Guys, I hate being the bringer of bad news, but don't forget that currently this coin brings something like 200 RPC per day on the market instead of 720.
All of this because we have something like 720 RPC mined in 2 3 hours, then 720 RPC mined again in 3 hours if it's still profitable, and then 720 RPC mined in 10 days.
When the diff retargets and is in the good range, which is nearly 1 week after the fork begins (yes, that's nearly 2 weeks from now, see one of my previous post for the explanation), we will have 720 RPC per day for real.
To maintain the current price of 0.02 BTC per RPC, we would need a buying power of 14 to 15 BTC per day.
If it's stable at this price, hashpower would then go up to 1.5GH/s constantly, making it one of the star coins of the moment (EAC has currently 1.8GH/s).
Ron Paul already talked of this coin, but it didn't have any effect on its value even if its scarcity is 3x more than its intended original one.
If there's no future plan that really make this coin something more than just a "ron paul fanboy coin", It's just gonna be a good stable coin with a few hundred MH/s of hashing power, and that's all.
But with 400 MH/s on average on the network, its value would divide by 5, down to 0.004 or 0.005 BTC per RPC.
May the future prove me wrong.
You assume:
1. that
everyone who mines will dump immediately.
2. that people will find it worth their time to mine at that difficulty while selling it at such a low price
3. that people will sell off cheaper than the electricity cost to mine it
4. that even if it were just a "fanboy" coin, it can't do better than a shibe meme fancoin with 100 billion total
5. that very rich people will take no interest, when this is the best, most transparent, non-premined coin out there
6. that the coin has seen all the effects its going to see from Ron Paul's support
I see your argument as relying on these assumptions for its conclusions. I would like to see a reassessment of this post which doesn't rely on extreme cases born these assumptions.
1. Yes the majority of the people will dump, there is far more dumper than investor believing in coins.
2. absolutely not. with a 400MH/s network, you will get 0.009 BTC per MH out of RPC if it is at 0.005 BTC per RPC. That's what middlecoin is currently paying you and what most coins tend to.
3. for it to be cheaper than electricity, with a 400MH/s network, its value should be something like 0.0008 BTC per RPC.
4. if its just a fanboy coin, I don't think it can no. It's far to specific to USA and politic to be. But I might be wrong here. Why not ?
5. nothing to say here, that's not a compelling argument, I can't agree or disagree
6. If there's no ulterior clear support from Ron Paul, that's what I think, yes. But again I might very well be wrong here, and I hope so because I like Ron Paul.
The point of my argument is to tell that simple math show that the new diff algo will NOT increase the coin value by a pure technical side effect. This should be the opposite.
But if there's a real interest in this coin, yes its value can double or triple or even more.
You just have to know that a 0.1 BTC worth ron paul coin would automatically bring a network hashrate of 8GH/s.