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Topic: Already delays in BFL shipment plans? - page 40. (Read 49568 times)

hero member
Activity: 956
Merit: 1001
October 28, 2012, 02:40:53 PM
#84
Despite the widespread perception that they'd be first to market I chose to order elsewhere because of BFL's history of deceitful shipping date shell games. Also despite assurances that they'd do better this time, it feels like a bunch of song and dance. I can't see myself doing business with them going forward.

Same!  I had several very early pre-orders for BFL SCs.  I was able to sell those preorders for a nice profit and put my eggs in a different basket  Grin
hero member
Activity: 956
Merit: 1001
October 28, 2012, 02:38:08 PM
#83
Guys.  Why are you surprised?  BFL "ship date" for FPGA Single was Oct 2011 the first boards went out in March and really didn't hit volume production until April or May.   It was summer before the shipping delays were less than 2 months. 

That was with off the shelf FPGA.  People pre-ordered with 100% funds paid in advance.  BFL risks nothing by having delays.

WHY would you expect it to be different?    Based on the FPGA launch I would say add six months to the promised date and if they beat that deadline (Oct 2012 = April 2013) then consider it "early".

Oh god... if you are right, I will be in heaven  Grin
hero member
Activity: 956
Merit: 1001
October 28, 2012, 02:35:55 PM
#82
You fellers are bringin' the perty music to my ears. Grin

If BFL is that late and bASIC units ship on schedule, then their owners will have paid off units in weeks.

 Grin Grin Grin
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
October 28, 2012, 08:33:58 AM
#81
I wonder if we'll see some cancellations of orders from people that were hoping to get a quick benefit before the reward drop.
full member
Activity: 127
Merit: 100
October 28, 2012, 08:12:03 AM
#80
I don't believe any of the ASIC vendors will shop before the block reward and not because they couldn't.

I am starting to believe this as well, I was hoping in starting the ASICs before the end of block reward cut.
hero member
Activity: 535
Merit: 500
October 27, 2012, 04:10:30 PM
#79
I don't believe any of the ASIC vendors will shop before the block reward and not because they couldn't.

When there is money involved, no one can be trusted. Especially shady bitcoin vendors.

Bitcoin is too easily hidden as income which makes the opportunity even more tempting.
full member
Activity: 150
Merit: 100
October 27, 2012, 04:00:16 PM
#78
Quote
No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.

The bASIC ASICs are already taped out from the wafer...

Maybe you could tell us just what you think "taped out" means.

Here, current status from the enemy thread m'lord!

... I will answer some of the questions I have seen posted
...
ASICS have been in fabrication for some weeks now,

The board design and PCB layout is currently taking place, I have two of the best engineering and layout firms in California working on this , and it will be spectacular

...

When the board design is completed it does not take long to fab the PCBs and get the boards assembled. The assembly house that I use - I have been working with since May - they have assembled hundreds of boards for me and they are one of the best out there. I can have all 1000 boards assembled in 5 days.

I believe that the mask set has been created and they are waiting on the wafer run, but I have not seen detail on those stages recently. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tape-out Tape-out simply means that they have sent the files to the manufacturer to make the masks.



I think that's all conjecture at this time, since there has been no official taping out etc from Tom regarding the bASIC either.  It's still up in the air who will ship first right now.

Look back up at the quote I used 3 posts ago.

The ASIC's are "in fabrication" which means they have taped out and are somewhere in the mask/wafer/die making process.

Honestly I think he announced it within a week or 2 of the bASIC announcement. He held off opening things up until he had finished his prep work, and it sounded like he even had an ugly hack of a prototype at that time.

Anyone who have not taped out yet is unlikely to deliver before the end of the year, and I'm pretty sure even Avalon has already passed the tape-out mark, now that I think back.



He states they are still in the PCB design/layout phase. Which means if all goes well and all the parts are on hand they should be ready hopefully by mid Dec/Jan.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
October 27, 2012, 03:32:07 PM
#77
I think that's all conjecture at this time, since there has been no official taping out etc from Tom regarding the bASIC either.  It's still up in the air who will ship first right now.

Look back up at the quote I used 3 posts ago.

The ASIC's are "in fabrication" which means they have taped out and are somewhere in the mask/wafer/die making process.

Honestly I think he announced it within a week or 2 of the bASIC announcement. He held off opening things up until he had finished his prep work, and it sounded like he even had an ugly hack of a prototype at that time.

Anyone who have not taped out yet is unlikely to deliver before the end of the year, and I'm pretty sure even Avalon has already passed the tape-out mark, now that I think back.

The PCB Design and layout is independent, and much easier than the tape-out process, so it generally comes after the parts specifics are final to prevent rework (like another manufacturer is likely doing)
sr. member
Activity: 297
Merit: 250
October 27, 2012, 01:55:31 PM
#76
I think that's all conjecture at this time, since there has been no official taping out etc from Tom regarding the bASIC either.  It's still up in the air who will ship first right now.
donator
Activity: 1617
Merit: 1012
October 27, 2012, 01:24:39 PM
#75
Quote
No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.

The bASIC ASICs are already taped out from the wafer...

Maybe you could tell us just what you think "taped out" means.
The data tape has been put into a Fedex/DHL overnight envelope and already out the door in the hands of the courier and on the way to the fab?

I guess nowadays people just SFTP the files to the fab.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
October 26, 2012, 11:58:29 PM
#74
Quote
No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.

The bASIC ASICs are already taped out from the wafer...

Maybe you could tell us just what you think "taped out" means.

Here, current status from the enemy thread m'lord!

... I will answer some of the questions I have seen posted
...
ASICS have been in fabrication for some weeks now,

The board design and PCB layout is currently taking place, I have two of the best engineering and layout firms in California working on this , and it will be spectacular

...

When the board design is completed it does not take long to fab the PCBs and get the boards assembled. The assembly house that I use - I have been working with since May - they have assembled hundreds of boards for me and they are one of the best out there. I can have all 1000 boards assembled in 5 days.

I believe that the mask set has been created and they are waiting on the wafer run, but I have not seen detail on those stages recently. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tape-out Tape-out simply means that they have sent the files to the manufacturer to make the masks.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1000
October 26, 2012, 10:45:02 PM
#73
Quote
No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.

The bASIC ASICs are already taped out from the wafer...

Maybe you could tell us just what you think "taped out" means.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
October 26, 2012, 10:18:51 PM
#72
Quote
No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.

The bASIC ASICs are already taped out from the wafer...
You mean wafers are diced, and devices ready for packaging? I wasn't following bASIC recently, that's quite impressive pace if true.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1005
October 26, 2012, 07:49:09 PM
#71
Quote
No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.

The bASIC ASICs are already taped out from the wafer...
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1006
October 26, 2012, 07:13:01 PM
#70
a lot of people will be SOL if that's the case.


They're assuming that everything is going to work out perfectly.



Don't worry. I'm sure everything will turn out just fine. Bang those things together and BAM: Überminer.

I mean their prototype works pret.....

Inaba, I guess you didn't see my question yesterday. Does BFL have a working (hashing) prototype ASIC miner?

No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.


..... oh....


oh dear.


all those fancy photos, but none are working.


heh, crazy stuff.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
October 26, 2012, 04:09:48 PM
#69
The sad thing is, BFL's eggs are all in one basket. They are counting in just in time manufacturing. One hiccup, one parts vendor shortage or significant delay or a chip respin because it was rushed and they are SOL.

Actually, it's not just them, everyone who ordered from BFL is SOL if that happens.

Actually they have inhouse assembly capability to some extent, so they are ahead of the pack as far as diversification of sources. All the other manufacturers have the same issue, but since they have gone from 0-60 in about 6 months (assuming full preorder shipments by EoY) the risk of having to respin and delay an extra 6-8 weeks would be considered minor compared with a whole second set of masks and batches half the size.


At the volumes we are talking about here is does not make any sense to negotiate and maintain multiple contracts for each part, maybe down the road if mining is a multi-billion dollar industry someday ($1000 bitcoins?) We are already talking about what the fabs would call "marginal quantities" at the quantities we are asking for. It's not like BFL put in for 100,000 7.5GH/s chips/month or something, they did a lot run of ~25,000 by current mining estimates, and will do another in a month or 2, or maybe they invested in 100k and are planning on selling them well into the new year (which would explain some of the longevity statements we have seen)

In any event they are not producing millions of these things like they are iPhones, it's just low thousands (or dozens for MiniRigs)

hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 1009
October 26, 2012, 03:22:49 PM
#68
a lot of people will be SOL if that's the case.


They're assuming that everything is going to work out perfectly.



Don't worry. I'm sure everything will turn out just fine. Bang those things together and BAM: Überminer.

I mean their prototype works pret.....

Inaba, I guess you didn't see my question yesterday. Does BFL have a working (hashing) prototype ASIC miner?

No, we are waiting on our ASIC chips right now, as I've stated in a number of other places, though it's understandable if you have missed the posts, since they are spread out everywhere.


..... oh....


oh dear.
hero member
Activity: 988
Merit: 1000
October 26, 2012, 03:18:11 PM
#67
The sad thing is, BFL's eggs are all in one basket. They are counting in just in time manufacturing. One hiccup, one parts vendor shortage or significant delay or a chip respin because it was rushed and they are SOL.

Actually, it's not just them, everyone who ordered from BFL is SOL if that happens.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
October 26, 2012, 02:09:09 PM
#66
You forgot 4) use the rig you paid for to mine a little bit, on the main net, under pretense of testing.

Quit trolling, that issue is pretty much dead and buried. There have been statements from all the manufacturers (except ASICMINER who have a different model) that they will be using either Testnet in a box (bASIC, BFL) or custom testing software (ngzhang)

I agree, there will always be some chance that some mainnet mining could happen and we would never know, but that would be a direct contradiction of public statements that would serve as grounds for a lawsuit IRL.

I remembered the threads from about a month ago where BFL were avoiding to commit to not "test" on the mainnet. Before posting this response, I checked the BFL website (found nothing), and their forums, where I found their statement that they won't be testing on mainnet:   https://forums.butterflylabs.com/showthread.php/52-ASIC-Pre-Shipment-Testing-Policy
I apologize for posting based on old information. I was not trying to troll.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
October 26, 2012, 01:39:59 PM
#65
You forgot 4) use the rig you paid for to mine a little bit, on the main net, under pretense of testing.

That issue is pretty much dead and buried. There have been statements from all the manufacturers (except ASICMINER who have a different model) that they will be using either Testnet in a box (bASIC, BFL) or custom testing software (ngzhang)

I agree, there will always be some chance that some mainnet mining could happen and we would never know, but that would be a direct contradiction of public statements that would serve as grounds for a lawsuit IRL. There are always people that are going to call them on it, but the statements are out there, and until any evidence to the contrary comes up I believe that they have passed the bar (by having a significant number of current satisfied customers and massive buy-in in the form of preorders, as well as communicating and updating their plans in a fairly coherent, if not optimal, way) to have their statements believed, but verified. BFL is doing a tour, Tom is taking on volunteer workers, and tons of folks are glued to their market and mining monitors like they are Oracles, hoping to a spike that might be ASIC testing.

Given the scrutiny they are under, risks to personal liberty and livelihood, likelihood of being caught (we know who they are), as well as the limited rewards (mining hawks see 1% deltas and freak out, what happens if they see 3TH come online at once? and that only has a return of $100k over 2 weeks) the idea of them changing their policies, or tolerating their employees sneaking units out the back door, is simply absurd.

FYI, if someone does violate the policy we have a nice class action lawsuit on our end, employee prosecution on their end, and BFL in the middle. Ain't no way they want to be in that pickle.

Edit: I understand about old info, no trolling intended, sorry about the knee-jerk assumption.
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