Topic: Don't bet against the public? - page 3. (Read 1925 times)

Right thing to do because if you’re betting without a plan, that’s just throwing money around blindly. You’ll also start spotting those “public bets,” and if you're not careful, you might end up on the wrong side. There’s a lot of info out there if you want to dig deeper, but be cautious, don’t get misled. You need solid knowledge to make good calls. Remember this, there’s no guarantee you’ll win every time, but most of the time is enough to make sports betting profitable in the long run.

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https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/nfl/public-betting-trends/
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/public-betting
https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/consensus-picks

If they humbled even if they win streaks, they will know that their winning is because of their luck and their analysis. They will not become too proud of themselves because that will no use. Betting against public can gives a good profit but that will depends on the teams that will match. That is why we must have a good skills to analyze each team so we will know what team that have a big chance to win although the weak team can turn the situation and gives the weak team a chance to beat the strong team. That can happens anytime so we must be careful when analyze the team and not forget about the weak team chance to win.

Yes, no one will know what will be the outcome of the match but they can still analyze to finds the right team that can wins. Having experience and good skill to analyze will helps you to have a right choice of the team that can win. But you must be careful when placing your bet and not use too big money if you are not ready with the losses. The losses will comes anytime without you notice so when you only place a small bet, that will not be a problem for you when you lose because that is the money you can afford to lose in gambling. You will not consider to keep playing gambling because you know how long you can playing gambling and when you must stop gambling.

Challenges as this affects the way players place their bets, due to doubts and self negligence. Most often the public opinion tend to switch some gambler's initial prediction to another one, which could end up being false. However, going with our own choices can be beneficial and painful according to the outcome of the match.

Nobody is sure of the right results. That's the reason for some of the experienced players who get confused of the right prediction.

Yup, there are many factors including the refs and coaches decisions, we can't conclude if how the coach will play their game, and how the opposing teams will counter the system, that's the reason why there are underdogs who manage to win against the heavy favorites, they asume that there's no way that the underdog will win, but when the game start the underdog is more prepared and sometimes, the officials are helping.

Though, there are things that we might be able to anticipate if we are betting during the live game we might see how the game being played and we can assume if who's going to have the edge.

Betting in sports is full of uncertainty and risk, although we have tried to analyze every possibility that exists, but There are always unexpected factors that can affect the outcome of the match, such as the performance of the players on the day, the referee decision, the condition of the players and even luck, it is not wrong for us to play against the public, especially if the one who plays is our favorite team, although they are not the favorites with greater odds of course we luck may be on our side,  however, it is important to always consider the higher risks and not bet more than we have.

i love challenge mate that is why I am going against the public but of course  using small amount so i can deal with challenge but not bringing all my losses at all times.

but of course this is depending in our plans and suggestions .

Usually, it seems to a beginner that it is quite easy to determine who will win and make the appropriate bet. Especially when you have managed to win a couple of times before. Here, sometimes, there can be a huge surprise for a beginner, which will result in a series of losses and then regrets about your stupidity. Still, all serious players, of course, do some analysis of the situation before each match on which they place bets. And to do this, you need not only the statistics of previous matches of a given team, but also a lot of other information. For example, reliable information about the health of individual players at the moment, or some other insider information.
This is probably similar to a mini-investigation of various circumstances before the match.
In my opinion, this is the right thing to do if the stakes on the game are already quite large.

true what you said, this also needs to be considered because there are times when we will watch a match between two teams that are indeed seen to be superior even though we can place bets but we also have to pay attention to ourselves if we do not feel confident then it is better not to place bets because sometimes this can affect us more than just betting so the good thing to do is watch and enjoy the course of the match that is more than enough. In addition, we can previously do an analysis to place bets, even though we already know which team is superior but it does not rule out the possibility that the team we support will lose, therefore analyzing it first is also something that must be considered because placing bets haphazardly is not right even though there is a possibility that luck will be on your side but it is not as easy as it seems.

No one is supposed to know the exact outcome of a bet, unless he is involved in the fixing. Experience in match analysis in sports can increase your chances of winning. In this case we don't know the 100% sure result but in some matches we can pick the best swing to win or it is easy to pick. Again analyzing some matches makes it impossible to get results, if both teams are strong. But no matter how experienced you are in betting, there will always be a risk of losing your money. Even if you get a preview through match analysis, the final result remains a possibility for you. Be too aggressive in betting is not the best thing to do, bet only the amount you are prepared to lose. Match analysis experience will help you win more than lose.

