is probably a large part why, that isnt how the election is run. Funny stat to state DEM almost always have the larger number of votes, but it still doesnt matter because its an election from across the united states not just purely people directly voting. It is confusing I guess but its part of why I thought Trump would not win, he had lost his vantage point of an appeal across the states.
Now he has that I took a bullet meme in his favor, a common enemy unites even when people weren't going to bother with him again even the REP voters would decline now he might capture those people for their party under fire, etc. There's a story to sell now, it always helps some to have some theme on multiple levels.
The whole Tik Tok meme they are dredging up for Kamila seems weak and a stretch to me, someone else will have to tell if that honestly is going to garner any votes in an otherwise 'boring' election for that youngest voting demographic.
The whole talk about popular vote is probably a large part why, that isnt how the election is run. Funny stat to state DEM almost always have the larger number of votes, but it still doesnt matter because its an election from across the united states not just purely people directly voting. It is confusing I guess but its part of why I thought Trump would not win, he had lost his vantage point of an appeal across the states.
Now he has that I took a bullet meme in his favor, a common enemy unites even when people weren't going to bother with him again even the REP voters would decline now he might capture those people for their party under fire, etc. There's a story to sell now, it always helps some to have some theme on multiple levels.
The whole Tik Tok meme they are dredging up for Kamila seems weak and a stretch to me, someone else will have to tell if that honestly is going to garner any votes in an otherwise 'boring' election for that youngest voting demographic.
It is incredibly telling that the media is trying to push this narrative that Harris is beating Trump in the polls while gambling markets are overwhelming telling a different story. Maybe we need to start gambling on all the news events so we can actually get some truth instead of the media pushing their agenda.
Though, you are to be aware polls and the betting markets are two completely different ways to try to measure the possibilities a candidate has to win an election. Classical polls are mostly about what people say and what they think, while betting markets id about people putting money when their thoughts/opinions are.
It is very subjective on which market or poll is more reliable to predict the future, as it stands It depends on whether one gives more credit to what people say or one gives more credit on where people out their money on.
It is easier to assume betting markets are more reliable to forecast results, as one can way anything about a candidate, but it is different from having a stake on a candidate or not.
It is incredibly telling that the media is trying to push this narrative that Harris is beating Trump in the polls while gambling markets are overwhelming telling a different story. Maybe we need to start gambling on all the news events so we can actually get some truth instead of the media pushing their agenda.
I don't think Harris has a chance against Trump, the elections ara around the corner and the change from Biden to Harris was some days ago, so, she don't have time at all to do a proper campaign.
I would say trump is a secure bet on this one, and the, x1. 5 isn't bad at all, the only risk about betting from now is the fact that someone want him dead. The fact that they fail on the first atempt doesn't mean they will not try it again.
I would say trump is a secure bet on this one, and the, x1. 5 isn't bad at all, the only risk about betting from now is the fact that someone want him dead. The fact that they fail on the first atempt doesn't mean they will not try it again.
And then we have the US Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle resigning this her post because of the failed security on Trump during his speech. Just too bad that she is being grilled and all accountability pointed to here.
In any case, I still Trump is going to win even if Biden steps down and hand it over to Kamala Harris. And most likely, I'm seeing Trump maintaining the same lead with 2-3 points going into the election this November. It could be really huge if we will have a US President as pro-crypto.
I don't think Harris has a chance against Trump, the elections ara around the corner and the change from Biden to Harris was some days ago, so, she don't have time at all to do a proper campaign.
I would say trump is a secure bet on this one, and the, x1. 5 isn't bad at all, the only risk about betting from now is the fact that someone want him dead. The fact that they fail on the first atempt doesn't mean they will not try it again.
I would say trump is a secure bet on this one, and the, x1. 5 isn't bad at all, the only risk about betting from now is the fact that someone want him dead. The fact that they fail on the first atempt doesn't mean they will not try it again.
Now that Kamala Harris has been confirmed as the POTUS nominee from the Democrat Party, we have numerous opinion polls measuring her chances against that of Donald Trump. Morning Consult, CNN, Economist/YouGov, NPR/PBS/Marist and Yahoo News have released their poll result in recent days. And do you know what is common with all of them? Trump is leading Kamala by a big margin. And then we have the outlier poll from Reuters/Ipsos, which shows Kamala Harris ahead by 2 points.
