Topic: Don't bet against the public? - page 8. (Read 1219 times)

The public mean the favourite which mean when public called the particular team as the favourite usually those teams is very strong and almost be certain to be the winner of every matches and if there is any people has attempts to bets against the public usually they will received high odds for each bets because betting at underdog team has high odd then automatically the winning percentages for each bets also will be very small and to bets on this option very often the chances is below to 50% so this might be not a good way to gets steady profit from sport betting especially for long term and for me personally betting on the favourite teams is always be my main option for sport betting and i won't bets against them unless those favourite teams facing storm injury or decline performance then probably i will bets against them

It doesn't matter if you want to bet against the public or not. It's actually more wiser to follow the data not because someone or my the public speaks mor of the team. If you know very well that they aren't having good or better statistics in the past games then it will be better to follow your own idea about the games. For me I prefer better for fun as it isn't a long term thing. You can't always expect all your bets to have good out comes especially if we are still considering it to be a game of luck. We just have to familiarize ourselves with the games or sport we mostly bet on then know most of the teams , their strength and weaknesses. this will help us know what to bet on and who to..

Everyone hopes to be successful bettor and tries (I hope) various approaches.  I have tried many times the betting against myself ^{(by setting contra bets on different sites largely for various ball games like football, basketball etc.. )} but had found it hard to figure out which one  of my opposed betting was on the running thus I met  such tactic  with a little success. But betting against public.. this a different story for me. ^{(I win more than often in this case)}.

When you wants to betting, you should depends on yourself although you can search for what opinion from public. But still you need to have your own decision from analyzing the info that you get before. But if you gamble because of having fun, you don't have to be serious and only betting for the match that you know both team and you also know which team that can win.

A pro gamblers will search for many information from many sources so they can have more data to analyze including public opinion. But they don't just to follow what others said as that can not always right. They will try to analyze based on their skill and the info so they will pick the team that they think the team can win.

Betting against the crowd is, of course, risky, but the odds will always be high. To understand this, you need good knowledge, which includes careful preparatory analysis, reading the news, and whether there is a fake background. However, people who play against a person often bet on the obvious outcome of a match when a famous team is playing—a grand, without analyzing what form it is in. A good analysis should consist of finding out where so much news noise comes from and whether there is someone who can benefit from this noise. But constantly betting against the crowd is probably not the right strategy, since sometimes the crowd can bet in the right direction, and only your experience and intuition should tell you at what specific moment you need to play against.

This does not mean anything because the exact bet most people take can result to losses. If you bet against what they take, it might be a lost instead. Betting is a game of chance.

The best answer for this is no if you think of making money solely from gambling. The chance that can happen is very low but possible. The possibility which is very small and make bettors to be vulnerable to losses.

Just like I meant, do not think you can be successful from betting. It is dangerous the way you are thinking about it.

The concept of betting against the public means betting against the majority. If you’re part of that majority, then someone is betting against you. Betting experts encourage this strategy because the public often makes poor decisions based on emotion rather than analytical thinking. This can create opportunities for savvy bettors who are willing to go against the crowd.

Betting against the public can indeed be an effective strategy and even it is very necessary to at least get a bigger return or win, but I think we also have to be realistic and not always have to go against the public if the odds of winning actually look more inclined to the public choice, so I think we have to analyze and take an informed and planned approach so that we can Deciding the decision that we will take is to fight or join the public, going against the public will of course be easier but we don't have to fight ourselves because it will usually cause turmoil of doubt in making the right decision and ultimately tend to make us pessimistic about the bets we make.

Most people may tend to gamble following the public, but there are also those who gamble based on their own beliefs or rely on their luck against the public - and I am that type. Because in my opinion when someone bets it should be based on what they believe, not what other people say. I'm not saying that someone doesn't need to see what the public is betting on, but don't rely too much on it, just make it a reference, and bet based on what we believe, because even if we lose at least we lose with our own analysis and we can use it as a lesson to bet better in the future.

Irrespective of gambling responsibly and gambling of it own is a game of luck, neither in short term or a long term gambling can help us develop a successful strategy that would give us constant winning.
It would always be seated on lucky base as long as it is a sport bets as mentioned.

So I think it is commendable of the short term bettors if they are seem as less interest bettors in the house edge because the more we thrive on highily expectations is the more we could loose.
So it is better we expect less and loose lesser than expecting more and stands chances of loosing more too.

Even though I do take the public’s opinion into consideration, I don’t make it to be a deciding factor. I still look at how the teams are performing and who I think are most likely to win based on current state and historical records. Some drama outside of the match may also affect like maybe the team is undergoing managerial changes or some players are leaving.

If there is a popular choice, you need to consider why that may be and whether it is true. Sometimes the popular choice is indeed the right one. It’s popular for a reason so it is up to you to know why and decide whether it’s valid and justified

Personally I don't like to follow the crowd, I'd first of all critically consider whether it'll be favorable to me to do so. Ofcourse popular opinion is important in a match, when you consider the players and teams, especially if it's a strong team against a less stronger team, then guessing the winning team won't be so hard. But in all we can't underestimate the luck factor that can turn the table around, that is why it's called gambling. I gamble more for the thrill of it, not necessarily for long term goals of making money from it and that is why I use the amount that I can afford to loose.

