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Topic: Don't bet against the public? - page 3. (Read 2883 times)

legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1009
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December 01, 2024, 03:35:59 PM
The public here mainly consists of bettors who tend to bet on the favorites, whether it’s point spread or moneyline. Most suggestions we see online emphasize that to be considered a smart bettor, you should bet against the public. But what if we don’t bet against ourselves? Can we still find success in sports betting?

When we talk about success, it should be viewed as a long-term process. Some of us may not see ourselves betting long-term, which makes it hard for them to relate to this concept. If someone is just betting for fun, they likely won’t be well-versed in the terminology of sports betting, as their interest is quite limited. In contrast, those who genuinely want to win will study the sports betting market and seek ways to succeed, even if the chances are slim.
Sometimes majority of the bettors are biased or maybe influenced by the popular opinion or social media tactics so betting against the public could be profitable. But always remember, this is gambling and this is always what happens, sometimes you need to be part of the public to have a successful streak in betting.

example in sports, you really need a good analyzation for those teams, if you really want to chase that win, you'll go deep on that but for fun, this is not needed. We also sometimes rely on good odds so betting against the public isn't really a top tier tactic for betting, it's just one of the commons.



sr. member
Activity: 2618
Merit: 439
December 01, 2024, 03:18:54 PM
I will only say in either ways or strategies luck is the key winner of the gambling. If you bet against the public and you have luck that day then you win and if not you lose. But we have to know that the public is not always at the wrong side because the bettors have analyze the games before supporting the them so if you are using the opposite strategy to against them then you will depend only on luck. Like these days many of the major teams are not doing well so if you follow the public then you might loss but not always. And before you bet against the public, you need to do your own calculations on the odds and lines of they were tempered. Guys luck is the key determiner of the strategy.
We can analyze and strategize to no end but someone who just randomly picked a random bet and got lucky can still beat you lol. It seems too harsh and unfair but that’s gambling. You either luck out or not. As per the public being right, it doesn’t happen always. Sometimes the public even have the most braindead takes because they might not be as credible to analyze an event since they just do not have an expertise to that. Bias can also play a huge part. Experts are still the best source.
hero member
Activity: 1624
Merit: 791
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December 01, 2024, 03:10:32 PM
Theirs some people who gamble base on influence and their's some people who gambles because of personal intension and and basic way they understand gambling without following public influence, it normally depends on individuals difference on how they comprehend gambling, because I know quite well that if you don't have passion on gambling you will not develop interest, theirs something I know that pushed you to understand gambling and will not make you to bet ordinary you most oppose before you can win.
Some people don't have a passion for gambling to begin with but after they see the public influence of 'let's say he saw a streamer who won a large amount' then it will lead others to try even though there was no intention of gambling in the first place.
How not the influence of the streamer has a big impact on other people who watch it sometimes think if they follow the gambling game there is confidence to win even though that is not necessarily.
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1054
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
December 01, 2024, 02:58:34 PM
The bookie analyze the match and gives odds. Public choose the favorite due to odds. Bookie see that the public bet the favorite and decrease odd. Public see it and bet more and more. As the result it is possible that odd can decrease from 1.5 to 1.1 when you see it. And i think that all of us understand the difference between such odds.
The best way is to analyze your bets yourself. The same time it is more interesting than you just copy someones` thoughts.
So that will be better if we analyze our bet by ourselves and not depend on what public choose. Besides that, what public choose can't always better or have a chance to win but with analysis, we can know more information that will benefit us to choose what is the team.

Maybe you can copy someone choice than to follow what public choose as you found something interesting from the information that different from what public know. That is why we must be wise placing our bet and not just follow or against public bet before we analyze.
During one experiment i made bets with the odds 1.05-1.2. As the result i lost all my money during 3 weeks. So if we believe someone we get the same result. But also we get less odds than we can.
I prefer to make a bet after my own analyze. All people differs but i think that it much more interesting to think hard and after it get the prize for it, than to follow someone`s advice and get less money or lose.

