Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 49.

buwaytress

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Boo Juventus, but hey champs deserve to be champs. Lazio, really, I should stop betting on them. Losing Lucas Leiva changed everything and I need to convince myself of that.

Watford to WIN tonight and guarantee their stay in the Premier League? Against City? Why not?
100 units at Sportsbet on Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @9.35. Betcoin odds: 8.60
Bet ID: 5f16a121ca7c8378a7278a25

Odds advantage: 8.72%
Units advantage: 75

3 bets settled yesterday, so edit on the bets total, but one was a freebet.

Running advantage after 367 bets: +9,990.78 (+75)
All-time cumulative: +31,990
Running units after 366 bets (63W|233L): +12,686.15 (-100)

buwaytress

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Well, that was a crapper of the 2 legs on the parlay! Real let their opponents equalise while Inter -- not for the first time for us these few weeks -- allowed Roma to edge them and had to fight for a draw! Shame since we picked the Chelsea win =(

Oh well, at least we had an awesome time with Saturday's parlays as Ings took us home!

Anyway, Lazio let us down quite a bit but I will back them tonight, and let's go big, shan't we?
Game 1: Sheffield United vs Everton. Blades WIN @2.16. Betcoin odds: 2.15
Game 2: Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace. Palace WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Juventus vs Lazio. Lazio WIN @5.80. Betcoin odds: 5.65
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @18.79. Betcoin parlay: 18.46
Bet ID: 10042424

Odds advantage: 1.79%
Units advantage: 33

3 bets settled yesterday, so edit on the bets total, but one was a freebet.

Running advantage after 366 bets: +9,915.78 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +31,915
Running units after 365 bets (63W|232L): +12,786.15 (+671, +0, -100)

adamistraybar

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wel really nice bets

buwaytress

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Crazy Arsenal game, I really thought City were well worth it but Arsenal two times lucky in a row! You know what they say, you make your own luck!

Going to for to surprising underdogs tonight using yet another Freebet from FJ! Real already won the title I guess so bookies expect them to take it easy against relegation strugglers Leganes, but I'm gunning for Leicester to want to make sure they win this match before their destiny-seeking final game against United.

Game 1: Tottenham vs Leicester. Foxes WIN @3.20. Betcoin odds: 3.18
Game 2: Alaves vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 3: Leganes vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.13. Betcoin odds: 2.11
100 units freebet parlay at FJ @10.56. Betcoin parlay: 10.40
Bet ID: 01301184

Odds advantage: 1.54%
Units advantage: 16

Edit: Boo Leicester, just as Barca made good too! Add this bet in now: Chelsea/Real Madrid/Inter @14.36. No odds diff but made at FJ. I'll put up the numbers tomorrow.
Edit: too late for me, but I'd also add in a 4th leg on Napoli live in play to win (currently 1-1) for over 20/1!

Running advantage after 364 bets: +9,882.78 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +31,882
Running units after 362 bets (62W|230L): +12,215.15 (+792)

Quote from: adamistraybar on July 18, 2020, 09:08:25 PM

wel really nice bets

Thank you;) Hope you caught last night's Arsenal special! Takes us a nice way up and plenty of cushion to ensure we end this season with a new profit record;)

buwaytress

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Damn that was tough to watch, 2-0 down in 10 minutes? Anyway, what say Arsenal beat City tonight, and then lose to Watford? Could happen!
Really want them to stay in the EPL but 2 crunch games means everything means everything now!

100 units at Sportsbet on Arsenal to WIN vs Manchester City @8.92. FortuneJack odds: 7.71
Sportsbet ID: 5f12b720ca7c83330b26c996

Odds advantage: 15.69%
Units advantage: 121

And because we still love you Barca and Danny Ings (and uh Burnley bet was made right as they scored, sorry about that 1.03, shame as it was 1.7 when I tried to accept ha):

Game 1: Norwich vs Burnley. Burnley WIN @1.03. -
Game 2: Milan vs Bologna. Milan WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 3: Bournemouth vs Southampton. Saints WIN @2.90. Betcoin odds: 2.86
Game 4: Alaves vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at FJ @7.71. Betcoin parlay: 7.51

Odds advantage: 2.66%
Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 363 bets: +9,866.78 (+141)
All-time cumulative: +31,866
Running units after 361 bets (61W|230L): +11,423.15 (-100)

buwaytress

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It wasn't to be, was it? The right bet would have been on Barca after all, as they simply capitulated to lowly Osasuna. Should have seen that coming really, though Villareal did put up a fight!

Pickings gonna be slim from now on, but Watford today to secure the Premier League with a victory, as the underdogs, why not? Parlay that with what should be a standard Atalanta win?