The idea of betting against the public often comes from the notion that the public tends to favor obvious choices, which can lead to skewed odds. However, success in sports betting doesn't strictly depend on going against the grain.

Long-term success requires a comprehensive understanding of the sport, the betting market, and a disciplined strategy. It's not just about betting against the public but making informed decisions based on thorough research and analysis. Whether you're betting for fun or aiming for profit, consistency and knowledge are key.

It's a very popular saying in the sports betting community, but the real question is: have we actually proven that it's profitable? If not, then we should stick with our betting strategy. So what if we're always siding with the public? As long as we’re having fun and not losing a lot, I think that's fine.

Let’s be hones - while there are plenty of strategies out there that claim to help us be profitable, they’re useless if we haven’t proven them to ourselves.

That is an interesting idea you are talking about-betting against the public or against the public-and the idea of "smart betting". Betting on populations leads to the idea when the population is heavily onto one side, it's best to choose the opposite. That is especially good when the stakes move owing to heavy betting. However success in betting does not always have to be disrupted:.

as you said Casual gamblers. Maybe emphasize luck rather than strategy. But for serious gamblers A steady win sometimes depends on balance. Sometimes they bet against the crowd where information and odds come together. And sometimes They bet their money on what the majority of people want. When strategies are created and studies on market trends are developed, profitability comes. And even then, success would still be without adequate banking plans. Finally, what is right depends on the betting goals. Whether you are a fun gambler or a serious one, both can enjoy this process. They use different methods according to their goals instead.


You are correct that statistics have to be of prime importance while betting in sports. Betting is an attractive concept for the masses, but ultimate success depends on the wholeness which incorporates data analysis and case study. Understanding the metrics performance benchmarks and the context of each game will, therefore, enable bettors to make better choices.

As you said Style bets often give an edge. Especially when a particular style may resonate with many people. As much as people may feel, factors like injuries, weather, and even previous volatility can influence the result in ways that the ordinary bettor may not even consider. It is interesting to see how technology is changing the sports betting landscape. Many bettors today use complex models to analyze data and identify profitable bets. Sometimes, this negative impact affects public opinion. So while public perception might play a role, but an informed betting strategy which takes statistics into account leads to greater long-term success.

I think the smart approach to picking a team is not to look at which team the public is most likely to pick but rather at which team is statistically more likely to win and it doesn't always have to be your favorite team, I have a team that I always favor in every league that is running but that doesn't mean I will continue to bet on them when they are faced with a team or player that is statistically more likely to win.

If we talk about success then yes of course everyone will think that it will only happen after you go through various long-term processes but I think it will only be appropriate when we talk about other activities outside of gambling because after all gambling will still be an activity that leads to one of two possibilities, namely winning or losing, or what I mean is even though you feel that you have become a professional gambler but it does not mean that you will never experience defeat, meaning maybe I can also say that there is no word professional or successful in gambling because after all in gambling previous wins cannot be used as a guarantee that in the future you will win again even though you apply the same strategy.

On the other hand, gambling with the intention of having fun does not mean that they have limited interests, but because they know that gambling is not something that should be done too seriously considering the risk of defeat will always be part of the game and also considering that there are already quite a lot of people who have suffered a lot of setbacks.

It depends on what you refer to as long-term, if it's gambling for longer duration (2 years or more inconsistently skipping days as your schedules demands) cumulatively, then I'm going to see things through your lens. If you're speaking of gambling for longer hours than normal or gambling consecutively for days, weeks, months or thereabouts, then I'll reject your concept because after such time of involvement. You'll end up measuring your wasted time and opportunities, wasted finances and possible addiction struggles.

Betting for fun doesn't really mean lack of interest, it's mostly a behavior pattern to employ in gambling to prevent unnecessary emotional outbursts that leads to gambling addiction and limiting your staking power to your spare funds only and not involving more than you can afford to lose in gambling. No matter how much you study the sports, you would still lose if it's your fate. Even experienced gamblers suffers great loss still, so let's continue betting for fun

For me, it still depends. Success or winnings will not rely on betting against the public or going with them together.

Especially if you are in sports betting, some are using analytics to decide which team or player to bet on even if it's a crowd favorite, sometimes situational betting is good for this because it involves some conditions that may make crowd favorites more likely to cover.

The public here mainly consists of bettors who tend to bet on the favorites, whether it’s point spread or moneyline. Most suggestions we see online emphasize that to be considered a smart bettor, you should bet against the public. But what if we don’t bet against ourselves? Can we still find success in sports betting?

When we talk about success, it should be viewed as a long-term process. Some of us may not see ourselves betting long-term, which makes it hard for them to relate to this concept. If someone is just betting for fun, they likely won’t be well-versed in the terminology of sports betting, as their interest is quite limited. In contrast, those who genuinely want to win will study the sports betting market and seek ways to succeed, even if the chances are slim.