The difference is, with Canada they will have a team with almost the same talent.
The advantage of the European teams is always they are more familiar with the rules, because FIBA and NBA have quite some differences. Sometimes it's a little tough for NBA players to adapt to those.
Still talent wise the cup can only go to USA or Canada, there is no question. They must have a really bad day, or the other team a very good day, to get beaten.
Obviously United States will be the overwhelming favorites, but I am not going to discount the European teams. It was France who kicked them out of the tournament last time. And they lost to Serbia as well. This time, apart from USA and Canada, we have Australia and Slovenia as the next strongest teams as per odds from different sportsbooks. France, Spain and Greece are also in contention. But the gap between USA and other teams is too huge. USA is at -170, while the second ranked Australia is being given odds of +850.
I don't see those odds reflect the real chances. Canada is way too high in my opinion. Tonight they will play my German team in both teams second test so far. This will paint a slightly better picture of what both teams are capable of.
The USA is composed of young NBA stars, while other national teams have been playing with great chemistry already with veteran players on a team.
Slovenia didn't look so good in their 3rd test as well. After losing vs Greece twice (without Giannis) they barely beat Montenegro at home last night, and only because Luka had a monster game. I know they have Luka but based on what I have seen so far this 1 man team can't go far in the tournament.
Why would you base it on the odds? If you believe Canada will win, then taking +1400 is a no-brainer.
Ahmm, yes. That's exactly what I said. Because the odds are so high I will bet on Canada.
I never said I believe they will win, I just think they are a top 2 team. Besides USA there is no roster with that much quality. And for a top 2 team, 15:1 or whatever these odds mean, is a great deal.
If they perform well maybe I can also cash out with a profit once the tournament progresses.
It's gonna be a tight race but I see them to have an advantage over almost every team ranked higher than them. This is a "win now" situation and they want to make the best of their chances.