Game 1: West Ham vs Watford. Watford WIN @3.65. Betcoin odds: 3.40
Game 2: Verona vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @1.43. Betcoin odds: 1.45
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @5.22. Betcoin parlay: 4.93
Bet ID: 03523775

Odds advantage: 5.88%
Units advantage: 29

Running advantage after 361 bets: +9,725.78 (+29)
All-time cumulative: +31,725
Running units after 360 bets (61W|299L): +11,523.15 (-+0 as that was a freebet)

buwaytress

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Wow. Spurs is the only one of the parlay who won? In a parlay that has Liverpool and Juventus? Pigs can fly;)

Anyway, here's another FJ freebet, so why not let's give Barca a sliver of hope with a Villareal win? Parlay that with United making their mark?

Game 1: Real Madrid vs Villarreal. Villa WIN @7.20. Betcoin odds: 7.05
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Manchester Utd. Utd WIN @1.33. Betcoin odds: 1.33
100 units Freebet parlay at FortuneJack @9.58. Betcoin parlay: 9.38
Bet ID: 08686145

Odds advantage: 2.13%
Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 360 bets: +9,696.78 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +31,696
Running units after 359 bets (61W|298L): +11,523.15 (-100)

buwaytress

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Whoops, bad parlay in the end, I watched the Chelsea game and even considered putting a bet on Norwich but Giroud scoring in injury time 1st half wiped any notion I might have had that Norwich could snatch a goal and defend with their lives. Cantwell still the outstanding player, shame he'll be plying his trade in Championship next season.

Anyway. I'm going for this one, backing all the away wins, including yes you Wolves:

Game 1: Newcastle vs Tottenham. Spurs WIN @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.80
Game 2: Burnley vs Wolverhampton. Wolves WIN @1.94. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 3: Arsenal vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.89. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 4: Sassuolo vs Juventus. Juve WIN @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.64
100 units parlay at FJ @10.88. Betcoin parlay: 10.77
Bet ID: 03237907

Odds advantage: 1.02%
Units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 359 bets: +9,676.78 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +31,676
Running units after 358 bets (61W|297L): +11,623.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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I'll be honest and say when United pulled back those two goals I thought they were going to win, but credit to Southampton and all 1.69m of Obafemi for pulling that trick out of the bag! Another goal would have been delicious but we can't have everything now, can we?

Hunting for odds tonight and I'm going to go for a toothless Brescia parlayed with a porous Chelsea defence.

Game 1: Norwich to score: 2.22. Betcoin odds: 2.19
Game 2: Both Teams To Score NO @2.01. Betcoin odds: 1.98
100 units parlay at FJ @4.46. Betcoin parlay: 4.34
Bet ID: 16933943

Odds advantage: 2.76%
Units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 358 bets: +9,665.78 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +31,665
Running units after 357 bets (61W|296L): +11,723.15 (-100)

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on July 13, 2020, 10:06:54 AM

That some great odds there you managed to get. I have Saints @11 at my local fiat bookie which is the best I managed to find. Not gonna take them though since I think Man Utd is the team in form at the moment

My surprise for tonight is Granada not to lose against Real. As I already wrote in La liga topic, this one should be easy for Real as per all relevant stats and H2H but I have a gut feeling this is the game where bookies will cash big tonight. As a sign of respect for your tips I also placed a small multi bet on Saints and Granada @ combined odds of 88.

Is Fairlay that fiat bookie with shitload of games/markets where you can lay bets? Lay bet is bet where you bet that something will not happen. For instance you place lay bet on Real and United and if either of them doesn't win you ticket is a winning one. They offer some world class markets and odds but I can't use them legally from my country so I stopped using them some years ago.

Why thank you for your custom! I actually picked Granada correctly on their last game a few nights ago but they were extremely lucky to be 2-0 up at half time with only 2 shots on goal vs 14 which they somehow defended! And then they grabbed a winner in the last minutes after it was 2-2, they are truly the surprise package so actually, I'm going to go bet on them right now too thanks to your tip;)

Fairlay's a crypto bookie, but a p2p market more like. You can't lay bets exactly but you can take markets on offer or create your own and see if anyone will take it. So, if you want to place a lay on Real, then you create a market offering someone whatever odds you want to put. If someone takes it and Real doesn't win, you get their money.

Think of it as an exchange more like with Orderbooks and market makers (and takers). There is a user on their thread who also has an app for parlays.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on July 13, 2020, 09:48:34 AM

Any today, because Ings is on fire and wants to catch Vardy, shall we back a Saints upset? Caught a magnificent odds on Fairlay:
100 units at Fairlay on Saints to WIN vs Manchester United @12.1. FortuneJack odds: 9.60

That some great odds there you managed to get. I have Saints @11 at my local fiat bookie which is the best I managed to find. Not gonna take them though since I think Man Utd is the team in form at the moment

My surprise for tonight is Granada not to lose against Real. As I already wrote in La liga topic, this one should be easy for Real as per all relevant stats and H2H but I have a gut feeling this is the game where bookies will cash big tonight. As a sign of respect for your tips I also placed a small multi bet on Saints and Granada @ combined odds of 88.

