Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 49. (Read 15314 times)

It will not be nowhere near as easy for Trump to defeat Harris as it was for him to defeat Biden, but as long as the economy is still the main worry among US voters, he has good chances, because Harris as the current VP cannot really take a step back and blame Biden for the inflation that took place and that is still affecting US citizens, when she was a direct participant on those decisions, so Harris needs a way to try to change the focus of the campaign, and if she fails then it is likely she will lose the race for the US presidency as well.

Since Trump's failed assassination attempt, this election has been decided for Trump. Trump will win the election and is riding the wave of Bitcoin as an electoral weapon, which gives him a huge advantage, due to the degree of freedom that Bitcoin provides to Americans compared to the legacy fiat model. In addition, the United States is one of the most advanced countries in understanding Bitcoin and crypto compared to other nations.

And with Biden's waiver, the barriers that existed simply disappeared. Kamala won't make that much of a difference to harm Trump. If Biden had at least withdrawn from the beginning, Kamala would have had a chance. We are talking about Trump, who was previously president of the USA, so his electorate and other Americans already know his government.

Those crypto forums are loud. Their passion. They're no longer a marginal group. Waves are made. I've experienced Bitcoin's power. It excites people. A movement. Movements win elections.

Crypto enthusiasts may not be the majority. But remember, its about the fight in the dog, not the dog's size. Believe me, these guys fight hard. In tight contests and swing states, they could make the difference.

Its not just crypto. About something grander. People are bored with the same old. They're sick of politicians promising change but not doing. Happening everywhere. Argentina is a mess. The world awakens. Will crypto decide the next election? Maybe, maybe not. Its a sign of something deeper. It indicates a desire for change. Friends, we should all pay heed to that.

They might not be nervous, but the Republicans are surely getting more serious now with the entry of Kamala as the sure nominee of the Democrats. This isn't anymore Trump-Biden, what would have been an easy fight to win for the Reds.

The assassination could have been a boost for them but I doubt it stays that way up to the election day which is still several months from now. The romantic effect of that to Trump might not last long.

On the other hand, yeah, Kamala has effectively consolidated what was once a divided house. Biden's seemingly selfless move to step aside in favor of a woman in color must have attracted back to the fold many who have earlier decided to abandon the ship.

Things are more thrilling now. Although Trump is still ahead in several surveys, there is only a slight lead, a negligible margin that should push both parties to maximize efforts.

That final assessment (you words) leaves me with a doubt, are you referring to Trump as a betting option for a monetary return, or are you referring to him as that patriotic American who bets on democracy and prefers Trump? They are two different cases, okay.

Anyway, I wouldn't be so sure in Trump's case, be careful, this woman can finish like those sprinters in the 5km races, Olympic games.

I mention the 5km race because they say it is one of the most difficult, it is not short, it is not long and you have to have a lot of strategy, it is an underrated competition, but it is one of the best in the Olympics.

The point is that Kamala can be running that race and Trump feels like a winner in the marathon, due to his great advantage, whatever, maybe it is easier to say that it is not as easy for Trump as one thinks.

I beg to differ on your personal take of the state of the Republican party, they do not seem to be actually nervous or anything like that, actually, since Donald Trump managed to survive his assassination attempt, I would dare to say they have showed more confidence on Trump as the candidate more likely to win the race for them.
The political left in the USA does not stand as United as it seems, before Jode Biden decided to drop out there was much division on whether they should continue to back Biden or he was supposed to dropout, Biden realized there was much division, so he did the right thing and dropped out the race in favor of someone who could fluently debate Trump and counter his rethoric. There is still division on the left, but not as much as used to be.

Panic, lol the people who really bet Trump from the start are fanatical so imo there is no panic .   The odds never justified that long shot being taken, in 2016 it totally did and all kudos to people back then but now it will take alot for it to pay off and get an actual win on the day.   Harris, Kamala however she is known is far from a sure shot just because people perceive it as more probable then Biden its still not a good prospect like a mid term (re)election out of recession should be.

