That idea of 10% diff jump or 15% jump is much harder to happen.
There is a huge amount of gear. And both BCH and BSV have a lot of gear mining them.
look at these numbers taken from viabtc.com
Coin Type.....Daily Profit........Price............Pool HashRate................Hashrate................Miners......................... ...Difficulty..............Date-Time
BTC.........$ 0.1541 /T......9769.12 USD........7.22 EH/s...............112.36 EH/s............468189........................15.47T.............2020-01-28 03:44:03
BCH........$ 0.1624 /T.......436.85 USD.........373.77 PH/s............. 4.56 EH/s.............25025.......................664.92G
BSV..........$ 0.17 /T.........293.16 USD...........1.20 EH/s.............. 3.21 EH/s...............22386.......................411.40G
Any of them can mine with an s17 or any good asic miner.
They will continue to grow but I would think BCH or BSV would be more inclined to gain or lose large % then BTC will.
The three add to just about 120eh
So to think 10% up is 12eh or 50th x 240,000 = 12,000,000 th that is also 12,000 ph or 12eh
So to think that the network can add 240,000 50th units in 2 weeks is pretty amazing.
Logically speaking unless coins boost heavy it will not be happening soon. the ½ ing is in around 94 days.
if coins are 10k and rewards are 6.8 btc with fees vs 12.8 with fees the block value will be 68000 vs current 124,000
If this is so 1 th will earn about 0.082 cents instead of 0.1543 cents
a pair of s17s 100 th or 8.20 usd vs 15.43 usd before power or another way is 3.9 kwatts x 24 = 93.6 kwatts a day lets argue 94 kwatts a day at 10 cent power a loser
8.20 - 9.40 = -1.20 10 cent power
8.20 - 8.46 = -0.26 9 cent
8.20 - 7.52 = +0.68 8 CENT
8.20 - 6.58 = 1.62 7
8.20 - 5.64 = 2.56 6
8.20 - 4.70 = 3.50 5
8.20 - 3.76 = 4.44 4
8.20 - 2.82 = 5.38 3
I just don't see 240,000 s17s going online in 1 jump if coins are 10k after ½ ing
But if coins went to 30k yeah they would sell gear like mad
to follow up 240,000 s17's at 2.2 kwatts each is quite a bit of power.
1 = 2.2
10 = 22
100 = 222
1000 = 2222 or 2.222 megawatts
10000 = 22222 or 22.22 megawatts
100000 = 222222 or 222.2 megawatts
240000 = 533332.8 or 533.3328 megawatts this is a shit ton of added power.
Okay I will give you that a huge farm could shut off 100,000 s9's and replace with 40,000 s17's and your power footprint would cancel out you lose
1,400,000 th or 1.4 eh
you gain 2,000,000 or 2 eh that is a net gain of .6 eh with no power gain.
but 10% is 20x times and I do not think 2,000,000 s9's get shut down and replaced by 800,000 s17's in 2 weeks time.
Not with prices of coins at this level.
Does bring up the idea that asic builders really would love to pump prices on coins to make sales.