Is Fairlay that fiat bookie with shitload of games/markets where you can lay bets? Lay bet is bet where you bet that something will not happen. For instance you place lay bet on Real and United and if either of them doesn't win you ticket is a winning one. They offer some world class markets and odds but I can't use them legally from my country so I stopped using them some years ago.

buwaytress

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Hey, don't knock simply wins! 3/1 any day for me;) And these bets collect freebets too, so you know I'm all for them!

Any today, because Ings is on fire and wants to catch Vardy, shall we back a Saints upset? Caught a magnificent odds on Fairlay:
100 units at Fairlay on Saints to WIN vs Manchester United @12.1. FortuneJack odds: 9.60

Odds advantage: 26.04%
Units advantage: 250

Running advantage after 357 bets: +9,653.78 (+250)
All-time cumulative: +31,653
Running units after 356 bets (61W|295L): +11,823.15 (+207)

buwaytress

legendary

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Watford did us proud, but Liverpool slipped in the draw, so Chelsea losing like they did didn't make things worse since it was a boosted promotion anyway.

We'll take a simple live offering on Wolves, who have disappointed us plenty, but we'll try them again. Parlay with an expected win at Sevilla?
And then we'll see how far we get later on.

Game 1: Wolves vs Everton. Wolves WIN @2.15. Betcoin odds: 2.13
Game 2: Sevilla vs Mallorca. Sevilla WIN @1.43. Betcoin odds: 1.42
100 units parlay at FJ @3.07. Betcoin parlay: 3.02
Bet ID: 15186757

Odds advantage: 1.65%
Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 356 bets: +9,403.78 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +31,403
Running units after 355 bets (60W|295L): +11,616.15 (-100)

buwaytress

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Thank you Granada, Soldado and co. And thank you penalty and VAR for Real. Good win, with a freebet too, makes it extra enjoyable!

Anyway, I wanted to put this down earlier but wasn't able to. Got a boosted parlay at Sportsbet for the following. Can't find the odds anymore but the odds boost was to 6/1 from below 5/1, which I'll count as 5/1 anyway. Was a bet I'd take any day, too!

Chelsea, Liverpool, City and Watford parlay at Sportsbet to win @6.0. Non boosted odds: 5/1
Bet ID: 5f072483f1f74b35dbd31d7e

Odds advantage: 20%
Units advantage: 100

Running advantage after 355 bets: +9,398.78 (+100)
All-time cumulative: +31,398
Running units after 354 bets (60W|294L): +11,716.15 (+525)

buwaytress

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Ah well. It didn't work out, and arguably more painful if Saints actually won, since our boys at Inter shuddered to another draw. Anyway, another freebet today, and I'll put it on a tough Granada game, parlay with Real to march on and see the title within their grasp.

Game 1: Sociedad vs Granada. Granada WIN @5.0.
Game 2: Real Madrid vs Alaves. Real WIN @1.25
100 units parlay at FJ @6.25
Bet ID: 12604943

No odds advantage

Running advantage after 354 bets: +9,298.78 (+52)
All-time cumulative: +31,298
Running units after 353 bets (59W|294L): +11,191.15 (-100)

buwaytress

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Really, really hard. I know Wolves have been letting me down lately and this is another blow tbh, but to be fair, I've been "improving" on the statistics side, getting a lot of parlays missing by 1 leg lately, so it's good FJ gives free parlay insurance on those. Anyway, we booked 2 wins, and lost the freebet, so we're good! If only Wolves had won, Villa did a smashing job.

Feeling lucky with Saints again, so here we go:

Game 1: Everton vs Southampton. Saints WIN @3.50. Betcoin odds: 3.45
Game 2: Aston Villa vs Manchester Utd. Utd WIN @1.32. Betcoin odds: 1.32
Game 3: Verona vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 4: Bilbao vs Sevilla. Sevilla WIN @2.47. Betcoin odds: 2.44
100 units parlay at FJ @19.63. Betcoin parlay: 19.11

Odds advantage: 2.72%
Units advantage: 52

Running advantage after 352 bets: +9,298.78 (+52)
All-time cumulative: +31,298
Running units after 352 bets (59W|293L): +11,291.15 (+457 +325 = +782)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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The sadness of it all. But anyway, at least our guys Milan clobbered Juventus, just too bad Lazio couldn't take advantage, this was the best bet for them to take it all =(

Anyway, updated the wrong totals for yesterday.

