Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 48. (Read 15310 times)

The left is the same everywhere in the world or wherever they go, always with progressive ideals of reducing individual and economic freedom aiming at increasing state control (socialism).

Despite having had a promising start as vice president, Harris faces a difficult challenge to establish herself as a replaceable figure for Biden and the worst part is that she only has a few days to achieve this, especially if she continues Biden's legacy and this is an electoral disadvantage, Harris could pay the price.

Well, without a doubt I would bet on Both options , both in a monetary bet and the final decision for which I believe that Trump will win the Elections, although lately with the World political Situation and especially the one I have experienced, I believe that any result is very possible , the only thing is that I fully trust the US electoral system and the suspicion of fraud is very far away, but I really see that what you say with your Analogy is very true , in the last finishing Stretch, they can leave Trump out.

With these lastest losses which the Republican party has suffered in the midterm elections, a couple of years ago, I would not trust polls so much. Do you remember those polls who talked about the imminent red wave which was about to conquer both the Senate and the house for the Republican party? All of it was actually fruitless...
At this point, it would be better for the mental health of the average person who has had too much of politics not to pay attention to polls and those results and just go out to vote for their candidate.
There are neutral polls out there, that is true, but even those cannot be completely trusted in, as their methodology could fail.

Regardless of what the polls say and how percentages behave, I am going to keep my bet for the last minute, this election has just become too unpredictable.

I think the oppisite, Biden still ranks as higher chances then Harris imo.   Like Obama said originally in summary at least, 'power must be taken it cannot be gifted' or at the least she must earn the win, earn the nomination.

Do people honestly want to say she earnt that nomination, at present the situation was gifted to her.   Congratulations, great luck like a lottery win but this is not how elections are won or should be.  

As such I think Harris is worse off in the election, not the polls which are purely an estimate.   Since I already figured Biden could scrape a win, maybe she will too but I dont see the Democrats have improved their position.    Maybe she proves her worth at some point, just as a women its an uphill struggle the whole way if USA is as naturally conservative as I think it is.

  A cross-section of ingrained beliefs and generational bias goes toward whatever victories might be possible in that particular state, no win can be simple when you are the first to attempt it.   At the same time Harris has to fight ongoing racism existing in some states, certainly a feature in people decisions in at least some proportion.

  Also theres gender, again strong bias to say this is not ever going to be an easy win not when trying to win every state in an electoral college.    When people complain its all about old white men, I dont disagree thats the bias and it doesnt disappear now.   When people even her own team try to ignore or pretend this isnt a cliff to climb in terms of altering perceptions, I think they are worse off and I think they easily fail if unrealistic in their aim.

People are ignoring the challenge of being the first ever woman elected to Presidential office & its at least equal to any difficulties Biden had.

Can't put it any better than this. I am not an US citizen. But from what I can see, there are no bigger hypocrites than the Democrats. They are the ones who always try to block free speech. And then without any shame they accuse others of voter interference. It really surprises me that 45% of the US population are registered as voters belonging to this party. But at the same time, it is encouraging to see the fightback from the right. Guys like Elon are now posing serious challenge to the far-left cabal.

Not sure about that, it worked so far and I think they do have a good future ahead of them as well, and debate won't be that easy for Trump neither, this isn't Biden, this is Kamala, a judge, and Trump is officially a criminal too, so that would play a big role, and Kamala will not be like Biden and swallow half of the words, she will go out to beat him, there is even talks that Trump is too afraid to do a debate against her, which would work for her even better to be fair but would be quicker story, maybe a week max.

I think if Kamala keeps this pace up, and keeps the media attention (even social media) on her, then there is no way Trump could win this.

The fact that she took the light AFTER trump got shot, that shows you that she knows what she is doing and there is a big possibility she can keep this up. Maybe we aren't hearing anything big coming out of her camp yet, but I think they are just waiting for Trump to do something, to get the attention and then Kamala may do something, until then she just lets the time pass and all the talk is about her anyway. That's why I think it should be fine, I do not think that it will be too bad, I think it will be fine for Kamala, at least has higher chance than Biden.

There is no perfection and the magic from bi-party scheme is it allows people to vote for change, if they want. The votes from citizens force companies, politicians and parties have to change themselves. If not, they will lose their temporary power in the country and they have no other way than changing themselves, philosophy and strategies to serve their people.

What happened with Twitter in the past, Facebook, Google now can be explained but we see how Twitter changed to X, from censorship to less censorship and kind of more support for freedom of speech. If not Elon, other people can do it in a free nation.

It's easy to be a communist in a free country, but try being free in a communist country. It says all.

Imho, it's about people not knowing her, and for now, because VP's role has traditionally been more in the background, people haven't really paid attention, and everything can change if she makes a good impression now. Polls aren't affected yet, because people want to know what she is all about before giving an opinion.

And speaking about talking points, republicans need to invent completely new ones fast, as old ones are in whole another context now, and are backfiring on their own candinate. I would be amazed if the polls and odds wouldn't change soon. But then again, those have been misleading in the past.

Oh seems election became more interesting many thought that Trump will get an easy victory this year, but it seems that Kamala Harris also gaining a momentum.

Harris seems to have a good support on some states https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/31/harris-narrows-gap-with-trump-in-us-national-battleground-state-polls

I guess Trump should not take everything easy since If he let those things happen then there's huge chance that Harris will take over the seat.

But I still believe Trump will win this election.

Bro, cool down a bit, hyping will not change anything, let's be practical and constructive, after all, I am also a fan of cryptocurrency, but what I will not do is deceive myself like many of you. No one is saying cryptocurrency is not popular or not a voice to reckon with, but I will always maintain that the percentage of its adopters in the US will still not be a deciding factor in the US election.