Well said, no one can constantly be very accurate with their predictions, sometimes one can be right on several occasions and it may seem as though you're getting it clear or have unlocked the key to successful gambling but just one game or several loses after multiple streaks of winning would just get you humbled, I've seen people one the media who call themselves gambling experts, Lords of sports betting get humbled by a single bet. Sometimes betting against the public pays, though it doesn't happen very often cause bigger teams would always be superior to underdogs in the eyes of the bookies and the public would always bet on teams that are the favourites to win based on their odds, form and quality of players compared to  their opponents but I've seen cases where betting against the public payed off for instance in the EPL week 11, Manchester City where clear favourites but they lost to Brighton, likewise Tottenham losing to a buttom league team Ipswich Town, I bet the public picked Manchester City and Tottenham to win those matches but those few people who defiled the odds and bet against the public in those matches won.

Of course, but there are also people who deliberately choose team that are not favorites and are weaker for larger odds number but they manage to win the bet, whether this is kind of luck or match result that has been arranged from the start, but what is clear is that many incidents like this have occurred in recent times.
I have experienced many defeats with several favorite team and that is what has become belief for me to be more careful with betting choices, no matter how good someone makes predictions and analysis, there must also be chance of failure.

Yes, you are right because we can only analyze and predicts which team that can wins without knowing if that team can really wins against the opponent. That will depends on your analysis and if your analysis say that you can bet against the public, you can follows that or vice versa. The important thing is you know what you needs to do and if you really wants to place a bet, you know that will have risk so you will not risks too much money in betting. That will helps you to reduces the risks of losing your money but you can enjoy your betting.

Although there are always elements in the crowd that create excitement and disturb the crowd, but when the statistics show that the crowd is leaning towards the opposite side of our calculations, there is a high possibility that we are making a mistake in our prediction ability or more precisely, bigotry is against the crowd, many people often do not like to admit the common point of view and create their own point of view to have a difference in order to try not to lose face. Therefore, when there is no such coincidence, it is better to stay on the sidelines so as not to take the bitterness and only participate when there is more balanced basis.

Good point, if you are unsure better to skip and enjoy watching the game, not unless that you have that confidence inside you then putting some spare to adds up with your enjoyment while watching and supporting the game. It's always wise to bet with games you fully understand and not just relying with luck but also have some basis when placing your bets.

Knowing the capabilities of the team/player that you'll be going to support always gives you decent idea if what might be the possible edge either they are the heavy favorite or they are the underdog.

Well, succeeding in sports betting has nothing to do with who or the group a betttor is betting against, but has everything to do with personal choices and decisions. It might interest you to know that when it comes to betting on sports, even the public arent and can't always be right, use the 2022 world cup as an example, when Argentina played against Saudi Arabia, majority  put their bet on Argentina, but later on, Saudi Arabia won that match by 1 goal to nothing, those who for some reasons, betted for Saudi Arabia made a good amount of money as profit for their bet.

So, in the nutshell, it's better to carry out a good research and analysis, place your bet on who you think will win the match, and don't bet on a team because it's the favorite of the majority, for like I said before, at times, even the majority can be wrong.

What I have seen to be a boost to our betting is being a member of some really good channels or websites that deal exclusively with that, sport betting. They can be used as a measurement tool to gauge our type of betting and take actions based on that. I don't fully agree with this approach though as if everyone thinks Inter team will win a certain game they may still lose, so take the data and statistics with caution before going against or like the public.

These are two different things, but if you really want to see if you can make money in sports betting, it should be based on long-term results. I think a lot of people claim they’re profitable, sharing their big winning slips, but they don’t really show their full track record because they know it doesn’t add up. If it’s true that only 1% of sports bettors are actually successful, well, at least we’ve still got a shot, right?

That's why it's long term because we "plan" for our future.

Long term betting or short term betting are two completely different things. Whether you bet long-term or short-term depends entirely on your conscience. You will achieve success in betting, there is no specific reason and it can be seen that you are able to earn a good profit due to various analytical reasons. I think short term anything is volatile so you have a better chance of succeeding or making more profit with long term bets.

Betting success depends on various factors as well as our own constructive planning.

No accurate prediction even how deep your knowledge and how deal with all the analysis and research in terms of gambling nothing is for sure, like you mentioned you can go and bet with the public or you can go ahead and bet against the public, it's more on your own assessment and how you think you analyze everything, what is important, you did your own research and you use the amount that you are willing to let just in case the result is against you.

Betting success depends on several things. It doesn't matter whether it is against the public or not. And I think where analyse can fail how to depends on other factors. There is no reason to depend on any other factor to get success and it is not possible to get any success by depending on any types of factor.