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Sorry to cut into your dialog, but the problem is that you are making an assessment from a "poor people" perspective. And for countries with low living standards and incomes of citizens - progress always comes with a huge delay, and they should not be taken into account when introducing new technologies. It sounds a bit frustrating, but that's the reality. We should look at developed countries, where people do not save up all their lives for a car, where there is a convenient and developed infrastructure. And it simply makes no sense to make a forecast for the consumption of high-tech products in frankly backward regions.
Is it from a poor people mentality? Be it as it may, how many percent of the world is rich? I know you may want to say the news/post isn’t about the world at large but Europe, but then, are all the countries in Europe rich? No. There are still countries that are struggling, there are still people who are trying so hard to eat daily. I’m not saying it isn’t possible that everyone will use electric cars, of course we’ll get there. But for that to happen by 2045? 11 years from now? that’s not something I think will happen.
Not mentality, but a real low standard of living. These are slightly different concepts.
And I'm not talking about rich countries, I'm talking about countries where a significant portion has an adequate income. To this I include approximately $3,000 in income per month for an adult member of the senya. Are these RICH people? These are people with NORMAL income, let's say middle class. And they can easily afford to buy a new car, for example, once every 5-10 years. This is fine. How normal it is to be able to buy your own apartment/house. We must evaluate opportunities not by the poorest example, but by average, good income. That is why I said - that in poor countries, with poor populations, innovations come very late
I don’t think that someone with $3,000 monthly salary can easily afford a car (BTW, we are talking of an electric car). The average salary in the EU for example is just around 2 times (from what I researched) of what you mentioned, but does everyone own cars? And we need to look at what type of cars they have too. You said it takes about 5-10 years, right? And what if people could just afford something cheap but now the law is saying that in just about 11 years, you can’t use fuel-powered cars, that is a short time because people have other responsibilities and they can just start saving to buy a car when someone of them even with that average money are only able to afford what they need.
Let's count a lot?
Let's take, for example, a model like the Volkswagen Id 4. The price of a new car is up to $30,000.
For a family of 2 people, with a total income of $5,000. Tell me, is it difficult for them to save, for example, 30% to buy a car? Plus, many cars are sold with installment payments - a down payment of 10 to 30%, and installments for 12-24 months. As for me, this is a completely acceptable purchase scheme.
Tell me, how much does a car of the same class with an internal combustion engine cost? And how do they buy them? Despite the fact that when we go out into the street, we see a huge number of completely new cars!