Today's ambitious parlay is courtesy another Freebet at FortuneJack -- you get a freebet worth the average of the last 4 parlays you do over the big leagues, it's available all of July so use it!

Game 1: Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton. Wolves WIN @2.19. Betcoin odds: 2.19
Game 2: Getafe vs Villareal. Villareal WIN @3.10. Betcoin odds: 3.08
Game 3: Brighton vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.59
Game 4: Atalanta vs Sampdoria. Atalanta WIN @1.35. Betcoin odds: 1.35
100 units parlay (freebet) at FortuneJack @14.57. Betcoin parlay: 14.48

Odds advantage: 0.6%
Units advantage: 9

We love Liverpool don't we and we've got to win tonight to win our parlay yesterday, so let's put a bit more risk on, with some reasonable bets. Plus, Mo's got to be due an early goal by now! Salah to score in 1H @4.25.
bet ID: 5f05e9e10d9ad8527720a034

No odds advantage.

Running advantage after 352 bets: +9,246.78 (+9)
All-time cumulative: +31,246
Running units after 349 bets (57W|292L): +10,509.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Can't believe I was ALMOST there! Sevilla and Spurs were tight tight wins at 1-0 but when Bremen scored the injury time goal to make it 2-1 I thought we were safe. Idiots had to let in a penalty!

Anyway, we go again! Watford to secure 3 points, Chelsea to strengthen their bid for fourth, Lazio to keep their hopes of Serie A alive, and Atletico to make certain of CL spot in a win.

Game 1: Watford vs Norwich. Watford WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.76
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.45. Betcoin odds: 1.45
Game 3: Lecce vs Lazio. Lazio WIN @1.37. Betcoin odds: 1.37
Game 4: Celta vs Atletico. Atletico WIN @2.04. Betcoin odds: 2.04
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @7.13. Betcoin parlay: no difference
Bet ID: 08794113

Odds advantage: 0%
Units advantage: 0

Since we want Lazio to win, why not parlay Juventus loss with Liverpool win tomorrow?
Game 1: Milan vs Juventus. Milan WIN @3.55. Betcoin odds: 3.40
Game 2: Brighton vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.57
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @5.57. Betcoin parlay: 5.34
Bet ID: 05509324

Odds advantage: 4.3%
Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 350 bets: +9,237.78 (+23)
All-time cumulative: +31,237
Running units after 348 bets (57W|291L): +10,609.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Oh tsk, our hedge was totally not needed, and a small waste of a freebet, but never the matter, that's what insurance is for. No Danny Ings goal but the Saints stole this one didn't they? 23 points gap with 5 games to go. Oh but how the mighty have fallen. Used to be see 20/1 odds for City to lose, now even with a boosted price I got barely 9/1.

Still a victory to savour. Today's bet is on Mourinho to please win, parlayed with Werder Bremen to please make their case to remain in Bundesliga. And Sevilla to show some grit.

Game 1: Heidenheim vs Werder. Bremen WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 2: Tottenham vs Everton. Spurs WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.08
Game 3: Sevilla vs Eibar. Sevilla WIN @1.44. Betcoin odds: 1.42
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @5.75. Betcoin parlay: 5.67
Bet ID: 06002747

Odds advantage: 1.41%
Units advantage: 8

Total units advantage: 101

Running advantage after 348 bets: +9,214.78 (+8)
All-time cumulative: +31,214
Running units after 347 bets (57W|290L): +10,709.15 (+816)

buwaytress

legendary

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Wasn't available yesterday to bet sorry, but we lost out on this one leg on the Wolves game, but thanks to insurance parlay we get back 25 units as a freebet, which I'll use later when it accumulates =)

I'm playing a Saints upset against City today, easy one 100 units on Southampton to WIN vs Man City @9.16 at Sportsbet. Betcoin: 8.60
Bet ID: 5f01aef39ae7d3bdaac69745

Odds advantage: 6.51%
Units advantage: 56

OK, OK, I guess I'll have to take a hedge, of course City will win right? And are we going to allow Barca to let us down again today? Yes? Haha... yes.

Game 1: Bilbao vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @1.84. Betcoin odds: 1.82
Game 2: Liverpool vs Villa. Liverpool WIN -1.5 @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.65
Game 3: Southampton vs City. City WIN @1.36. Betcoin odds: 1.34
Game 4: Villarreal vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.76
100 units parlay using Freebet at FortuneJack @7.53. Betcoin parlay: 7.08
Bet ID: 18175571

Odds advantage: 6.36%
Units advantage: 45

Total units advantage: 101

Running advantage after 347 bets: +9,206.78 (+101)
All-time cumulative: +31,206
Running units after 345 bets (56W|289L): +9,893.15 (-100)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 49. (Read 40042 times)