The point of the Bitcoin is not to be taken as an absolute.  The figures of actual active BTC users somehow changing their mind thanks to a new Trump policy is low.    The reason why they do it anyway is the wider perception of a technology aware and receptive President.    You must consider now with Biden gone, Trump is actually ancient to be running for the highest office at this elevated age, he is still far above average age.

Biden was the oldest ever inaugurated president, its also true if Trump wins he would very nearly equal that all time record hence they have to counter that Trump is a dinosaur.  Im not saying he has that public perception today but its a weak spot for sure, you can bet Harris is aiming for it in any bout

The job of people advising Trump is to cover his weak spots and that's part of why Vance was chosen as a much younger running mate in the race.   There's been no attempt to balance out with a more liberal or pc orientated candidate, they really couldn't bring themselves to do it.

If i use crowd psychology to try and predict the outcome, i can definitely sense the panic from the people who bet on trump now. And democrats seem united and excited about this.

And when it comes to celebrities ability to affect voters, Kamala is getting A-listers to endorse her, and since Beyoncé accepted that Kamala could use 'Freedom' as her campaign song instantly, it's basically direct endorsement. Meanwhile all trump gets is c-listers behind him at best. They are even praising joe biden for sacrificing his ego for the country and stepping back. Which i admit is a noble thing to do.

I would like to believe that things like celebrities and other influencers wouldn't have an effect, but we live in a world where they most definitely do.

Unfortunately, it doesn't work that way. For some reason, in many countries, we've seen this self-destructive pattern: people elect bad representatives who make bad decisions. Then when things get worse, they elect them again and they make even worse decisions. Things get even worse and these jerks are elected again and given even more power. This is especially evident in socialist countries/states and I don't know how to break this vicious circle. By the way, Argentina is currently trying to break out of this death spiral, but look how much time and suffering it took them to even try.

So far Trump is succeeding in gathering a crowd using Bitcoin and cryptocurrency talks and people cheers for it. No Bitcoiner cheering for Kamala is already a losing factor for her. Whether 20% or less of the population is into crypto, they count. And the odds of Trump getting reelected are way higher than any of his competitors.

All the people know is that the previous administration or the party wasn't doing anything to make their lives better. It's all there is they are aware of. Guns, Pro-war or not, inclusion or migration supporter or not are not going to be what their votes are for.

Trump, Donald 1.57
Harris, Kamala 2.35
Obama, Michelle 41.00

It's hard to argue with that, but it's logical that such opinions arise on a forum dedicated to Bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies). I'm sure that on the forums of believers/gun lovers/anti-abortion/supporters or opponents of migration, everyone is also sure that their question is the main one and the outcome of the vote will depend on it.
I am a big crypto enthusiast, but I think that the attitude towards cryptocurrencies is the last thing that the voter will look at - there are many more pressing issues that attract attention.

Agreed 100%. The vast majority of the Bitcoin users in US are smalltime investors, who make one time investment of $100 and $200. Bitcoin is just one of the many type of non-priority investments in their portfolio. The number of active Bitcoiners (who deal with Bitcoin at least once a week) maybe as low as 100,000, with the majority spread out in states such as New York, Texas, California and Florida. In swing states, you may have 1k or 2k of these people, who are not a decisive factor by any means.

The only outlet I've seen pushing this narrative pretty hard has been CNBC (granted I'm not SUPER dialed in, but I read the "news")  I mean she's only been the candidate for what, a week (not even sure if she is officially tbh)?  I think it's insane to really post poll findings already as if they are really sound , prediction wise.  Old man Joe certainly wasn't leading any polls I know of, and we all know (us muricans) he had a slim chance period.  I think Kamala has a CHANCE, albeit just slightly better than that of Joe.  I do not support trump (though I wish the republicans would pick a somewhat centered candidate as I would LOVE to vote Red) and I didn't support Biden and so I had planned to vote off ballot like I did with Trump/Clinton, but now..I MIGHT vote Kamala, as much as I dislike her and feel she's absolutely not fit to run this country either. I can't be alone here, but not sure those that fit in this category such as myself make up much % wise (realistically even 1-2% would prob be max I'd have to guess..not likely changing the outcome). 


what kinda odd's are you seeing on your casino for donny now? ( I need to check mine).  Even with good odds in presidential elections I feel like you just never know in this crazy country of ours.