Indeed, it's better to do your own analysis and harvest the fruith of your success, though some gamblers use to copy someone's strategy or they might be following what's the public is betting with but in terms of enjoyment it's more enjoyable if you are winning decently using your own knowledge, it gave you idea if how much amount you'll going to spare, it might be depends on factors that you consider when placing your bets, it weights the confidence if you see how good the team or player that you'll going to support
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 507
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
December 01, 2024, 08:26:34 AM
I think that initially it is a very bad guideline - to go against the majority. In gambling, the goal is not to beat other people.
 The main goal of gambling is to win and get money. And it does not matter whether the majority did the same or not. It does not matter who to bet on - the favorite or the underdog, the main thing is to bet on those who will win, and it does not matter how much or little money will be won later.
to beat other people or bookies is not the goal of gambling, besides it is better not to have the goal of making money in gambling. Although there is indeed an opportunity to get profit in gambling, it is better for us to have a goal such as just looking for entertainment by gambling not to make money and I think you yourself know why it is not recommended to have the goal of making money in gambling.
We must be able to have our own limits and good responses to what will happen with the results later, lose or win the results we must be able to accept it well the goal is to stay in a safe state.
hero member
Activity: 553
Merit: 509
December 01, 2024, 07:31:50 AM
I think that initially it is a very bad guideline - to go against the majority. In gambling, the goal is not to beat other people.
 The main goal of gambling is to win and get money. And it does not matter whether the majority did the same or not. It does not matter who to bet on - the favorite or the underdog, the main thing is to bet on those who will win, and it does not matter how much or little money will be won later.
hero member
Activity: 896
Merit: 654
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
December 01, 2024, 05:40:13 AM
I will only say in either ways or strategies luck is the key winner of the gambling.
Everyone needs to understand that gambling means luck only. It doesn’t at all matter where you bet, whether it is with the public or with personal favorites. If it’s your bad day, then no one can save you from losing the game. You need to play with your luck and take chances. These fan favorites are just excuses to counter the losses. Be a man and accept the losses. Next time, calculate the risks and then only bet.
I was surprised when I first read the OP, it was as if he didn't understand gambling. Gambling is not voting in which the majority will be declared the winner, this is a serious business whose outcome is not known by anybody. This is skill and luck-based and we've seen cases where the majority will be the pathetic losers and we've seen the table turning in their favour as well. Above all, we should know what we are doing and follow our minds, not others. It is those who do not have experience with what they are doing that will be following the public, even the bookies will like all of you to make the same decision so that they will make more money from you most times, for gamblers lose more than they win.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 960
December 01, 2024, 04:57:10 AM
~snip~
Everyone needs to understand that gambling means luck only. It doesn’t at all matter where you bet, whether it is with the public or with personal favorites. If it’s your bad day, then no one can save you from losing the game. You need to play with your luck and take chances. These fan favorites are just excuses to counter the losses. Be a man and accept the losses. Next time, calculate the risks and then only bet.

Yes, you are absolutely right, but at the same time, the human mind is great at creating stories, and it attaches meaning to many things that have nothing to do with reality.

For example, if you win at the casino when a blonde was next to you, suddenly you assume she brings you luck.

If you lose when someone sneezes then you immediately think sneezing is bad luck, and so on.

It doesn't make sense.. but that's how our brains evolved...
hero member
Activity: 2548
Merit: 769
December 01, 2024, 01:56:30 AM
The bookie analyze the match and gives odds. Public choose the favorite due to odds. Bookie see that the public bet the favorite and decrease odd. Public see it and bet more and more. As the result it is possible that odd can decrease from 1.5 to 1.1 when you see it. And i think that all of us understand the difference between such odds.
The best way is to analyze your bets yourself. The same time it is more interesting than you just copy someones` thoughts.
So that will be better if we analyze our bet by ourselves and not depend on what public choose. Besides that, what public choose can't always better or have a chance to win but with analysis, we can know more information that will benefit us to choose what is the team.

Maybe you can copy someone choice than to follow what public choose as you found something interesting from the information that different from what public know. That is why we must be wise placing our bet and not just follow or against public bet before we analyze.
During one experiment i made bets with the odds 1.05-1.2. As the result i lost all my money during 3 weeks. So if we believe someone we get the same result. But also we get less odds than we can.
I prefer to make a bet after my own analyze. All people differs but i think that it much more interesting to think hard and after it get the prize for it, than to follow someone`s advice and get less money or lose.
hero member
Activity: 2912
Merit: 541
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 30, 2024, 10:34:00 PM
The bookie analyze the match and gives odds. Public choose the favorite due to odds. Bookie see that the public bet the favorite and decrease odd. Public see it and bet more and more. As the result it is possible that odd can decrease from 1.5 to 1.1 when you see it. And i think that all of us understand the difference between such odds.
The best way is to analyze your bets yourself. The same time it is more interesting than you just copy someones` thoughts.
So that will be better if we analyze our bet by ourselves and not depend on what public choose. Besides that, what public choose can't always better or have a chance to win but with analysis, we can know more information that will benefit us to choose what is the team.