If Trump becomes the president today, it's certainly not the crypto mantra that delivered that to me as many factors contribute to the US president winning. These factors include cryptocurrency but the importance of it will always be lower than many other pressing factors. You can't say that 21% (the percentage of the US crypto adopters) of the US population will win the election simply because they adopt cryptocurrency.

Even among the 21%, many of them will be ineligible to vote and among those who are eligible, many may not be crypto bigots as you believed. If you do the arithmetic, you might realise that less than 10% may vote for Trump because of cryptocurrency, which is still very low to win an election.

Let's admit a constructive fact and not noise!

Obviously, Trump is good in public, he knows how to make things controversial so that people will talk about him. Specially after the assassination attempt on him and then him talking in the Bitcoin conference.


It's going to be very difficult for them although they are in power right now and so they can do and try to manipulate the news and what's not and we can clearly see that. There are social media reports that are in their side saying that Kamala Harris is leading. But in a neutral corner, there are social media that says Trump is leading. And for sure people knows what's the real pulse of the US population right now.

Yeah, the lead has now shifted in favor of Kamala. We'll see whether she will sustain this until election day. For now, it seems it has been a smooth ride for her. She now seems to be the apple of the public's eye. She's yet to choose her VP. Yeah, that should be another media attention that will last for a while. She's also been repeatedly challenging Trump for a debate. This woman knows rhetoric. She was a prosecutor. She can definitely give the populist Trump a run for his money.

If I were to bet on Trump, I'd wait for the odds to rise even more. That will happen pretty soon.

Yes, it all looks shameful. But I don't understand why no one is doing anything? So many states, so many independent prosecutors - isn't there a reason to investigate corporations that so brazenly manipulate public opinion? It seems that the deep state has captured everything and, apart from X and various niche forums, the truth is nowhere to be found and everyone considers this state of affairs normal.

It is crazy the way search results are being skewed to alter the opinions of people. I noticed it before the news was commenting on it even. A shame that Google has been taken over by woke liberals and can’t be used as a serious research tool anymore. I honestly can’t believe this is happening in America. Something is wrong.

Certainly, Trump is a master at getting the attention he wants from the Public. There is no question about it, it is a game which he knows how to play very well,because as the populist he is, he manages to get all the attention naturally.
On the other hand, the democrat party is too accustomed to the establishment way to get things done and had never embraced the ways populists use to keep in touch with their voters. Kamala getting the lightspot in this race could be an example on how the democrat party is trying to take attention away from Trump and the attempt he suffered, it has worked pretty much fine for now, but I doubt they will be able to keep that strategy for too long.

Back in 2020, it was Twitter which did election interference on behalf of the Democrat Party (back then it was still owned by Jack Patrick Dorsey and the control was with Vijaya Gadde, Parag Agrawal and Yoel Roth). With free speech returning to Twitter (after it's takeover by Elon Musk), Democrats are now resorting to Google, Facebook and Instagram to manipulate public opinion. And this is real election interference, unlike the hoax that was created about Russians manipulating elections in the United States.

Politicians don't complete all promises they make but some will be done and we can not know what promises from Trump now, will be done in future or will not be completed, if he gets elected. Time, only time can tell.

With the clear manipulation of Democrats Party on social media, recently with Google search and past years with their cooperation with government to hide information on Hunter Biden's activities, it's good chance for Trump to take advantage of it when US. people want change.

Will he do something better for the USA, time will tell but if people want change, they can do it with their votes. See what's happening in Venezuela.

Timing of DNC is the perfect one, that's the point. I mean first Trump gets that attempt, which could have been a talking point for years, but it didn't. Because Biden just withdrew right a week later, not even a week I think.

It meant that everyone stopped talking about that, and started talking about Kamala situation, then for a week we didn't had the official candidate, but now we do and she is the official candidate, she raised over 100 million dollars in less than a week of it as well, which is insane when you think about how none of that was a big name donator, the top was 3300 dollars, imagine how many people donated to her.

Secondly, look at the future, she is going to be at DNC to talk, and she is going to talk about her VP and there are many things she can do to keep the media on her at all times and not on Trump. This is why the timing of democrats is getting a lot better, they are learning this media game, Trump was a master at it and that's how he won, he kept giving media a talking point once a week, to keep the lights on him, but now that Kamala and democrats figured that out, they are doing the same trick on him and that's why it's been a great period for them. She is even ahead on polls now.

I was apprehensive when I started reading your post but the concluding part makes a lot of sense. One thing I will not join people to do is to be sentimental, so no matter what I support, I will still face the reality for or against such a thing if need be. I don't see anything reasonable about being an extremist to the point that I will now tell plain lies or not just face reality as many Bitcoiners do. You can imagine someone saying Bitcoin would determine the next US election, who is deceiving who?

Let Trump continue to deceive you guys, but one thing I can assure you is that he is fake and will do nothing to improve cryptocurrency, he is just using that to buy your votes. But I wonder why you are so freaked about the crowd hailing him when he talks about Bitcoin, do you even know how people think and behave in political gatherings like that?

You might be surprised that less than 5% of the gathering is dealing with Bitcoin but just hailing their candidate regardless of what he speaks.

I wonder how Kamala is going to give all of her campaign speeches without putting any blame to the current administration of Biden. That's a hard part for her for which the majority likes isn't the current one, a republican. It's really hard to be in her place for the incumbent president steps down and pushes the support on her. There's an on going battle there but it seems that even she tries to campaign herself at her best, people simply like Trump. I don't like Trump as he's encouraging people about Bitcoin even though he don't know a satoshi of it.