Reports say that it didn't change a thing, Harris is like 2-3 points behind, same when Biden was still the candidate against Trump. Donald Trump has already put a good lead with the assassination attempt and then his supposedly pro-Bitcoin stance.
There are loyal people who will surely vote for Kamala Harris and they don't change their decision when the nominee switch from Biden to Harris. The difference only comes from swing voters who need to be convinced by both Trump and Harris. They will decide the winner between two nominee and choice from Harris for her VP, if she is elected, will be a person who can help her to convince Swing voters in only next several months.Quote
So for us and the bookies, Donald J. Trump is still the leading candidate to win the US election and it's going to be hard pressed for Kamala Harris to overtake Trump as this point. But then again, we really can't tell, lots of things can happen leading up to the election. But so far Trump will just have to protect the lead or even stretch it out.
With too short time left, Harris has burden of jobs to complete for her propaganda and with possible disadvantage from four years of the current term, she will struggle to convince swing voters. Trump in theory can be a favorite nominee with many people who want to see big changes in the country next four years.Not so much of a struggle based on these odds.
Trump, Donald 1.53
Harris, Kamala 2.60
https://stake.com/sports/outright/politics-entertainment/politics/us-presidential-election-2020/41683725-us-presidential-election-2020
Before Kamala, Trump was like 1.35 which means, he could be losing some of his followers after Biden gave the seat to Kamala. So this isn't just strategic to the Democrats but it could likely make them win if promoted well. They only need a huge mistake from Trump or they could manufacture it to stain Trump. Its politics, its always dirty.
Yeah, it could be strategic and for sure Biden knows that he has a slim chance against Trump. But the numbers don't like, Trump is still way ahead, as I have said, 2 points in already big in US presidential election.
So I'm not surprised by the numbers, even if there is a slight change, and I don't see that there will be swing votes to favor Harris. However, Kamala has still time left for him to convince some voters for her, it's a long shot and for sure she is willing to take that in the coming weeks and come up with a good agenda.
Well, they can't be this confident in winning since the people who donate to Biden are now going to support Harris. Harris gathered $60M in a few days of her candidacy.
And if the numbers are closer there will be doubts to people who supported Harris which the Jan 6 could really be real this time when the other party isn't going to concede.
And this is probably going to be the start of that Civil War they are trying to cook when the votes are just less than 50k votes of margin.
Is the Trump supporter just going to let Kamala take the auth?
Or will the Liberal supporters going to let allow Trump to rule? They've already been saying Trump is a threat to the democracy.
This election has to have a result of wide margin otherwise, things could escalate quickly.
~snip~
I don't think you are getting the point, no one is comparing candidates but maintained he should be gentle with Biden in his comment Besides, he never talked about his chosen candidacy, and perhaps he is even supporting the Democrats, so it wasn't the issue. Except that he believed Biden wasn't fit for the position which I agree with partially but also advised caution about the health and other rebukes.Talking about Biden's record, it can't be inappropriate to accord respect to this man as I demanded, and if I may ask, how many candidates have decades of US service in various capacities like him? I don't suppose you mean Trump while talking about serving the country, Biden had served way more, you can't compare. Regardless, this doesn't warrant disrespect to anyone, especially using their health.
It just that Biden is an old man who has really devoted most of his life to his country, I admit that and I quite applaud what Biden has done so far even though during his leadership there were several problems or conflicts related to his policies.
What is clear for sure is that of all the candidates who have previously shown that Biden and Trump are the two strongest figures who have truly given themselves lot to the US, no one has surpassed them in the ranks of candidates for this election, but unfortunately Biden had to resign.
I just saw it, the chances of everyone who will compete in the election later and Kamala Harris has taken Biden place quite superiorly, even though she can't match or surpass Trump chances, but at least she shows what good chance.
I think both will remain like this until election day arrives.
Certainly any candidate was better than Biden, who looked like he would either not make it to the election or would arrive in an even more advanced state of dementia. I see that Harris can attract the feminist vote and the so-called racialized vote. I still think Trump is the favorite, but as it all comes down to swing states we will have to see.
