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Topic: Arepo's Detailed Price Analysis and Projections - page 7. (Read 14526 times)

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
I hope $120 will be tested soon... I like the excitement, but I would like to go to bed eventually.

breakout happened on schedule, but i don't think we're gonna make it to $120, which is short-term bullish. some consolidation to follow.


anyway -- still daytrading Cheesy i need to go to bed soon, too, it's been a long day. but for now:

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double bottom?

--arepo
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
I hope $120 will be tested soon... I like the excitement, but I would like to go to bed eventually.

Do you really think it will go lower?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
I hope $120 will be tested soon... I like the excitement, but I would like to go to bed eventually.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
good work on the short Smiley

yes I thought this seemed to be a critical moment and another turning point as it consolidates.

My question was kind of related to the following: If the talk is to be believed then the drop through 140 today would perhaps be in a large part to do with manipulators (I haven't seen evidence and I wasn't watching the charts at the time but I wouldn't discount it). So, that would perhaps imply that the fairly quick bounce back to ~$140 meant that's where the true market sentiment lies as a support? This is uneducated speculation on my part, but that's why I was wondering about the current resting at around $140.

Also trying to decide on a short term re-entry point, hence asking for other opinions. But it's not a good time to decide it seems. That said I'm still feeling mildy bullish after looking at google trends, hearing gox queue and fiat news and hearing the "china overtakes US on bitcoin client downloads" news today.

time will tell.

Thanks

there are probably a few large players who attempt to 'manipulate' the market, but their actions are as useful as an eagle's wings to a hurricane. we're butterflies, they're birds of prey Tongue

what i mean to say is -- a single manipulator acting alone doesn't make money, it's only the 'pigs' who panic sell that make the manipulator money. that being said, Mr M didn't cause the market crash today, weak hands did.

for the short-term, if $120 holds, worst case we may enter into a period of sideways consolidation around this price point, but down seems far-fetched. the cool thing about bitcoin -- especially now -- is that the price doesn't go down unless there's serious selling, because deflation is kicking in. sideways consolidation is bullish in the bitcoin world!

if $120 doesn't hold, well, that is a scary situation. the not-cool thing about bitcoin is that most hands are weak hands (daytraders, other speculators), who are -- as was observed today -- alternately greedy, and panicky, and are always very manipulable.

oh well.

--arepo
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
well, if I'd got home in time I would've done some trading on the 120 bounce... I walked in just as it was on it's way up!

Glad I sold most yesterday ~$155 !


What's this battle going on at $140 now? Anyone think it will hold?

i didn't 'get out' until things went way sour this morning. then i opened a short Wink

but im not sure what you're asking, exactly. also, from the data i'm looking at right now, this is still a critical moment, and it's going to be hard to make any projections until the price breaks out of this consolidation. that being said, we'll likely break under $140 again before any new trend appears, just in the course of consolidation.

anyone else have a hunch?



good work on the short Smiley

yes I thought this seemed to be a critical moment and another turning point as it consolidates.

My question was kind of related to the following: If the talk is to be believed then the drop through 140 today would perhaps be in a large part to do with manipulators (I haven't seen evidence and I wasn't watching the charts at the time but I wouldn't discount it). So, that would perhaps imply that the fairly quick bounce back to ~$140 meant that's where the true market sentiment lies as a support? This is uneducated speculation on my part, but that's why I was wondering about the current resting at around $140.

Also trying to decide on a short term re-entry point, hence asking for other opinions. But it's not a good time to decide it seems. That said I'm still feeling mildy bullish after looking at google trends, hearing gox queue and fiat news and hearing the "china overtakes US on bitcoin client downloads" news today.

time will tell.

Thanks
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
Question is, do the sellers still have enough ammo left to bring the price down to ~$120 again?

we'll see... the picture is forming. another triangle? i won't be so quick to make any bold claims, but im going to test my methods again. based on some measurements, i've come up with breakout in 90 +/- 60 minutes.

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no claims about direction, i'm just trying to determine how precise these kinds of measurements are after last night's experiment.

--arepo

[edited for significant figures -- 90 is rounded to tens, so error must be too]
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
Question is, do the sellers still have enough ammo left to bring the price down to ~$120 again?

I don't think there is a strict distinction between buyers and sellers. These things (also) happen because people panic, not (only) because people want to manipulate the price.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
Question is, do the sellers still have enough ammo left to bring the price down to ~$120 again?
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false


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sweet dead cat bounce, bro
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
anyone else have a hunch?

Down.  Wink

i think so too, but the $120 floor might just hold. that would be incredibly bullish mid-term -- we had to let off some steam but there are a lot of buyers, still.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
well, if I'd got home in time I would've done some trading on the 120 bounce... I walked in just as it was on it's way up!

Glad I sold most yesterday ~$155 !


What's this battle going on at $140 now? Anyone think it will hold?

the questions right now are really: will $120 hold if we break out downwards? and if so, how long will this consolidation last before we resume the bull trend?

a break below $120 will indicate a bear market in the short-term, at least.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
well, if I'd got home in time I would've done some trading on the 120 bounce... I walked in just as it was on it's way up!

Glad I sold most yesterday ~$155 !


What's this battle going on at $140 now? Anyone think it will hold?

i didn't 'get out' until things went way sour this morning. then i opened a short Wink

but im not sure what you're asking, exactly. also, from the data i'm looking at right now, this is still a critical moment, and it's going to be hard to make any projections until the price breaks out of this consolidation. that being said, we'll likely break under $140 again before any new trend appears, just in the course of consolidation.

anyone else have a hunch?
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
well, if I'd got home in time I would've done some trading on the 120 bounce... I walked in just as it was on it's way up!

Glad I sold most yesterday ~$155 !


What's this battle going on at $140 now? Anyone think it will hold?
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
another (small) wave down now, but support at $120 should hold, just consolidating inside the bounds of the leg down.

again, forgive me for the small timescale (15-min) -- im swing-trading.

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-===-

this is how you know an indicator is calibrated well -- perfect bounce off of the 50-line, micro-term bearish.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
another (small) wave down now, but support at $120 should hold, just consolidating inside the bounds of the leg down.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false

I'm still avoiding it. Bitcoinica was enough bucket shopping for me...

yeah, ive been profiting off of the volatility since $130 but it's not my money until i can take all of it out  Tongue
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
Interesting, where do you short BTCs? And what are the fees?

bitfinex has been good to me so far. does anyone know of any negative news associated with the service? i've been really wary with brokerages because i got burned in the bitcoinica fiasco, but there haven't been any red flags thus far.

as for fees, they're minimal. interest on positions is good too, because bitfinex has a lenders market inside of the platform, so people compete with each other for rates and they are therefore fairly priced by a market mechanism.

I'm still avoiding it. Bitcoinica was enough bucket shopping for me...
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
Interesting, where do you short BTCs? And what are the fees?

bitfinex has been good to me so far. does anyone know of any negative news associated with the service? i've been really wary with brokerages because i got burned in the bitcoinica fiasco, but there haven't been any red flags thus far.

as for fees, they're minimal. interest on positions is good too, because bitfinex has a lenders market inside of the platform, so people compete with each other for rates and they are therefore fairly priced by a market mechanism.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Interesting, where do you short BTCs? And what are the fees?
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