It seems that in the early part of a bull market, Bitcoin goes up faster than altcoins (ie Bitcoin dominance goes up.) In the late part of a bull market, Bitcoin still goes up but altcoins go up even better (ie Bitcoin dominance goes down.)
In a bear market, altcoins fall faster than Bitcoin (ie Bitcoin dominance recovers somewhat but has to wait for the next bull market to go really high.)
So, it would seem the correct play is to buy altcoins at this point, and then convert them into Bitcoin (or sell) when you see the bull market ending?
Any thoughts?
Astute observation.
Much has been writ about bitcoin's alleged price volatility. Alt markets being low(er) volume traded assets, opens the door to them trading with higher volatility imo. There is often an uptrending price correction in alts after a bitcoin uptrend. But sometimes the upswing has to be sustained for weeks or months, which can make the timing to enter into alts iffy.
If bitcoin being defined by 4 year boom and bust cycles, incentivized by its rewards pool halving roughly every 4 years holds true. A decent strategy could be to buy bitcoin. Ride it to new highs. Sell. Then buy alts in the hope of catching their eventual price correction in bitcoin's wake.
To be honest, there are always so many opportunities everywhere in crypto, I don't know how likely or unlikely an investment scenario that is. Gains from bitcoin's 4 year cycle alone can be so large. And opportunities presented by emerging alts can be so tempting. That really there might be zero need for any type of special timing play.
[I used to post as BobK71, and am using a new account after some logistical mixup.]
I remember BobK71 as an author of many gold and precious metals topics in this section. Welcome, if you are him.