I view this as too harsh on Biden, especially on someone's health challenge. Biden is an honourable guy who has served his country excellently in many capacities, he deserves respect. Mind you, just because he can't express himself like before doesn't mean that everyone is suddenly better than him. Expression is a thing, and action is another, he can't suddenly forget all the vast experience he has gathered in the decades of service.Also, Harris is a good choice for the Democrats. I've not seen anyone who is as popular as her and being a woman of colour is an added advantage. I only hope the Yankees will vote for a woman to rule them.
Talking about Biden's record, it can't be inappropriate to accord respect to this man as I demanded, and if I may ask, how many candidates have decades of US service in various capacities like him? I don't suppose you mean Trump while talking about serving the country, Biden had served way more, you can't compare. Regardless, this doesn't warrant disrespect to anyone, especially using their health.
Reports say that it didn't change a thing, Harris is like 2-3 points behind, same when Biden was still the candidate against Trump. Donald Trump has already put a good lead with the assassination attempt and then his supposedly pro-Bitcoin stance.
There are loyal people who will surely vote for Kamala Harris and they don't change their decision when the nominee switch from Biden to Harris. The difference only comes from swing voters who need to be convinced by both Trump and Harris. They will decide the winner between two nominee and choice from Harris for her VP, if she is elected, will be a person who can help her to convince Swing voters in only next several months.Quote
So for us and the bookies, Donald J. Trump is still the leading candidate to win the US election and it's going to be hard pressed for Kamala Harris to overtake Trump as this point. But then again, we really can't tell, lots of things can happen leading up to the election. But so far Trump will just have to protect the lead or even stretch it out.
With too short time left, Harris has burden of jobs to complete for her propaganda and with possible disadvantage from four years of the current term, she will struggle to convince swing voters. Trump in theory can be a favorite nominee with many people who want to see big changes in the country next four years.Not so much of a struggle based on these odds.
Trump, Donald 1.53
Harris, Kamala 2.60
https://stake.com/sports/outright/politics-entertainment/politics/us-presidential-election-2020/41683725-us-presidential-election-2020
Before Kamala, Trump was like 1.35 which means, he could be losing some of his followers after Biden gave the seat to Kamala. So this isn't just strategic to the Democrats but it could likely make them win if promoted well. They only need a huge mistake from Trump or they could manufacture it to stain Trump. Its politics, its always dirty.
Yeah, it could be strategic and for sure Biden knows that he has a slim chance against Trump. But the numbers don't like, Trump is still way ahead, as I have said, 2 points in already big in US presidential election.
So I'm not surprised by the numbers, even if there is a slight change, and I don't see that there will be swing votes to favor Harris. However, Kamala has still time left for him to convince some voters for her, it's a long shot and for sure she is willing to take that in the coming weeks and come up with a good agenda.
Not so much of a struggle based on these odds.
Trump, Donald 1.53
Harris, Kamala 2.60
https://stake.com/sports/outright/politics-entertainment/politics/us-presidential-election-2020/41683725-us-presidential-election-2020
Before Kamala, Trump was like 1.35 which means, he could be losing some of his followers after Biden gave the seat to Kamala. So this isn't just strategic to the Democrats but it could likely make them win if promoted well. They only need a huge mistake from Trump or they could manufacture it to stain Trump. Its politics, its always dirty.
Trump, Donald 1.53
Harris, Kamala 2.60
https://stake.com/sports/outright/politics-entertainment/politics/us-presidential-election-2020/41683725-us-presidential-election-2020
Before Kamala, Trump was like 1.35 which means, he could be losing some of his followers after Biden gave the seat to Kamala. So this isn't just strategic to the Democrats but it could likely make them win if promoted well. They only need a huge mistake from Trump or they could manufacture it to stain Trump. Its politics, its always dirty.
I don't agree with these odds. As I have said before, all the gambling sites seems to be underestimating Trump. With less than 4 months to go, he is leading even in blue states such as New Mexico and Virginia. This election is going to be a landslide in favor of Trump. In Michigan, Trump is leading by a massive 7 points according to Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA. Can you believe this? And then we have odds of 1.53. I would rather say that the real odds are more like 1.20 or 1.25.
Jump to: