This coin gonna moon soon. Many dont understand this coin will be huge.
why you think so?
Because only thing holding this coin back from5-10$ is ico site. Once ico site fixed and btcd swap enabled... The rest of komodo pluses, which are huge, will be in the spotlight!
interesting theory but is that realistic? in my opinion the price will go down once the ico site is updated because all the people swap from btcd to kmd and will sell their kmd.
So where is my fallacy?
Another theory is that the ICO site has very little to do with price. Since the ICO site working/not working does not affect the KMD coin directly, it only shows that we take our time when taking over a contracted website project and are not very fast at getting it back online.
KMD is not about the ICO site, it is a decentralized platform. If anything, the ICO site problems should affect the BTCD arbitrage, but looking at BTCD price it is hard to even notice that it is any lower relative to the 50:1 conversion during the last month. Since the ICO site down only directly affects the BTCD conversion and that market price is not affected, it seems that any impact on KMD price itself is quite minimal.
The loudest voices are those who have pending conversions in the 18th payout. Of course, we take it seriously and will solve this, but let us not let the number of complaints about it equate to the magnitude of its effect on price.
I think a far more relevant gauge on price is something like the market price of ZEC, which is down more than 50% from the time when BTC dominance was 38%. It is a quite similar pattern with all the altcoins, including KMD.
The reality is that actual technical issues have small correlation with market price. Look at the giant impact of the unexpected KMD iOs wallet has not had on the price. If market price correlated to short term tech developments, you would think getting an iOs mobile wallet would have more than zero impact on price.
Let us put things in perspective. We are in a marathon and with the ICO site down, it is like our shirt got torn a bit and it is not looking like a good marathon running outfit. However, we keep making progress in spite of the torn shirt. And when we get a new shirt, our progress will not really be changed much at all.
Current new tech that is running like JUMBLR, barterDEX, several barterDEX GUIs, auto-portfolio balancing, and breadwallet apparently are not affecting price. So probably a privatebet decentralized gaming platform would also have no effect on the price.
That's ok, as this is a marathon and the day to day, or even month to month, price is just that. A temporary indicator of overall market sentiment, combined with sector combined with KMD specific, with likely diminishing influence. Which means that in the short term, the least effect on price is the actual KMD specific things.
That is why I dont pay much attention to short term price. With a 10x gain in fiat terms from ICO, we have done fine by the ICO investors and really those are the investors that we have the obligation to. For all the post-ICO investors, it is all about market timing, which is really quite a difficult thing to do and if you end up buying near the top, you will just need to wait it out until another up cycle kicks in, or sell at a loss. There is not much that I can do about that.