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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 49. (Read 38849 times)

legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well. Emre Can, you German weirdo in midfield. I always thought you were the reason BVB pulled through in the last 2 games, fit or unfit, and this time you right gone and won the game for them. Ah well.

Schalke's lost me plenty this season, while Koln has won me some. Let's hope these tigers don't change skin.

Game 1: Union Berlin vs Schalke 04. Berlion WIN @2.54. SB odds: 2.52
Game 2: Augsburg vs Koln. Koln WIN @2.47. SB odds: 2.44
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.27. SB parlay: 6.15

Odds advantage: 1.95%
Units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 310 bets: +7,250.62 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +29,249.84
Running units after 309 bets (51W|258L): +10,935.15 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Watched the game yesterday and Gladbach actually played very good in first half. Later they conceded a goal from the set piece and got a stupid red card.

Like your tips for today but I am going a bit more secure, leverkusen not to lose and both to score. Dortmund also both to score, Hertha is good after restart.

We were off to a good start but Bayern being Bayern didn't take too long to equalise and then used the last 5 minuts of the first half to smash two goals in.

30 mins left so it's all over I would say. Most we could hope for is a draw but then Bayern are about to switch gears now to wrap this up.

So I'm forced to go for a hedging bet now, in CASE BVB loses haha, a bit silly to do so in a rush but:

100 units at Betcoin on Hertha Berlin to WIN vs BVB @7.36. SB odds: 7.12

Odds advantage: 3.66%
Units advantage: 24

Running advantage after 309 bets: +7,238.62 (+24)
All-time cumulative: +29,237.84
Running units after 308 bets (51W|257L): +11,035.15 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2520
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Should have gone for all the underdogs last night, as the one I did back won. Slim wins still, and Gladbach taught me not to trust in them returning to form -- terrible after lockdown, them!

Game 1: Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich. Leverkusen WIN @6.35. Betcoin odds: 6.18
Game 2: BVB vs Hertha Berlin. BVB WIN @1.40. Betcoin odds: 1.40
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @8.89. Betcoin parlay: 8.65
Bet ID: 5edb64aa753af9a6f641ea56


Watched the game yesterday and Gladbach actually played very good in first half. Later they conceded a goal from the set piece and got a stupid red card.

Like your tips for today but I am going a bit more secure, leverkusen not to lose and both to score. Dortmund also both to score, Hertha is good after restart.
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Should have gone for all the underdogs last night, as the one I did back won. Slim wins still, and Gladbach taught me not to trust in them returning to form -- terrible after lockdown, them!

Game 1: Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich. Leverkusen WIN @6.35. Betcoin odds: 6.18
Game 2: BVB vs Hertha Berlin. BVB WIN @1.40. Betcoin odds: 1.40
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @8.89. Betcoin parlay: 8.65
Bet ID: 5edb64aa753af9a6f641ea56

Odds advantage: 2.77%
Units advantage: 24

Running advantage after 308 bets: +7,214.62 (+24)
All-time cumulative: +29,213.84
Running units after 307 bets (51W|256L): +11,135.15 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Still envious of your win JanpriX, imagine if you parlayed 10 of those wins eh?

My rather aimless pick of the day involves Braga and Gladbach, but also hopeful that we don't get a bore draw from 2. Bundesliga!

Game 1: VfL Bochum-FC ST Pauli. Bochum WIN @2.30. SB odds: 2.28
Game 2: SC Freiburg-Borussia Monchengladbach. Gladbach WIN @1.78. SB odds: 1.77
Game 3: CD Santa Clara-Sporting Braga. Braga WIN @1.46. SB odds: 1.44
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.977. SB parlay: 5.811

Odds advantage: 2.86%
Units advantage: 16.6

Running advantage after 307 bets: +7,190.62 (+16.6)
All-time cumulative: +29,189.84
Running units after 306 bets (51W|255L): +11,235.15 (-200 units)
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip

Actually, I find myself trusting my esports bets much more than football ones. Strange new world Smiley

~snipped~


Maybe you just found your new calling here in the world of gambling. Tongue Last month, I joined rand's Esports VIP group and the result was kinda meh (atleast for me) and I just realized that Esports is not for me (atleast in this season).

Only to fall flat on my face last night. Parlay lost all 3 legs and Bremen went down rather limply. Still, happy to be back in action and doing "well" even on teams I'm not too familiar wth!

~snipped~

Looking forward to your winning picks again (I missed the last won bets from you) especially now that I got some extra money from the MM winnings.  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well, it seems you managed to hit the ground running after this corona restart. Good for you, hopefully your streak will continue.

I am betting mostly on both to score markets at the moment and it isn't going so well. Actually, I find myself trusting my esports bets much more than football ones. Strange new world Smiley

From football I have both to score on Werder, Hapoel and Macabi games, but that is all for beer money. My main ticket has only werder both to score + some esports.