Maybe you can copy someone choice than to follow what public choose as you found something interesting from the information that different from what public know. That is why we must be wise placing our bet and not just follow or against public bet before we analyze.
hero member
Activity: 2884
Merit: 794
I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!
November 30, 2024, 11:11:38 AM
Should I bet against the public or not? Now I have made some very small bets based on this principle: bets on 4 Premier League matches according to the "against the public" rule. Bets on 3 Bundesliga matches on favorites. Bets on 2 Serie A matches for draws. This is just an experiment, because the stakes are very small, which is not a pity to lose. How often can a sure bet on a favorite be a trap? How often does it make sense to bet "against the public"? The empirically calculated answer to both questions is about one out of five or less. But it's quite difficult to guess this one chance.
Of course, I do not insist on the correctness of my conclusions, it is possible that these are erroneous conclusions so far.
At the end the question is moot, a gambler is not betting against the public but against the casino, so we need to take a look at the odds and at the potential outcome that we expect and decide whether it is the right thing to take one side of the bet or the other, what other people are doing should not be a factor at all in our decision taking process, since at the end the ones paying in the case you win is not the people, but the casino you have chosen to make your bets.
hero member
Activity: 2548
Merit: 769
November 30, 2024, 02:34:12 AM
Most of the time. The public bets this post referring are those favorite bets which the chance of winning is high but that doesn’t mean betting against is already a complete loss.

All bets has a chance of winning even if the odds is the vice versa of 1.01. The only downside on betting with the minority is you are always gambling 1 feet under losing your money already wven though the game is not yet started.

Betting against favorite is only advisable for those who can analyze well a game.
Yes, I agree with that. Those who wants to betting against the public needs to analyze well a game so they can know why they do that. Many people don't want to betting against the public because they believe that public have some people who can analyze the match. Usually, not many people will tell to others that they place a bet against the public because they don't wants to argue with other people and prefer to hide their choice.

We must be wise on this matter because when we place a bet against the public, some people will not like with our decision. They will say many things bad about us and maybe they will also say that we don't support what the public choose. Well, that will not be a problem for us because we only want to placing a bet with our choice.
The bookie analyze the match and gives odds. Public choose the favorite due to odds. Bookie see that the public bet the favorite and decrease odd. Public see it and bet more and more. As the result it is possible that odd can decrease from 1.5 to 1.1 when you see it. And i think that all of us understand the difference between such odds.
The best way is to analyze your bets yourself. The same time it is more interesting than you just copy someones` thoughts.
hero member
Activity: 1736
Merit: 857
November 30, 2024, 12:12:54 AM
Should I bet against the public or not? Now I have made some very small bets based on this principle: bets on 4 Premier League matches according to the "against the public" rule. Bets on 3 Bundesliga matches on favorites. Bets on 2 Serie A matches for draws. This is just an experiment, because the stakes are very small, which is not a pity to lose. How often can a sure bet on a favorite be a trap? How often does it make sense to bet "against the public"? The empirically calculated answer to both questions is about one out of five or less. But it's quite difficult to guess this one chance.
Of course, I do not insist on the correctness of my conclusions, it is possible that these are erroneous conclusions so far.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 503
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 29, 2024, 11:57:26 PM
I will only say in either ways or strategies luck is the key winner of the gambling.
Everyone needs to understand that gambling means luck only. It doesn’t at all matter where you bet, whether it is with the public or with personal favorites. If it’s your bad day, then no one can save you from losing the game. You need to play with your luck and take chances. These fan favorites are just excuses to counter the losses. Be a man and accept the losses. Next time, calculate the risks and then only bet.
But doesn't that only apply to casino games or certain bets?
If in sports betting it is clear that you can't really rely on luck because if you do that then in 100 bets made you might only get small part of to win or none at all.
Basically, some guaranteed matches are very much for the advantage and victory of the favorite, the chances for of surprise and luck with win on bet against the public are very small and not much can be found.
hero member
Activity: 1512
Merit: 509
November 29, 2024, 11:41:16 PM
I will only say in either ways or strategies luck is the key winner of the gambling.
Everyone needs to understand that gambling means luck only. It doesn’t at all matter where you bet, whether it is with the public or with personal favorites. If it’s your bad day, then no one can save you from losing the game. You need to play with your luck and take chances. These fan favorites are just excuses to counter the losses. Be a man and accept the losses. Next time, calculate the risks and then only bet.
Although it is true that gambling leads to luck, we should also know that sometimes when referring to sportsbooks, there will eventually be other considerations in a bet because it does not only refer to luck but also refers to other things such as statistics, the performance that we will support and see the probability in the betting favorite so that in the end there will be a difference where when betting with the public or betting with your own confidence.