Both parties have candidates trying to target the younger voters, something in that demographic they have decided could change the vote for them from a loss to win.   Harris has some strange story about being a brat, some kind of tik tok meme that she qualifies as trendy with the youngest newest voters.   Trump as per his more capitalist slant has his people determing he should be on the side of Bitcoin for votes in order to qualify as valid with the youngest voters.

   Both sides are spouting nonsense and I dont think even if they convince new voters to go for them, probably the actual vote wont arrive as people are easily distracted.  I remember my first qualified vote I had finished working a 13hr shift and I just wanted to go home, not extend my day by a few more hours just to go place a probably useless vote to a lost cause for people who didnt care about me anyway just themselves.

  Mostly true reflection of the situation even now while slightly cynical, if its easy then I can see people voting but its the oldest voters who tend to make sure they get at least something in exchange for all that tax they have paid.

Just out of curiosity, have you already placed you bet on Trump or are you waiting for the last minute before getting your money on the table? I was quite undecided on whether to put my money on, so I am waiting for October surprise before placing anything.
Though, if things continue to go this way, it is pretty much likely you are right and Trump is going to get his second term. I don't believe the United States is ready to elect a woman as the president of the country, and Kamala has some important flaws, which could play against her campaign, the political right and their media will relentlessly point out anything they can pick up on.
If there is no October surprise, I guess I will place a moderate bet on Trump 

Lol...you guys will not kill me with laughter ...I can't believe you labelled Bitcoin as the decisive factor for the US election, you must be joking. The US election is not a child's play and many factors will determine it, of which Bitcoin will be the least of the factors. I guess you did not do the math well before even saying that. For the record, it's only about 21% of Americans dealing with cryptocurrency, of which many of them will not be eligible voters. This means that a drastically reduced percentage who are dealing with it are also eligible for voting. I can equally assure you that more than half of these people will not influence their votes simply because of Bitcoin. There are various alternatives to invest and make transactions for the Yankees, as such, they do not take Bitcoin to the extreme as you think, except a few.

I think those odds are more realistic than you’re seeing from the media with their poll numbers. They’d have you believe that Kamala is in the lead for some reason. Vegas never lies though. It’s looking very much like a Trump victory is in the cards for November and from hearing him talk today, I’m ecstatic about it.

I think the same, for me Trump has already secured his term as president, because the things he has happened are impressive, now I wonder something, if Trump wins, what will happen to those judges who made his life so impossible? If Trump discovers that everything was a scam and dismantles a large number of corrupt people, wow, that will be impressive, plus the secret service has many flaws, all this is exciting at the same time, we will see how it turns out, but I think they will not surpass Trump, it really is very difficult.

Strong opponent ? why would you consider Kamala a strong opponent for Trump ? She literally found herself over night in this position and it's very hard for her to actually inspire confidence to her voters. No wonder why Trump is considered favorite by far on bets and I'm sure he will be the next president of USA. Regarding news , it depends what newspapers are you reading as some of them are with Kamala and others support Trump so each side are trying to consider their favorite to be victorious.

Wow! Trump now is having another strong opponent? Is it Biden’s supporters now switching to this Kamala Harris just so Trump doesn’t win the presidential election? After all what happened and the popularity, love, support that Trump gained these last days especially after the assassination attempt against him, showing the great image of him, not running but still raising his hand for victory.

I smell something off this time, why many websites in internet are comparing this new candidate and some of the news are also saying Harris will win? I thought Biden had more support than anyone else besides Trump? Like this we understand that these elections are between Trump and anyone else who’s willing to compete against Trump.