Only to fall flat on my face last night. Parlay lost all 3 legs and Bremen went down rather limply. Still, happy to be back in action and doing "well" even on teams I'm not too familiar wth!

I never got used to the strange new world of e-sports. A couple of bets here and there, nothing serious, even tried going to watch a stream but just got bored my the whole thing (and slightly nauseous heh, seems my Doom-induced motion sickness hasn't gone away after all these years).
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2520
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So nice to get 2 wins in a row. Maybe if Bremen do us a favour tonight, we make it 3 in a row? But with so many delicious selections available tonight, I'm tempted to make this a possible 4 wins in 3 days -- maybe my hot streak needs riding?

Well, it seems you managed to hit the ground running after this corona restart. Good for you, hopefully your streak will continue.

I am betting mostly on both to score markets at the moment and it isn't going so well. Actually, I find myself trusting my esports bets much more than football ones. Strange new world Smiley

From football I have both to score on Werder, Hapoel and Macabi games, but that is all for beer money. My main ticket has only werder both to score + some esports.
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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So nice to get 2 wins in a row. Maybe if Bremen do us a favour tonight, we make it 3 in a row? But with so many delicious selections available tonight, I'm tempted to make this a possible 4 wins in 3 days -- maybe my hot streak needs riding?

Ararat Armenia brings me good memories, Porto brings me bad ones, but let's do very risky bets on them and the Israeli playoff underdog:

Game 1: Famalicao vs Porto. Porto WIN @1.45. SB odds: 1.45
Game 2: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa FC. Haifa WIN @4.5. SB odds: 4.46
Game 3: Ararat Armenia vs Lori. Ararat WIN @1.57 SB odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.297. SB parlay: 10.023

Odds advantage: 2.73%
Units advantage: 27.4

Running advantage after 306 bets: +7,174.02 (+27.4)
All-time cumulative: +29,173.24
Running units after 304 bets (51W|253L): +11,435.15 (+407.4 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Finally. A first profit since lockdown ended. And we're also nicely set up for the 2nd leg of yesterday's parlay with that thumping, if slightly nervy, Leipzig finish.

Just a simple parlay on Israeli and Danish leagues today.

Game 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC-Beitar Jerusalem FC. Tel Aviv WIN @2.95. SB odds: 2.90
Game 2: Broendby IF-Sonderjyske. Broendby WIN @1.72. SB odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.074. SB parlay: 4.93

Odds advantage: 2.92%
Units advantage: 14.4

Running advantage after 305 bets: +7,146.62 (+14.4)
All-time cumulative: +29,145.84
Running units after 303 bets (50W|253L): +11,027.75 (+300 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Oh shocker, I lost it all on the Danish game. The one time Bundesliga plays it proper.

Lesson learned for me? Nah, not really. I want Leipzig to win this one tonight, though if you notice I've been backing Koln lately, but let's double down on winning the last parlay we got left and booking in the first leg of this one. Bremen's on song, and finally shaking off that first loss but they GOT to win this game in hand to remain in Bundesliga and we really want them to!

Game 1:FC Cologne-RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @1.55. Stake odds: 1.53
Game 2: Werder Bremen-Eintracht Frankfurt. Bremen WIN @2.76. Stake odds: 2.74
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.278. Stake parlay: 4.1922

Odds advantage: 2.05%
Units advantage: 8.58

Running advantage after 304 bets: +7,132.22 (+8.58)
All-time cumulative: +29,131.44
Running units after 302 bets (49W|253L): +10,727.75 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Shocker. 5-0? Nah, expected. Game's not over but there's no way Dusseldorf scores 5 in the next 10 minutes. So we're very much alive for the parlay. Updated odds and numbers below.

Game 1: Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Dusseldorf. Dusseldorf WIN @24.54. Betcoin odds: 24.18
100 units at Sportsbet. Bet ID: 5ed2440c753af90544405d3c

Special parlay at Sportsbet. Bayern, Gladbach, Leipzig, Dortmund to win @4.00. Betcoin odds: 3.65

Total units advantage: 71

Add another parlay for 2. Bundeliga plus Danish Superliga:
Game 1: Hamburger SV-SV Wehen Wiesbaden. Hamburg WIN @1.39. Sportsbet odds: 1.38
Game 2: SG Dynamo Dresden-VfB Stuttgart   . Stuttgart WIN @1.44. Sportsbet odds: 1.42
Game 3: Esbjerg FB-Aalborg BK. Aalborg WIN @2.11. Sportsbet odds: 2.04
100 units parlay @Betcoin:4.2233 SB parlay:3.9975

Total units advantage: 22.58

Running advantage after 303 bets: +7,123.65 (+93.58)
All-time cumulative: +29,122.86
Running units after 301 bets (49W|252L): +10,827.75 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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This is a sucker bet boys, but I'm putting one down for Bayern to LOSE today to relegation candidates Dusseldorf as it's over 24/1 on boosted odds at Sportsbet. It's about 23 elsewhere or 24.18 Betcoin right now

Also boosted odds is a 4-leg parlay at 4/1 on Bayern (1.11)/Dortmund (1.36)/Gladbach (1.54)/Leipzig(1.57). It's about 3.65 at Betcoin.