Everything does boil down to luck but there are several other supports that can be an increase in probability so that in the end there will be its own impact when betting with the public or betting alone. But indeed in some situations we also have to prioritize the concept where gambling is our own will so regardless of the choice where as long as we are sure then do it.

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 93
November 29, 2024, 11:39:39 PM
I will only say in either ways or strategies luck is the key winner of the gambling.
Everyone needs to understand that gambling means luck only. It doesn’t at all matter where you bet, whether it is with the public or with personal favorites. If it’s your bad day, then no one can save you from losing the game. You need to play with your luck and take chances. These fan favorites are just excuses to counter the losses. Be a man and accept the losses. Next time, calculate the risks and then only bet.
There are some gamblers who try to show confidence in their ability to win in gambling but it does not last long for them because if they do not combine their actions with reality they will keep losing. Even if you consider the strongest team for betting and support them, you can still lose because as you said if luck is not there, even the best team can lose. I never try to show confidence in myself while gambling because gambling is based on luck and your chances of losing are very high.
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 723
Enjoy 500% bonus + 70 FS
November 29, 2024, 11:28:29 PM
Theirs some people who gamble base on influence and their's some people who gambles because of personal intension and and basic way they understand gambling without following public influence, it normally depends on individuals difference on how they comprehend gambling, because I know quite well that if you don't have passion on gambling you will not develop interest, theirs something I know that pushed you to understand gambling and will not make you to bet ordinary you most oppose before you can win.
hero member
Activity: 2912
Merit: 541
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 29, 2024, 11:09:45 PM
Most of the time. The public bets this post referring are those favorite bets which the chance of winning is high but that doesn’t mean betting against is already a complete loss.

All bets has a chance of winning even if the odds is the vice versa of 1.01. The only downside on betting with the minority is you are always gambling 1 feet under losing your money already wven though the game is not yet started.

Betting against favorite is only advisable for those who can analyze well a game.
Yes, I agree with that. Those who wants to betting against the public needs to analyze well a game so they can know why they do that. Many people don't want to betting against the public because they believe that public have some people who can analyze the match. Usually, not many people will tell to others that they place a bet against the public because they don't wants to argue with other people and prefer to hide their choice.

We must be wise on this matter because when we place a bet against the public, some people will not like with our decision. They will say many things bad about us and maybe they will also say that we don't support what the public choose. Well, that will not be a problem for us because we only want to placing a bet with our choice.
hero member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 526
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
November 29, 2024, 02:27:07 PM
The public here mainly consists of bettors who tend to bet on the favorites, whether it’s point spread or moneyline. Most suggestions we see online emphasize that to be considered a smart bettor, you should bet against the public. But what if we don’t bet against ourselves? Can we still find success in sports betting?

When we talk about success, it should be viewed as a long-term process. Some of us may not see ourselves betting long-term, which makes it hard for them to relate to this concept. If someone is just betting for fun, they likely won’t be well-versed in the terminology of sports betting, as their interest is quite limited. In contrast, those who genuinely want to win will study the sports betting market and seek ways to succeed, even if the chances are slim.

I have never think of them as a vast knowledge that one needs to learn and get better on as time goes on. Betting to some people is not just base on luck only but also on the understanding of the sport betting. Some people give odds to games and tend to give a probability of them winning those games, which in most cases are always won and few cases are not. I wonder why those games are easily predictable for them, I see them more as a match fixing events mostly because you’ll never see any of the popular teams you know been predicted on such places. One may also think it may be the casinos trying to lure people to use their casinos more but doing it indirectly, it’s all a matter of understanding though and that can only come when you’ve understood the sports betting industry and how they work. You may not win big from this knowledge always but it’ll help to minimize some mistakes that may incur big losses.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1225
Once a man, twice a child!
November 29, 2024, 02:01:01 PM
If someone is just betting for fun, they likely won’t be well-versed in the terminology of sports betting, as their interest is quite limited. In contrast, those who genuinely want to win will study the sports betting market and seek ways to succeed, even if the chances are slim.
In all honesty, I don't think anyone gambles for the fun of it; except there's no money/bet staked. Every gambler's dream is to hit that jackpot that can change their lifestyle for good. Perhaps, those who opine that gambling could be for the fun of it may have a different perspective to what fun is and that could be different from the angle of those of us who think it's not. Maybe they will care to expatiate on that.

On betting against the public/crowd, it's something I can easily do, especially if the public idea doesn't align with my psychology.
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