this is obvious that it can happen, nothing is written, if Inoue feels bad that day? or he has some ailment or injury and that can affect him, I don't think Butler comes out with the intention of giving him a knockout, but rather Butler must have a good strategy to withstand all the attacks that Inoue is coming at him, this fight is going to be very good.
There's no fight yet where Inoue feels bad on that day. And there's only 1 time where Inoue struggled in his fight and that was against Nonito Donaire in their first match. He was badly beaten by Donaire in the early rounds but look at how he give the patience to regain his momentum and then finally got the unanimous win against Donaire. That's why in their rematch, he didn't let that experience happen again, and finished easily that fight.
The old Donaire can even beat Paul Butler that's why no need for any logic here that Butler can stand a chance against Naoya Inoue.
I also disagree with you that Butler does have a strategy to withstand all attacks from Inoue. That was hard to imagine believe me. He can dodge, he can avoid those punches from Inoue but to withstand it? I really have a big doubt.
Not to disrespect Butler but yes, comparing to the pinoy flash, I agree that even that old Donaire can have a chance of beating Butler,
the first match against Inoue was close but the rematch,
Donaire can't do anything as the monster dominates and knocks him down in the earlier rounds. Inoue improves a lot for sure that how
many fans and viewers use as basis, they saw that prime Inoue is far better than his upcoming opponent.
Maybe the fight against Casimero might be close if ever chances or fate allow that the two warriors
will deal it up, maybe if Casimero makes his way to have a title fight and grabs a new belt.
Well, I don't see it as disrespecting him, I think it's a very accurate analysis, I know that Butler is not in his best shape, maybe the boxer is a little distracted, but at some point he has to do things better, if he doesn't, it's likely that he'll think about quitting boxing, besides, it wouldn't be bad, when a person feels that he can't be at such a high level, he shouldn't overexert himself because it can even be dangerous, I know that Inoue has a lot of technique, and he is incredible, but despite his weight it seems that he is stronger than he really shows and this is something that must be taken into account, I think that the skill and talent are obvious in him, maybe because That's why the chances are getting smaller and smaller for Butler.
Honestly, I don't think Paul Butler will last 5 rounds. I am not sure if it's intentional for Inoue to look for knockouts unless his opponents are hurt already and he just went for the kill. But he knows that he's got power in both hands.
That will lead to low odds of Inoue winning within 5 rounds as he is known to finish his opponent in the early rounds.
We can only expect high odds on Inoue winning in late rounds but as a bettor, I would not place any bet in later rounds. It's hard to make money in this fight where the battle is between a Giant and a Small fry (Please don't take personally the word I used).
Can't wait to see the other betting options.
I checked Inoue's knockout record. 60% of his KO victories are inside 5 rounds and 75% of his KOs are inside 6 rounds. That's some crazy stats. I'd been looking as well for more markets about the fight but I still can't find any.
Anyways, I cannot wait for this fight to happen even if we see it as too one-sided. I have huge respect for Butler taking this unification fight, he is here because he is a champion and we will see what he brings.
I just realized that Top Rank and ESPN continue to have the best fighters in boxing. Naoya Inoue, Shakur Stevenson, Vasiliy Lomachenko, Devin Haney, Teofimo Lopez, Josh Taylor, Artur Beterbiev, and Tyson Fury. Just when I thought earlier that Bob Arum is getting older, that he is losing his touch and he failed to get a hold of Crawford and Zurdo. So I thought Top Rank will die slowly. I was wrong.
Well it's interesting and it's also curious, normally a knockout should occur in the first round to demonstrate superiority, of course those statistics are very interesting, apparently they have taken into account the performance of the boxer's effort, and well this is interesting, obviously many have left because of Inoue's performance, and they put aside what Butler can do, most people don't have any faith in him, but I like to think of other ways, not everything is written, things They can happen, it hasn't happened yet but I think it could be a good surprise, maybe they say that I think wrong or it's that I have a lot of hope, but why not?
Actually, a knockout is totally possible to happen within that range and to put it on perspective, all of the four range options have 25% chances of win and it's really hard to predict where will Inoue finish the fight. Anyway, my point is that Butler totally knows that he can't do much in this fight to give Inoue some hard time and having said that, he might try to survive as long as he can because engaging a toe-to-toe fight won't benefit him. That is why for me, round 4-6 is the best option.
The 6 round range is something that can happen, but as I said before, do you think Butler can get beaten that easily? With all the time that has passed, I know that Butler has prepared himself a lot, and he has seen the news, sees the probabilities and all those statistics. For me, Butler is one of the boxers who should have the clearest Inoue statistics, I am sure that He doesn't want to get into that rank of those who have been knocked out, of course it's just a guess, but I think that in this fight they will reach the 12th round and if Butler applies a security strategy, the Japanese will try to get out of it.