I don't have access to the betslips but I'll update later!

Games start in about 45 minutes!
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well! Bundesliga is really not my thang, lost every leg of the parlay, many draws which I keep thinking won't happen again. Today, a somewhat blind pick. Always got a thing for Hamburg, but think the home team should get this.

Game 1: Stuttgart vs Hamburg. Stuttgart WIN @2.37. Stake odds: 2.36
Game 2: Aarhus vs Randers. Aarhus WIN @2.24. Stake odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.3088. Stake parlay: 5.2392

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 6.96

Running advantage after 300 bets: +7,030.17 (+6.96)
All-time cumulative: +29,029.28
Running units after 299 bets (49W|250L): +11,027.75 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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BVB were up for it, but in the end Bayern stamped their class on the game. There should have been that penalty I feel, so strange no one contested it but there you go. Not that it would have mattered anyway as our Gladbach had another drab game.

Hertha almost won the game today but we'll go for a parlay on the remainders. In-play now at 5th min!

Game 1: Hoffenheim-1. FC Cologne. Koln WIN @2.73. Stake: 2.70
Game 2: Augsburg-SC Paderborn 07. Augsburg WIN @1.95. Stake: 1.94
Game 3: Fortuna Dusseldorf-FC Schalke 04. Schalke WIN @2.77. Stake: 2.73
100 units parlay at Betcoin @14.74. Stake parlay: 14.30

Odds advantage: 3.08%
Units advantage: 44

Running advantage after 299 bets: +7,023.21 (+44)
All-time cumulative: +29,022.32
Running units after 298 bets (49W|249L): +11,127.75 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Horrible outings on Bundesliga, crazy match against Frankfurt though, what a scare.

Happy to see BVB as the big underdogs here, I know they are nowhere near their best but hey, Haaland, right?

Game 1: Borussia Dortmund - FC Bayern Munich. BVB WIN @4.10. Betcoin: 3.95
Game 2: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Monchengladbach. Gladback WIN @1.78. Betcoin: 1.79
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @7.298. Bet ID: 5ecd1e9a36c1ce38abba2906. Betcoin parlay: 7.0705

Odds advantage: 3.22%
Units advantage: 22.75

Running advantage after 298 bets: +6,979.21 (+22.75)
All-time cumulative: +28,978.32
Running units after 297 bets (49W|248L): +11,227.75 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Well, let's do a quick in-game parlay today, instead of the glorious Frankfurt underdog (they're shit, aren't they?) pick. Starting with Bayern to have a clean sheet, and parlay that with a Leipzig and Coln win.

Game 1: Bayern clean sheet @2.06. Stake similar market odds: 2.02
Game 2: Fsv Mainz 05-RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @1.46. Stake odds: 1.46
Game 3: FC Cologne-Fortuna Dusseldorf. Koln WIN @1.81. Stake odds: 1.78

100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.4437. Stake parlay: 5.2495

Odds advantage: 3.7%
Units advantage: 19.42

Running advantage after 297 bets: +6,966.46 (+19.42)
All-time cumulative: +28,965.57
Running units after 296 bets (49W|247L): +11,327.75 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Still dont know how these work, can you teach me?

Did you go through the first page of this thread? I'd help you but I don't understand what it is exactly you're asking. This isn't so much a tupster thread as it is a demonstration of why you should pick the best odds, though!

Anyway.

Made the right call on Beer Sheva, but not against Leverkusen. Bremen did need to win their games in hand to avoid relegation though, and to me making sure their 50+ year stay in the Bundesliga doesn't end should have been motivation. Oh well.

No bets today. Don't know the games.
copper member
Activity: 246
Merit: 7
buy bitcoin, hodl bitcoin
Still dont know how these work, can you teach me?
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 3443
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Couldn't watch much of the match but I don't know, it wasn't as one-sided as it should have been, more attempts from the "home" team but eventually you give away a penalty and Lewandowski can't miss.

Draws have appeared favourable in Bundesliga so far, so why not pick a draw or win for the underdogs today? Parlayed with a tricky Israeli friendly.

Game 1: Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen. Double Chance Bremen @2.22. Stake odds: 2.10
Game 2: Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva. Beer sheva WIN @2.57. Stake odds: 2.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.6672. Stake parlay: 5.355

Odds advantage: 5.83%
Units advantage: 31.22

Running advantage after 296 bets: +6,947.04 (+31.22)
All-time cumulative: +28,946.15
Running units after 295 bets (49W|246L): +11,427.75 (-100 units)
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